<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>Hamlet Capital - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>© seekingalpha.com. Use of this feed is limited to personal, non-commercial use and is governed by Seeking Alpha's Terms of Use (http://seekingalpha.com/page/terms-of-use). Publishing this feed for public or commercial use and/or misrepresentation by a third party is prohibited.</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital</link>
    <item>
      <title>Municipal Bonds: Risks And Rewards</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1096261-municipal-bonds-risks-and-rewards?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1096261</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The broad appeal of municipal bonds to income investors has always been their exemption from federal tax and, in some cases, state and local taxes. Recent national tax developments which subject 77 percent of U.S. households to higher <a href="http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/American-Taxpayer-Relief-Act.cfm" rel="nofollow">levies</a> make municipal bonds look all the more attractive. States and municipalities are expected, per average <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-03/tax-rate-boost-sustains-longest-rally-in-five-years-muni-credit.html" rel="nofollow">estimates</a>, to issue $386 billion worth of bonds in 2013, up more than 9 percent on the previous year. In 2012, tax-<span>exempts </span>earned 7.3 percent, a 330 percent advantage over Treasuries. Despite these impressive rewards, some have legitimate doubts about continued gains.</p><p>Bill Gross, co-founder of bond fund giant <span>PIMCO</span>, recently <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-04/gross-cautious-on-municipal-bonds-as-tax-benefit-debate-looms.html" rel="nofollow">revealed</a> his firm is in a holding pattern over municipal bonds. Though <span>PIMCO </span>had more than doubled its municipal debt holdings in the third quarter, Gross indicated he would not be a buyer until the &amp;quot;cloud&amp;quot; over proposed limits to</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 06 Jan 2013 00:45:23 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>The broad appeal of municipal bonds to income investors has always been their exemption from federal tax and, in some cases, state and local taxes. Recent national tax developments which subject 77 percent of U.S. households to higher <a href="http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/American-Taxpayer-Relief-Act.cfm" rel="nofollow">levies</a> make municipal bonds look all the more attractive. States and municipalities are expected, per average <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-03/tax-rate-boost-sustains-longest-rally-in-five-years-muni-credit.html" rel="nofollow">estimates</a>, to issue $386 billion worth of bonds in 2013, up more than 9 percent on the previous year. In 2012, tax-<span>exempts </span>earned 7.3 percent, a 330 percent advantage over Treasuries. Despite these impressive rewards, some have legitimate doubts about continued gains.</p><p>Bill Gross, co-founder of bond fund giant <span>PIMCO</span>, recently <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-04/gross-cautious-on-municipal-bonds-as-tax-benefit-debate-looms.html" rel="nofollow">revealed</a> his firm is in a holding pattern over municipal bonds. Though <span>PIMCO </span>had more than doubled its municipal debt holdings in the third quarter, Gross indicated he would not be a buyer until the &amp;quot;cloud&amp;quot; over proposed limits to</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1096261-municipal-bonds-risks-and-rewards?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mub">MUB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/shm">SHM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tfi">TFI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Grow Your Portfolio With Fertilizer</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1094511-grow-your-portfolio-with-fertilizer?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1094511</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Without fertilizer, the world as we know it would not exist. Increasing population and decreasing arable land have helped make fertilizer a critical component of modern civilization. It is with this in mind that leads investors to examine fertilizer producers as a viable, income generating possibility. Consider the following three companies.</p><p><strong>Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot' title='Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.'>POT</a>)</strong>, by far the largest of the three with a market capital of $35.6 billion, produces and markets fertilizers and feed products in the U.S. and Canada. A potash miner founded in 1953, its emphasis is on solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, but has substantial interests in nitrogen fertilizers and feed. Potash Corp. has considerable development claims in Saskatchewan and New Brunswick. Recently, the company slowed production on account of high inventories, but it still expects demand to increase by an eighth in 2013.</p><p><strong>Rentech Nitrogen Partners (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rnf' title='Rentech Nitrogen Partners, L.P.'>RNF</a>)</strong> is a smaller-capital producer of</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 04 Jan 2013 06:53:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>Without fertilizer, the world as we know it would not exist. Increasing population and decreasing arable land have helped make fertilizer a critical component of modern civilization. It is with this in mind that leads investors to examine fertilizer producers as a viable, income generating possibility. Consider the following three companies.</p><p><strong>Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot' title='Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.'>POT</a>)</strong>, by far the largest of the three with a market capital of $35.6 billion, produces and markets fertilizers and feed products in the U.S. and Canada. A potash miner founded in 1953, its emphasis is on solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, but has substantial interests in nitrogen fertilizers and feed. Potash Corp. has considerable development claims in Saskatchewan and New Brunswick. Recently, the company slowed production on account of high inventories, but it still expects demand to increase by an eighth in 2013.</p><p><strong>Rentech Nitrogen Partners (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rnf' title='Rentech Nitrogen Partners, L.P.'