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    <title>Gary Millichip - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Gary Millichip' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip</link>
    <item>
      <title>S&amp;P Earnings, Updated: Expect a Retest of March Lows</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/137038-s-p-earnings-updated-expect-a-retest-of-march-lows?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">137038</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><font size="3">This is a follow up to my <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/132830-s-p-500-earnings-decreasing-revenue-indicates-worst-is-yet-to-come">post</a> on April 23<sup>rd</sup> and highlights just how bad things have actually become. Below are the latest S&amp;P 500 <a href="http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/xls/index/SP500EPSEST.XLS">reported earnings</a> as of the close of business on 5/06/09</font><font size="3">:</font></p><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/5/12/saupload_gary1.jpg" rel="lightbox"><font size="3"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/5/12/saupload_gary1_thumb1.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></font></a></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 04:10:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p><font size="3">This is a follow up to my <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/132830-s-p-500-earnings-decreasing-revenue-indicates-worst-is-yet-to-come">post</a> on April 23<sup>rd</sup> and highlights just how bad things have actually become. Below are the latest S&amp;P 500 <a href="http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/xls/index/SP500EPSEST.XLS">reported earnings</a> as of the close of business on 5/06/09</font><font size="3">:</font></p><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/5/12/saupload_gary1.jpg" rel="lightbox"><font size="3"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/5/12/saupload_gary1_thumb1.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></font></a></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/137038-s-p-earnings-updated-expect-a-retest-of-march-lows?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>S&amp;P 500 Earnings: Decreasing Revenue Indicates Worst Is Yet to Come</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/132830-s-p-500-earnings-decreasing-revenue-indicates-worst-is-yet-to-come?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">132830</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Below are the latest S&amp;P 500 reported earnings as of the close of business on 4/21/09. Click <a href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/spf/xls/index/SP500EPSEST.XLS">here</a> to access:</span></p> <p><font size="2"><b>STANDARD &amp; POOR'S    INDEX SERVICES</b></font></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2009 14:27:38 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p><span>Below are the latest S&amp;P 500 reported earnings as of the close of business on 4/21/09. Click <a href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/spf/xls/index/SP500EPSEST.XLS">here</a> to access:</span></p> <p><font size="2"><b>STANDARD &amp; POOR'S    INDEX SERVICES</b></font></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/132830-s-p-500-earnings-decreasing-revenue-indicates-worst-is-yet-to-come?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Three Value Stocks</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/123387-three-value-stocks?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">123387</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p align="justify" ><font size="3" >In my <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=wl_sidebar" >article</a>  published in December</font><a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=wl_sidebar" target="_blank" ></a><font size="3" >, I took a simplistic approach of  predicting a reasonable level for the Dow Jones Industrial Average &#40;DJIA&#41;.  I looked at the DJIA before the impact of the housing boom, took the  DJIA low of 7,286 on October 9th, 2002 as a starting point, and then  predicted that a further correction downwards would occur to reflect  a negative trend in earnings, especially given the lack of any stimulants  this time round to prop up earnings.</font> </p> <p align="justify" ><font size="3" >So am I please  to see that the DJIA is hovering around my predicted level? I would  say yes because I now believe that stock prices are approaching reasonable  levels. Is there a chance the market will sink lower &ndash; sure! But as  we all know, no one can predict the market bottom with certainty. What  I do know is that if you buy value stocks now, long term returns are  most certainly for the taking. So with that, here are some value stocks  I would suggest considering:</font> </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 09:04:13 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p align="justify" ><font size="3" >In my <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=wl_sidebar" >article</a>  published in December</font><a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=wl_sidebar" target="_blank" ></a><font size="3" >, I took a simplistic approach of  predicting a reasonable level for the Dow Jones Industrial Average &#40;DJIA&#41;.  I looked at the DJIA before the impact of the housing boom, took the  DJIA low of 7,286 on October 9th, 2002 as a starting point, and then  predicted that a further correction downwards would occur to reflect  a negative trend in earnings, especially given the lack of any stimulants  this time round to prop up earnings.