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    <title>Eddy Elfenbein - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Eddy Elfenbein' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein</link>
    <item>
      <title>Getting Technical: The Humpy Pattern Thesis Lives On</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172878-getting-technical-the-humpy-pattern-thesis-lives-on?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172878</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed at its highest level in 13 months on Wednesday. During the day, we got as high as 1105.37, but we haven&rsquo;t been able to hold 1,100 going into a close yet. The S&amp;P 500 was down slightly Tuesday, but the Dow was up. In fact, the Dow has been up every day this month.</p>  <p>I still cling to my Humpy Pattern Thesis. This chart below of the S&amp;P 500 clearly shows a rising pattern of surges&mdash;humps if you will. I have no idea what it means for the future but I&rsquo;m passing it on to you.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 18:05:12 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed at its highest level in 13 months on Wednesday. During the day, we got as high as 1105.37, but we haven&rsquo;t been able to hold 1,100 going into a close yet. The S&amp;P 500 was down slightly Tuesday, but the Dow was up. In fact, the Dow has been up every day this month.</p>  <p>I still cling to my Humpy Pattern Thesis. This chart below of the S&amp;P 500 clearly shows a rising pattern of surges&mdash;humps if you will. I have no idea what it means for the future but I&rsquo;m passing it on to you.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172878-getting-technical-the-humpy-pattern-thesis-lives-on?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Altria: Tobacco Stock at a Discount</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172232-altria-tobacco-stock-at-a-discount?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172232</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Tobacco companies are hated by the public but the stocks are very tempting financially. Over the weekend, <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB125755790581335267.html?mod=BOL_hps_mag"><i>Barron&rsquo;s</i></a> looked at <b>Altria</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mo' title='More opinion and analysis of MO'>MO</a>):</p><blockquote><blockquote class="quote"><p>At around 18.50, Altria has one of the lowest price/earnings ratios in the global cigarette industry. It also has one of the highest dividend yields: 7.3%. The stock trades for 10.6 times projected 2009 profits of $1.77 a share and 10 times estimated 2010 earnings of $1.87. Even Reynolds American (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rai' title='More opinion and analysis of RAI'>RAI</a>), with weaker brands, sports a slightly higher P/E on a 2010 basis.</p></blockquote></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 11:29:28 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p>Tobacco companies are hated by the public but the stocks are very tempting financially. Over the weekend, <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB125755790581335267.html?mod=BOL_hps_mag"><i>Barron&rsquo;s</i></a> looked at <b>Altria</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mo' title='More opinion and analysis of MO'>MO</a>):</p><blockquote><blockquote class="quote"><p>At around 18.50, Altria has one of the lowest price/earnings ratios in the global cigarette industry. It also has one of the highest dividend yields: 7.3%. The stock trades for 10.6 times projected 2009 profits of $1.77 a share and 10 times estimated 2010 earnings of $1.87. Even Reynolds American (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rai' title='More opinion and analysis of RAI'>RAI</a>), with weaker brands, sports a slightly higher P/E on a 2010 basis.</p></blockquote></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172232-altria-tobacco-stock-at-a-discount?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mo">MO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pm">PM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rai">RAI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>One Ugly Jobs Report</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171822-one-ugly-jobs-report?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171822</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>Ugh! Friday&rsquo;s jobs report was ugly. Hideous.</p>  <p>The nation&rsquo;s unemployment rate is now up to 10.2%, which is the highest in 26 years. Even though the economy may be growing, we&rsquo;re not creating jobs. Here are some stats to consider. Over the past two years, the number of unemployed has jumped by 8.4 million to 15.7 million. The number of employed has dropped by 7.6 million and only 0.8 million have joined the workforce. Add the two together and you get the 8.4 million increase in unemployment.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 10:09:07 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>Ugh! Friday&rsquo;s jobs report was ugly. Hideous.</p>  <p>The nation&rsquo;s unemployment rate is now up to 10.2%, which is the highest in 26 years. Even though the economy may be growing, we&rsquo;re not creating jobs. Here are some stats to consider. Over the past two years, the number of unemployed has jumped by 8.4 million to 15.7 million. The number of employed has dropped by 7.6 million and only 0.8 million have joined the workforce. Add the two together and you get the 8.4 million increase in unemployment.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171822-one-ugly-jobs-report?