>RNF</a>)</strong> is a smaller-capital producer of</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1094511-grow-your-portfolio-with-fertilizer?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot">POT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rnf">RNF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uan">UAN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Whither Copper?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092601-whither-copper?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1092601</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Accordi<span>ng to the analys</span>ts discussed herein, copper's weakness in 2012 is not likely to be repeated. <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20121205-709528.html" rel="nofollow">Goldman Sachs</a><span>,</span> RBC Capital and BNP Paribas <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20121210-706558.html" rel="nofollow">anticipate</a> improvements in Chinese construction, U.S. housing and development in emerging economies will boost copper prices. Morgan Stanley <a href="http://www.commodityintelligence.com/weekly/2012/October19-12.pdf" rel="nofollow">wrote</a> of strength in China's power infrastructure and projected increases in appliance and auto production that will keep demand high. According to official <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324712504578133562470072342.html" rel="nofollow">estimates</a> by Antaike, demand is likely to recover in 2013 because of recently-announced infrastructure projects in China.</p><p>Goldman's forecast of $3.62 per pound copper by April and $4.08 by July were tempered by others recognizing high inventories. Barclays <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323820104578213882378349250.html" rel="nofollow">e<span>xpects</span></a><span> c</span>opper prices to average $3.59 in 2013 on account of high stockpiles in China and increased mine supply. They noted higher prices will be difficult to sustain without consistently stronger Chinese demand. Commerzbank observed that moderate inflation</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2013 08:17:02 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>Accordi<span>ng to the analys</span>ts discussed herein, copper's weakness in 2012 is not likely to be repeated. <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20121205-709528.html" rel="nofollow">Goldman Sachs</a><span>,</span> RBC Capital and BNP Paribas <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20121210-706558.html" rel="nofollow">anticipate</a> improvements in Chinese construction, U.S. housing and development in emerging economies will boost copper prices. Morgan Stanley <a href="http://www.commodityintelligence.com/weekly/2012/October19-12.pdf" rel="nofollow">wrote</a> of strength in China's power infrastructure and projected increases in appliance and auto production that will keep demand high. According to official <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324712504578133562470072342.html" rel="nofollow">estimates</a> by Antaike, demand is likely to recover in 2013 because of recently-announced infrastructure projects in China.</p><p>Goldman's forecast of $3.62 per pound copper by April and $4.08 by July were tempered by others recognizing high inventories. Barclays <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323820104578213882378349250.html" rel="nofollow">e<span>xpects</span></a><span> c</span>opper prices to average $3.59 in 2013 on account of high stockpiles in China and increased mine supply. They noted higher prices will be difficult to sustain without consistently stronger Chinese demand. Commerzbank observed that moderate inflation</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092601-whither-copper?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jjc">JJC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/abx">ABX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anfgy.pk">ANFGY.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fcx">FCX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rio">RIO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/scco">SCCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tck">TCK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tgb">TGB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vale">VALE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xsray.pk">XSRAY.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Have Uranium Miners Hit Rock Bottom?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1089821-have-uranium-miners-hit-rock-bottom?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1089821</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Almost two years after the Fukushima nuclear disaster, uranium miners are still struggling. Spot prices for uranium are less than a third of their 2007 highs while volumes have been dismal. Power generators have sufficient near-term inventories and a jump in the spot price can't be anticipated any time soon. Reaction to Fukushima has sparked a backlash against nuclear power, with <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-germany-energy-nuclear-idUSTRE73330H20110404" rel="nofollow">Germany</a> planning to phase out all of its nuclear generators by 2022, and <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/17/us-france-nuclear-tests-idUSTRE7AG0HQ20111117" rel="nofollow">France</a> debating a measure to close 24 reactors by 2025. But even in this environment, the future of uranium is not all bleak and opportunities exist for long-term growth.</p><p>The World Nuclear Association <a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/reactors.html" rel="nofollow">reports</a> that 65 reactors worldwide are presently under construction, with an additional 485 either planned or proposed. Most of that development is from China, India and Russia, which combined are building 46 new reactors with a staggering 273 plants planned</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 01 Jan 2013 23:36:18 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>Almost two years after the Fukushima nuclear disaster, uranium miners are still struggling. Spot prices for uranium are less than a third of their 2007 highs while volumes have been dismal. Power generators have sufficient near-term inventories and a jump in the spot price can't be anticipated any time soon. Reaction to Fukushima has sparked a backlash against nuclear power, with <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-germany-energy-nuclear-idUSTRE73330H20110404" rel="nofollow">Germany</a> planning to phase out all of its nuclear generators by 2022, and <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/17/us-france-nuclear-tests-idUSTRE7AG0HQ20111117" rel="nofollow">France</a> debating a measure to close 24 reactors by 2025. But even in this environment, the future of uranium is not all bleak and opportunities exist for long-term growth.