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Deja Vu

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  • Buffett and Munger (BRK.B) on Europe: Buffett would happily buy a big business there "tomorrow" because "Europe is not going away" and in his opinion they will fix the flaws in their monetary system. "They have to find a structure that will work and eventually they will," Buffett says. Munger: "Letting Greece into the EU was like using rat poison for whipping cream: an exceptionally stupid idea." (WSJ[View news story]
    The old man is cunning and dishonest while radiating piety. Starting with oft repeated lie about his secretary's higher tax rate to turning a blind eye to ethical lapses among his confidantes to being the especial benificiary of crony capitalism via the fed, the man disgusts me to the core.
    May 5 12:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Herbalife Honored with Consumer Protection Guarantee Award in Thailand [View article]
    Steals the title of "World's Most Undeserved Award" from Obama's Nobel Peace prize.
    May 3 04:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Will The Galaxy S4 Win It For Samsung In India? [View article]
    Here is the real competition, a galaxy s2 or S3 equivalent for $125

    http://bit.ly/131fTYO

    This 5" might compete even with a S4, ($180).

    http://bit.ly/12oLL5L

    Samsung will sell to a few rich folks (numerically plenty, percentage wise small), but Samsung will be undercut by these types of phones. Indians want extreme value for money, hence that is why iPhone will never be a success, neither will the S4, while a few millions will sell.

    iPhone is even more handicapped as by and large the practice of paying for content is not yet well established in India and nobody wants to pay hefty fees to the itunes store to get what they can get for free. Android is more open to file transfers etc. so in that respect the S4 may be a little ahead of the iPhone, but in the end its a race to the bottom.
    May 1 08:35 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Eastman Kodak (EKDKQ.PK -72.9%) has plummeted to a mere $0.10 on the pink sheets after announcing a post-bankruptcy reorganization plan in which existing equity holders will see their shares cancelled. Second-lien noteholders will own 85% of the company, and unsecured creditors and retirees 15%. Kodak, which projects a $441M post-bankruptcy valuation, expects to exit Chapter 11 in Q3. (PR) (yesterday[View news story]
    A real Kodak moment...
    May 1 03:46 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2013 "production expectations" for the Z10 (BBRY -1.2%) have been trimmed by 4M-6M units, believes Wedge Partners' Brian Blair, who has been bearish on BlackBerry for years. He adds U.S. Z10 launches " have provided no evidence of meaningful sell-through," and is forecasting <10M 2013 BB10 shipments vs. Street estimates of 20M+. Meanwhile, Pac Crest's James Faucette (previous) believes U.S., U.K., and Canadian Z10 inventories are too high, and that production cuts are a matter of time. Also: BlackBerry says the Q10 is expected to sell for a subsidized $249 in the U.S., $50 more than the 16GB iPhone 5. [View news story]
    I think I'll write to BBRY investor relations asking if they have paid any PR firm to post on websites, posing as users. If any of these postings regarding BBRY's financial prospects have been directly or indirectly been paid for by BBRY, then I'll enquire why they haven't been qualified by a safe harbor statement.
    Apr 29 10:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook (FB) Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg has cut his annual pay to $1, according to an SEC filing. Zuckerberg’s compensation, excluding stock grants, was $2M in 2012. His base pay was $503K. At the time of the IPO last year, Zuckerberg exercised options on 60M shares, then sold about 30M shares to cover taxes on the gains. [View news story]
    Yes, a clear signal to short the stock via puts...
    Apr 26 07:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More from Tesla Motors (TSLA -0.1%): In the midst of a lot of details on the company's new Model S warranty loaner program, Elon Musk let slip that another announcement is coming out next week regarding the Supercharger network and concerns on driving range. He also noted the automaker wants to make the third-generation EV model to be as affordable as possible. (webcast[View news story]
    Elon Musk and his I'm "the smartest guy in the room" schtick reminds me irresistibly of Enron execs. His public attacks on his critics are also reminiscent of how Enron execs on a public conference call, dubbed an analyst who questioned them, a "a**hole".

