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    <title>Eric Fox - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Eric Fox' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox</link>
    <item>
      <title>The FDIC May Be Adding Jobs to the Economy </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/176092-the-fdic-may-be-adding-jobs-to-the-economy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">176092</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation &#40;FDIC&#41; recently released its third quarter of 2009 <a href="http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/qbpSelect.asp?menuItem=STAT">Quarterly Banking Profile,</a> detailing a host of statistics on the banks under its jurisdiction. This report has been well covered, but one part I wanted to highlight was the section on the number of employees at the FDIC. <br><br>The number of employees has moved up from 4,476 in September 2006 to 6,298 as of September 2009. While this might seem like a lot, the total number of employees peaked at 22,586 in September 1991, during our previous banking crisis. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 04:59:41 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation &#40;FDIC&#41; recently released its third quarter of 2009 <a href="http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/qbpSelect.asp?menuItem=STAT">Quarterly Banking Profile,</a> detailing a host of statistics on the banks under its jurisdiction. This report has been well covered, but one part I wanted to highlight was the section on the number of employees at the FDIC. <br><br>The number of employees has moved up from 4,476 in September 2006 to 6,298 as of September 2009. While this might seem like a lot, the total number of employees peaked at 22,586 in September 1991, during our previous banking crisis. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/176092-the-fdic-may-be-adding-jobs-to-the-economy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/kbe">KBE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iyf">IYF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Motorola Keeps Destroying Value </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172937-motorola-keeps-destroying-value?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172937</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>It was reported Wednesday that Motorola (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mot' title='More opinion and analysis of MOT'>MOT</a>) is shopping around its division that makes set top boxes and other equipment for cable and phone companies. The rumored asking price is around $4.5 billion.<br><br>That sounds great, but unfortunately for Motorola and its shareholders, the company paid $11 billion for it 10 years ago. Read <a href="http://news.cnet.com/2100-1040-218779.html">how management gushed </a>over it back then:</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 04:06:30 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>It was reported Wednesday that Motorola (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mot' title='More opinion and analysis of MOT'>MOT</a>) is shopping around its division that makes set top boxes and other equipment for cable and phone companies. The rumored asking price is around $4.5 billion.<br><br>That sounds great, but unfortunately for Motorola and its shareholders, the company paid $11 billion for it 10 years ago. Read <a href="http://news.cnet.com/2100-1040-218779.html">how management gushed </a>over it back then:</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172937-motorola-keeps-destroying-value?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mot">MOT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Aspen Institute Makes Sensible Proposals to Combat 'Short-Termisim' </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/162166-aspen-institute-makes-sensible-proposals-to-combat-short-termisim?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">162166</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I have blogged constantly about the value and importance of long term investing, and a recent report from the Aspen Institute came out with some practical proposals to fight what they call &quot;short-termism&quot; in the market. <br><br>Let's start with the problem as outlined by the institute:</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2009 04:10:59 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>I have blogged constantly about the value and importance of long term investing, and a recent report from the Aspen Institute came out with some practical proposals to fight what they call &quot;short-termism&quot; in the market. <br><br>Let's start with the problem as outlined by the institute:</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/162166-aspen-institute-makes-sensible-proposals-to-combat-short-termisim?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>BJ Services' Take-Under</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/159258-bj-services-take-under?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">159258</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/9/1/saupload_bjs.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Am I the only BJ Services (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bjs' title='More opinion and analysis of BJS'>BJS</a>) shareholder out there who thinks that this is a lousy deal? Is there any hope for a competing bid? BJ Services traded close to $40 back in 2006, and was as high as $33 last summer. <br><br>So we get .40 shares of Baker Hughes and $2.69 cash for a big total of $16.47. Wow, that's a big $0.63 premium over the previous close for BJS. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2009 02:09:54 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/9/1/saupload_bjs.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" />Am I the only BJ Services (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bjs' title='More opinion and analysis of BJS'>BJS</a>) shareholder out there who thinks that this is a lousy deal? Is there any hope for a competing bid? BJ Services traded close to $40 back in 2006, and was as high as $33 last summer. <br><br>So we get .40 shares of Baker Hughes and $2.69 cash for a big total of $16.47. Wow, that's a big $0.63 premium over the previous close for BJS. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/159258-bj-services-take-under?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bjs">BJS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Article Shows Sell Side Analysis Basically Worthless</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/156116-article-shows-sell-side-analysis-basically-worthless?