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H. T. Love

 
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  • Axion Power Concentrator 388: Jan. 31, 2015 [View instapost]
    01/29/2015: EOD stuff partially copied from blog (up now).
    # Trds: 176, MinTrSz: 1, MaxTrSz: 9000, Vol: 96502, AvTrSz: 548
    Min. Pr: 0.5500, Max Pr: 0.6498, VW Avg. Tr. Pr: 0.5838
    # Buys, Shares: 90 55268, VW Avg Buy Pr: 0.5933
    # Sells, Shares: 85 38034, VW Avg Sell Pr: 0.5715
    # Unkn, Shares: 1 3200, VW Avg Unk. Pr: 0.5650
    Buy:Sell 1.45:1 (57.27% "buys"), DlyShts 23885 (24.75%), Dly Sht % of 'sells' 62.80%

    VWAP +15.63%, volume ~96K, buy percentage ~57.3%, daily short percentage 24.3% and on the rise, average trade size looking good, inflection point calculations doing decent things, ... In just three days since the VWAP low of $0.3734 on 1/26 we've risen to $$0.5838, a 56.34% gain.

    So naturally my TFH rears it's ugly head (or more accurately engulfs my ugly head). I'm suspecting our push down was due to the nefarious forces we've (all?) speculated about for some time and now the “unseen support crew” may have returned to do battle. Letting the TFH go wild, the support crew's first attempts were not as successful as desired so maybe they withdrew for a strategy session (another Hitler video would be a good fit here) and decided that the only important time for the price range was as we approached things like the “cashless conversion” window. Further, in the earlier attempt at support ...

    OK TFH! Back in the hat box before you start sounding like a loony (no intended slight to our northern neighbor's currency).

    Similar to yesterday's VWAP, it stayed reasonably flat most of the day (through ...

    Yesterday almost all my newer inflection point calculations were “coming up roses” as the ...

    That feeling continues today. Note that the longer inflection point calculation periods all weakened today even as the two shorter periods continued to strengthen. At this time I wouldn't worry about it as volume is returning to reasonable levels and the “tail” of these periods are dropping some values, ...

    Yesterday I noted the only caveat about what we were seeing was that the move may have been excessive because of the PR about the marketing agreement. Today I don't think it was that. I think it is the return of our “unseen support crew”. The timing is right and ...

    Note in the following that some of the movements are starting to look more normal, a good thing IMO.

    Today's low, high, VWAP, trade volume, and daily short sales moved 42.86%, -7.17%, 15.63%, -65.08% and -61.06%. Price spread today was 18.15% vs. 81.82%, 16.22%, 15.94%, 9.94%, 36.49%, 20.26%, 14.60%, 10.82% and 27.13% on prior days.

    The larger trades (>= 500) occurred on 60 of the 176 trades, 34.09%. These 78,588 shares were 81.44% of day's volume, and traded at a VWAP of $0.5856. 37 of ...

    The other 116 trades, 65.91%, traded 17,914 shares, 18.56% of the days volume. The VWAP was $0.5757. 53 trades ...

    The usual is in the blog here.
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    HardToLove
    Jan 31, 2015. 12:46 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    This is Wednesday's post.

    01/28/2015: EOD stuff partially copied from blog (up now).
    # Trds: 633, MinTrSz: 1, MaxTrSz: 8700, Vol: 276328, AvTrSz: 437
    Min. Pr: 0.3850, Max Pr: 0.7000, VW Avg. Tr. Pr: 0.5049
    # Buys, Shares: 377 195803, VW Avg Buy Pr: 0.5266
    # Sells, Shares: 199 64105, VW Avg Sell Pr: 0.4571
    # Unkn, Shares: 57 16420, VW Avg Unk. Pr: 0.4316
    Buy:Sell 3.05:1 (70.86% "buys"), DlyShts 61337 (22.20%), Dly Sht % of 'sells' 95.68%

    Yesterday I noted we had some good positives all around and opined I suspected we may have a positive trend in place that might have some staying power, possibly supported by the recent change in daily short percentages too as they have been making halting moves towards what I (used to?) think of as normal ranges. This view was further supported by rising volume and a +06.15% VWAP, after a long down trend that had a few really nasty drops included. Further, buy percentage was “decent”.

