I'm an individual investor heavily influenced by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. Munger's 1994 USC Business School Speech is something I think about a lot: ### Over the long term, it's hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you're not going to make much different than a 6% return—even if you originally buy it at a huge discount. Conversely, if a business earns 18% on capital over 20 or 30 years, even if you pay an expensive looking price, you'll end up with a fine result. ... Another very simple effect I very seldom see discussed either by investment managers or anybody else is the effect of taxes. If you're going to buy something which compounds for 30 years at 15% per annum and you pay one 35% tax at the very end, the way that works out is that after taxes, you keep 13.3% per annum. In contrast, if you bought the same investment, but had to pay taxes every year of 35% out of the 15% that you earned, then your return would be 15% minus 35% of 15%—or only 9.75% per year compounded. So the difference there is over 3.5%. And what 3.5% does to the numbers over long holding periods like 30 years is truly eye-opening. If you sit back for long, long stretches in great companies, you can get a huge edge from nothing but the way that income taxes work. ### Feel free to follow me on Google Plus: https://plus.google.com/115463998897129479026/posts
Dutch investor using a fundamental total return approach using a long time horizon and financial metrics to measure performance. Most interested in value opportunities and growth at a reasonable price.
Currently following two masters in Finance and Accounting.
Have spent over 40 years in the O&G industry with special interest in technology application for improved business performance. Academic background: geology & geophysics. Professional background: seismic technology application, operations & management. Currently: external director on the board of a leading seismic acquisition company.
Combining financial and industry expertise with advanced technology, Enlight offers a simple and seamless way for investors to view, customize and evaluate independent company performance, risk and industry information. Using Enlight’s real-time monitoring platform you can quickly and easily conduct peer comparisons as seen in our recent articles.
PetroNerds, LLC is a boutique energy analytics and advising firm. It provides a variety of products and services to help its clients better evaluate the performance and assets of US tight oil producers, better understand midstream and downstream markets, and provide domestic and global policy context.
PetroNerds was founded in 2015 by Ben Montalbano, former Director of Research and Operations of the Energy Policy Research Foundation, Inc. (EPRINC), and Trisha Curtis, EPRINC’s current Director of Research – Upstream and Midstream.
The PetroNerds staff has a published track record of analyzing both global energy markets and policy, enabling it to make sense of today’s US-centric developments for its clients around the globe and provide the context they need to make decisions. In addition to publishing reports in respected industry publications such as Oil & Gas Journal and World Oil, the staff has led research projects with the Department of Defense and the Department of Energy. PetroNerds has also worked closely with upstream and midstream companies to provide market guidance and analysis in support of their operations and investment activities.
About Ben Montalbano: Before founding PetroNerds, Ben was Director of Research and Operations at the Energy Policy Research Foundation (EPRINC). His research at the foundation covered world energy markets and policy developments with a focus on oil, natural gas and biofuels. His work has been published in industry journals such as World Oil and the Oil & Gas Journal and has appeared in Platts, Bloomberg, Politico, the Washington Post and the Financial Times. He led EPRINC’s contract research projects with the United States’ Department of Defense and Department of Energy and also contributed to the National Petroleum Council’s Future Transportation Fuels study.
Ben developed and published ‘RINs Around the Rosy’, an interactive model of the renewable fuels standard and gasoline market, for iPhones and iPad on iOS. He has presented before several international energy venues, including CSIS, the Clingendael Institute and CWC Kurdistan-Iraq Oil and Gas in Erbil, Kurdistan, Iraq. Ben previously worked for Raymond James and software company Liquid Scenarios. He is a Russian speaker and graduate of the University of Colorado Boulder where he studied economics and Russian.
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
The author has worked in the transportation profession for over eight years of which the previous three have been strictly focused on goods movement and freight. Transports, by James Sands includes extensive research and analysis of publicly traded companies in the U.S. This includes direct comparative peer review among multiple transport industries, and macro and industry key performance indicators, KPIs.
The author has successfully managed a self-developed equity-based portfolio of U.S. public companies prior to the development of Transports, by James Sands. This included an average return of 13% per year over the previous three years for the portfolio, as well as numerous detailed articles covering multiple sectors and industries. Transports by James Sands includes two current portfolios under management.
Transports, by James Sands will provide investors with access to exclusive research and data analysis stemming from the tools generated to evaluate public freight companies. The ultimate goal is to define investment options and recommendations for a wide variety of investors. All subscribers of Seeking Alpha are encouraged to review the Marketplace offering by James Sands for additional information. Feel free to contact the author with any inquiries through the Seeking Alpha message platform.
DISCLAIMER: It should be noted that while the author is providing stock analysis and recommendations based on this analysis, any information disseminated by articles, stock talks, messages, or public chats represent the opinions of the author. The author is not an investment professional, and as such, all readers and subscribers should perform their independent due diligence and/or consult with an investment professional prior to making investment decisions.
Elephant Analytics has an Bachelor of Business Administration degree with a concentration in marketing and finance, and 13 years of experience as an analyst. Elephant Analytics originally focused on marketing and sales analysis due to geographical and lifestyle considerations, but rekindled his interest in finance and investing several years ago and became a contributor to Seeking Alpha in 2013. He has a particular interest in attempting to understand distressed companies and distressed industries.
Elephant Analytics has unique skills in the areas of numerical analysis and applied mathematics. Elephant Analytics achieved a top 50 score on the Bloomberg Aptitude Test (out of nearly 200,000 test takers) which measures financial aptitude. Elephant Analytics also has achieved a score (153) in the 99.98th percentile on the WAIS-III IQ test and has also been involved in multiple teams that have won awards during business and strategy competitions involving numerical analysis. In one such competition, he captained his team to become North American champions, ahead of MBA and undergraduate teams from universities such as Harvard, Yale and Northwestern.
Legal Disclaimer: Elephant Analytics' reports, premium research service and other writings are personal opinions only and should not be considered as investment advice. Only registered investment advisors can provide personalized investment advice. While Elephant Analytics attempts to provide reports that include accurate facts, investors should do their own diligence and fact checking prior to making their own decisions.
Mark D. Hines founded Blue Harbinger Research to help investors identify exceptional investment opportunities while avoiding the high costs and conflicts of interest that are prevalent throughout the industry. Additional free reports and a premium research service are available at BlueHarbinger.com. Mr. Hines is also an Investment Advisor at Left Brain Capital Management. If you are ever in the Naperville, IL, USA area, Mark is happy to meet you at a local coffeehouse to talk about investments. Please feel free to get in touch.
Having always been a learning machine, I speak five languages, have worked as a sales agent, project manager, translator, computer consultant, software engineer, built a house with my own hands, published books and essays on literature, philosophy and art, have written for magazines of various kinds in different countries.
After retiring early in 2004, little by little, I have become a fund manager for some friends and myself, following the principles of value investing laid out by Benjamin Graham, Phil Fisher, Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett. You can read about my thoughts on a suitable portfolio structure for early retirees here.
My articles should not be considered to be any kind of investment advice. What suits me well is not necessarily good for others, as successful investing is somewhat like a marriage: If only one is perfect, the marriage won’t work. So please do your own research and remember Benjamin Graham's advice: “The investor’s chief problem — and even his worst enemy — is likely to be himself.”
I run a very concentrated portfolio with 10-15 positions and invest for the long term. As of 12/2016, my largest position is Theravance Biopharma (TBPH), a company I had intensively and extensively researched long before any sell-side analyst noticed the stock. You can find my early work on TBPH on this site and my comprehensive in-depth research reports on all important pipeline assets here. I correctly predicted the evolution of the new GOLD guidelines for COPD, the sales trajectory of Vibativ and GSK's new Ellipta product range. My reports have been far ahead (in terms of depth, scope and reliability) of all sell-side work on TBPH. That said, I obviously make mistakes as well, although I've yet to make one that costs me serious money.
Other long-time favorites of mine are DaVita (DVA), IBM and a few European small caps which I have also partly covered on Seeking Alpha, e.g. Admiral (AMIGF), Fuchs Petrolub (FUPEF).
I started trading on a permanent scale five years ago. My goal is to create a stable portfolio over a period of time, whichs generates good stock- and dividend returns. I have a fundamentel approach towards investments decisions. Further, I have a broad experience in tax- and legal advisory (e.g. music rights, corporate income tax, value added tax and salary tax), auditing of financial statements, business consultancy, administrative services and assembling financial statements. My experience covers a wide variety of clients and companies with specific knowledge of the music and related busines.
