Econophile is Jeff Harding, a real estate investor and former lawyer in Santa Barbara, California. He is a principal of Montecito Analytics, LLC. He has many years of experience in business cycles, real estate investments, and finance. He also was financing director of a home builder. He was also an Adjunct Professor of Real Estate Investment at Santa Barbara City College. He writes The Daily Capitalist, a blog dealing with economics, finance, and investment risk. He is a frequent contributor to Zero Hedge, Minyanville, and his articles are republished or linked to on many other blogs, such as the Huffington Post, Real Clear Politics, Real Clear Economics, Wall Street Journal, Mises Institute, Lew Rockwell, and many others. The Daily Capitalist blog takes a fresh, unconventional look at current economics. In light of the poor track record of most economists before and during our economic crisis, it's time to think about different approaches explaining economic activity. The blog is also an advocate of new methods of evaluating investment risk in light of this most recent blow-up. The Daily Capitalist does not give investment or market advice and doesn't sell or promote any investment products. Jeff Harding is a graduate of the University of California, Santa Barbara, and U.C., Hastings College of the Law. He is a longtime student of economics. He may be reached at: firstname.lastname@example.org
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
My name is Payman Winborn. Upon graduation from college in 1999 I founded a company that distributed computer hardware. Although this was a profitable business, I did not want to focus all my resources on one avenue of success, so I looked to diversify my interests. I explored real estate and finance as possible alternative businesses and discovered an interest and passion in futures trading. This is what I ultimately choose as a second source of income.
Initially, I imagined that day trading would be the ideal profession: no customers or staff, no inventory or rent and the possibility of unlimited income. And, more importantly, it presented me with the opportunity to work anywhere....from the privacy of my home or from the balcony of a hotel room overlooking the Pacific Ocean.
Unfortunately, I knew little about the pitfalls of day trading for a living. To begin with, I spent countless hours reading books, studying charts and conducting research in an effort to become a profitable trader. Six years later, and after the loss of several hundred thousand dollars, my efforts finally resulted in the development of a highly profitable strategy.
This strategy is primarily based on technical analysis and was developed for ES E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contracts from CME Group but it also works in many other financial instruments such as Stocks (NYSE), Bonds, Currencies(Forex Spot), Commodities (Gold and Crude Oil From CME GROUP,Globex,NYMEX, CBOT,Brent Crud Oil From ICE Global Markets), Options, Global Indices and CFD’s with similar high accuracy.
In retrospect, I understand that the biggest barrier to my success was the fact that I tried to learn everything by myself. An experienced mentor could have helped me avoid that painful learning experience....and saved me a significant amount of money as well as many years of frustration.
Today I am an active, and profitable, trader. As a token of appreciation for my success, I now share my tools and experience with other day traders. I believe that my knowledge and skill can help others become successful traders and, in the summer of 2010, I began to publish my realtime market signals and daily results online in order to demonstrate the accuracy of my trading strategy.
Received undergraduate degrees in Finance and Economics, and MBAs in Business Management and Telecommunications Management. Enjoyed 25 years in the telecommunications industry. Retired in 2008 to become a full-time investor.
BS meteorology u of hawaii 1971.custom design/boatbuilder ever since.now,thanks to the bankers,taking my interest in investing more seriously.
day/week/month trading on anchored boat when not snook/trout fishing in smaller boat....sebastian and keys florida/bahamas.....periodically aiming solar panels-i make ice with them,run everything....that n some propane....an enjoyable simple life....but i am easily amused.
life's just another deserted beach.
I spent my youth growing up on a farm in western North Dakota and graduated from NDSU. After graduation, I entered the USAF through ROTC and spent 20 years in the Air Force, mostly as a meteorologist. I graduated from the US Naval Post Graduate School with a M.S. in Meteorology. I also am a CFP, but do not work in the industry. I am an investor and trader -- lots of similarities between trading markets and meteorology. You are trying to determine the future.
I am an independent investor with 20+ years experience. My style is technical analysis with an overlay of macroeconomic and value considerations. My primary concerns moving forward are the debt bubble, fed balance sheet, US budget and trade deficits.