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  • Incredible Silver ETF Pairs Trade - If You Can Find the Shares to Short [View article]
    Premium had dropped to 21% as of Thursday; down to 19% on Friday. Not to say "I told you so", but...well, thought worth highlighting...

    That's now a 5% gain in 2 days on a $0 net investment (OK, 20 bucks on commissions).

    Not too shabby!
    Mar 25 10:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Incredible Silver ETF Pairs Trade - If You Can Find the Shares to Short [View article]
    You share no facts to support your assertion. Look at the history of PHYS and GLD and the history of premiums on PSLV. How would one get killed, you expect the premium to skyrocket to 50%? Sure I'll keep holding my breath...
    Mar 25 08:46 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Incredible Silver ETF Pairs Trade - If You Can Find the Shares to Short [View article]
    Premium already down to 21%, so 3% in the bag in a single day - if you found the shares!
    Mar 24 03:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Incredible Silver ETF Pairs Trade - If You Can Find the Shares to Short [View article]
    Sure, GLD too. Even though Soros and the world's largest hedge fund managers are major holders. These ETFs have been around for years and will continue to be the proxy for gold and silver. Your fears are what are driving this irrational premium. So I'd be glad to profit from it :>
    Mar 24 03:52 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Profit from First Day of Month Gains in the Markets [View article]
    Did he mention leverage and that a 2 day strategy actually outperforms day 1 alone?
    Feb 4 08:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Profit from First Day of Month Gains in the Markets [View article]
    This has worked for 10 years. It's still working.

    The reason many people poo-poo it is becau using a 1X ETF like SPY delivers marginal returns due to commissions. I've laid out leverage and my results - speak for themselves.
    Feb 4 08:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Profit from First Day of Month Gains in the Markets [View article]
    Anecdotally, I always hear of trading unloading into a weekend, but never looked at it. Something I may consider if I ever get the time!
    Feb 3 12:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Profit from First Day of Month Gains in the Markets [View article]
    It would be a fair amount of manual effort to dig out, but I suspect there'd be no statistically significant difference observed. Kind of like flipping a coin. Even if you had 5 heads in a row, the odds of getting heads on the 6th flip are still 50/50. In this case, what I found was that there's no clear # of ups or downs in a row month over month - it's totally random. Hence, best to keep a steady bankroll per month, employ the same strategy to remove additional random variation.
    Feb 3 09:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Profit from First Day of Month Gains in the Markets [View article]
    Yes, this was based on SPY daily prices over 10 years.
    Feb 3 09:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • With Yields This Low, Is Shorting Treasuries the Trade of the Century? [View article]
    I might have been a few days early...but bonds are crashing. The game is over; I don't see how yields can get back to where they were in October.
    Dec 13 01:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Muni Bond Market Imploding: How to Play It? [View article]
    NQI has now dropped below that level, down over 6% in the past 5 trading sessions alone, while S&P500 is up. The decline is en route.
    Dec 13 12:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Muni Bond Market Imploding: How to Play It? [View article]
    New York Times article on new crisis - Municipal Debt.

    www.nytimes.com/2010/1...
    Dec 5 07:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Reasons You Need More Emerging Markets Exposure, And How to Play It [View article]
    Yup, did a Frontier Markets review here. Now, that's some Beta!

    www.etfbase.com/fronti...
    Dec 3 09:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Reasons You Need More Emerging Markets Exposure, And How to Play It [View article]
    Sure, all global equities show some correlation, especially in recent years. But Emerging Markets offer Beta with some Alpha to boot. There are periods of flat US performance while EM outperforms. I just don't see US at 8-10% per year for decades to come when we're looking at perhaps 2% GDP growth while we deleverage. Emerging Markets have surprisingly strong balance sheets and debt loads.
    Dec 3 09:08 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Short Gold - If You Dare [View article]
    You're right; thanks for pointing out; I must have carried through my thought from the prior bullet. This is a conventional put. Thanks
    Nov 27 09:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
211 Comments
57 Likes