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Becton Dickinson Impresses, but Moog Continues to Struggle</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171528-becton-dickinson-impresses-but-moog-continues-to-struggle?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171528</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p><b><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/5/saupload_getchart_1.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Becton Dickinson</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bdx' title='More opinion and analysis of BDX'>BDX</a>), which I like a lot, saw its earnings rise to <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2009/11/04/business-health-care-us-earns-becton-dickinson_7083691.html">$1.25 a share</a> for its fiscal fourth quarter, which matched estimates. The company made $1.11 for last year&rsquo;s fourth quarter. Wall Street expects earnings next year of $5.09, which works out to a growth rate of 3%. This means the stock is currently going for about 13 times earnings.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/5/saupload_getchart_2.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />As <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2009/11/thoughts_on_nex.html">I&rsquo;ve mentioned before</a>, I haven&rsquo;t been very pleased with <b>Moog</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mog.a' title='More opinion and analysis of MOG.A'>MOG.A</a>) this year. The stock is down about 30% and it&rsquo;s the worst performer on my Buy List. For this past quarter, the company earned <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/CMPSRV/idUSBNG29843420091105">35 cents a share</a>, which was less than half what it made during last year&rsquo;s third quarter. The company missed Wall Street&rsquo;s call by a penny a share. For the second quarter, it missed the Street by 10 cents a share.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 12:48:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p><b><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/5/saupload_getchart_1.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Becton Dickinson</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bdx' title='More opinion and analysis of BDX'>BDX</a>), which I like a lot, saw its earnings rise to <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2009/11/04/business-health-care-us-earns-becton-dickinson_7083691.html">$1.25 a share</a> for its fiscal fourth quarter, which matched estimates. The company made $1.11 for last year&rsquo;s fourth quarter. Wall Street expects earnings next year of $5.09, which works out to a growth rate of 3%. This means the stock is currently going for about 13 times earnings.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/5/saupload_getchart_2.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />As <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2009/11/thoughts_on_nex.html">I&rsquo;ve mentioned before</a>, I haven&rsquo;t been very pleased with <b>Moog</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mog.a' title='More opinion and analysis of MOG.A'>MOG.A</a>) this year. The stock is down about 30% and it&rsquo;s the worst performer on my Buy List. For this past quarter, the company earned <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/CMPSRV/idUSBNG29843420091105">35 cents a share</a>, which was less than half what it made during last year&rsquo;s third quarter. The company missed Wall Street&rsquo;s call by a penny a share. For the second quarter, it missed the Street by 10 cents a share.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171528-becton-dickinson-impresses-but-moog-continues-to-struggle?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bdx">BDX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mog.a">MOG.A</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Cognizant Technology: Still a Bit Rich Based on Earnings</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170865-cognizant-technology-still-a-bit-rich-based-on-earnings?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170865</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/3/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />One today after saying that I&rsquo;m probably going to ditch <b>Cognizant Technology</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctsh' title='More opinion and analysis of CTSH'>CTSH</a>) at the end of the year, the company comes out with great earnings.</p>  <p>For the third quarter, CTSH earned <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091103-704439.html">48 cents a share</a> which creamed Wall Street&rsquo;s estimates of 41 cents a share. For the fourth quarter, the company sees EPS of 49 cents a share.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 11:09:27 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/11/3/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />One today after saying that I&rsquo;m probably going to ditch <b>Cognizant Technology</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctsh' title='More opinion and analysis of CTSH'>CTSH</a>) at the end of the year, the company comes out with great earnings.</p>  <p>For the third quarter, CTSH earned <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091103-704439.html">48 cents a share</a> which creamed Wall Street&rsquo;s estimates of 41 cents a share. For the fourth quarter, the company sees EPS of 49 cents a share.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170865-cognizant-technology-still-a-bit-rich-based-on-earnings?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctsh">CTSH</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nicholas Financial: Another Good Quarter</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169889-nicholas-financial-another-good-quarter?