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">156116</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>An article entitled &quot;<a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1400370">Behavioural Bias and Conflicts of Interest in Analyst Stock Recommendations</a>&quot; published in the Journal of Business Finance &amp; Accounting examines these issues:<br><br>&quot;Whether sell-side analysts are prone to behavioural errors when making stock recommendations as well as the impact of investment banking relationships on their judgments. In particular, we analyse their report narratives for evidence of cognitive bias.&quot;</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 05:46:43 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>An article entitled &quot;<a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1400370">Behavioural Bias and Conflicts of Interest in Analyst Stock Recommendations</a>&quot; published in the Journal of Business Finance &amp; Accounting examines these issues:<br><br>&quot;Whether sell-side analysts are prone to behavioural errors when making stock recommendations as well as the impact of investment banking relationships on their judgments. In particular, we analyse their report narratives for evidence of cognitive bias.&quot;</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/156116-article-shows-sell-side-analysis-basically-worthless?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Value vs. Growth Investing: The Battle Wages On</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/153250-value-vs-growth-investing-the-battle-wages-on?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">153250</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The ancient battle between Value and Growth investing continues, with Barron's weighing in with its take on the issue. It's starting to remind me of the Hundred Years' War between France and England or that Star Trek episode where two planets have been at war for five hundred years. <br><br>Value Investing has underperformed growth investing over a six month or three year horizon, but Value Investing outperformed in the second quarter of 2009. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 05:05:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>The ancient battle between Value and Growth investing continues, with Barron's weighing in with its take on the issue. It's starting to remind me of the Hundred Years' War between France and England or that Star Trek episode where two planets have been at war for five hundred years. <br><br>Value Investing has underperformed growth investing over a six month or three year horizon, but Value Investing outperformed in the second quarter of 2009. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/153250-value-vs-growth-investing-the-battle-wages-on?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The True 'Vampire Squid' </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/151720-the-true-vampire-squid?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">151720</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Matt Taibbi&rsquo;s article on Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) has now achieved legendary status for the term he coined in this sentence:<br><br><em><i>&ldquo;The world's most powerful </i>investment <span>bank is a <strong>great vampire squid</strong> wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like </span>money<i>.&rdquo;</i></em></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2009 04:51:00 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Matt Taibbi&rsquo;s article on Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) has now achieved legendary status for the term he coined in this sentence:<br><br><em><i>&ldquo;The world's most powerful </i>investment <span>bank is a <strong>great vampire squid</strong> wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like </span>money<i>.&rdquo;</i></em></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/151720-the-true-vampire-squid?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sovereign Wealth Funds No Longer Scary </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/150343-sovereign-wealth-funds-no-longer-scary?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">150343</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Does anyone remember a year ago when every pundit and media outlet predicted that Sovereign Wealth Funds were going to take over the world? The assets they controlled were growing so quickly due mostly to the commodity boom that it was starting to create hysteria in the United States. It's amazing how quickly the conventional wisdom can change.<br> <br> From the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2caa6fb8-7556-11de-9ed5-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1">Financial Times</a>:</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 04:25:24 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Does anyone remember a year ago when every pundit and media outlet predicted that Sovereign Wealth Funds were going to take over the world? The assets they controlled were growing so quickly due mostly to the commodity boom that it was starting to create hysteria in the United States. It's amazing how quickly the conventional wisdom can change.<br> <br> From the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2caa6fb8-7556-11de-9ed5-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1">Financial Times</a>:</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/150343-sovereign-wealth-funds-no-longer-scary?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>There Goes Chinese Energy Demand</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/146019-there-goes-chinese-energy-demand?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">146019</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<blockquote class="quote"><p>The International Energy Agency cut its oil demand estimates for every year through 2013 by about 3 million barrels a day, it said in its Medium- Term Oil Market Report today. Consumption will average 86.76 million barrels a day in 2012, the first year it will rise above 2008&rsquo;s level of 85.76 million barrels a day, according to the Paris-based agency.</p></blockquote> <p>Well so much for demand for Energy from China. This demand growth has always been hyped by Energy bulls, but as I and many others have stated previously, what really matters is demand growth from the the U.S. and other industrialized nations.