I'm a long-time Market Participant who has criss-crossed the Market for more years than I care to remember, and a few years ago I got hooked on studying and trading ETFs, especially the leveraged kind.
Charts, good charts are an absolute necessity in this field, so the Linchpin of my ETF Website
http://etfadvantagereport.com/ is the charts. These charts are unique not only in being attractive and easy to read, but also in what they represent. Sure, at first glance there is nothing unique about the 10 Day yellow, the 20 Day red and the 50 Day green Moving Averages. Most charts carry the same outline, but there is where the comparison ends.
Check the chart diagram we show from Oct 6th on our website, The page is called "How to read the Charts" , it is an Intraday DOW Chart and helps to explain what it is that makes our charts more useful and different from the rest. It is all in the way they are interpreted.
As I see it, a Moving Average has three Internal Components. The 10 Day MA [yellow line] is being influenced by the mood swings of the participants who trade this Index, which I therefore call Index-Sentiment. The 20 Day MA [red line] is being influenced by the Internal Component Companies that provide the Base-Support to the Index. But most important is the 50 Day MA which reflects the Internal Trend-Momentum of an Index and its ETF.
Also, MACD Index I interpret as the MAC Bull, Bear Relative ETF Momentum Index which tells to what degree Momentum is on the side of the Bulls or the Bears. The same with the RSI Index which I interpret as the Bull, Bear Relative ETF Strength Indicator, pointing to which is the stronger of these two. Now for these green, red and yellow lines to make any sense, they will have to move in tandem and in a configuration which will indicate if an Index or ETF is bullish, bearish or anything in between.
Check this diagram chart and note the bearish Configuration on the left, with the yellow Index Sentiment line close and above the Index, followed by the red Base-Support line and the green Trend-Momentum all heading South in tandem. Now, that is bearish in a situation where the inverse Bear-ETFs will rally. Conversely, note what a bullish Configuration looks like when the yellow line below the Index and followed by the red and green lines all heading North in tandem. Now that is the time when the Bull ETFs will rally.
When on a daily chart you see a distinct configuration pattern like these two, consider the market to be in an intermediate or even major trend when the appropriate ETFs can safely be traded. But in a Bouncing Ball Market like we've experienced over the past months, these lines will be trendless and all over the charts, and that is the time to be mostly on the sidelines, observe and wait. Sooner or later these trends will be back, and that is what we have to be ready for.
Now, on my ETF Website you will find twelve Charts which reflect the correlated activity in a broad range of equity and commodity sectors, including the ETFs. Put it all together, and you will be on the right side of the market with the right ETFs at the right time.