    His behavior sends up so many red flags, that I begin to wonder...
    Apr 26 02:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Reduction In State Renewable Energy Requirements Could Give Natural Gas Companies Big Boost [View article]
    Democratic politicians have choose between two constituencies either the public sector pension crowd which needs tax money from the energy companies or the AGW crowd which wants tax money from the government to fund its pet schemes.

    In that clash, I predict, the pension funding crowd wins out. Hence by bye to the REC requirements.

    Of course they could try to kill 2 birds with one stone via a carbon tax, but even there the pension crowd will want it to pay for their lavish pensions, not put up more windmills and solar panels in the sub artic.
    Apr 26 01:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Soros Fund Management reports holding a new 7.91% stake in J.C. Penney (JCP). Shares of JCP are up a quick 6.8% in AH trading. (13G[View news story]
    I thought Soros just died a few days ago...I see that the rumors of his death have been greatly exaggerated...
    Apr 25 05:31 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • If Verizon (VZ +2.2%) is serious about buying Vodafone's (VOD +2.8%) Verizon Wireless stake, $100B isn't going to cut it, thinks Jefferies. The firm values the stake at $121B based on a 7.7x estimated EV/EBITDA multiple for the March 2014 fiscal year, and notes a Sunday Times article discussed a possible valuation of $135B (others have suggested $115B). There's also the question of how keen Vodafone is on selling when its stake has been appreciating considerably, and is now yielding giant cash distributions. On the flip side, a sale could fuel a massive M&A-driven expansion into growth markets. (Reuters report[View news story]
    Yes, that is Einhorn's investment thesis. But if that is so, and it seems so in black and white, why hasn't VOD shot up??
    Apr 25 12:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 90% Of Green Stocks Will Go Bankrupt - So What? [View article]
    Snark/sarcasm is hard to let go of, for you, right?

    Having actually tried starting (and failing) a business trading RECs, PPA's and rooftop solar installations for businesses, my experience of a wasted one and a half years is that grid parity is a myth.
    Apr 25 09:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 90% Of Green Stocks Will Go Bankrupt - So What? [View article]
    When you can't argue with the message, shoot the messenger. Your ad hominem attack on me confirms that you know little or nothing about the grid parity of solar.
    Apr 25 02:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 90% Of Green Stocks Will Go Bankrupt - So What? [View article]
    Is it really cheaper to build solar capacity than to buy electricity from the grid, absent the subsidies, the forced inflated "feed in tariffs" on utilities, and the artificially created renewable energy credit market? Would it be really cheaper if the utility hdd the freedom to impose a capital recovery fee for investing all in all that fixed capacity to meet the peak needs when the sun doesn't shine? Really? That's not even covering the tax breaks, cheap or free loans, grants and subsidies to the solar manufacturing sector.
    Apr 24 02:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tim Cook (AAPL) on the five-inch smartphone: "Our competitors have made some significant trade-offs in many of these areas in order to ship a larger display. We would not ship a larger display iPhone while these trade-offs exist." He adds that if IDC's right, the smartphone market declined 30% since December, so Apple's decline of 15% beat the market. [View news story]
    Tim E. Neumann "What me, worry?"
    Apr 23 06:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Déjà vu: Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) buys 4,000 "cheap" mortgage loans at auction in March for around half of the value of their unpaid principal. Why so cheap? Because the loans are "to U.S. borrowers who are having trouble paying them back," according to WSJ. To some, this undoubtedly seems like a case of an investment bank's short memory as RBS' ~£1BN in losses on sub-prime assets during the crisis ultimately precipitated its demise. Time will tell. [View news story]
    Well, the RBS bankers paid themselves huge fat bonuses based on the fake profits they generated. When the mortgage holders stopped paying the BOE bailed them out and the RBS bankers all kept their jobs. Only the low level janitors got sacked. I'd say they perfectly remember what happened, that is exactly why they are doing it again. Again they will pay themselves huge bonuses and again they will get bailed out, without ever having to pay back one pound, dollar or euro.
    Apr 17 07:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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