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H. T. Love

 
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  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    Futurescarla: I know they are big and handle a lot of volume. I just came to conclude that the MM function they provide has algorithmic bots that put those bids and offers out there.

    Of course I guess that thousands of individual traders could be consistently doing 1/100th penny step changes all day long.

    And I guess when NITE comes in and matches the offer some of those thousands could immediately drop the offer 1/100th of a penny, often 30, 40, 50 consecutive steps with no change on the other side.

    Day after day, consistent as clockwork.

    It's just not the conclusion I would draw. Compare to NITE, CDEL and other large MMs. You don't see that behavior from them, except that the last few weeks NITE seems to have started trying to match ATDF on the offers like that.

    What would support it being predominately human driven is the somewhat infrequent occurrences of ATDF fighting with itself. It usually doesn't last long though.

    HardToLove
    Aug 23 07:56 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #273, August 15 2014 [View instapost]
    WWT: flooding is unlikely. The heat would create super-heated steam with a super-high positive pressure. The water would not be able to flow ... unless it was a *very*, *very*, big hole or crack admitting the water.

    No direct knowledge or scientific basis, but that's what I'm thinking.

    BTW, the rotation of the molten core is slowing and we will eventually lose our magnetic field that protects from radiation from space.

    So the flooding issue is probably not a concern anyway.

    HardToLove
    Aug 22 07:05 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    Dance: My memory aid is "bicycle" = two wheels, so anything that is "bi" is two of them.

    "Semi" is a split, so e.g. "semi-monthly" is twice monthly, "semi-circle" is ..

    HTH,
    HardToLove
    Aug 22 07:02 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    Nicu: "with bids of $0.0001 above the other guy"

    I suspect this is *not* "us". It's almost always ATDF, and recently NITE. I think ATDF is a "bot" trading program and NITE just started doing this the last few weeks, usual just competing with ATDF. NITE *could* be a "bot" or someone trying to just keep up with what ATDF does, maybe forcing ATDF to withdraw for short periods, which has happened off and on.

    Of course, I don't *know*, but I watch the action as closely as possible and these are the conclusions I've drawn.

    MHO,
    HardToLove
    Aug 22 06:59 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #273, August 15 2014 [View instapost]
    Just a continuing erosion of the power of contracts, both written and verbal.

    That, of course, is accomplished by a reduction in the "rule of law" and an increase in the "rule of men", which or forefathers feared a great deal.

    MHO,
    HardToLove
    Aug 22 03:48 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • REE/Strategic Minerals Concentrator, March 18, 2014 [View instapost]
    Motion: " I believe Lynas moving it's headquarters to Malaysia is part of this strategy, and talks with China-based investors have already happened".

    I'm not knowledgeable, but that was one of my thoughts when they announced the move.

    My thinking is that when the Malaysian operation is spun off to "return value to shareholders of Lynas", a major investor will be Chinese as the Aus government won't be able to nix the deal.

    HardToLove
    Aug 22 03:17 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    Yes. Recall that *descending* former resistance which is now support. That's what the lows look to be riding right now.

    Another short-term *rising* one is in place but as yet only origin and one touch, so we don't know if its valid or strong or not. Right now it is ~$1.62.

    I suspect today is the last of the profit takers who bought in that $1.55-$1.60 range. If so, should start to stabilize next week.

    In any case, I would think the $1.55 would be a near-term low if it decides to run lower. That's where I will bail if it gets close to it and looks nasty.

    HardToLove
    Aug 22 02:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    08/21/2014: EOD stuff partially copied from the blog (up now).
    # Trds: 44, MinTrSz: 150, MaxTrSz: 90000, Vol: 597450, AvTrSz: 13578
    Min. Pr: 0.0850, Max Pr: 0.0900, VW Avg. Tr. Pr: 0.0880
    # Buys, Shares: 22 189450, VW Avg Buy Pr: 0.0891
    # Sells, Shares: 22 408000, VW Avg Sell Pr: 0.0874
    # Unkn, Shares: 0 0, VW Avg Unk. Pr: 0.0000
    Buy:Sell 1:2.15 (31.71% "buys"), DlyShts 57000 (09.54%), Dly Sht % of 'sells' 13.97%

    We need to hire a new painter – the close was right in line with trading of the last half hour, which ranged from $0.0875 to $0.0896. Yes, there was a buy at 15:59:23 of 1,800 shares for $0.0896 but the four trades before it, latest to oldest, were $0-.0875 (15K), $0.0876 (10K),$0.0895 (10K) and $0.0895 (1k). These all happened from 15:56 to 15:59. The trade before that sequence was a sell at 15:28 of 25K for $0.0875.