</font> </p> <p align="justify" ><font size="3" >So am I please  to see that the DJIA is hovering around my predicted level? I would  say yes because I now believe that stock prices are approaching reasonable  levels. Is there a chance the market will sink lower &ndash; sure! But as  we all know, no one can predict the market bottom with certainty. What  I do know is that if you buy value stocks now, long term returns are  most certainly for the taking. So with that, here are some value stocks  I would suggest considering:</font> </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/123387-three-value-stocks?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bbt">BBT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cby">CBY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dis">DIS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Murky World of Off-Balance-Sheet Items (Part 3)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/114124-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-3?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">114124</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>        <span><i>See <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1" >part 1</a> and <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/109825-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2" >part 2</a>. </i></span>    </p> <p>This is the third and final article regarding Off-Balance-Sheet Items (OBSIs). As mentioned in <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2" >part 2</a>, t<span>he National Association of Insurance Commissioners &#40;NAIC&#41; is currently considering a proposal that would empower individual states to decided whether or not reinsurers not-authorized or accredited to do business in their state, will need to post collateral in respect of their share of reported claims and reserves. </span>I believe the proposed changes raise some interesting questions.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 11 Jan 2009 03:50:14 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>        <span><i>See <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1" >part 1</a> and <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/109825-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2" >part 2</a>. </i></span>    </p> <p>This is the third and final article regarding Off-Balance-Sheet Items (OBSIs). As mentioned in <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2" >part 2</a>, t<span>he National Association of Insurance Commissioners &#40;NAIC&#41; is currently considering a proposal that would empower individual states to decided whether or not reinsurers not-authorized or accredited to do business in their state, will need to post collateral in respect of their share of reported claims and reserves. </span>I believe the proposed changes raise some interesting questions.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/114124-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-3?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>What Happened to Objectivity and Integrity?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/111961-what-happened-to-objectivity-and-integrity?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">111961</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>  Back in the day, when I was studying to become a South African Chartered Accountant &#40;CA&#41;, one of the areas that received a lot of attention was the Code of Professional Conduct &#40;COPC&#41;. I remember the emphasis placed on being objective and the need for integrity, and how these required values would distinguish us from the rest of the pack. With these values in place, the public could effectively place complete trust in us, knowing that we would do our best to identify activities that were not in compliance with relevant accounting standards. </p><p>The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants &#40;CPA&#41; has a <a href="http://www.aicpa.org/about/code/index.html" >similar COPC</a>. In light of the recent financial crisis in the banking sector and the Bernie Madoff scandal, I think there is a need for us as a profession to revisit these two values.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Dec 2008 03:12:03 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>  Back in the day, when I was studying to become a South African Chartered Accountant &#40;CA&#41;, one of the areas that received a lot of attention was the Code of Professional Conduct &#40;COPC&#41;. I remember the emphasis placed on being objective and the need for integrity, and how these required values would distinguish us from the rest of the pack. With these values in place, the public could effectively place complete trust in us, knowing that we would do our best to identify activities that were not in compliance with relevant accounting standards. </p><p>The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants &#40;CPA&#41; has a <a href="http://www.aicpa.org/about/code/index.html" >similar COPC</a>. In light of the recent financial crisis in the banking sector and the Bernie Madoff scandal, I think there is a need for us as a profession to revisit these two values.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/111961-what-happened-to-objectivity-and-integrity?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rkh">RKH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Murky World of Off-Balance-Sheet Items (Part 2)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/109825-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">109825</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>  <span><i>See part 1 </i><a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1" ><i>here</i></a><i>.