Fiver Capital

Long/short equity, growth at reasonable price, hedge fund manager, contrarian
Fiver Capital
Long/short equity, growth at reasonable price, hedge fund manager, contrarian
Contributor since: 2011
3/17/14
Fiver Capital
Pouring over charts ($YNDX, $LUKOY, $RSX) and Russia seems a value trap - high volume, broken supports - be careful out there!
15 million traded with a low of $28.16, 11 million traded with a low of $29.16 and today 6 million with a low of $29.64. I think sellers...
are just about done. That's a lot of shares trading and not falling below $29 tells me that's support is holding. That's I got in today.
4/14/14
On sale today at $23.50. Should I back up the truck and start loading up. Thanks for help in advanced.
11/21/13
Fiver Capital
Short $ONVO from $9.00 on the dead cat bounce.
11/25/13
I would exit those shorts. Stupid people will run it up right before product launch. I am bearish but not yet. Be careful.
Zig, got short via the jan 15 leaps so I have a lot of time for the trade to play out.
6/6/13
Fiver Capital
Hammer forming on the $SPY daily chart supports the idea of a bounce: http://seekingalpha.com/a/vsur
Outside reversals on the commodity currencies (AUD, NZD) also supportive of risk-on.
1/31/12
Fiver Capital
If the cnbc bobbleheads mention the golden cross one more time I'm selling everything I own to short this market.
1/31/12
Don't worry golden cross means most Equities will be nailed!
1/19/12
Fiver Capital
Risk-on currencies (oz, kiwi) carving out lower highs. Divergence. No participation. Rally over.
1/18/12
Fiver Capital
Watching for bullishness to peak with a gap up in the nasdaq before the indexes head south. Tech earnings the likely catalyst.
11/26/11
Fiver Capital
Reality check: by the end of the third wave decline in 2008 (may to nov) the s&p 500 had given up HALF its value in mere months. Deja vu?
11/26/11
Paraphrasing Mark Twain, history doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.
11/27/11
"I don't predict a nonexisting future."--Ed Seykota.
11/8/11
Fiver Capital
Dollar holding support. Light volume on the Berlusconi bounce. Risk on or risk off??
I wish i knew.
BoE QE started in october, they also ran QE starting back on march 2009. Hmmmm....
11/7/11
Fiver Capital
Major bubble in denial regarding the extent of the problems in Europe. The next move lower will be savage and sudden.
Fiver, telling it like it is takes guts. I am with you and see a major move coming, and it isn't going to be up.
Head and shoulder tops forming on a number of risk assets suggests 1150 on the s&p within a week or two.
8/21/11
Fiver Capital
Still bullish on burgers (MCD), booze (ABEV, BF.B) and butts (PM). Long human nature.
6/24/11
Fiver Capital
Long CSCO 2013 leaps today. Back out 40 billion in cash and you're buying an 18% earnings yield. Insanity.
5/20/11
Fiver Capital
CRM still a sell/short. Earnings down 97%, sales expense 80% of gross profit, who's buying this garbage?!