Bonds: No Inflation Threat in Sight [View article]
Markets are not always right, other wise there nobody would beat the market. One of the best trades right now is -short the 30 bond or if you like etf's short TLT.
Stagflation and the Limits of Growth [View article]
The US is going to have problems for at least a couple of years, it has bad fundementals. That is why I'm short. China on the other hand has had a big decline but has great long-term fundementals. High saving. Over $1 trillion in reserves. Short the US-go long China.
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [View article]
The market will end the year down. Maybe we will have a crash latter in the year. I think we will see another 1%-10% down from here. Eli Broad thinks this is the worst recession since WWII.
CreditSights: Guardedly Optimistic About U.S. Loan Market [View article]
I think you are way to early. Spreads are widening again. Wages are rising to take on more debt. I think the credit crisis has another year to play out. That is why I'm short.
China is down 54% over the last year. China is a great investment right now. It is a fast grower and because of the pull back is also a value play. One thing I am sure about is in 10 years China will out perform the US-many times.
Everyone likes to talk about stock for the long run, but between 1966-1981 they went nowhere. Sometimes they go down for long periods. like know-Nikkei down 12 days in a row
I don't think the S&p 500 will see 1400 again this year. Over the weekend Peter Schiff spoke to Barron's. He thinks the U.S is in trouble. I will tell you why @ theinvestingspeculator...
Market Preparing for a Double-Dip Recession [View article]
We are already in recession. Saying we are going to have a double-dip recession is like arguing about what religion is the best. It's impossible to know. The sure thing is that we are having high inflation and the Fed has no good options. I will tell you why @ theinvestingspeculator...
Fear of Higher Taxes a Cause of Sell-off [View article]
Bonds: No Inflation Threat in Sight [View article]
Dollar and Oil Are Manipulated by ECB and Fed [View article]
Stagflation and the Limits of Growth [View article]
What If What Economists Taught Us Is Wrong? [View article]
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [View article]
Global Market Performance: Nowhere to Hide [View article]
Path Dependency in the EU and U.S. Economies [View article]
CreditSights: Guardedly Optimistic About U.S. Loan Market [View article]
On Country Selection [View article]
Short Week Was Plenty Painful [View article]
Just How Bad Was June? [View article]
That Was Ugly [View article]
Market Preparing for a Double-Dip Recession [View article]
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Preparing for the Fall, Part II [View article]
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