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Apple $AAPL: 30% Upside Potential Jun 12, 2011
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View Efsinvestment's Instablogs on:
Apple: Earnings Estimate
Time Series Decomposition for APPLE (AAPL) EPS
Multiplicative Model
Data APPLE EPS
Length 21
NMissing 2
Fitted Trend Equation: Yt = -1.598 + 0.626*t
Seasonal Indices
Period Index
1 1.18481
2 0.96443
3 0.85607
4 0.99468
Accuracy Measures
MAPE 25.9107
MAD 1.1819
MSD 2.0617
Forecasts
Period Forecast
2013 Q2 11.7509
2013 Q3 10.9669
2013 Q4 13.3658
2014 Q1 16.6628
(click to enlarge)
Source for all charts: Author.
Disclosure: I am long AAPL.
AT&T Chart
A head and shoulder? Wait and see....
Fair Value Estimation - Technology Companies
1) Intel has 60% Upside Potential
2) Apple has 30% Upside Potential
3) Cisco has 50% Upside Potential