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In Latin America, "it pays to buy the correction," JPMorgan Chase says, foreseeing a 12-month return of up to 27% in regional stocks led by raw materials and homebuilders. Stocks including Petrobras (PBR), Gafisa (GFA) and PDG Realty (PDGRY.PK) have been "clobbered," falling up to 21%. [View news story]
Legal experts are tossing around the possibility that Wall Street banks may seek a global settlement akin to the 2002 agreement related to stock research, NYT says. In the 2002 settlement, 10 banks paid $1.4B and pledged to change their practices to avoid conflicts of interest. This time, the price likely would be higher. [View news story]
The Weakest Post-Recession Recovery on Record (in graphs) [View instapost]
Private equity is beginning to emerge as a real Street sector, and Brett Arends has five good reasons you shouldn't put your money with the firms. And half the U.S. nonfinancials that defaulted last year were backed by P-E, leading Ryan Chittum to wonder whether P-E is choking the economy by loading companies up with debt. [View news story]
China is building currency reserves in the most distortionary exchange-rate policy ever followed, and Treasury is legally required to name currency manipulators, Paul Krugman says - so it's time for the U.S. to call out China for its damaging renminbi policy: They're the ones over a barrel, not America. [View news story]
The Big Energy Trade: The WidowMaker [View article]
High Conviction: Short the Yen [View article]
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Focus on Chile and Copper ETFs Following Earthquake [View article]
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Bloomberg: Deflation Risks Persist [View article]
Bloomberg: Deflation Risks Persist [View article]
U.S. Economy: Q4 GDP Numbers Unearthed [View article]
People's Bank of China Currency Reserves: Biggest Bubble of All Time? [View article]
Japanese Finance Minister Kan tells his G-7 counterparts that China's economy is showing signs of a bubble. No word on whether the yuan was discussed, but it may not matter much; as the G-20 overtakes its smaller brother, G-7 influence on China is eroding. [View news story]
The Baltic Dry Index continues to drop, though given recent months' shipping volatility, it could turn up any day now. [View news story]
With BRICs, and PIIGS, and other acronyms trying to index countries with growth potential, Zero Hedge goes the bearish direction and gathers countries waiting for the (inevitable?) sovereign debt implosion: the STUPIDs (Spain, Turkey, U.K., Portugal, Italy, Dubai). [View news story]