Seeking Alpha

Fear & Greed Trader  

View Fear & Greed Trader's Comments BY TICKER:
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Thomas,
    Thanks for the reply , while it may seem I trade more that really isn't the case.

    I can agree with the sectors u mentioned , and believe there are some hidden gems still there.

    Good Luck !
    Aug 14, 2013. 09:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Thomas

    I recommended AAPL @ 390 , while not a double i'm quite happy with the gain so far.

    http://seekingalpha.co...

    I laid out plenty of fundamentals to support my case, both then & now, i dont predict "doubles" & i dont "Hope" and depend on heavy breathing to grow wealth.

    oh wait a minute i did buy AAPL @ 80 and sold @ 340 , does that count ?? did i predict that ? , of course not-- it would be absurd for me to claim that , it happened , each story unfolds in a different manner & is dynamic in nature.

    So u gave some examples of PAST "doubles", what is on the horizon now.?

    I dont intend to make this a P-----g contest, but i believe claiming that u only are interested in one of us making a case for a stock to 'double" from its current level whether it be AAPL or otherwise is frankly absurd.

    Enjoy !
    Aug 14, 2013. 08:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Thomas , I can write another 2 paragraphs here,, instead let me simply ask u to share with the community, all of your recent selections that have shown or are on their way to a "double" ...

    Your move sir .. Enlighten us all..

    :)
    Aug 14, 2013. 05:15 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    The technical story is playing out , but its more than technical , plenty of "fundamentals" went into my $390 buy recommendation.

    http://seekingalpha.co...

    Break of 220 day MA resistance &now 484 level" taken out " , the shorts are being carried out in boxes
    Aug 13, 2013. 03:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Thomas ,

    please review my earlier comments , there are plenty of fundamental reasons to be long here . or initiate on any dips..

    Best of luck
    Aug 12, 2013. 03:18 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Thomas,
    thanks for the opinion, however i don't see a problem with jumping , as we'll land on the bodies of the "Shortsellers" that are presently being carried out as we speak,,and will continue to be brought out 'feet first"
    Aug 12, 2013. 12:12 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Man,

    the contradiction to your technical picture,,,

    Classic double bottom Apr 12 & June 28th.. around 390 (point of my last purchase ) http://seekingalpha.co... & has since rallied..

    Stock was rejected at its descending 200 day MA( expected) Plenty of overhead resistance as there are still folks looking to get out on rallies.. , .(AAPL) may now rise in tandem with the 20day MA and will either overtake the 200 Day and spike to 500 level, or fall back to what i believe may be a trading range for a while , in either case my opinion is that we have seen the lows..(390) A drop to 415-425 would present a buying opportunity .
    Aug 11, 2013. 11:14 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Perhaps a different perspective :
    I see ‘13 FY estimates of 39 - 39.50 , and in fact i see lower ‘14 estimates rolling in at 44.5 to 46. Those lowered estimates DO NOT include any new product categories and were lowered by research firms entirely due to LOWER iPad assumptions. The continued negative sentiment is baked into these estimates..

    Essentially, at 4.4x EV/EBITDA and 9.6% FCF yield, trends at AAPL would have to erode meaningfully from current levels for the shares not to at the very least perform with the market. A 12 multiple with $45 in earnings - yields a stock price of 540. Of course the negative sentiment says they in fact will erode , i’m not in that camp..

    This is a transition story that is playing out.. One has to lose the growth and expanding margin "story".. The scenario outlined above does not suggest the "wheels" are all falling off.

    In my view i give them & T Cook the ‘time” to ‘get it right” when the product refreshes come to market. Most wanted it yesterday , hence the negative slant on the share price. How would the market & shareholders react to a botched rollout.. ? Company is not exactly "bleeding" here, hence IMHO , they have earned the "time" to do it right.

    Technically the stock will now surely run into resistance at 465-470 as it was recently turned back from its 200 day MA. Looking at the long term chart picture , there is a nice double bottom pattern around 390 which held nicely , (point of my last addition to position) we may be caught in a trading range here for a while, but I"m comfortable watching the story play out.. of course the folks that are in at 600-700 have another view..
    Aug 11, 2013. 10:57 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    By the time u "see it" , the stock will be back to the 550-600 level..
    Aug 10, 2013. 10:58 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    The "story" may well be resuming shortly .. patience will pay off (not referencing the folks that bought @ 700)

    With the a FCF %yield at 10 and a div yield of 3% its hardly time to sell AAPL..
    Not to mention the improved chart technicals

    Long AAPL , added @ 390, when the last round of negativity swirled around
    Aug 9, 2013. 06:32 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I'm Taking A Bite Out Of Apple With Its Juicy Dividend, Growth And Value [View article]
    Abba ,
    Agree with your comments,

    My comments made on another blog here on SA , Last week was a perfect "set-up to add (AAPL) as the fund managers sold as part of their "june window dressing"

    http://seekingalpha.co...

    Long AAPL
    Jul 4, 2013. 04:16 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Waiting Is The Hardest Part [View article]
    dints,

    These data points are what give traders orgasms. For investors this is just "noise"...

    Long AAPL
    May 28, 2013. 02:55 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Waiting Is The Hardest Part [View article]
    Your article captures the transformation of AAPL from the "rabbit" (where everyone wants it yesterday) to the tortoise (slow & steady).

    Slow & steady has won its share of races over time , once that philosophy has taken hold , this tortoise just might make you a winner.
    May 28, 2013. 12:24 PM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Would It Take In Units And Margins To Have Apple Trade At $240 [View article]
    As anticipated no reply from Mr. Manners on his position
    May 25, 2013. 06:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Would It Take In Units And Margins To Have Apple Trade At $240 [View article]
    @Dan,
    "I see Apple trading to 200 like Bethany McClean predicted. She is brilliant and predicted the Enron mess."

    With that bold statement I guess u r short AAPL like Trainer ?
    After all, that would be a 50% gain from current levels
    Or perhaps just another "talking head" .


    Long AAPL
    May 24, 2013. 10:30 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
More on AAPL by Fear & Greed Trader
COMMENTS STATS
6,271 Comments
4,636 Likes