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169889</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/29/saupload_getchart_1.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Nicholas Financial</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nick' title='More opinion and analysis of NICK'>NICK</a>) just came out with earnings and it was another good quarter. The company earned 22 cents a share compared with just eight cents a year ago.</p>  <p>It really is remarkable how cheap this stock is. For the first six months of their fiscal year, NICK earned 43 cents a share. For Q4 of last year's fiscal quarter, they made 20 cents a share, so that's 63 cents for the last three quarters. The big issue to watch for NICK is percentage for credit losses, and that fell to 5.84% from 9.86% a year ago. This is the second quarter in a row of declining year-over-year numbers. In other words, things are most likely to get better for them.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 14:04:31 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p><b><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/29/saupload_getchart_1.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Nicholas Financial</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nick' title='More opinion and analysis of NICK'>NICK</a>) just came out with earnings and it was another good quarter. The company earned 22 cents a share compared with just eight cents a year ago.</p>  <p>It really is remarkable how cheap this stock is. For the first six months of their fiscal year, NICK earned 43 cents a share. For Q4 of last year's fiscal quarter, they made 20 cents a share, so that's 63 cents for the last three quarters. The big issue to watch for NICK is percentage for credit losses, and that fell to 5.84% from 9.86% a year ago. This is the second quarter in a row of declining year-over-year numbers. In other words, things are most likely to get better for them.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169889-nicholas-financial-another-good-quarter?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nick">NICK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Aflac: The Duck Bounces Back</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169861-aflac-the-duck-bounces-back?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169861</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/29/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />I like this stock. <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=abPpn4jfIpwI">I really do</a>:</p>  <blockquote class="quote"><p>Aflac Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/afl' title='More opinion and analysis of AFL'>AFL</a>), the world&rsquo;s largest seller of supplemental health insurance, said third-quarter profit more than tripled as investment losses narrowed and a stronger yen magnified revenue from Japan.</p></blockquote></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 12:07:26 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/29/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />I like this stock. <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=abPpn4jfIpwI">I really do</a>:</p>  <blockquote class="quote"><p>Aflac Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/afl' title='More opinion and analysis of AFL'>AFL</a>), the world&rsquo;s largest seller of supplemental health insurance, said third-quarter profit more than tripled as investment losses narrowed and a stronger yen magnified revenue from Japan.</p></blockquote></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169861-aflac-the-duck-bounces-back?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/afl">AFL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Don't Blame EMH for the Credit Crisis</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169523-don-t-blame-emh-for-the-credit-crisis?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169523</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>In Wednesday&rsquo;s Wall Street Journal, Jeremy J. Siegel <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703573604574491261905165886.html">comes to the defense of the Efficient Market Hypothesis</a> &#40;EMH&#41;. I agree that blaming EMH for the credit crisis a stretch. There&rsquo;s a lot wrong with EMH, but I don&rsquo;t think we can hang our current mess on it.</p>  <p>I&rsquo;m still skeptical that the government can or should act to break investment bubbles. My issue isn&rsquo;t EMH-centered -- that prices are always right. Instead, I just don&rsquo;t trust the government, nor am I convinced that a burst bubble is for the general good. As Daniel Gross has pointed out, <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2007/07/pop_why_bubbles.html">bubbles can be very good things</a>.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 12:56:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p>In Wednesday&rsquo;s Wall Street Journal, Jeremy J. Siegel <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703573604574491261905165886.html">comes to the defense of the Efficient Market Hypothesis</a> &#40;EMH&#41;. I agree that blaming EMH for the credit crisis a stretch. There&rsquo;s a lot wrong with EMH, but I don&rsquo;t think we can hang our current mess on it.</p>  <p>I&rsquo;m still skeptical that the government can or should act to break investment bubbles. My issue isn&rsquo;t EMH-centered -- that prices are always right. Instead, I just don&rsquo;t trust the government, nor am I convinced that a burst bubble is for the general good. As Daniel Gross has pointed out, <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2007/07/pop_why_bubbles.html">bubbles can be very good things</a>.