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Dr. Chris Kacher and Gil Morales
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Dr. Chris Kacher & Gil Morales 2009 - 2014 (5 years) Up +473% using only market timing service ETF TECL with NO margin: Results: After minor adjustments to account for full blown quantitative easing as opposed... More
My company:
Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC / MoKa Investors, LLC
My blog:
The Stock Market Blog
My book:
Trade Like an O’Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market
View Dr. Chris Kacher and Gil Morales' Instablogs on:
  • Important Performance Update. Some Of Our Members Have Managed To Outperform The Markets Once Again.

    In this topsy-turvy market, the trend following wizards with their former exemplary track records are tracked here and had another down month, and are down yet again this year.

    That said, at Virtue of Selfish Investing, 2014 was a banner year as the performance by Gil Morales was a home run, and those members who took profits in context with the chart and cut losses short were also able to also well outperform the major indices.

    While 2014 was challenging but profitable, trendless 2015 has really tested one's discipline in following their rules and being nimble. 2015 has been an up year so far for us, but considerably more challenging than 2014. That said, the VIX Volatility Model which is in beta has shown great promise in its profitability in backtests and more recently in real-time trading with the implemented fail-safes, even in this largely trendless year.

    That said, always remember that the only thing that never changes is change, so always assume markets will always change. Thus, the disclaimer "past performance is no guarantee of future performance" always holds true for any strategy. Static black boxes have a limited life expectancy. Self-learning/self-evolving strategies are essential.

    Both timing strategies at Virtue of Selfish Investing are self-learning as are our stock trading strategies. What worked before does not necessarily work now. The Market Direction Model adjusted to quantitative easing in 2009 among other things which accounted for its ability to continue to outperform while other timing strategies failed. Indeed most of the market timing websites around back then are now dead links. But as market manipulation by the Fed intensified as central banks began stepping up their quantitative easing programs, markets became the most challenging we have witnessed in decades. In the last few years, when markets looked like they were about to blow apart, they would find a shallow floor and head higher, but weakly so. And when the markets would fall, they would reverse a few weeks of gains in just a few days. Meanwhile, leading stocks would fall even harder than the fast falling market averages.

    But every problem contains its own solution. We put more focus on how to properly trade individual stocks, Thus the strategy of taking profits when you have them in context with the stock's chart and the general market has proven profitable. Of course, keeping stops extra tight has also been essential given the behavior of most leading stocks when markets fall. Those very few that buck the trend are a big clue and can sometimes be held.

    Taking a Zen approach to the markets is the path every trader/investor should take. Trading in the now, in the present moment, and adjusting your trading to what stocks and the general markets are telling you is key to keeping trading strategies profitable. Thus every investor/trader can become a self-learning organism.

    Nov 17 10:16 AM | Link | Comment!
  • The Dr K Volatility Model Is Up +34.1% In Just Two Days !

    Another day with the Dow down almost 500 points ! The Dr K Volatility Model is up +34.1% in just two days. It takes advantage of ETFs which track volatility and thus, by their nature, are highly volatile. Thus big gains can be made in a short time based on the model's track record. We have just launched the Model on It's most recent signal was a SELL signal issued near the market open on August 31. Profits are at the time of this writing +34.1% using UVXY and +17.7% using VXX. Note, we have only posted the model on the Results and the Reports page as the model just launched.

    Sep 01 4:08 PM | Link | Comment!
  • A Time For Short-Selling?

    A time for short-selling? Read the new book by Gil Morales and Dr. Chris Kacher on short-selling:

    Sep 01 8:37 AM | Link | Comment!
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