</i></p><p><span>There has been <a href="http://meganmcardle.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/09/clear_as_glass_steagall.php" >much debate</a> over whether or not the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act  contributed to the current financial crisis. This Act was originally put in place to separate commercial and investment banks because of reckless actions taken by commercial banks in the 1920s. As a result of these reckless actions, when the stock market bubble burst in 1929, commercial banks&rsquo; exposure to Wall Street, together with a lack of deposit insurance and other backstops, brought the banking industry to its knees. And thus it&rsquo;s easy to see how the repeal of this Act in 1999 is linked to the current financial crisis. </span></p></span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 05:24:42 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>  <span><i>See part 1 </i><a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1" ><i>here</i></a><i>.</i></p><p><span>There has been <a href="http://meganmcardle.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/09/clear_as_glass_steagall.php" >much debate</a> over whether or not the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act  contributed to the current financial crisis. This Act was originally put in place to separate commercial and investment banks because of reckless actions taken by commercial banks in the 1920s. As a result of these reckless actions, when the stock market bubble burst in 1929, commercial banks&rsquo; exposure to Wall Street, together with a lack of deposit insurance and other backstops, brought the banking industry to its knees. And thus it&rsquo;s easy to see how the repeal of this Act in 1999 is linked to the current financial crisis. </span></p></span><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/109825-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-2?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Murky World of Off-Balance-Sheet Items (Part 1)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">108976</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>In pitching his bailout plan to congress, Paulson promised greater transparency regarding the use of those funds. &ldquo;We need oversight,&rdquo; Paulson told lawmakers. &ldquo;We need protection. We need transparency. I want it. We all want it.'' Then he reneged on that promise, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aKr.oY2YKc2g" >forcing Bloomberg to file a lawsuit</a> in order to gain access to information so as to determine where taxpayers&rsquo; money was being utilized and what securities were bring pledged in return. This led me to thinking about the murky world of Off-Balance-Sheet Items (OBSIs).</p> <p>When one invests in a company, one ideally does due diligence of some sort to assess the risks faced and the returns you likely to be realized. However, it is clear from recent events that s<span>hareholders are not being provided with all the relevant information needed to make informed decisions. </span>If there was ever a time for greater transparency when it comes to Financial Statements, now would be that time given that the public&rsquo;s confidence in financial institutions has all but been eroded. <span></p></span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2008 09:01:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>In pitching his bailout plan to congress, Paulson promised greater transparency regarding the use of those funds. &ldquo;We need oversight,&rdquo; Paulson told lawmakers. &ldquo;We need protection. We need transparency. I want it. We all want it.'' Then he reneged on that promise, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aKr.oY2YKc2g" >forcing Bloomberg to file a lawsuit</a> in order to gain access to information so as to determine where taxpayers&rsquo; money was being utilized and what securities were bring pledged in return. This led me to thinking about the murky world of Off-Balance-Sheet Items (OBSIs).</p> <p>When one invests in a company, one ideally does due diligence of some sort to assess the risks faced and the returns you likely to be realized. However, it is clear from recent events that s<span>hareholders are not being provided with all the relevant information needed to make informed decisions. </span>If there was ever a time for greater transparency when it comes to Financial Statements, now would be that time given that the public&rsquo;s confidence in financial institutions has all but been eroded. <span></p></span><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/108976-the-murky-world-of-off-balance-sheet-items-part-1?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c">C</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Change and Predicting the Market Bottom</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">108475</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Obama promised change. The majority of the U.S. wanted change. And so it came to be that Obama was elected the next President of the U.S. Yet even before he assumes office, Obama&rsquo;s &lsquo;change&rsquo; seems to be more a case of staying with known individuals versus making full-scale personnel changes. For one, Obama has nominated Tim Geithner as Treasury Secretary. This is the same person who took part in the &lsquo;rescue&rsquo; of Bear Sterns and <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig' title='More opinion and analysis of AIG'>AIG</a>, and was involved in the decision to allow Lehman to collapse. All of these actions have been a disaster for us as taxpayers, never mind the financial markets or the Federal Reserve as an organization. It also appears that Obama is set to announce on Monday that Robert Gates will stay on as Defense Secretary. We all know what a clear winner our efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have been to date.