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169523-don-t-blame-emh-for-the-credit-crisis?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Fiserv: Still a Good Buy</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169471-fiserv-still-a-good-buy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169471</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/28/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Simply put, <strong>Fiserv </strong>(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fisv' title='More opinion and analysis of FISV'>FISV</a>) is a great company.</p><p>Every quarter, this company delivers. Fiserv just reported Q3 EPS of 92 cents which was in line with the Street&rsquo;s forecast. For last year&rsquo;s Q3, it made 81 cents, so that&rsquo;s pretty good growth.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 10:10:52 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/28/saupload_getchart.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Simply put, <strong>Fiserv </strong>(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fisv' title='More opinion and analysis of FISV'>FISV</a>) is a great company.</p><p>Every quarter, this company delivers. Fiserv just reported Q3 EPS of 92 cents which was in line with the Street&rsquo;s forecast. For last year&rsquo;s Q3, it made 81 cents, so that&rsquo;s pretty good growth.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169471-fiserv-still-a-good-buy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fisv">FISV</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
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    <item>
      <title>GDP Growth: Third Quarter Might Not Be So Bad</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169217-gdp-growth-third-quarter-might-not-be-so-bad?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169217</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The third-quarter GDP report comes out on Thursday and it might not be completely horrible. In fact, it could be quite good.</p>  <p>Here's a look at the real annualized GDP growth rate for the trailing eight years.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 15:22:17 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p>The third-quarter GDP report comes out on Thursday and it might not be completely horrible. In fact, it could be quite good.</p>  <p>Here's a look at the real annualized GDP growth rate for the trailing eight years.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169217-gdp-growth-third-quarter-might-not-be-so-bad?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Market Crash as a Buying Opportunity</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/167332-the-market-crash-as-a-buying-opportunity?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">167332</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>It was 22 years ago -- October 19, 1987 -- that the market busted and the Dow plunged 508 points, also on a Monday.</p>  <p>As it turned out, the crash was an excellent buying opportunity as the market surged for the next 12-1/2 years.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 12:17:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>It was 22 years ago -- October 19, 1987 -- that the market busted and the Dow plunged 508 points, also on a Monday.</p>  <p>As it turned out, the crash was an excellent buying opportunity as the market surged for the next 12-1/2 years.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/167332-the-market-crash-as-a-buying-opportunity?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S., Canadian Dollars Approaching Parity</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/167331-u-s-canadian-dollars-approaching-parity?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">167331</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>While Wall Street is celebrating the Dow being over 10,000, there's another milestone coming up: The Canadian dollar is about to reach parity with the U.S. dollar.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/19/saupload_fredgraph101909.png" alt="fredgraph101909.png" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 12:14:40 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>While Wall Street is celebrating the Dow being over 10,000, there's another milestone coming up: The Canadian dollar is about to reach parity with the U.S. dollar.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/19/saupload_fredgraph101909.png" alt="fredgraph101909.png" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/167331-u-s-canadian-dollars-approaching-parity?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Core Inflation Rate Remains Stable</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/166769-core-inflation-rate-remains-stable?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">166769</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>The government on Thursday <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h6dT1TIKE1iwkoR1HuZA_E1pd5tQD9BBHPHO3">reported on consumer prices for September</a>:</p>  <blockquote class="quote"><p>Inflation pressures remained modest in September even though gasoline prices edged higher.</p></blockquote></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2009 13:30:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>The government on Thursday <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h6dT1TIKE1iwkoR1HuZA_E1pd5tQD9BBHPHO3">reported on consumer prices for September</a>:</p>  <blockquote class="quote"><p>Inflation pressures remained modest in September even though gasoline prices edged higher.