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  • You Just Got $1 Million. Now What? [View article]

    Great article. I thoroughly enjoyed the theory of potential actions when a million dollars fall into your lap. Hopefully, I will have the opportunity to put some of this theory to practice in my lifetime :).
    Nov 18, 2015. 12:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Japan's economy relapses into recession [View news story]
    Recessions are healthy. What is wrong with maintaining the status quo as far as GDP growth is concerned. Main proponent of GDP growth is a healthy population growth and by association new additions to the workforce. If population growth is stalling domestically and in your international customer's countries, a recession is not necessarily a bad thing, it is just equilibrium. Unlimited growth is not possible on finite resources. The only bad thing about capitalism as far as I can see is the dependnece on infinite growth at any cost.
    Nov 16, 2015. 09:35 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Decline In Prime Age Labor Force Participation: The Smoking Gun (Part 2 Of 2); Comparing June Cleaver And Roseanne Conner [View article]
    Anyone else find it interesting that when women's participation rate in the work force started increasing, wages started stagnating?
    Oct 30, 2015. 01:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Genworth Financial: Fewer Adjustments, But Controls Still Ineffective [View article]
    As long as control deficiencies get remediated by 2015 issuance of 10K it really doesn't matter anymore. It is strange though, that they havent fixed the design flaws inherent in these controls.
    May 1, 2015. 02:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Genworth tumbles after disclosing accounting "material weakness" [View news story]
    Every large publicly traded company has material weakness in their internal controls, but they are very rarely identified because of collusion between External Auditors, Management, and Internal Audit...It must have been a pretty big issue for KPMG to call it out. I would hate to be the person who messed up the review control.
    Mar 2, 2015. 06:48 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Genworth now up 16% after earnings, LTC review [View news story]
    Haha... hilarious. Long GNW
    Feb 11, 2015. 08:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Next For Seadrill Ltd? [View article]
    Thank you, Tony Naples, for putting my thoughts exactly into words.
    Dec 8, 2014. 06:03 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Next For Seadrill Ltd? [View article]
    If you look at their SEC filings, the risks of not being able to refinance debt are unfounded and make no sense given the companies strong back log, decent cash position, and dividend suspension. Banks will be lining up to help SDRL refinance/rollover debt. "Fleet management" is a potential problem, but I think that the shipyards in question will be amenable to holding off shipment and enforcing payments for 6-12 months if the market ends up being as soft as everyone thinks it will be. One thing to remember is that no one has a crystal ball, but the data suggests that oil will bounce back within the next 6-24 months. When that happens, SDRL will be in an even stronger position than it was a year ago and will be trading in the high 30s.
    Dec 8, 2014. 03:20 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill: Things Are Not Looking Pretty [View article]
    Good point. I would think 1-2 years of depressed prices would have some effect, but probably not a monumental one. World population is growing at fast pace, more and more people across the globe are obtaining the means to buy cars and other products made with/that depend on oil.
    Nov 5, 2014. 10:04 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill: Things Are Not Looking Pretty [View article]
    Is it just me, or are the vast majority of articles coming out on SDRL lacking in any meaningful analysis? This article probably took 15 minutes to write...

    Solar usage will reduce the need for oil!? What are you talking about? Heating oil is rarely ever used to generate electricity, which is what solar panels are currently used for. Where is the Quality Control SA?
    Nov 5, 2014. 10:01 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peak What? Hubbert Was Wrong [View article]
    Any water stocks that you are invested in NN? I would think it would be hard to invest in water through the stock market since water is generally a public resource.
    Oct 29, 2014. 02:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama appoints Ebola czar [View news story]
    The post isn't the issue, and, at first glance, I do agree with the sentiment of your post. However, posts like this,

    "No one knows for sure the lawyer will do in the post since he knows next to nothing about Ebola, the scientific basis for the spread of highly contagious diseases and infection control protocols and procedures. He probably looks good on television, though."

    are childish and immature. Plus, you have no basis to make that statement. Do you know exactly what he will be doing? It looks like he will be a liason between the different government agencies involved with containing Ebola. It seems like more of an admin/management job than anything.

    It would have been more credible to cite sources from people who actually know about the situation, rather than just spouting off personal views on the matter.
    Oct 17, 2014. 01:58 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama appoints Ebola czar [View news story]
    Can we tone down the obviously political posts, SA? How about just report the news, and leave the "witty" comments in your brain.
    Oct 17, 2014. 01:41 PM | 23 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problem With Beta For Risk Measurement [View article]

    At its core Beta is just the slope of the price movement between two securities. Get price action from Yahoo Finance for SPY versus an equity over certain time periods, dump it into Excel and do the calculation yourself.

    Trust me, it will help you understand it a lot more. Beta isn't the best indicator of risk anyway. I would look at the standard deviation of price action instead. That is a true indicator of volatility/risk.
    Oct 17, 2014. 11:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problem With Beta For Risk Measurement [View article]

    Beta can be calculated using different time frames. The time frame depends on the person calculating Beta. I think that, generally, Beta is usually calculated based on 10 years of data on yahoo finance etc. ... Someone please correct me if that is off. For my own models, I calculate Beta using the timeframe that I plan on holding a stock. There is a lot of subjectivity to this calculation. Good luck.
    Oct 10, 2014. 02:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment