• Donald van Deventer
    Facebook Annualized Default Probabilities 0.16% And 0.23% At 5 And 10 Years $FB, $XLK, $VGT http://seekingalpha.com/p/1q7ft
    5/9/14
    Reply (9)
    • Genoregrets: So what is your point then?
      5/9/14
    • Donald van Deventer: Geno, over 10 years, in each year, you have a 0.23% chance of losing 100% of your money.
      5/9/14
    • Genoregrets: I see thanks i guess for the info
      5/9/14
    • Donald van Deventer: Just had a call 30 minutes ago from a huge hedge fund about using default probabilities for their equity fund. Big trend these days.
      5/9/14
    • Genoregrets: Sorry for my ignorance, I am sure it matters to someone
      5/9/14
    • Genoregrets: So Donald do you like $FB for a rebound ?
      5/9/14
    • Donald van Deventer: Sorry, Geno, the only prediction I do is the probability the stock price will go to zero, and that's based on statistics, not a guess!
      5/9/14
    • Genoregrets: whats the prob on $ZU
      5/9/14
    • Donald van Deventer: Sorry not following that name. Will look at it next week if I get a chance.
      5/9/14