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  • What's Next For Seadrill Ltd? [View article]
    Thank you, Tony Naples, for putting my thoughts exactly into words.
    Dec 8, 2014. 06:03 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Next For Seadrill Ltd? [View article]
    If you look at their SEC filings, the risks of not being able to refinance debt are unfounded and make no sense given the companies strong back log, decent cash position, and dividend suspension. Banks will be lining up to help SDRL refinance/rollover debt. "Fleet management" is a potential problem, but I think that the shipyards in question will be amenable to holding off shipment and enforcing payments for 6-12 months if the market ends up being as soft as everyone thinks it will be. One thing to remember is that no one has a crystal ball, but the data suggests that oil will bounce back within the next 6-24 months. When that happens, SDRL will be in an even stronger position than it was a year ago and will be trading in the high 30s.
    Dec 8, 2014. 03:20 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill: Things Are Not Looking Pretty [View article]
    Good point. I would think 1-2 years of depressed prices would have some effect, but probably not a monumental one. World population is growing at fast pace, more and more people across the globe are obtaining the means to buy cars and other products made with/that depend on oil.
    Nov 5, 2014. 10:04 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill: Things Are Not Looking Pretty [View article]
    Is it just me, or are the vast majority of articles coming out on SDRL lacking in any meaningful analysis? This article probably took 15 minutes to write...

    Solar usage will reduce the need for oil!? What are you talking about? Heating oil is rarely ever used to generate electricity, which is what solar panels are currently used for. Where is the Quality Control SA?
    Nov 5, 2014. 10:01 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peak What? Hubbert Was Wrong [View article]
    Any water stocks that you are invested in NN? I would think it would be hard to invest in water through the stock market since water is generally a public resource.
    Oct 29, 2014. 02:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama appoints Ebola czar [View news story]
    The post isn't the issue, and, at first glance, I do agree with the sentiment of your post. However, posts like this,

    "No one knows for sure the lawyer will do in the post since he knows next to nothing about Ebola, the scientific basis for the spread of highly contagious diseases and infection control protocols and procedures. He probably looks good on television, though."

    are childish and immature. Plus, you have no basis to make that statement. Do you know exactly what he will be doing? It looks like he will be a liason between the different government agencies involved with containing Ebola. It seems like more of an admin/management job than anything.

    It would have been more credible to cite sources from people who actually know about the situation, rather than just spouting off personal views on the matter.
    Oct 17, 2014. 01:58 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama appoints Ebola czar [View news story]
    Can we tone down the obviously political posts, SA? How about just report the news, and leave the "witty" comments in your brain.
    Oct 17, 2014. 01:41 PM | 23 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problem With Beta For Risk Measurement [View article]
    Tom,

    At its core Beta is just the slope of the price movement between two securities. Get price action from Yahoo Finance for SPY versus an equity over certain time periods, dump it into Excel and do the calculation yourself.

    Trust me, it will help you understand it a lot more. Beta isn't the best indicator of risk anyway. I would look at the standard deviation of price action instead. That is a true indicator of volatility/risk.
    Oct 17, 2014. 11:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problem With Beta For Risk Measurement [View article]
    Tom,

    Beta can be calculated using different time frames. The time frame depends on the person calculating Beta. I think that, generally, Beta is usually calculated based on 10 years of data on yahoo finance etc. ... Someone please correct me if that is off. For my own models, I calculate Beta using the timeframe that I plan on holding a stock. There is a lot of subjectivity to this calculation. Good luck.
    Oct 10, 2014. 02:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Offshore Drilling Outlook: October 2014 [View article]
    Why are you so concerned with depreciation? If you are worried about the fleet age, there are disclosures within the financial statements that will show you.
    Oct 3, 2014. 01:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This Portfolio Has 50% Upside And Will Outperform The Markets Again In 2014-2015 [View article]
    Spoiled Brat seems like his namesake. Stop calling everyone out. Your profile reads like a very bad sales pitch. Anyone who actually calls you based on that deserves to lose all of their money.
    Jul 20, 2014. 07:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividends Don't Matter In Retirement Either [View article]
    Dividend growth investing is for lazy people who want to take the "Stress" out of investing. Growth beats dividends every time. I love seeing all of these negative comments on here; it really goes to show how irrational humans can be. Bottom line, do what you are most comfortable with. I manage my mother in laws IRA account and it is mainly based on dividends but I also monitor price movements and buy/sell stocks based of technicals and fundamentals. Maybe retirees would be better suited to this style since it will tax their mental capacity and keep them from falling into mental stagnation...
    Jul 17, 2014. 05:37 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. grounds the F-35 [View news story]
    I think it is moronic that the taxpayers have to continue to fund Lockheed Martin's incompetence. Time for Lockheed Martin to eat some of the excess costs that have developed as a direct result of their horrible management of the development of this aircraft.
    Jul 4, 2014. 07:07 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Bullard speaks. Are markets listening? [View news story]
    LOL
    Jun 26, 2014. 09:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Apple Now - Second-Quarter iPhone Sales Predicted To Beat Consensus [View article]
    Would not recommend buying here. Proprietary indicators with a great track record are saying sell. Would wait for it to dip lower to Mid-80s.
    Jun 13, 2014. 05:36 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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