Full index of posts »
Latest Comments
-
JamesAStob on Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here The most intelligent and helpful author on Seek...
-
Douglas Albo on Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here GGN's NAV is down -13.9% YTD, worst of all equi...
-
riggle99 on Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here Thanks for another good article on CEFs. I have...
-
Douglas Albo on Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here Thank you for your comment. Good to know there ...
-
gman1253 on Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here Doug - I just wanted to thank for your articles...
Most Commented
- Back Up The Truck On EOI (13 Comments)
- Will NIE Raise Its Distribution? (10 Comments)
- What Is It With NIE? (6 Comments)
- Opportunity On DPO (6 Comments)
- Wow...Consider Selling IGA & IID Ahead Of Ex-Dividend Date (5 Comments)
Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.











View Douglas Albo's Instablogs on:
Gabelli Funds Vulnerable Here
A couple of the Gabelli leveraged funds I believe are vulnerable to any kind of a sell-off in the equity markets now. The Gabelli fund (GAB) and the Gabelli Global Media Trust (GGT) are pure stock based funds which use quite a bit of leverage meaning they have no fixed income to cushion any equity market sell-off. Both funds have done incredibly well due to that leverage with GAB's NAV up 22.1% YTD and GGT's NAV up 22.3% and their total return market prices have done even better which has brought both to the high end of their premium/discount range.
Now I'm not saying the markets are going to sell-off here but after the run we've had, I wouldn't be surprised to see some kind of a backtrack. Both funds are up 1% heading into a soft market close and with both funds at 4-year highs and premium valuations, I would be careful.
They're still a month off from going ex-dividend in mid June and a lot can happen before then.
Disclosure: I am short GAB.
Equity CEFs: What's Gotten Into DPD?
If you own DPD or looking for a good hedge on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), you might want to sell or short DPD up here at $16.05, up 4% right now and at a premium valuation.
Looks like someone has a forced buy-in going on since I don't know why anyone would be buying DPD up this much otherwise. If any DJIA CEF should be at a premium, it should be DPO since DPO has MUCH more NAV upside than DPD in a strong market. DPO also has a higher yield than DPD too.
Crazy things going on in the CEF universe!
Disclosure: I am long DPO.
If The Dow Goes Up, Eventually DPO Goes Up Too...
It's as simple as that. There's been a seller in DPO now for a couple weeks and its discount has now become stretched to close to -7% with the market price at $11.90 and its NAV at a 52-week high $12.82. Volume today is well over its 110,000 daily share average after only an hour of trading.
Obviously, someone is making a market call that the DJIA is topping or is shifting over to technology or some other sector and with DPO leveraged to the Dow, they're getting out of a more volatile and less liquid security like DPO.
I don't know if you can make that kind of a call and with DPO now at the low end of its discount range, I think you would be smarter to own DPO and hedge by owning the inverse DJIA ETF (DOG). I wouldn't necessarily short DIA, the SPDR DJIA ETF, because it pays a monthly dividend and you don't want to have to pay that.
This would be a way to lock in a 7.3% yield and have some downside protection though I wouldn't hedge any more than 1/3 of your long position in DPO. If you think the market rallies on from here, I would recommend just owing DPO outright. DPO's NAV is outperforming the DJIA, up 15.4% YTD compared to DIA up 15.1%, though DPO's market price is obviously underperforming.
When I look at pure leveraged funds trading at much narrower discounts to even premiums now w/out any defensive positions like short call options, it makes DPO very undervalued IMO.
Disclosure: I am long DPO, DOG.