Comments on Gregory Skidmore's articles Comments on Gregory Skidmore's articles RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.com/author/gregory-skidmore/articles Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-275669 275669 Tue, 07 Oct 2008 10:26:51 -0400 Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-275383 275383 Tue, 07 Oct 2008 02:05:02 -0400 ]]> Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-275250 275250 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 21:36:43 -0400
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Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274924 274924 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 14:19:57 -0400
A black swan is caused by a truly random series of unpredictable events leading to some consequence. Some economists have been warning about this since the Federal Reserve Act, more since the fall of Bretton-Woods, many more since Volker left his post, and a large minority since housing prices started to look like a logarithmic scale. Black swan my ass. ]]>
Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274830 274830 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:59:47 -0400 Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274820 274820 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:43:42 -0400 Investing for the longer term might still be in order (and yes your portfolio will undergo interesting gyrations), but there should be considerable hesitation about putting in money you cannot afford to lose or which you might need in the short or medium term.]]> Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274800 274800 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:25:25 -0400
We'll revert back to a Save and Invest economy and no doubt will begin a protectionist era politically. How much private equity and government team up to invest in necessary infrastructure policies to create skilled jobs remains to be seen.

Those whom knew better and warned this government repeatedly and were ignored also know we'll see depression economy for a short time. That provides unique historic buying opportunities. But as a group of investors, we should lead as best we can in our local communities and provide guidance to new groups forming that will provide economic analysis to Washington. There, they haven't a clue what truly needs to be done. ]]>
Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274796 274796 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:22:46 -0400 Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274795 274795 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:21:14 -0400 Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274775 274775 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 12:01:08 -0400 Current Financial Crisis Is a Black Swan http://seekingalpha.com/article/98669-current-financial-crisis-is-a-black-swan?source=feed#comment-274725 274725 Mon, 06 Oct 2008 11:30:50 -0400
Not only do they occur, but people see them coming if they are paying attention. Don't confuse rarity with lack of understanding.

Back in February 2008 Jim Rogers was quoted in Fortune magazine regarding what is unfolding today:

"I'm extremely worried," [Rogers] says. "I have been for a while, but I just see things getting much worse this time around than I expected."

"Conceivably we could have just had recession, hard times, sliding dollar, inflation, etc., but I'm afraid it's going to be much worse," he says. "Bernanke is printing huge amounts of money. He's out of control and the Fed is out of control. We are probably going to have one of the worst recessions we've had since the Second World War. It's not a good scene."

Current events predicted more than 6 months ago, in one of the premier financial magazines of the times. Watching it happen now is hardly what one would call a 'Higly Improbable' event.

"Black Swan events" depend on your point of reference or your lack of understanding regarding reality.

money.cnn.com/2008/01/...
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ETF Market Makers Struggled Last Week http://seekingalpha.com/article/96973-etf-market-makers-struggled-last-week?source=feed#comment-262938 262938 Tue, 23 Sep 2008 18:05:08 -0400 ETF Market Makers Struggled Last Week http://seekingalpha.com/article/96973-etf-market-makers-struggled-last-week?source=feed#comment-262931 262931 Tue, 23 Sep 2008 17:58:46 -0400 ]]> U.S. Smallcap in Demand http://seekingalpha.com/article/94019-u-s-smallcap-in-demand?source=feed#comment-246156 246156 Fri, 05 Sep 2008 10:07:30 -0400 U.S. Smallcap in Demand http://seekingalpha.com/article/94019-u-s-smallcap-in-demand?source=feed#comment-245945 245945 Fri, 05 Sep 2008 01:27:39 -0400 U.S. Smallcap in Demand http://seekingalpha.com/article/94019-u-s-smallcap-in-demand?source=feed#comment-245941 245941 Fri, 05 Sep 2008 01:12:37 -0400
when the funding really dries up over the next few MONTHS. ]]>
U.S. Smallcap in Demand http://seekingalpha.com/article/94019-u-s-smallcap-in-demand?source=feed#comment-245940 245940 Fri, 05 Sep 2008 01:11:25 -0400 Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize http://seekingalpha.com/article/92873-retail-investors-refuse-to-globalize?source=feed#comment-241975 241975 Fri, 29 Aug 2008 18:12:22 -0400 Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize http://seekingalpha.com/article/92873-retail-investors-refuse-to-globalize?source=feed#comment-240015 240015 Wed, 27 Aug 2008 10:34:29 -0400 Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize http://seekingalpha.com/article/92873-retail-investors-refuse-to-globalize?source=feed#comment-240002 240002 Wed, 27 Aug 2008 10:25:04 -0400 Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize http://seekingalpha.com/article/92873-retail-investors-refuse-to-globalize?source=feed#comment-239896 239896 Wed, 27 Aug 2008 08:40:16 -0400 Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize http://seekingalpha.com/article/92873-retail-investors-refuse-to-globalize?source=feed#comment-239885 239885 Wed, 27 Aug 2008 08:30:41 -0400