Gary Tanashian

Three Month T-Bill Chart Finally Makes a Move

That's the beauty of it HB, no purchase necessary! ;-)


On Dec 23 01:58 PM History Buff 24/7 wrote:

> "long common sense and short stupidity"
>
> Iressistable. How do I buy that ticker symbol?
>
> The Fed is doing a lot of jawboning lately. They want people to
> think they will step in and raise the rates at JUST the right time.
>
>
> Greenspan used to do this over and over again, he would try and talk
> the markets down when they got too overheated, but in the end the
> rate hikes were few and far between, until the Fed overreacted and
> hit the brakes too hard.
>
> Given the current political and economic situation, I can't see them
> hitting the brakes at all for the foreseeable future. Ergo, we're
> going to have inflation in one form or another.

M3's False Signal: Deflation Scare Doesn't Mean Deflation

That would be my thesis. Watch the dollar. Uncle Buck had better get his act together or the deflation scare scenario will be kaput.


On Jul 21 09:22 AM Mayer Amschel Rothschild wrote:

> Didn't we already have the deflation scare? I guess we need another
> one to complete the third leg of the "W".

'Hope 09' Continues to Live On

I am sorry but you are cherry picking. I do not tout stock picks. I was buying gold miners last year with HUI 150-175 and selling them as risk rose between HUI 360-400. Then buying back after the predictable decline recently. I understand you fancy yourself a market player and I am not going to micromanage the twists and turns with you. My portfolios are updated weekly in the newsletter.

How bullish were you in March?


On Jul 21 02:58 AM Freya wrote:

> Mr. Tanashian: I reviewed all of the Articles you published in Oct.
> 2008, there were no positions disclosed.
>
> And if the rest of your portfolio matches up to your Jan. 5th position
> statements of MSFT, CSCO, and TBT, Then the rest must be up over
> 200% too. Congratulations.

'Hope 09' Continues to Live On

My portfolio is up 140% since October and is well into new all time highs. My newsletter was aboard the rally while the media were still declaring the end of the world, and I have been in capital preservation mode since spring. You can skim one article and call me a bear or you can do a little work and see what really is. I have had targets on the SPX of 1010 and 1200 up until last week. Unfortunately, the bullish scenario you hope for was dealt a blow last week.


On Jul 20 10:54 AM Freya wrote:

> Hope 09?
>
> As long as there are Bears like you around, I look forward to my
> Target of 1100 on the S&P This year.
>
> Current Hype has Analysts Normalizing Earnings for 2010 and Beyond.
> This means that PE Ratio expectations will rise. It doesn't matter
> that those Earnings Never materialize, nor that the PE Ratios are
> ever realized. What will matter will be Analyst Upgrades going forward.
>
>
> The Cyclical Bull is underway, you have missed most of it.
> But, go ahead, keep looking for improvements in the Economy. Those
> might take years.

Gold Ratios - Time to Pay Attention

Sorry you feel that way Genesis. NFTRH41, just out yesterday looked at gold-spx, gold-oil, gold-industrial metals and gold-silver. Obviously what appears here cannot be anywhere near as comprehensive as the newsletter. NFTRH has been on the right side of markets (both bullish & bearish) since its inception in September, 2008. That is because I look exhaustively at these ratios and many other non-standard indicators.

The market gives so many valuable clues if we are just willing to look at them.


On Jul 11 04:49 PM Genesis wrote:

> What about Gold/USD? What about God/EUR, Gold/Dow, Gold/S&P,
> Gold/Oil, etc? That is fine to compare gold with the general commodities
> market, but I wouldn't consider it a comprehensive analysis, let
> alone a reason to put money into it at any given time.
>
> Also, it's strange that you refer to non-gold commodities to be "assets
> of hope." I consider wheat to be a food having intrinsic value moreso
> than a speculative bubble-type of investment. Silver (now historically
> undervalued against gold) and platinum are also included among those
> "assets of hope."
>
> Personally, I have better things to do with $288 than to pay for
> your market analysis.

Gold Ratios - Time to Pay Attention

That is pretty much what I am saying Andrew. Gold has been consolidating its gains off of the unsustainable upside of 2008. When gold outperforms, it is a sign of financial stress.


On Jul 11 01:59 PM Andrew Amrhein wrote:

> Please forgive my ignorance, I'm still a student. Are you saying
> that gold has sufficiently consolidated and will there for begin
> to make gains at the expense of the equity market?