Dr. Kris Poll: Chances of the $VIX hitting 30 by the end of June? I'm saying 95%.
6/1/12
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Energysystems: I think it'll go up until the fomc meeting the 18/19th of June, and it'll either spike or plummet there lol
6/1/12
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Perkins Cove: I think you are close Doc. The 10 dsma was 22.91 yesterday, and rising, with the peak about 3 points above that. I say 90% chance it hits 30
6/1/12
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Bob de'Long: Only 40%. Looking at a 1 yr VIX chart; it was only above 30 in last fall's irrationality. Of course, there is no shortage of irrationality.
6/1/12
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DettoTheSecond: The more people who believe it to be true means the more likely it's NOT going to happen!
6/1/12
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Dr. Kris: Detto: The crowd is actually right about 5 - 10% of the time. Have a nice weekend!
6/1/12
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realornot: Kris: YES! Detto is too blinded with his bull horns!