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 13:16:16 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><blockquote class="quote"><p>The International Energy Agency cut its oil demand estimates for every year through 2013 by about 3 million barrels a day, it said in its Medium- Term Oil Market Report today. Consumption will average 86.76 million barrels a day in 2012, the first year it will rise above 2008&rsquo;s level of 85.76 million barrels a day, according to the Paris-based agency.</p></blockquote> <p>Well so much for demand for Energy from China. This demand growth has always been hyped by Energy bulls, but as I and many others have stated previously, what really matters is demand growth from the the U.S. and other industrialized nations.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/146019-there-goes-chinese-energy-demand?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Loans That Shouldn't Have Been Made: A Point Worth Repeating</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/142577-loans-that-shouldn-t-have-been-made-a-point-worth-repeating?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">142577</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><p>Another video from a lecture series called &quot;The Culture that Spawned the Crisis: A Closer Look&quot; held at The National Constitution Center in May 2009. The speaker is Peter Wallison, who worked in government during the Reagan Administration.<br><br>He argues that a push under the Clinton and Bush administrations to increase the homeownership rate was a worthy goal, but it was done by distorting the credit market by pressuring banks and the two Government Sponsored Entities to make loans that they should not have made.  This is not the first time that someone has made this point, but it does bear repeating.</p></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 04:41:15 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><div><p>Another video from a lecture series called &quot;The Culture that Spawned the Crisis: A Closer Look&quot; held at The National Constitution Center in May 2009. The speaker is Peter Wallison, who worked in government during the Reagan Administration.<br><br>He argues that a push under the Clinton and Bush administrations to increase the homeownership rate was a worthy goal, but it was done by distorting the credit market by pressuring banks and the two Government Sponsored Entities to make loans that they should not have made.  This is not the first time that someone has made this point, but it does bear repeating.</p></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/142577-loans-that-shouldn-t-have-been-made-a-point-worth-repeating?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Notes from White Mountains Insurance Analyst Day, Part II</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/140857-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-ii?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">140857</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>&lt;&lt;&lt;<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/140480-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-i">Go to Part I</a></p><p>Here are my notes from the White Mountains Insurance (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm' title='More opinion and analysis of WTM'>WTM</a>) Analyst Day held on May 20, 2009. These are for the introductory section, the financial highlights and a review of bad news in 2008. When I went back to the events section of the White Mountains Insurance web page, the webcast link was missing, so I don't know if I'll be able to review the rest of the meeting. I have e-mailed the company asking for the link but haven't heard back. If anyone has the link to the webcast, please send it to me.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 07:56:41 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>&lt;&lt;&lt;<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/140480-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-i">Go to Part I</a></p><p>Here are my notes from the White Mountains Insurance (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm' title='More opinion and analysis of WTM'>WTM</a>) Analyst Day held on May 20, 2009. These are for the introductory section, the financial highlights and a review of bad news in 2008. When I went back to the events section of the White Mountains Insurance web page, the webcast link was missing, so I don't know if I'll be able to review the rest of the meeting. I have e-mailed the company asking for the link but haven't heard back. If anyone has the link to the webcast, please send it to me.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/140857-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-ii?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm">WTM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Notes from White Mountains Insurance Analyst Day, Part I</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/140480-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-i?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">140480</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Here are my notes from the White Mountains Insurance (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm' title='More opinion and analysis of WTM'>WTM</a>) Analyst Day held on May 20, 2009. These are for the introductory section, the financial highlights and a review of bad news in 2008. When I went back to the events section of the White Mountains Insurance web page, the webcast link was missing, so I don't know if I'll be able to review the rest of the meeting. I have e-mailed the company asking for the link but haven't heard back. If anyone has the link to the webcast, please send it to me.<br><br><strong>Notes</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 31 May 2009 06:15:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Here are my notes from the White Mountains Insurance (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm' title='More opinion and analysis of WTM'>WTM</a>) Analyst Day held on May 20, 2009. These are for the introductory section, the financial highlights and a review of bad news in 2008. When I went back to the events section of the White Mountains Insurance web page, the webcast link was missing, so I don't know if I'll be able to review the rest of the meeting. I have e-mailed the company asking for the link but haven't heard back. If anyone has the link to the webcast, please send it to me.<br><br><strong>Notes</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/140480-notes-from-white-mountains-insurance-analyst-day-part-i?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wtm">WTM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ob">OB</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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    <item>
