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George Chadwick

 
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  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    Oops! The GS haters must have come out in droves. Bottom line, use some logic. Company that is in major litigation, avoid. Government doing the litigating, even worse...
    Nov 17 02:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    Just wondering if you still think GS look more like a buy?
    Nov 17 02:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Darden: The Best Restaurant Buy For The Recovery [View article]
    Thanks. I've been holding about one month. I see buyers stepping in right now. I was about to give up on it!
    Nov 15 03:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • In A Flash, Fusion-IO Plans Secondary Offering [View article]
    Shares of Fusion-IO (NYSE: FIO) are now up about 7 percent as the company's Chief Scientist, Steve Wozniak (yes, Apple's Steve Wozniak) just appeared on CNBC.

    Traders were buying the stock ahead of the Woz's appearance, however the exec didn't exactly say much. Wozniak pointed out the fact that people doubted the company's push into flash, however noted Fusion-IO is now growing as fast as Apple. He said the company's Board wants to be in control of its own future. (From StreetInsider)
    Nov 15 11:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 7 Restaurant Stocks To Consider [View article]
    As an addendum, I'm coming up with over 350 so-called pocket pivots in stocks with at least fairly decent numbers, which is usually (in my book) considered an overall buy signal for equities. Ranked by price, I'm looking at GOOG, ISRG, NEU, IBM, PNRA, VFC, ICE, PSA, GR, BIIB, CLB, LO, BEN ADS, SI, PX, VMW, FLS, FDS, CXO, NKE, CAT, BTI, HANS, KOF, ROST, CL, PPG, APD, VMI, SM, AGN, LH, GDI, SAN, UTX, WAT, ORLY, AIRM, CMP, TIF, SLB, DE, CTXS, IDXX, PRAA, ENR, SWM, RLI, UPS, MSM, CHRW, KO, WAB, ALK, WRLD, TPX, BA, XEC, HSIC, CLX, JNJ, MCF, EQT, COH, PG, PII, MMP, TCO, SAP, TJX, LNN, RAVN, AXE, FDO, ACN, SQM, CHKP, FISV, CHE, VAR, DOV, NVS, TUP, HP, SNA, COL, PPO, SNDK - so a real nice mix of sectors, not just energy or retail. (I own PPG, CLB, BIIB & DRI from those mentioned above.)
    Nov 11 02:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 7 Restaurant Stocks To Consider [View article]
    Nice analysis, thanks! I was considering swapping out DRI with BWLD. I used your spreadsheet, and they both come up with the same score of 6.6. I figured I'd just stick with the dividend payer! PNRA is below 5 (score) but technically very strong. I like your point about sticking with the relative underperformers with good overall numbers, & looking for future price performance. BWLD also has no debt & has a nice "pocket pivot" (pullback in an uptrend that is starting to reverse as witnessed by a move up thru the 4 or 10 day moving average). In uncertain times, dividends are an important positive to consider. Any thoughts on BWLD?
    Also, averaging the trailing and forward P/E ratio is very important per your system. How about averaging the revenue and earnings growth rate, rather than just focusing on earnings (which is easier to manipulate than revenue). Perhaps you could back test that, or try incorporating it and see how it pans out.
    Nov 11 01:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Price-to-Sales Value Plays in the Oil and Gas Market [View article]
    After looking at WLT - I take back the last comment!
    Aug 4 11:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Walter Energy (WLT -17.4%) Q2 earnings came in below estimates, as margins were hit by acquisition-related costs and slumping coal volumes. Worsening matters, the company has cut back on the amount of information it provides in its financial reports, making it difficult to determine the exact cause of the quarter's miss.  [View news story]
    Class action lawsuit imminent IMO. I see no earnings warnings over the past month.
    Aug 4 11:42 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Price-to-Sales Value Plays in the Oil and Gas Market [View article]
    HFC was a good buy on the pull-back below 70 again today after continued market weakness. Earnings are in two days before market hours on Friday. There's a good chance it could gap up.
    Aug 3 04:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cloud Computing: One of the Biggest Investment Stories in the History of Business [View article]
    Thanks, good coverage. Out of the ones in your list, I'm marvelling at RAX which is pushing up in a very negative market from a perceived level of support.
    Jun 10 02:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    I think it is wise to have this approach for any company involved in major litigation. And this is not your garden variety litigation.
    Jun 5 06:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    Precisely! "Government Sachs" - anytime these big firms get fined, pay penalties, etc. it amounts to a small cost of doing business.
    Jun 5 06:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    I personally think there is a difference between contrarian investing and investing in a company involved in major litigation, esp. when government is doing the litigating.
    Jun 5 10:35 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    We thought it was a good trade below 70 a couple of years ago and were all over it. The government report referenced was not released until April 2011 when the stock price had already moved down quite a bit. At this point I am rather agnostic about the stock price. However, a price trend is inherently after the fact, and I am correlating the price action to the news. It may well be a good entry point, but I really don't have an opinion at these levels when you look at the headline risk and uncertainty.
    Jun 5 10:25 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Goldman Sachs Turning Into a 'Big Short'? [View article]
    You covered a lot of important points. Believe me, I had to suppress tendencies toward cynicism and be as objective as possible.
    Jun 5 10:18 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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