</p></blockquote></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/166769-core-inflation-rate-remains-stable?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Earnings Season: A Few Early Returns</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/166761-earnings-season-a-few-early-returns?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">166761</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>Earnings season is kicking into high gear and we had two earnings reports Thursday morning.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/15/saupload_getchart_bax.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />First up is <b>Baxter International</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bax' title='More opinion and analysis of BAX'>BAX</a>). For the third quarter, the company <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Baxter-International-3Q-apf-1090516165.html?x=0&amp;.v=9">earned 98 cents a share</a>, which is one penny ahead of estimates. The problem is that sales came in at $3.15 billion, which is just below estimates of $3.19 billion. The company said to expect Q4 earnings between $1.02 and $1.04, though the consensus is $1.04. The stock was down about 3.5% Thursday, which didn't make a lot of sense to me.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2009 12:28:51 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>Earnings season is kicking into high gear and we had two earnings reports Thursday morning.</p>  <p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/10/15/saupload_getchart_bax.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />First up is <b>Baxter International</b> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bax' title='More opinion and analysis of BAX'>BAX</a>). For the third quarter, the company <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Baxter-International-3Q-apf-1090516165.html?x=0&amp;.v=9">earned 98 cents a share</a>, which is one penny ahead of estimates. The problem is that sales came in at $3.15 billion, which is just below estimates of $3.19 billion. The company said to expect Q4 earnings between $1.02 and $1.04, though the consensus is $1.04. The stock was down about 3.5% Thursday, which didn't make a lot of sense to me.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/166761-earnings-season-a-few-early-returns?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aph">APH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bax">BAX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dci">DCI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is This Market Overvalued? Not Yet</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/165767-is-this-market-overvalued-not-yet?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">165767</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>Joe Weisenthal <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/rosenberg-now-this-is-one-overvalued-market-2009-10">notes David Rosenberg&rsquo;s comments</a> that the market is overvalued. I&rsquo;m sorry, but I just don&rsquo;t see how you can argue against this market on a valuation basis. Could there be a double-dip? Sure, that&rsquo;s a risk and I can&rsquo;t say how large, but the idea that the market is not only high, but dangerously high, makes no sense to me.</p>  <p>Rosenberg writes:</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 11:30:24 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>Joe Weisenthal <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/rosenberg-now-this-is-one-overvalued-market-2009-10">notes David Rosenberg&rsquo;s comments</a> that the market is overvalued. I&rsquo;m sorry, but I just don&rsquo;t see how you can argue against this market on a valuation basis. Could there be a double-dip? Sure, that&rsquo;s a risk and I can&rsquo;t say how large, but the idea that the market is not only high, but dangerously high, makes no sense to me.</p>  <p>Rosenberg writes:</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/165767-is-this-market-overvalued-not-yet?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bonds Now Outperforming Stocks</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/165355-bonds-now-outperforming-stocks?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">165355</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>One very simple way of looking at the stock market&rsquo;s valuation is to compare it with how well long-term bonds have been doing. Over the long haul, stocks have outperformed bonds by a bit, but that fact has been thrown into disarray this decade.</p><p>Since the market peaked in March 2000, bonds have pummeled stocks. In fact, bonds have beaten stocks so badly that they&rsquo;ve erased the entire lead accumulated over the past 40 years.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2009 16:26:40 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>One very simple way of looking at the stock market&rsquo;s valuation is to compare it with how well long-term bonds have been doing. Over the long haul, stocks have outperformed bonds by a bit, but that fact has been thrown into disarray this decade.</p><p>Since the market peaked in March 2000, bonds have pummeled stocks. In fact, bonds have beaten stocks so badly that they&rsquo;ve erased the entire lead accumulated over the past 40 years.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/165355-bonds-now-outperforming-stocks?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Stocks on Sale: Looking Ahead at Gains</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/164866-stocks-on-sale-looking-ahead-at-gains?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">164866</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Can profits grow faster than the economy forever?