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As an investor, I look for companies with excellent long term economics and capable, honest management that can reinvest earnings at an attractive rate.
My view is that it is best for to find companies that can compound earnings internally at a market beating rate rather than relying purely on the arbitrage profit gained from buying assets at a discount from their intrinsic value. I hold this view for two reasons:
1. The market has become more efficient as more value investors rise having gained exposure to Benjamin Graham's teachings either directly or indirectly though knowledge transmission in the industry. Therefore there are fewer severely mispriced securities.
2. The approach of finding excellent companies allows the investor to park his money within the stock for longer, as the company will increase by value autonomously through the virtue of the company increasing its business value year over year. This prolonged holding period has a multitude of benefits such as: (A) reduced transaction costs as fewer trades are needed for the portfolio, (B) An interest free loan from the government, as capital gains tax will only be paid when the security is sold and gains are realized (For a more detailed discussion see section "Taxes" in http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1989.html), (C) the ability to follow fewer securities and expend more resources researching and understanding each better, as fewer investment decisions will be needed to be made over any time period. This leads to investing in the investor's best ideas.
As I believe the goal of compounding capital at an attractive rate primarily falls on the management of companies held in the portfolio, my view of my job as an investor is focused on these roles:
I. Identification and Diligence: The first and foremost job of the investor is identifying attractive companies with excellent long term economics and capable management, and then doing the full diligence to understand the economics of the company and address any potential red flags that comes up during the investor's research.
II. Price monitoring: Even a great company is not a good investment at certain prices. Therefore the investor must monitor the price to buy at a fair or preferably a discounted price. Also, if a security begins to have a market value far beyond the business value of the company, the investor should sell his holdings to return capital to reinvest in more reasonably priced excellent companies.
III. Business monitoring: Not only does the market price of the business need to be monitored, so does the business value of the investment. If the economics or situation changes at the company, the investor must know and continuously reevaluate the investment thesis.
IV. Portfolio Diversification: the investor as a capital allocator has the job of eliminating individual industry risk of the portfolio. Each portfolio company's management can focus on providing excess returns within their industry. The investor must also look at it from a higher level and diversify away from industry risks by holding a portfolio of non-correlated securities operating in different segments of the market.
Adam Xiao graduated with a degree in Operations Research and Management Science from UC Berkeley. He currently works as an Equity Research Associate at a major Investment Fund.
Mom of twin toddlers and 4yr old. Been trading AIG and CHGY. Out of both currently. But think I'd like to get into CHGY before the next earnings. Watching ASTC,SOKF,FMBI (if they ever take a nice drop),BBI (Well, miracles happen. Maybe their not as dumb as they look ?)
I tend to lean more toward momentum and OBV as a minute by minute / daily guide. And MACD for weekly. Stochastics can be helpful but not so much on really volitile, lower volume stocks which Im starting to take a closer look at.
Small-Cap PM and Analyst. I love to be first at bat, hitting the micro/small cap stock home-runs. I'm a portfolio builder and stock picker w/o the fluff, one who likes to avoid the crowds and the stock of the day. I'm not a stock collector (market dynamics have changed, love affairs with stocks are so yesterday)--today, a buy and hold strategy must come with an expiration date. I'm forever a thematic player; I carve out positions with an eye on tomorrow's horizon--what technology or medical break-through is going to define a sector over time. The merits of my investment selection is proven worthy only if other investors (horses) eventually follow my lead and find my watering hole.
Mihai Radu, MBA, MSc, CSC
Capital markets professional - 20 years of experience in Eastern Europe and North American markets; being lucky to be trained very early in my career by Merrill Lynch.
- Investment Manager of pension funds, private debt funds and hedge fund.
- Research/Investment analyst
- Equities trader
- Forex trader
- Commodities trader
I am a strong believer in long term cycles and I tend to be a Contrarian/Value type of Investor. My investment horizons, usually range from 3 to 6 months, but there are exceptions of as little as 1 month or as long as a year. The usual investment vehicles that I use are stocks, bonds, ETFs, currencies, REITs, both LONG and SHORT.
Some of my customers include: Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, RBC, BNY, BMO, ABN Amro, Merrill Lynch and ING.
Average Annualized Return: 15.99% over the last 18 years (CAD).
invited as a guest speaker at several investment conferences.