George Dorgan had been one of the predictors of the financial tsunami of January 15, 2015. This is also visible in many posts in Seeking Alpha between 2012 and 2014. Very often he spoke about the impossibility of the peg and the strong Swiss economy. He often criticized the - as for CHF - notoriously wrong bank research, in particular in the Seeking Alpha article: The Swiss Franc, Pseudo-Mathematics and Financial Charlatanism http://seekingalpha.com/article/2195983-the-swiss-franc-pseudo-mathematics-and-financial-charlatanism George lives in Zurich and knows well the Swiss mentality and the mindset of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) that is in line with supply-side and Austrian economics. George is a heterodox economist and manages a very small private hedge fund on global macro basis following contrarian strategies. Dorgan is largely an Austrian economist, supply sider and fierce advocat of deflation caused by technologic progress, free trade and the global distribution of labor. He is against both the Keynesian mainstream and those Austrians that see the hyper-inflationary collapse coming. His ideas are also inspired by Minsky and Richard Koo, but he considers fiscal intervention only when private sector savings rates are rapidly increasing. For Dorgan, GDP growth is currently not important, but a stabilisation of savings rates. Apart from some countries in Southern Europe, unemployment is extraordinarily low in the world, in particular in emerging and less privileged economies. For him, the 2008 financial crisis was rather a balance of payments crisis of the United States and thanks to globalisation, only a very short-lived crisis. Dorgan started up as quant programmer, worked at UBS and Reuters. He speaks nine languages including Russian. He has a broad knowledge on (economic) history, law, computer science and business. He currrently manages Too Big To Fail projects in big Swiss banks. His recent publications that were editor's picks in Seeking Alpha: FX Rates, Contrarian Investment And The Misleading Concept Called GDP http://tinyurl.com/ortw73c The Dollar, The ISM, Buy American And Irrational Exuberance http://tinyurl.com/o6q7qtg Other useful contributions are the regularly updated: What Drives Government Bond Yields? http://tinyurl.com/pnn3urn The Six Major Fundamental Factors that Determine Gold and Silver Prices http://tinyurl.com/qxahse7 His Google Plus profile https://plus.google.com/u/0/+GeorgeMDorgan and his Twitter account https://twitter.com/DorganG
I'm founder of the Gold Standard Institute USA in Phoenix, Arizona, and CEO of precious metals fund manager Monetary Metals. I created DiamondWare, a technology company which I sold to Nortel Networks in 2008.
Francesco is a Financial Economist educated in Florence and London (Cass Business School).
He obtained the Investment Management Certificate and the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) qualification.
After some years in the City of London and Paris, where he worked among others for Morgan Stanley and Moody's, he decided to go back to his native Tuscany, where he works as a consultant.
He is a martial arts expert (II Dan Judo black belt and kickboxer). Besides Italian, he speaks English, French and Spanish fluently and understands Czech and German.
From high school he remembers Latin well and Ancient Greek badly, though he still can read the latter.
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups.
Visit: China Financial Markets (http://www.mpettis.com)
Ray Dalio is the Chairman and co-Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates, which is a global macro investment firm and is the world’s largest hedge fund. He is known to have a very practical understanding of economics that is very different from conventional economic thinking and that he spelled out in "How the Economic Machine Works".
He started Bridgewater in 1975 out of a two bedroom apartment in New York City and has been a global macro investor for more than 45 years.
While at Bridgewater his industry-changing approaches to investing -- which include the invention of risk parity, currency overlay, portable alpha and global inflation indexed bond management -- prompted Alternative Investment CIO to write an article entitled “Is Ray Dalio the Steve Jobs of Investing?”, which compared his industry-changing inventions to those of the Apple founder. According to an industry study, Bridgewater's hedge fund has made more money for its investors than any other hedge fund ever -- an estimated $37 billion. Bridgewater Associates has received numerous awards, including over twenty “Manager of the Year” awards from every major financial publication, and Ray has received three “Lifetime Achievement” awards. Additionally, a long list of economic policy makers actively seek his advice, which prompted Time Magazine in 2012 to name him “One of the 100 Most Influential People in the World”.
Ray is an active philanthropist with a particular interest in oceanographic research and conservation. He is a participant in The Giving Pledge, a commitment to give more than half of his wealth to charity.
Ray believes that reality works like a machine and that principles for dealing with reality are required to be successful. For those who are interested in learning the principles that led to Ray's success, he set them out in Principles.org which focuses on management principles and EconomicPrinciples.org which describes the principles of the economic machine.