    We also had a nice uptrend in VWAP through 13:43, with some decent buy percentages, before weakening of VWAP began. That weakening VWAP was on volume only 19.39% of the day's trading, meaning the rise or flat behavior prior was ~90% of the day's volume. This broke the seven of nine days' trend of the high at the opening trade and, generally, weakening thereafter.

    This was before today's news of the marketing arrangement.

    With today's action, in summary, I suspect we have at least a brief respite from the long “Never Ending Story” of down, down, down. How long might this interlude last? Can't say, but for the moment there's again a lot of positive indications.

    The larger trades' VWAP spread between buys and sells was unusually large today. This seems to be an effect of the fact that the heavy buying and (excessive?) price appreciation didn't occur until the last hour (began at 15:01) and then took 51.75% of the day's trading volume with a buy percentage ...

    Yesterday, among other things, I mentioned that for the third consecutive day the newer inflection point one-day readings had improved and the shortest period was very close to the neutral reading and could go positive, without a big negative change in volume and/or buy percentage. VWAP and buy percentages both had been improving and buy percentages were in “reasonable ranges” for the last four days.

    Today almost all those newer calculations are “coming up roses” as the 5, 10, 25 and 100-day periods got positive readings. This was an effect of both a good buy percentage (~70.9%) and very good volume (~276K, ~13.8MM pre-split equivalent, if you ignore the dollar equivalent. Today's dollar value traded was only $139,508.61, a decent portion of which may have been MMs double trading I think).

    Looking at the charts, the newer inflection points are showing the pattern I look for. Since this move has been several days in the making, and not just a one-day “pop” that has no explanation, I'm feeling cautiously optimistic about it.

    Even the original version's chart is showing the beginnings of the pattern.

    In both cases, we need to see follow-through though.

    The only caveat, in my mind, is that the move may have been excessive because of the PR about the marketing agreement. If it was really only a result of that ...

    Today's low, high, VWAP, trade volume, and daily short sales moved 4.05%, 62.79%, 27.36%, 158.94% and 176.55%. Price spread today was 81.82% vs. 16.22%, 15.94%, 9.94%, 36.49%, 20.26%, 14.60%, 10.82%, 27.13% and 16.48% on prior days.

    See the note above about the larger trades' VWAP spread.

    The larger trades (>= 500) occurred on 141 of the 633 trades, 22.27%. These 201,614 shares were 72.96% of day's volume, and traded at a VWAP of $0.5071. 103 ...

    The other 492 trades, 77.73%, traded 74,714 shares, 27.04% of the days volume. The VWAP was $0.4988. 274 trades ...

    The usual is in the blog here.
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    HardToLove
    Jan 29, 2015. 07:20 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    Well, after five days of trying to break through my descending resistance lines (yes, two of them to get through), it might make it today.

    I really thought it wouldn't make it on this first try, and it's not yet a done deal. If it closes above today and repeats tomorrow, on at least rising, if not "good" volume, I think it can run up a bit.

    MHO,
    HardToLove
    Jan 29, 2015. 12:14 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A speculative play on UQM [View instapost]
    "apparently has their own motors"

    Yes. They have an integrated electronically controlled and shifted motor and two-speed transmission. The whole unit can be picked up by one person.

    For the garbage trucks I suspect uneven terrain and heavy loads need more torque than available from a single/dual motor setup. Also could be handy to drive all the wheels in slippery conditions - the usual ice, snow and when entering large unkempt and unruly landfills after a west coast deluge, although I'm not sure anything helps in that latter scenario.

    HardToLove
    Jan 28, 2015. 05:58 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    This is Tuesday's stuff, due to concurrent AFK (away from keyboard) and volume surge making everything more onerous for me.

    01/27/2015: EOD stuff partially copied from blog (up now).
    # Trds: 235, MinTrSz: 45, MaxTrSz: 8900, Vol: 106717, AvTrSz: 454
    Min. Pr: 0.3700, Max Pr: 0.4300, VW Avg. Tr. Pr: 0.3964
    # Buys, Shares: 73 43973, VW Avg Buy Pr: 0.4033
    # Sells, Shares: 136 53844, VW Avg Sell Pr: 0.3919
    # Unkn, Shares: 26 8900, VW Avg Unk. Pr: 0.3893
    Buy:Sell 1:1.22 (41.21% "buys"), DlyShts 22179 (20.78%), Dly Sht % of 'sells' 41.19%

    Some good positives all around today. Let's hope we don't experience another attack on share price or tanking of volume. If it wasn't for our history I could get excited, but that phase has passed for me.