</p><p>The World Nuclear Association <a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/reactors.html" rel="nofollow">reports</a> that 65 reactors worldwide are presently under construction, with an additional 485 either planned or proposed. Most of that development is from China, India and Russia, which combined are building 46 new reactors with a staggering 273 plants planned</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1089821-have-uranium-miners-hit-rock-bottom?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ccj">CCJ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ura">URA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/palaf.pk">PALAF.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sxrzf.pk">SXRZF.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>New Seizures By Morales Highlight Bolivia Risk</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1087431-new-seizures-by-morales-highlight-bolivia-risk?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1087431</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>True to form, Bolivian President Evo Morales on <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dfc4fb26-51e5-11e2-abb6-00144feab49a.html#axzz2GTJ2LWJT" rel="nofollow">Saturday</a> <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/29/bolivia-iberdrola-idUSL1E8NT0XB20121229" rel="nofollow">nationalized</a> two electric distribution companies, Electropaz and Elfeo, owned by Spanish utility Iberdrola. Since 2006, Morales has by decree nationalized energy, mining, communications and power generation companies in his bid to shake off European and American influence in Bolivia. This latest manifestation of <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/1085891-mining-stocks-and-resource-nationalism">resource nationalism</a> is hardly surprising, with previous asset seizures affecting France's GDF Suez, U.K.-based Rurelec and Spain's Red Electrica. Remaining foreign mining interests were put on notice in June 2012, when commodity giant Glencore, through subsidiaries, lost tin and zinc assets. Morales, who <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/dec/20/evo-morales-bolivia-mayan-apocalypse" rel="nofollow">marked</a> the summer solstice by sailing across Lake Titicaca in a reed ship, announced recently the beginning of a new era of peace and love.</p><p>Risk consultants <a href="http://maplecroft.com/about/news/resource_nationalism_ft.html" rel="nofollow">Maplecroft</a> classified Bolivia, along with Venezuela, Guinea, Zimbabwe and the Democratic Republic of Congo, as extreme risks in terms of resource nationalism. Bolivia has</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 31 Dec 2012 02:59:54 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>True to form, Bolivian President Evo Morales on <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dfc4fb26-51e5-11e2-abb6-00144feab49a.html#axzz2GTJ2LWJT" rel="nofollow">Saturday</a> <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/29/bolivia-iberdrola-idUSL1E8NT0XB20121229" rel="nofollow">nationalized</a> two electric distribution companies, Electropaz and Elfeo, owned by Spanish utility Iberdrola. Since 2006, Morales has by decree nationalized energy, mining, communications and power generation companies in his bid to shake off European and American influence in Bolivia. This latest manifestation of <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/1085891-mining-stocks-and-resource-nationalism">resource nationalism</a> is hardly surprising, with previous asset seizures affecting France's GDF Suez, U.K.-based Rurelec and Spain's Red Electrica. Remaining foreign mining interests were put on notice in June 2012, when commodity giant Glencore, through subsidiaries, lost tin and zinc assets. Morales, who <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/dec/20/evo-morales-bolivia-mayan-apocalypse" rel="nofollow">marked</a> the summer solstice by sailing across Lake Titicaca in a reed ship, announced recently the beginning of a new era of peace and love.</p><p>Risk consultants <a href="http://maplecroft.com/about/news/resource_nationalism_ft.html" rel="nofollow">Maplecroft</a> classified Bolivia, along with Venezuela, Guinea, Zimbabwe and the Democratic Republic of Congo, as extreme risks in terms of resource nationalism. Bolivia has</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1087431-new-seizures-by-morales-highlight-bolivia-risk?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cde">CDE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/paas">PAAS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Mining Stocks And Resource Nationalism</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1085891-mining-stocks-and-resource-nationalism?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1085891</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>When it comes to assessing mining equities, some analysts often cite low P/E valuations as positive, without explaining why they are low. While standard metrics can be useful, the jurisdictions of miners' operations is increasingly important to a comprehensive analysis. Resource nationalism, the tendency of states to assert control over their domestic natural resources, is seen as a growing trend for 2013.</p><p>A recent study by <a href="http://maplecroft.com/about/news/resource_nationalism_ft.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Maplecroft</a>, a risk management consultancy, ranks nations in their potential for resource nationalism. Speaking to the <a href="http://video.ft.com/v/2041152466001/Resource-nationalism-subtle-moves" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Financial Times</a>, Associate Director James Smither explained that this trend does not necessarily have to come in the form of outright expropriation. Increasingly, governments have employed more &amp;quot;subtle measures,&amp;quot; he said, those which are easier for politicians to defend and harder for companies to oppose. The imposition of increased royalties and taxes and stringent requirements for local procurement of labor and services all qualify as manifestations</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 28 Dec 2012 15:14:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>When it comes to assessing mining equities, some analysts often cite low P/E valuations as positive, without explaining why they are low. While standard metrics can be useful, the jurisdictions of miners' operations is increasingly important to a comprehensive analysis. Resource nationalism, the tendency of states to assert control over their domestic natural resources, is seen as a growing trend for 2013.