Antonio Fatás is professor of Economics at INSEAD. He received his PhD in Economics from Harvard University. He is a Research Fellow at the Centre for Economic and Policy Research in London and has worked as external consultant for international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund, the OECD and the World Bank.
He teaches the macroeconomics core course in the MBA program as well as different modules on the global macroeconomic environment in Executive Education. His research is focused on the study of business cycles, fiscal policy and the economics of European integration. His articles appear in academic journals such as the Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Journal of Public Economics, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Economic Growth, European Economic Review or Economic Policy.
Jim Kelleher, CFA, is Director of Research at Argus Research and the author of “Equity Valuation for Analysts & Investors,” (McGraw-Hill, July 2010), a single-volume treatment of financial modeling and blended valuation technique. As an equity analyt, Jim is a three-time winner in The Wall Street Journal's “Best on the Street” All-Star Analyst Survey and has also won recognition in the Financial Times/Starmine analyst awards. As Research Director, Jim manages several model portfolios; manages the company’s Portfolio Selector/Focus List; prepares and oversees the Argus daily Technical Analysis product; was instrumental in devising Argus’ first branded investment product; and has helped develop and refine the investment analysis process and model “template” for new analysts.
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
Co-founder/managing partner at MacroDynamics Capital LLC, a global macro fund based in NYC. Also serves as an Advisory Board member to KPF Global Investment Strategies. Previously, a Macro Strategist at Graham Capital, a VP at Wellington Management and an analyst at FX Concepts Inc.
Education: B.Eng from Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ., MBA from George Washing Univ. and MS from Cornell Univ.
Michael Ashton has been a recognized leader in developing the U.S. inflation derivatives market. He traded the first interbank U.S. CPI swaps in 2003 and, as a dealer, was a primary liquidity-provider in that market for two large banks. He represented about one-third of interbank swaps volume during his tenures at those firms. He invented and was the sole market-maker for the CME CPI Futures contract. He has written and spoken extensively about the use of inflation-indexed products for hedging real exposures, and has written more broadly in a commentary format about the rates markets and macroeconomy. Mr. Ashton is currently the managing principal at Enduring Investments LLC. His comments on this site and others are not posted in that role, and no opinions of his should be construed to be recommendations of or to reflect the views of his employer. He recently published "What's Wrong With Money? The Biggest Bubble of All."
Axel Merk is the President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments, manager of the Merk Funds. He is a recognized expert on the global economy, monetary policy and international investing. An authority on currencies, he is a pioneer in the use of strategic currency investing to seek diversification and has been named a “Currency Guru” by Morningstar.
Axel Merk is a regular guest on CNBC, FoxBusiness and Bloomberg. His columns and interviews frequently appear in the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, Barron’s and other financial media around the world. Merk is a sought after expert speaker at industry conferences, including the annual conferences of the CFA, FPA and AAII organizations in 2011, as well as at universities, government organizations and think tanks. Merk's expertise encompasses topics ranging from the global economy, gold and currencies to sustainable wealth and personal finance. Axel Merk’s Book “Sustainable Wealth” was published by Wiley in 2009 and his newsletter Merk Insights reaches a wide audience of investors, analysts and media following global macroeconomic issues and implications to investing.
Mr. Merk, together with the Merk portfolio team, manages the Merk Hard, Asian and Absolute Return Currency Funds, as well as the Merk Currency Enhanced U.S. Equity Fund. He holds a B.A. in Economics (magna cum laude) and a M.Sc. in Computer Science from Brown University.
Starting as a summer intern in 1978, Kirk worked for 20 as a scientist and engineer at Hewlett Packard's research and development department (R&D) designing solid state devices and components for optical communication. While he was at HP, Kirk invested ten to twenty percent per year of his salary. He made some mistakes early on (starting with paying high fees for "expert" advice that under performed) but soon he learned to invest his own money well enough to afford a life of "semi-retirement" to work for himself. In a way, since leaving HP in 1998, Kirk became his own "angel investor" using his his own money and investing success to finance his lifestyle in Los Altos, California to invest in a new career on the internet helping others do the same. More at http://kirklindstrom.com/About.html
Tim Iacono is the founder of the investment website 'Iacono Research', a subscription service providing market commentary and investment advisory services specializing in natural resources.
He also writes a financial blog known as 'The Mess That Greenspan Made', a sometimes irreverent look at the many and varied after-effects of the Greenspan term at the Federal Reserve.
Use the links below to visit Tim's website/blog.