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Dr. Kris hails from the land o' lakes, beer, bratwurst, and Bucky Badger. She traded in her cheese hat for a propeller beanie and has never looked back. She has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her... More
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  • Market Notes: Shippers Raising Anchor -- May 21

    4:00pm ET: Well, the major averages managed to hang in there to makr this the nineteenth successive Tuesday where they are closed in the green. However, the market leading Transport Index (DTX) was the noticeable laggard and the fact that the Trin and the VIX are both rising could spell timeout for the market in the near-term. Tomorrow, the ears of everyone on Wall Street will be pinned to Bernanke's testimony before Congress listening for any shred of a change in monetary policy. Market tone will be guided by the testimony and could either be very quiet or very volatile, depending on what's being said. Could be a profitable day for the day traders or a good one to sleep in. In remembrance of testimonies past, I might just do the latter.

    Today's Market Highlights: Marine shippers on the move
    The Guggenheim Shipping etf (SEA, $18) gapped out of a five month trading range yesterday on over four times normal volume. Not only did it handily break near-term resistance at $17.50, it also took out long-term resistance at $18. This etf is used as a proxy for the famed Baltic Dry Index which is viewed by economists as a leading indicator of future production and economic growth. The SEA has lagged the overall transportation index (the IYT is an etf proxy for this index) but it appears as if it's now trying to play catch-up. The shippers in particular have suffered much more than their land-based peers and investors are trying to rectify this situation.

    Today's biggest movers were Genco Shipping (GNK, $2.10) and Frontline (FRO, $2.46). Both of these gained 17% and 12% respectively as investors piled in. Perhaps not so coincidentally, these two names are also the ones that saw the biggest drops in share value since their 2010 highs, down over 90% from their peak values. Although they're showing signs of life, they do face some near-term resistance--for Genco that's at $2.50 and for Frontline it's in the $2.75 to $3.00 range. A break above those levels could mean clear sailing for a while.

    While Genco and Frontline appear poised for growth, they are not major holdings of the SEA. The fund's biggest holdings are foreign-based companies such as Maersk (16%) and several others which only trade on foreign exchanges. US exchange traded members include Navios Maritime and Teekay Tankers, both of which have more than one trading entity. For example, Teekay is listed under Teekay Corp (TK), Teekay Offshore (TOO), Teekay Tanker (TNK), and Teekay LNG (TGP). These are different businesses under the same corporate umbrella and detailing their differences is the subject of another article. My point today is just to alert you to the potential growth opportunity in this unloved industry group.

    May 21 5:29 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Market Notes: Solar On Fire! -- May 20

    4:00pm ET: The market melt-up appears to have hit a cool spot as selling pressure heats up. At the close, the VWAPs (a measure of institutional buying and selling) on both the positive and negative sides were exactly equal and at elevated levels indicating that the bulls and the bears are duking it out. A pop in the VIX reflects the rising bearish sentiment. Two events this week could push this evenly-weighted bull/bear seesaw to favor one side.

    The first is Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony to Congress on Wednesday. This will be important in setting the tone for the markets (particularly the dollar, equities and US treasuries), as traders hunt for clues on when the Fed is likely to ease its rate of asset purchases. The second is the Durable Goods Orders coming out on Friday. Orders are considered a leading indicator of manufacturing activity and we'll need to see some good numbers as the recent Empire State manufacturing numbers and the Philly Fed numbers were disappointing.

    Today's Highlights: Solar stocks continue to burn
    On Friday we noted the breakout in the Guggenheim Solar etf (TAN, $25). Today, the Market Vectors Solar etf (KWT, $50) followed in its footsteps. The entire space popped on JA Solar's (JASO, $9.5) record earnings announcement showing huge demand for its solar cells in Japan. The news surprised everyone and boosted share price by a whopping 70% on nearly 29 times normal volume! As a rising tide lifts all boats, nearly every stock in the space experienced a surge in both price and volume. Other big winners include Canadian Solar (DSIQ, $9, +17%), LDK Solar (LDK, $1.8, +20%), Hanwa Solar (HSOL, $1.6, +31%), Trina Solar (TSL, $6.8, +20%), Renesola (SOL, $2.5, +18%), and Yingli Green Energy (YGE, $3.1, +13%). Volume on all of these issues has been expanding--a sign that investors and institutions are taking notice. Technically, the charts of YGE, TSL, LDK, and CSIQ are the most compelling, but as always, do your own research first. Adding one or two of these stocks (or one of the etfs) could provide that ray of sunshine that perks up your portfolio.

    May 20 4:49 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Market Notes: Dollar Up/Metals Down -- May 17

    4:00pm ET: The market continues to melt up and it appears as if there's more room to run as the VIX continues to fall and the Transports (DTX) continue to lead. Most of the sectors continue to hit new highs with the notable exception of pharma and healthcare which are taking a much needed break.

    Today's Highlights: Metals continue to slide with some hitting new yearly lows. Silver (SLV) and the Gold Miners (GDX, GDXJ) were among today's biggest losers in this space while Gold (GLD, IAU) is testing major support at the $1300/ounce level ($130 on the GLD and $13 on the IAU). Commodity based currencies Aussie $ (FXA) and the Canadian $ (FXC) ranked among the biggest currency losers as a result.

    Surprisingly, oil and clean energy are hanging in there. Today, the Oil & Gas Explorer etf (IEO) decisively broke through major resistance at $75. Its next test could come at the $80 minor resistance level and should it pass that, a move to the $87-$90 level would be next. Closely following in its footsteps are the Oil & Gas Services funds (OIH, XES) which could break out as soon as tomorrow. The oil and gas commodities themselves aren't looking so bullish but that situation may change soon, especially with the summer driving season looming upon us.

    The clean/alternative energy space is definitely on the move. We previously noted the rise of badly beaten down solar stocks and today they again led the alt-energy pack. The Gugghenheim Solar etf (TAN) recently broke out of a year long base. The fund gained another 5.25% today.

    Stocks poised for further upside
    From time to time I post stocks that are rallying on increasing volume. What this means is that institutions are starting to take notice and a further rise in the stock (barring any downturn in the market) is typically the norm. Today I'll be mentioning two such stocks.

    The first is Rite Aid (RAD, $2.8). The company jumped on better than expected earnings on 4/11 and volume since then has been increasing. The stock has been consolidating for the past few weeks but that all changed today when it jumped over 7% on twice normal volume. Those in the know are saying that this company's metrics are improving and that it is currently undervalued compared with its peers. It looks like Wall Street agrees.

    The second is Tearlab (TEAR, $10.16). The company enables eye doctors to test tears for a range of biomarkers. The stock has been rising for more than a year and a half as volume slowly increased. However, the volume has been stepped up substantially in recent months. The company recently beat earnings estimates on expanding margins causing not only a jump in share price but a jump in volume.

    The two above-mentioned stocks are worth your consideration and as always do your own research before investing. Enjoy this lovely spring weekend!

    Subscriber Notes: There is one new Stock Darling.

    Tags: RAD, TEAR, TAN, IEO, OIH, XES, long ideas
    May 17 9:40 PM | Link | Comment!
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