Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
Ahhh...you used the March options, Olafl? Can ya share the strategy with us?
If I were Boehner and the caucus i would say our three offers are: spending cuts only, spending cuts only, and spending cuts only. Then I would adjourn.
Fiscal Cliff: Let's Call Their Bluff [View article]
Its not a question of hard line. Hard line is fine. But SA has always insisted on a specific link to an actionable investment consequence, and i do not see a single ticker mentioned.
Sector ETF Risk Measures: Consequences For Forecasting [View article]
Turk, we can only regress (which as you know is how Beta is determined) data which we HAVE.
Also, you are making one small mistake yourself. I am not saying I can predict what a stock will do: i can only predict how it will do, relative to the market. That is where the stability of Betas on portfolios comes in. If you bought a high beta portfolio (say, biotechnology) and it gained 11% when the market as a whole gained 10%, you would be disappointed. That is the first focus of this article.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
I am neither a fundamental not tech. I blend the two. Thats why divergences are so helpful. If bad news doesn't puch a stock below a recent low, I ask..."what do investors know that I should?" The same if good news does not push a stock price up.
Tax brackets and deductions are indexed to inflation, are they not? I thought that has been true for quite a few years. In any case an interesting article, as always from CBP.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
Yes Ray, there are strategies for exploiting IV vs HV, the usual reversion-to-the-mean type articles. I am not big on stochastics because just a few days horizontal movement can swing them so quickly. plus "stochastic" reminds me of my old days as a professor and student of statistics.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
Also a very good point. But you will notice the the IV peaks in January/April/July/Oct... at levels quiet close to where we are now. In this article I was drawn by the INCREASE in IV at the same time prices have been rallying over the last few weeks. Everyone assumes IV and prices have an inverse relationship; they USUALLY do. I figured this divergence might give ya a chance to make a good odds trade.
If ya wanna see a stock whose IV surges before earnings, check out Intuitive Surgical. Much the same type of trade for you.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
You make a good point. But the dominant "news" event for Intel, which has fallen over a cliff all its own, is the earnings report this January.
It is a separate issue but i don't think this recent rally (in stocks, and Intel, is cliff related at all. The economy is starting to grow faster, the data support it, and the behavior of the Transportation index shows it most of all:
Smith & Wesson (SWHC -3.1%) and Sturm, Ruger (RGR -1.7%) trade lower with gun control legislation a major topic of political discussion following the tragic event in Connecticut. Though predictions of a gun demand rush is the knee-jerk reaction of some traders to the news gun laws could be tightened, others see the +200M firearms already in circulation and biting comments from pro-gun members of Congress as a sign the companies' fortunes could be altered. [View news story]
Selling RGR and S&W because of Newtown is like selling GM because of Talledega.
Smith & Wesson (SWHC -3.1%) and Sturm, Ruger (RGR -1.7%) trade lower with gun control legislation a major topic of political discussion following the tragic event in Connecticut. Though predictions of a gun demand rush is the knee-jerk reaction of some traders to the news gun laws could be tightened, others see the +200M firearms already in circulation and biting comments from pro-gun members of Congress as a sign the companies' fortunes could be altered. [View news story]
Once they point out the 250 zillion guns law that ALREADY exist in Connecticut, the issue will die a deserved death.
Lithium-Ion Batteries Were A Bust, But Advanced Lead-Acid Batteries Are Booming [View article]
Just as Calafia Beach Pundit makes me proud to be an economist because of his steady, sane interpretation of the facts , so too does John make me proud to be an environmentalist, since he is a rational analyst in a profession full of howlers and whack jobs. I follow them both on Seeking Alpha and i encourage other readers to do the same.
Stocks sink to session lows 40 minutes before the bell, the S&P 500 -0.8%, the Nasdaq -1%. The Fed's QE announcement in mid-September marked the top of a big summer rally. Has the Fed's latest QE announcement marked the peak of another sizable move higher? [View news story]
Stocks sink to session lows 40 minutes before the bell, the S&P 500 -0.8%, the Nasdaq -1%. The Fed's QE announcement in mid-September marked the top of a big summer rally. Has the Fed's latest QE announcement marked the peak of another sizable move higher? [View news story]
Goodness goodness whatever shall we do! 9 Trillion of stimulus to prove that fiscal policy doesn't work, and now QEI,QEII,QEIII, QEIV to prove that monetary policy has become irrelevant. ZIRP forever!
Fiscal Cliff: Let's Call Their Bluff [View article]
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
If I were Boehner and the caucus i would say our three offers are: spending cuts only, spending cuts only, and spending cuts only. Then I would adjourn.
Fiscal Cliff: Let's Call Their Bluff [View article]
Fiscal Cliff: Let's Call Their Bluff [View article]
WHERE ARE THE ACTIONABLE INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS IN THIS ARTICLE?
Not one stock, ETF, bond, commodity or investment premise flows from this article. How did it get through?
Sector ETF Risk Measures: Consequences For Forecasting [View article]
Also, you are making one small mistake yourself. I am not saying I can predict what a stock will do: i can only predict how it will do, relative to the market. That is where the stability of Betas on portfolios comes in. If you bought a high beta portfolio (say, biotechnology) and it gained 11% when the market as a whole gained 10%, you would be disappointed. That is the first focus of this article.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
Equities As An Inflation Hedge [View article]
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
If ya wanna see a stock whose IV surges before earnings, check out Intuitive Surgical. Much the same type of trade for you.
Intel Trading Opportunity Based On Options Volatility Divergence [View article]
It is a separate issue but i don't think this recent rally (in stocks, and Intel, is cliff related at all. The economy is starting to grow faster, the data support it, and the behavior of the Transportation index shows it most of all:
http://seekingalpha.co...
Smith & Wesson (SWHC -3.1%) and Sturm, Ruger (RGR -1.7%) trade lower with gun control legislation a major topic of political discussion following the tragic event in Connecticut. Though predictions of a gun demand rush is the knee-jerk reaction of some traders to the news gun laws could be tightened, others see the +200M firearms already in circulation and biting comments from pro-gun members of Congress as a sign the companies' fortunes could be altered. [View news story]
Smith & Wesson (SWHC -3.1%) and Sturm, Ruger (RGR -1.7%) trade lower with gun control legislation a major topic of political discussion following the tragic event in Connecticut. Though predictions of a gun demand rush is the knee-jerk reaction of some traders to the news gun laws could be tightened, others see the +200M firearms already in circulation and biting comments from pro-gun members of Congress as a sign the companies' fortunes could be altered. [View news story]
Lithium-Ion Batteries Were A Bust, But Advanced Lead-Acid Batteries Are Booming [View article]
Stocks sink to session lows 40 minutes before the bell, the S&P 500 -0.8%, the Nasdaq -1%. The Fed's QE announcement in mid-September marked the top of a big summer rally. Has the Fed's latest QE announcement marked the peak of another sizable move higher? [View news story]
Stocks sink to session lows 40 minutes before the bell, the S&P 500 -0.8%, the Nasdaq -1%. The Fed's QE announcement in mid-September marked the top of a big summer rally. Has the Fed's latest QE announcement marked the peak of another sizable move higher? [View news story]