Twitter: @IbexInvestor; (https://twitter.com/IbexInvestor)
Value investing partnership/hedge fund with a focus on value investing and special situations. The portfolio is very focused, and I typically hold between 20-25 individual long positions in common stocks.
I received my MBA in analytic finance and economics from the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business in March of 2013, where I learned a significant amount about investing. Over the course of my life I've learned immeasurably more from a class that occurs one Saturday every year in Omaha, Nebraska. The class is virtually free of charge, and taught by two elderly men named Warren and Charlie. They teach me more about investing, business and life in 8 hours every year than a lifetime of MBA classes could, and I'm eternally grateful to them. I am also a licensed certified public accountant (CPA) in the state of Illinois.
Stephen Simpson, CFA, is a freelance financial writer and investor.
I have worked for both sell-side and buy-side firms (equities and fixed income), with the largest percentage of my working time spent in med-tech. At this point I am now effectively in a "working retirement".
I write because I find that the process helps me take better notes, be more disciplined about modeling, and come up with a more coherent investment view for my portfolio management needs. If I'm writing about a stock, it's generally because I'm interested in it as an investment prospect or I think there's an interesting story to tell.
I don't share my models, so please don't ask.
More of my writings can be found at my blog Kratisto Investing (kratistoinvesting.blogspot.com), or Twitter (@Kratisto_Invest).
Recent high-school graduate based in Singapore looking to break into the buy/sell-side. Grateful for opportunities to interview locally.
Disclaimer: The author's reports contain factual statements and opinions. He derives factual statements from sources which he believes are accurate, but neither they nor the author represent that the facts presented are accurate or complete. Opinions are those of the the author and are subject to change without notice. His reports are for informational purposes only and do not offer securities or solicit the offer of securities of any company. Mr. Goh ("Lester") accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss or damage arising from any use of his reports or their content. Lester advises readers to conduct their own due diligence before investing in any companies covered by him. He does not know of each individual's investment objectives, risk appetite, and time horizon. His reports do not constitute as investment advice and are meant for general public consumption. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
Oligopoly Investor is a private and public-equity value investor in durable monopolies, oligopolies and/or industry leaders with a differentiated business model or technology. Oligopoly Investor also looks for the above businesses in defensive, stable and/or secular growth industries and preferably with multiple opportunities to win (e.g. expense cutting initiatives).
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. He currently works for an asset management company BH Securities. Ideas and information expressed in his articles on SeekingAlpha are his own and don't represent an official BH Securities opinion. Martin is not an investment advisor. Information published in his articles and comments should not be viewed as investment advice or endorsement to invest in the financial instruments mentioned. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued stocks with upcoming catalysts and a favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
I have been following the markets since I was in my teens and invest as both an academic exercise and to increase my net worth. While I am not confined to one type of investing, I tend to invest primarily in special situations, strong companies with pricing power, and owner-operators. I also invest for the long-term and do not trade in and out of securities.
I am a part-time investor working towards becoming a full-time one. I have been interested in the markets since school but remained unconvinced by any investment approach until I found Ben Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor”, which was unfortunately not until my late twenties. I have been investing for five years and I am primarily focused on long equities, using Buffett’s “owner earnings” theory as the principle method of assessing intrinsic value. However, I am not averse to traditional value plays based on discount to tangible book when the opportunity arises. I hold an MBA with distinction from the University of Birmingham.
Michael Hooper is a freelance writer and value investor. Hooper was previously business editor of The Topeka Capital-Journal for nearly 10 years, then worked four years as a trust officer. He has been a stock market investor since 1993.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Investing has been my hobby for many years. I am an engineer in Silicon Valley.
I am not an investment adviser. None of my writings should be interpreted as investment advice. Please get an investment adviser and do your own due diligence before investing.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
Follow me on Twitter: @NewConstructs
David is CEO of New Constructs (www.newconstructs.com), an independent research firm that leverages proprietary technology to find key insights from the Financial Footnotes of 10Ks and 10Qs. Having analyzed over 70,000 annual reports and their Financial Footnotes, New Constructs helps protect clients from the red flags/unknowns in SEC filings.
David is a distinguished investment strategist and corporate finance expert. He is a member of FASB's Investors Advisory Committee, and he is author of the Chapter “Modern Tools for Valuation” in The Valuation Handbook (Wiley Finance 2010).
David's insights into the markets and his stock picks have been popular with a wide variety of media outlets.