</p>  <p>The answer is no, but profits can grow faster than the economy for some time and that&rsquo;s pretty much what the market is expecting. For 2009, the S&amp;P 500 will make around $55 to $60 a share. For 2010, earnings will probably be around $75 a share. For 2011 (and now it&rsquo;s starting to become hard to forecast), Wall Street sees earnings at $92 a share.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 13:40:57 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p>Can profits grow faster than the economy forever?</p>  <p>The answer is no, but profits can grow faster than the economy for some time and that&rsquo;s pretty much what the market is expecting. For 2009, the S&amp;P 500 will make around $55 to $60 a share. For 2010, earnings will probably be around $75 a share. For 2011 (and now it&rsquo;s starting to become hard to forecast), Wall Street sees earnings at $92 a share.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/164866-stocks-on-sale-looking-ahead-at-gains?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>V-Shaped Recovery Could Be Coming After All</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/163772-v-shaped-recovery-could-be-coming-after-all?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">163772</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>I often like to look at how the <b>Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index</b> is performing relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>  <p>The past year has been a dramatic ride. Cyclicals led the market down, the led them back up. Here's the CYC divided by the S&amp;P 500.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2009 16:41:26 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>I often like to look at how the <b>Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index</b> is performing relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>  <p>The past year has been a dramatic ride. Cyclicals led the market down, the led them back up. Here's the CYC divided by the S&amp;P 500.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/163772-v-shaped-recovery-could-be-coming-after-all?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Audit the Fed: Looking Beyond the Populist Position</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/163680-audit-the-fed-looking-beyond-the-populist-position?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">163680</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><div><div><div><p>I want to address the issue of HR 1207 and the Fed audit. If I were in Congress, I would support the bill. I say this even though I find the much of the pseudo-populist impulse behind the bill repellent.</p>  <p>I&rsquo;ve read <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2009/09/the_argument_ag.html">Mr. Alvarez&rsquo;s testimony</a> and I think he makes several good points. The problem is that too much of the argument relies on scenarios that are too distant from coming about. The crux of his argument is that all these bad things will happen once a full audit is allowed. Yes, they <i>could</i> happen but it&rsquo;s not clear that these are immediate dangers.</p></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2009 13:20:25 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><div><div><div><div><p>I want to address the issue of HR 1207 and the Fed audit. If I were in Congress, I would support the bill. I say this even though I find the much of the pseudo-populist impulse behind the bill repellent.</p>  <p>I&rsquo;ve read <a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2009/09/the_argument_ag.html">Mr. Alvarez&rsquo;s testimony</a> and I think he makes several good points. The problem is that too much of the argument relies on scenarios that are too distant from coming about. The crux of his argument is that all these bad things will happen once a full audit is allowed. Yes, they <i>could</i> happen but it&rsquo;s not clear that these are immediate dangers.</p></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/163680-audit-the-fed-looking-beyond-the-populist-position?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Time May Sell Time Magazine</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/163563-time-may-sell-time-magazine?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">163563</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090926/bs_nm/us_timewarner">Unthinkable</a>:</p> <blockquote class="quote"><p> <p>Time Warner Inc will eventually sell the Time Inc magazine unit and could buy holdings in its core entertainment category, Gordon Crawford, its largest shareholder, said during a presentation this week.</p></p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 27 Sep 2009 04:08:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eddy Elfenbein</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/" target="_blank">Eddy Elfenbein</a> submits: </b><p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090926/bs_nm/us_timewarner">Unthinkable</a>:</p> <blockquote class="quote"><p> <p>Time Warner Inc will eventually sell the Time Inc magazine unit and could buy holdings in its core entertainment category, Gordon Crawford, its largest shareholder, said during a presentation this week.</p></p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/163563-time-may-sell-time-magazine?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/twx">TWX</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eddy-elfenbein">Eddy Elfenbein</category>
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  </channel>
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