      <title>TXCO Resources Takes a Hit</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/132880-txco-resources-takes-a-hit?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">132880</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>TXCO Resources (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/txco' title='More opinion and analysis of TXCO'>TXCO</a>) looks like it may become the first casualty of the credit crunch in the exploration and production sector. <br><br>The company just received an <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/e/090422/txco8-k.html" >acceleration notice</a> from its lender demanding full repayment of the $150 million owed under the agreement, an amount the company does not have.  </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 03:13:48 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>TXCO Resources (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/txco' title='More opinion and analysis of TXCO'>TXCO</a>) looks like it may become the first casualty of the credit crunch in the exploration and production sector. <br><br>The company just received an <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/e/090422/txco8-k.html" >acceleration notice</a> from its lender demanding full repayment of the $150 million owed under the agreement, an amount the company does not have.  </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/132880-txco-resources-takes-a-hit?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/txco">TXCO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Poor Cues from the Market as to 'Good' or 'Bad' </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/131229-poor-cues-from-the-market-as-to-good-or-bad?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">131229</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s the bitter truth about the &ldquo;financial crisis.&rdquo; Things were never as bad as people thought, and now things are not as good as people think. Over the last six months, there was too much pessimism around what was going on, and now we are moving toward too much optimism. <br><br>Why is this happening? One reason is that too many investors and commentators take cues from the stock market and use that as a fundamental barometer for whether things are &ldquo;good&rdquo; or &ldquo;bad.&rdquo; This is reflected in media commentary by these pundits who go on TV and say something like this: </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2009 10:02:19 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Here&rsquo;s the bitter truth about the &ldquo;financial crisis.&rdquo; Things were never as bad as people thought, and now things are not as good as people think. Over the last six months, there was too much pessimism around what was going on, and now we are moving toward too much optimism. <br><br>Why is this happening? One reason is that too many investors and commentators take cues from the stock market and use that as a fundamental barometer for whether things are &ldquo;good&rdquo; or &ldquo;bad.&rdquo; This is reflected in media commentary by these pundits who go on TV and say something like this: </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/131229-poor-cues-from-the-market-as-to-good-or-bad?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Markel's CIO Gayner Talks Out on His Decision-Making Process</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/129291-markel-s-cio-gayner-talks-out-on-his-decision-making-process?source=feed</link>
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      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Thomas S. Gayner, the Chief Investment Officer of Markel (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mkl' title='More opinion and analysis of MKL'>MKL</a>), will be interviewed on the blog <a href="http://www.manualofideas.com/" >Manual of Ideas</a> on Monday, April 6th. Gayner manages the investment portfolio at Markel and has a strong long term track record of outperformance, and follows a value investing approach. <br><br>I wrote an <a href="http://community.investopedia.com/news/ia/2008/markel-posts-rare-drop-in-book-value-mkl1119.aspx" >article on Markel for Investopedia</a> back in late 2008.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 03 Apr 2009 04:07:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Thomas S. Gayner, the Chief Investment Officer of Markel (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mkl' title='More opinion and analysis of MKL'>MKL</a>), will be interviewed on the blog <a href="http://www.manualofideas.com/" >Manual of Ideas</a> on Monday, April 6th. Gayner manages the investment portfolio at Markel and has a strong long term track record of outperformance, and follows a value investing approach. <br><br>I wrote an <a href="http://community.investopedia.com/news/ia/2008/markel-posts-rare-drop-in-book-value-mkl1119.aspx" >article on Markel for Investopedia</a> back in late 2008.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/129291-markel-s-cio-gayner-talks-out-on-his-decision-making-process?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mkl">MKL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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    <item>
      <title>The Letter That Banks Would Love to Send the Government </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/122815-the-letter-that-banks-would-love-to-send-the-government?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">122815</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Banks have received billions of dollars from the government as part of the Capital Purchase Program &#40;CPP&#41; of the Troubled Asset Relief Plan &#40;TARP&#41; set up by the Bush Administration. Here is the letter they would love to send to Congress.<br><br>Dear Congress,</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2009 06:16:01 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>Banks have received billions of dollars from the government as part of the Capital Purchase Program &#40;CPP&#41; of the Troubled Asset Relief Plan &#40;TARP&#41; set up by the Bush Administration. Here is the letter they would love to send to Congress.<br><br>Dear Congress,</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/122815-the-letter-that-banks-would-love-to-send-the-government?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Two Causes of the Media's Cognitive Distortions of the Market</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/122488-two-causes-of-the-media-s-cognitive-distortions-of-the-market?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">122488</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I was listening to CNBC, and they just reported that the sky is falling. Oh my God!! Look out below.