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  • Why Timber Outperforms Stocks, Bonds and Even Commodities [View article]
    My take on timber is that the outperformace over the past 3 decades might lead to underperformance for the next 1-2 decades. I would be interested in seeing total return performance of timber for at least the past 100 years. 30 years is just an average tree's lifespand ( isn't it)?

    Besides, looking at this chart of lumber prices since 1974, it seems that the price is pretty volatile. And the move from 150 in 1973 to 250 in 2007 is equal to 1.5% increase annually.
    www.mrci.com/pdf/lb.pd...

    It does seem to me that you are placing the increase in market price and the increase in inflation together. How exactly does inflation add to your returns?

    Jun 30 17:19 pm |Rating: +1 0
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