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Guraaf  

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  • National Oilwell Varco: A Thorough Analysis [View article]
    Thanks for the article. I am long NOV for a few years now and have a buy limit order as well hoping to lower my average purchase price.

    How secure are a company's order backlog? Is it easy for an oil company to cancel the contracts or is there significant (any?) penalty. I am trying to understand how to interpret the large backlog - can it vanish in a jiffy if oil continues to trade less than $60 per barrel.

    Also, any views on the DNOW that was spun off from NOV?
    Dec 10, 2014. 10:07 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Is Diamond Offshore Outperforming? [View article]
    Thanks for the article. My average purchase price is more than $50 even after buying more stock at $35...

    DO gives a small regular dividend and a giant special dividend every quarter. I suspect that it will be easier for DO to cut this special dividend as things are getting murkier. It wouldn't surprise me if the special dividend is eliminated all-together leaving a yield of less than 1.7%. I have a limit buy order at $29 in an attempt to catch a falling knife that could otherwise hurt the toes.
    Dec 10, 2014. 10:03 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: 7 Down Days And Counting [View article]
    How did this qualify as an article?
    Dec 8, 2014. 09:03 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Optimism On Restaurants, Retail And Airlines Based On Lower Crude Makes No Sense [View article]
    Thanks for the article, Paulo. Do you have any views on how one could benefit from the current oil prices that may go up in the near future? I bought some oil related stocks last week - Seadrill, Ensco, National-Oilwell Varco and am trying to figure out more.

    I personally agree with you that the benefits of lower oil will not move the needle much for these restaurant and retail industries. I also think that the saving at the pump is perhaps $20-50 per month for most people. I don't think that people balance their monthly expenditure to this last $10 and will go order an extra dessert or go out for an extra meal to use the saving at the pump.
    Dec 7, 2014. 08:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Present Market Behavior Reminds Me Of The Past [View article]
    Paulo,
    Thanks for the article. Something to think about for sure...

    You write: "Then, too, a similar effect took place. Small-caps started underperforming at the tail end of 2007, and then the underperformance lasted until late 2009, when it suddenly reversed"

    Did you mean to say 1997 and 1999?
    Dec 7, 2014. 08:38 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Reasons I Prefer Dividend Growth Investing [View article]
    Thanks Doug. Much appreciated. I did add a little bit of Ensco and Seadrill last week. Obviously, these stocks are worthy of much debate and perhaps I was a bit too rash. Time will tell.

    I looked at MMM, JNJ and LMT quite a bit but found them quite expensive. I will look at your suggestions. Best wishes!
    Dec 6, 2014. 10:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Reasons I Prefer Dividend Growth Investing [View article]
    Thanks David and others for a great article and discussion. I recently got some bonus and have money to invest. I am looking for dividend growth stocks that are at decent valuations and attractive yields.

    Any suggestions for further investigation? Thanks again!
    Dec 6, 2014. 07:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Short Case For Strayer: Regulations Target Post-9/11 GI Bill Revenue [View article]
    Fair enough. I would personally not value the company at $25 like you do. I think it is headed closer to $90 as it is one of the strongest for-profit education stocks. It is recovering better than others and has been able to manage costs quite effectively.

    I think things will become clearer in the next 2 months as we get close to the 2014 full-year results in February 2015.
    Dec 3, 2014. 10:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Short Case For Strayer: Regulations Target Post-9/11 GI Bill Revenue [View article]
    Hmm. There is something wrong with your numbers. Strayer reported $3.12 EPS in first nine months. Are you thinking that it will report a loss of $2 in next quarter to get to an EPS of $1.35 for a P/E of 56?

    I don't think so. I think that the company will be closer to $4 of EPS for 2014 and the P/E will be less than 20. And in the next year, the EPS will be even higher - perhaps approach $5.50 and the 2015 forward P/E is less than 14.

    I see no basis in the article for the current valuation to be reported as 56x.
    http://bit.ly/1viJPd4
    Dec 3, 2014. 06:51 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • After Recent Price Drop, Fluor Looks Mighty Attractive [View article]
    Thanks for the article. Have you looked at AMEC Foster Wheeler as well?
    Dec 2, 2014. 07:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • North Atlantic Drilling: Fleet Analysis And Q3 Results [View article]
    TJ,

    I am with you but do remember that companies go bankrupt also. And some of them just wither away. The share price never recovers. Shipping companies for example. Investors did buy these shares as they were coming down. Frontiline (FRO) comes to mind. The share price never quite recover.

    I bought most of NADL at $10 before they listed on NYSE as NATDF at that point. I bought some more around $5 and again at $3.5. However, I plan to hold for now and not buy more. I do feel that both my SDRL and NADL will be dead. Most likely forever.... I think Fredriksen will move on to other companies.
    Dec 1, 2014. 10:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Turkish Stock Market: A Filter For Stocks In Turkey [View article]
    Hi Daniel,
    I can't figure out actually. A year ago, I liked Ford Otosan but not so much right now. I can't digest the growing Islamization of the Turkish society and the comments made by Recep Erdogan. I did buy some Ford (very few shares were bought out of my low limit order) a few months back but I am thinking of getting out now.
    Nov 29, 2014. 08:01 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Turkish Stock Market: A Filter For Stocks In Turkey [View article]
    Thanks for the article. Any views on Ford Otosan (FOVSY)?
    Nov 27, 2014. 11:28 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Turbocharge Dividend Growth [View article]
    Thanks for the article. Do you think there are stocks at good entry points right now?
    Nov 25, 2014. 08:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fluor: Industrial Construction Company Getting Rave Reviews [View article]
    Thanks for the article. I have been watching them for a few months now. I feel that over last 5 years, they have largely tracked S&P 500 and recently trailed quite a bit. Hopefully, future (3-5 years) will be better.

    What do you think of AMEC Foster Wheeler now that they will have an ADR (AMFW)? Larger dividends and globally more diversified perhaps? Thanks for any views/comments.
    Nov 23, 2014. 08:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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