<br><br>The Financial Media is deepening and prolonging the recession by engaging in a series of what a professional would call cognitive distortions. The first of these is called Catastrophizing. This is defined as believing that a situation is much worse than it really is. Here's an example of Catastrophizing. A large bank reports a huge loss due to aמ unrealized loss in its securities portfolio, and deteriorating loan asset quality leading to higher charge offs and loan loss reserves. Then a talking head, or one of the anchors on CNBC, says something like this:</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 04:02:08 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>I was listening to CNBC, and they just reported that the sky is falling. Oh my God!! Look out below.<br><br>The Financial Media is deepening and prolonging the recession by engaging in a series of what a professional would call cognitive distortions. The first of these is called Catastrophizing. This is defined as believing that a situation is much worse than it really is. Here's an example of Catastrophizing. A large bank reports a huge loss due to aמ unrealized loss in its securities portfolio, and deteriorating loan asset quality leading to higher charge offs and loan loss reserves. Then a talking head, or one of the anchors on CNBC, says something like this:</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/122488-two-causes-of-the-media-s-cognitive-distortions-of-the-market?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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    <item>
      <title>A Little Good News Lost in the Doom and Gloom</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/122184-a-little-good-news-lost-in-the-doom-and-gloom?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">122184</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The sentiment is obviously terrible out there for the market and the economy, so it is important to highlight some data that didn't get that much play because most pundits are too busy predicting when the sky will fall and whom it will fall on.<br><br>The Conference Board reported that its Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose 0.4% in January. This is the second month in a row that it increased. Five of the ten components in the index were up.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 03:00:49 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>The sentiment is obviously terrible out there for the market and the economy, so it is important to highlight some data that didn't get that much play because most pundits are too busy predicting when the sky will fall and whom it will fall on.<br><br>The Conference Board reported that its Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose 0.4% in January. This is the second month in a row that it increased. Five of the ten components in the index were up.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/122184-a-little-good-news-lost-in-the-doom-and-gloom?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The White House vs. Rick Santelli</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/121857-the-white-house-vs-rick-santelli?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">121857</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The Rick Santelli &quot;Rant of the Year&quot; is now legendary in the investment blog world so I won't waste any time discussing it. The clip is below:<br><br><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/bEZB4taSEoA&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;rel=0"><param name="quality" value="autohigh"><param name="play" value="false"><param name="loop" value="false"><param name="menu" value="false"><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="never"><param name="wmode" value="transparent"><param name="flashvars" value="(null)"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/bEZB4taSEoA&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" flashvars="(null)" width="425" height="344"></embed> </object></param></param></param></param></param></param></param></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2009 04:14:43 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>The Rick Santelli &quot;Rant of the Year&quot; is now legendary in the investment blog world so I won't waste any time discussing it. The clip is below:<br><br><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/bEZB4taSEoA&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;rel=0"><param name="quality" value="autohigh"><param name="play" value="false"><param name="loop" value="false"><param name="menu" value="false"><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="never"><param name="wmode" value="transparent"><param name="flashvars" value="(null)"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/bEZB4taSEoA&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" flashvars="(null)" width="425" height="344"></embed> </object></param></param></param></param></param></param></param></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/121857-the-white-house-vs-rick-santelli?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is Insurance a Good Buy Now?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/117658-is-insurance-a-good-buy-now?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">117658</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I just came across a survey from the Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers that gives confirming evidence that the soft market in insurance may be over. <br><br>The survey concludes that &quot;Commercial property/casualty market premiums showed definite signs of leveling off in the fourth quarter of 2008 across small, medium and large accounts and for most major lines of commercial business.&quot;</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 09:10:06 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Eric Fox</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href='http://marketprognosticator.blogspot.com/'>Eric Fox</a> submits:</strong><p>I just came across a survey from the Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers that gives confirming evidence that the soft market in insurance may be over. <br><br>The survey concludes that &quot;Commercial property/casualty market premiums showed definite signs of leveling off in the fourth quarter of 2008 across small, medium and large accounts and for most major lines of commercial business.&quot;</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/117658-is-insurance-a-good-buy-now?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/eric-fox">Eric Fox</category>
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