    Yesterday, volume rose 10.6% and VWAP dropped, -2.88%. Volume was again well above the prior day's averages for 10, 25, 50 and 100 days. Today we got very good volume well above yesterday's 10, 25, 50 and 100-day averages of 67.20K, 49.50K, 43.51K and 45.34K respectively, with a VWAP improvement of 06.15% and buy percentage that was “decent” at 41.2%.

    Now that's what I'm talking about!

    A significant behavioral change? The low of the day was set on the first trade (instead of the last or mid-day as had been the pattern recently), and supported by only two trades of small volume near the low in the first few minutes of trading. Moreover, the high of the day occurred late in the lunch hour and was supported by trading at or near the price both before and after the high was set.

    Looking at the trading breakdown by time you can see a nice uptrend in VWAP through 13:43, with some ...

    Yesterday I noted my newer inflection point calculations were still in the condition of not showing strengthening, but only reducing weakening, but they were on track towards strengthening ...

    Well, now for the third consecutive day, on mostly good and improving (second day now) volume, the newer inflection point one-day readings continue to show reducing weakening. Further, the shortest period is very close to the neutral reading and could go positive, without a big negative change in volume and/or buy percentage. VWAP has gone from strong down moves to reducing down moves and now to an up move. Buy percentages have been both improving and in “reasonable ranges” for the last four days (20.16%, 36.02%, 58.61%, 58.80% and 41.21%).

    I suspect we may have a positive trend in place that might, I stress “might”, have some staying power. This may be supported by the recent change in daily short percentages too as ...

    Today's low, high, VWAP, trade volume, and daily short sales moved 7.25%, 7.50%, 06.15%, 10.70% and 89.42%. Price spread today was 16.22% vs. 15.94%, 9.94%, 36.49%, 20.26%, 14.60%, 10.82%, 27.13%, 16.48% and 9.64% on prior days.

    The larger trades (>= 500) occurred on 57 of the 235 trades, 24.26%. These 77,959 shares were 73.05% of day's volume, and traded at a VWAP of $0.3959. 27 of ...

    The other 178 trades, 75.74%, traded 28,758 shares, 26.95% of the days volume. The VWAP was $0.3979. 46 trades ...

    The usual is in the blog here.
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    HardToLove
    Jan 28, 2015. 05:42 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    Maya: The only AH trade was 100 shares at $0.52 at 16:08:26. Best b/a is still show $0.521/$0.70.

    Until recently, the bids and asks used to disappear completely after the close.

    Today is a change.

    HardToLove
    Jan 28, 2015. 05:37 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    Here ya' go.

    "Axion Power Signs Broad Marketing, Sales and Reselling Agreement with Pacific Energy Ventures LLC"
    http://tinyurl.com/o2q...

    HardToLove
    Jan 28, 2015. 08:33 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    01/26/2015: EOD stuff partially copied from blog (up now).
    # Trds: 233, MinTrSz: 1, MaxTrSz: 7000, Vol: 96405, AvTrSz: 414
    Min. Pr: 0.3450, Max Pr: 0.4000, VW Avg. Tr. Pr: 0.3734
    # Buys, Shares: 118 56683, VW Avg Buy Pr: 0.3729
    # Sells, Shares: 93 34648, VW Avg Sell Pr: 0.3745
    # Unkn, Shares: 22 5074, VW Avg Unk. Pr: 0.3716
    Buy:Sell 1.64:1 (58.80% "buys"), DlyShts 11709 (12.15%), Dly Sht % of 'sells' 33.79%

    Yesterday, after noting some positives, I complained that it was too bad the volume went the opposite direction though, falling as other things looked more positive for a change. I wondered if maybe was it was just a “Friday effect”. Apparently so. Today volume rose 10.6% and VWAP dropped, -2.88%. SNAFU! Volume is again well above yesterday's averages for 10, 25, 50 and 100 days, respectively, of 49.62K, 43.81K, 41.96K and 43.40.