    I continue to think there's a decent chance that for the moment the $0.085/6 potential support will hold up, due to negative signs weakening and next week we go into the period of the month when we've traditionally seen prices stabilize and even improve slightly sometimes.

    At last it looks like the low-volume days I thought would be needed to slow the descent are taking effect. Here's VWAP percentage changes 8/13 through ...

    There were really no outliers today.

    On the traditional TA front, we had a very narrow spread that resulted in a hammer, indicating a bullish reversal 60% of the time, only a bit better than random, according to Bulkowski. Unfortunately he also notes that when reversal does occur the rise is not very strong, “... ranking 65 out of 103 candles where 1 is best”. We also have four consecutive days of lower highs and two of those days with lower lows. Today had rising volume on a lower trading range and now six consecutive days of lower VWAP. I think this supports the weak appreciation if we do get a reversal.

    However, the Bollinger band lower extreme, $0.0846, has contacted our low now. This offers the possibility that a tendency to revert to the mid-point may show up. With the upper extreme at $0.1114 the mid-point would be ~$0.093. The limits are still widely spread and converging (upper dropping significantly faster), so the mid-point will change.

    The adjusted trend lines' resistance today is ~$0.102 and the support is ~$0.076. So our current trading range is almost smack-dab in the middle right now. So this doesn't add ...

    The 600K $0.085 bid from NITE appeared today at 12:28. Again, ...

    My non-traditional stuff remains negative but the move towards less negativity continues. My original ...

    There were two AH trades for 10K shares that FINRA-reported daily short sales don't include. Adding that to the FINRA trade volume ...

    Daily short percentage had its second day of (very small) increase now. I think this indicates the effects of the high-volume wide-spread days are now fading. I expect a sizable jump up in the percentage either today or tomorrow if volume remains low and/or spread stays relatively “tight”. Consider that “real” short could be slightly higher as noted in the prior paragraph.

    The larger trades (>= 15K) occurred on 13 of the 44 trades, 29.55%. These 396,323 shares were 66.34% of day's volume, and traded at a VWAP of $0.0879. 4 of the larger trades, ...

    The other 31 trades, 70.45% of the day's trades, traded 201,127 shares, 33.66% of the days volume. The VWAP was $0.0880. 18 trades, ...

    The usual is in the blog here.
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    HardToLove
    Aug 22 12:33 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    Pre-market, very unusual, sell of 24.5K for $0.0853 with NITE best on both sides @ $0.0853/$0.091 and 10K on both sides.

    Also unusual, and significance unknown, we had 2 x 5K trades last night AH for $0.0896 and then $0.0897. These don't appear in the FINRA REG SHO EOD short sales volumes.

    HardToLove
    P.S. this A.M.'s 24.5K will not appear in tonight's REG SHO EOD summary either.
    Aug 22 08:48 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 360 August 22 '14: 10-Q For Q1 2014; S-1 For $15MM Share Issuance; Changed Loan, IP-Secured MDA; David DiGiacinto Appointed Chairman And CEO [View instapost]
    Could rip off that Capital One ad: "Watts in Your Wallet? More Green!".

    HardToLove
    Aug 22 08:27 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    BTW, FYI the low yesterday and today are riding atop the descending support that was potential resistance.

    I'm thinking it should start to move up and away in a day or two.

    /xx<--- fingers crossed.

    HardToLove
    Aug 21 02:01 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    Yes, I really don't think the move is over with just three days. I think it's the gig-zag behavior needed to flush out the short-term profit taking before another part of the leg up starts.

    Could be wrong on that though.

    HardToLove
    Aug 21 01:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    I was trying to keep up with AXPW and CPST and missed the opportunity. But I'll give it a bit more in hopes it's going to make another stab up into that $1.8x area.

    HardToLove
    Aug 21 01:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    I'm glad to see they beat out BYD, the Chinese maker that got some stuff in California.


    HardToLove
    Aug 21 01:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    D Lane: I don't think the LG Chem article is responsible *if* it's from today, because our moves tarted a few days back. I couldn't find a date there, so I've no way to guess if it's the case or not.

    HardToLove
    Aug 21 12:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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