</p>  <div> </div>  <p>The same hesitation to changing investment strategies seems to be in play in the stock market lately. Many people were burnt by the recent crash in the market, selling far too late in the downward spiral after becoming tired of seeing their portfolios diminishing day in and day out.  I&rsquo;m sure many decided that they would be more cautious this time, promising to change the way they invested by doing due diligence before investing again.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2008 01:30:22 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>Obama promised change. The majority of the U.S. wanted change. And so it came to be that Obama was elected the next President of the U.S. Yet even before he assumes office, Obama&rsquo;s &lsquo;change&rsquo; seems to be more a case of staying with known individuals versus making full-scale personnel changes. For one, Obama has nominated Tim Geithner as Treasury Secretary. This is the same person who took part in the &lsquo;rescue&rsquo; of Bear Sterns and <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig' title='More opinion and analysis of AIG'>AIG</a>, and was involved in the decision to allow Lehman to collapse. All of these actions have been a disaster for us as taxpayers, never mind the financial markets or the Federal Reserve as an organization. It also appears that Obama is set to announce on Monday that Robert Gates will stay on as Defense Secretary. We all know what a clear winner our efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have been to date.</p>  <div> </div>  <p>The same hesitation to changing investment strategies seems to be in play in the stock market lately. Many people were burnt by the recent crash in the market, selling far too late in the downward spiral after becoming tired of seeing their portfolios diminishing day in and day out.  I&rsquo;m sure many decided that they would be more cautious this time, promising to change the way they invested by doing due diligence before investing again.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/108475-change-and-predicting-the-market-bottom?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Stock Market Is Not a Democracy </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/108111-the-stock-market-is-not-a-democracy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">108111</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Last year I decided to take the plunge and became a US citizen. What a moment it was knowing that I was now a part of the greatest democracy in the world, or so I thought. My joy of being part of a democratic election process this year has been offset by the undemocratic actions that took place in the stock market. But I am getting ahead of myself. Let me take you back to the beginning of my stock market experience.</p><p>In 2006, I saw opportunity in the stock market and purchased Playtex and Mastercard (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ma' title='More opinion and analysis of MA'>MA</a>) shares, going along with the philosophy that you should only buy stocks of companies that you are familiar with. My timing was great and I realized good returns, but those returns would have been even better if I had known about charting and identifying trends. However, it seemed like there was no end to making money in the stock market so towards the end of 2007, I purchased shares in Citigroup (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c' title='More opinion and analysis of C'>C</a>). I was a cardholder and thus thought I had insight into their business model. Unfortunately, this is where my undemocratic experiences began.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 06:00:29 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Gary Millichip</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>Gary Millichip submits:</strong><p>Last year I decided to take the plunge and became a US citizen. What a moment it was knowing that I was now a part of the greatest democracy in the world, or so I thought. My joy of being part of a democratic election process this year has been offset by the undemocratic actions that took place in the stock market. But I am getting ahead of myself. Let me take you back to the beginning of my stock market experience.</p><p>In 2006, I saw opportunity in the stock market and purchased Playtex and Mastercard (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ma' title='More opinion and analysis of MA'>MA</a>) shares, going along with the philosophy that you should only buy stocks of companies that you are familiar with. My timing was great and I realized good returns, but those returns would have been even better if I had known about charting and identifying trends. However, it seemed like there was no end to making money in the stock market so towards the end of 2007, I purchased shares in Citigroup (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c' title='More opinion and analysis of C'>C</a>). I was a cardholder and thus thought I had insight into their business model. Unfortunately, this is where my undemocratic experiences began.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/108111-the-stock-market-is-not-a-democracy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c">C</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/gary-millichip">Gary Millichip</category>
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