    I wondered “Have the attacks on share price ceased or just taken a temporary hiatus?”. Looking at the trading breakdown by arbitrary times, I would say it was just a “hiatus”. VWAP action was almost exclusively down until 14:48 when a rise occurred heading towards the close. This rise was on 20,250 shares traded, 21.01% of the day's volume.

    Well we're back to some of the SOS: high of the day was set on the first trade, a sell of 2,060 for $0.40. So this makes it seven of nine days. The low was set by six sells for $0.3450 totaling 901 shares between 11:00 and 11:14, inclusive. We closed at $0.3600 on a 400-share sell at 16:00. Prices leading into it were $0.37 or greater for 15 minutes, but falling from $0.39 to $0.3701 on 6,500 shares traded just prior to the close. Looked like a well-orchestrated attack on the closing action.

    Regarding my inflection point calculations I ended with “... we can only read reduced weakening from them, not yet strengthening”. They are still in that condition even though we have two consecutive days with reducing weakening indicated. However, they are on track since we also have a second day where VWAP declined only a small amount instead of the three days of down ~13%, ~21% and ~23% we had seen.

    Today's low, high, VWAP, trade volume, and daily short sales moved -9.23%, -4.28%, -02.88%, 10.60% and -38.18%. Price spread today was 15.94% vs. 9.94%, 36.49%, 20.26%, 14.60%, 10.82%, 27.13%, 16.48%, 9.64% and 7.22% on prior days.

    The larger trades (>= 500) occurred on 55 of the 233 trades, 23.61%. These 70,832 shares were 73.47% of day's volume, and traded at a VWAP of $0.3755. 36 of the ...

    The other 178 trades, 76.39%, traded 25,573 shares, 26.53% of the days volume. The VWAP was $0.3677. 82 trades ...

    The usual is in the blog here.
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    HardToLove
    Jan 27, 2015. 08:53 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #277, January 7, 2015 [View instapost]
    "experts"

    Ex = has been, "spurt" = drip under pressure

    Expert = a has-been drip under pressure.

    :-))

    HardToLove
    Jan 26, 2015. 07:50 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #277, January 7, 2015 [View instapost]
    With a 2% target for inflation, explains why they react so strongly if inflation is above that. An assured nice 4% real yield is nice for them. Now, why does deflation cause such a reaction in the Fed? You'd think a real yield higher than 4% would be attractive? I have no answer on that related to the by-law 6% dividend.

    HardToLove
    Jan 26, 2015. 10:45 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    Rick: I suspect that cause of death hadn't been determined since the date of death and the article had the same date on it.

    HardToLove
    Jan 25, 2015. 06:46 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    Amouna: I wondered because the article mentioned he shoveled his mothers walk the day before.

    When younger I lived in Denver Colorado and it used to be warned every year how many heart attacks were attributed to shoveling sidewalks and driveways.

    HardToLove
    Jan 25, 2015. 05:18 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Axion Power Concentrator 387: Jan. 25, 2015 [View instapost]
    Amouna: " I mean this is it".

    I would be surprised if the other BOD members weren't on-board with his plans and activities. CEOs and other important management exit unexpectedly all the time and the corporations, public and private, usually soldier on.

    This is no different. The problems existing before are still there, as are any solutions.

    DDGs departure doesn't, in and of itself exacerbate nor ameliorate them. Those effects will accrue as a result of the competency and actions of those remaining and those they bring on board.

    MHO,
    HardToLove
    Jan 25, 2015. 04:41 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #277, January 7, 2015 [View instapost]
    Since oil is a primary cost component of extracting or producing many commodities, our capitalist and aggressive economic system should be taking advantage of the lower costs to both increase margin while lowering cost and gaining or maintaining market share.

    This results in a "natural" deflationary force, which I think is the "good deflation".

    Unfortunately, it just sets us up for the next blow to the noggin as we always overshoot everything, thanks to unstable monetary environments, IMO.

    When? Who knows, but we know will will happen.

    MHO,
    HardToLove
    Jan 25, 2015. 04:33 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stability Of The European Union (23) January 1, 2015. [View instapost]
    Is that with or without a "wedding"? ;-))

    HardToLove
    Jan 25, 2015. 04:24 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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