Seeking Alpha

Dividends4Life » Comments » Single Comment

  • Getting Ready for Retirement [View article]
    Mad Hedge Fund Trader: I found your recommendation of PCY intriguing. Having never looked at it before, I ran some quick numbers on its dividend comparing it to LQD. Surprisingly, its standard deviation from 11/07 to 9/09 was 0.01489 compared to 0.02817 for LQD over the same period (Yahoo data + iShares to fill in some LQD blanks). LQD is one of my core bond holdings, but it is quickly approaching full allocation, so I've been looking for some other alternatives. A higher yield and lower standard deviation on its dividend makes PCY worth looking deeper into.

    Thanks for mentioning it!

    Best Wishes,
    D4L


    On Sep 22 02:51 PM Mad Hedge Fund Trader wrote:

    > mgx A number of readers have asked me to come up with a safe, high
    > yielding investment in which to hide out in case the equity markets
    > swoon again. That means they are looking for a security that offers
    > a high fixed return, denominated in a strong currency that will benefit
    > from future upgrades that will boost the principal over time. All
    > of that is another name for the Invesco PowerShares Emerging Market
    > Sovereign Debt ETF (seekingalpha.com/symbo...). The fund
    > has 40% of its assets in bonds issued in Latin America and 31% in
    > Asia, with the bulk of the maturities exceeding ten years. The two
    > year old fund now boasts $340 million in market cap and pays a handy
    > 6.42% dividend. This beats the daylights out of the nine basis points
    > you currently earn for cash, the 3.40% yield on 10 year Treasuries,
    > and still exceeds the 6.42% dividend on the iShares Investment Grade
    > Bond ETN (seekingalpha.com/symbo...), which buys predominantly
    > single “A” US corporates. The big difference here is that foreign
    > bonds are issued in strong foreign currencies instead of weak dollars,
    > and have a rosy future of further credit upgrades to look forward
    > to. It turns out that many emerging markets have little or no debt
    > because until recently, investors thought their credit quality was
    > too poor. No doubt a history of defaults in Brazil and Argentina
    > in the seventies and eighties is at the back of their minds. With
    > US government bond issuance going through the roof, the shoe is now
    > on the other foot. A price appreciation of 125% over the past year
    > tells you this is not exactly an undiscovered concept. Still, it
    > is something to keep on your “buy on dips” list.
    Sep 22 18:31 pm |Rating: +2 0
All Comments by Dividends4Life »
Dividends4Life's
Comments Stats
39 comments
Rating: 29 (34 - 5 )