</p><p>A recent study by <a href="http://maplecroft.com/about/news/resource_nationalism_ft.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Maplecroft</a>, a risk management consultancy, ranks nations in their potential for resource nationalism. Speaking to the <a href="http://video.ft.com/v/2041152466001/Resource-nationalism-subtle-moves" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Financial Times</a>, Associate Director James Smither explained that this trend does not necessarily have to come in the form of outright expropriation. Increasingly, governments have employed more &amp;quot;subtle measures,&amp;quot; he said, those which are easier for politicians to defend and harder for companies to oppose. The imposition of increased royalties and taxes and stringent requirements for local procurement of labor and services all qualify as manifestations</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1085891-mining-stocks-and-resource-nationalism?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/abx">ABX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aem">AEM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/au">AU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/auy">AUY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bvn">BVN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cde">CDE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ego">EGO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fcx">FCX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gfi">GFI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gg">GG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gold">GOLD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gss">GSS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hl">HL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmy">HMY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iag">IAG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/kgc">KGC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nem">NEM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/paas">PAAS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ssri">SSRI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/swc">SWC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Aussie Dollar And Real Estate</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1083781-the-aussie-dollar-and-real-estate?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1083781</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>With slower-trending indicators from Australia, including sluggish retail sales, falling company profits, continued manufacturing contraction and diminishing job demand, the Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, responded to <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/lowdown-on-falling-interest-rates/story-e6frg6n6-1226529270753" rel="nofollow">calls</a> from industry, finance and some media to lower interest rates. Lackluster data and <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-12-19/kohler-currency-wars/4435690" rel="nofollow">frustration</a> with zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) of the worlds' largest central banks, led to a recent modest quarter-point cash rate cut to 3.0%. While <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-08-23/stevens-sees-mining-boom-peak-in-2013-14-while-rba-ready-to-act" rel="nofollow">recognizing</a> that Australia is at or near the peak of its mining boom, "the highest such peak in at least a century", RBA Governor Glenn Stev<span>ens ha</span>s taken great pains recently to explain why the RBA is not about to join its larger counterparts in devaluing its curren<span>cy, the Australian dollar &#40;AUD&#41;</span>.</p><p>In recent <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2012/sp-gov-121212.html" rel="nofollow">speeches</a> and a rare <a href="http://www.afr.com/p/national/economy/full_transcript_of_interview_with_INJhJlV6h1ucNaYmJN8RSP" rel="nofollow">interview</a>, Stevens maintained that it would be costly to attempt active measures to drive down the exchange rate,</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 27 Dec 2012 07:36:35 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>With slower-trending indicators from Australia, including sluggish retail sales, falling company profits, continued manufacturing contraction and diminishing job demand, the Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, responded to <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/lowdown-on-falling-interest-rates/story-e6frg6n6-1226529270753" rel="nofollow">calls</a> from industry, finance and some media to lower interest rates. Lackluster data and <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-12-19/kohler-currency-wars/4435690" rel="nofollow">frustration</a> with zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) of the worlds' largest central banks, led to a recent modest quarter-point cash rate cut to 3.0%. While <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-08-23/stevens-sees-mining-boom-peak-in-2013-14-while-rba-ready-to-act" rel="nofollow">recognizing</a> that Australia is at or near the peak of its mining boom, "the highest such peak in at least a century", RBA Governor Glenn Stev<span>ens ha</span>s taken great pains recently to explain why the RBA is not about to join its larger counterparts in devaluing its curren<span>cy, the Australian dollar &#40;AUD&#41;</span>.</p><p>In recent <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2012/sp-gov-121212.html" rel="nofollow">speeches</a> and a rare <a href="http://www.afr.com/p/national/economy/full_transcript_of_interview_with_INJhJlV6h1ucNaYmJN8RSP" rel="nofollow">interview</a>, Stevens maintained that it would be costly to attempt active measures to drive down the exchange rate,</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1083781-the-aussie-dollar-and-real-estate?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bhp">BHP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewa">EWA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Yen Doesn't Live In A Vacuum: Shorts Take Notice</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1081431-yen-doesn-t-live-in-a-vacuum-shorts-take-notice?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1081431</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-21/wishing-upon-abe-120-weak-yen-policy-seen-as-ldp-returns-in-rout.html" rel="nofollow">demands</a> for open-ended central bank easing have seen the yen down over 5 percent against the U.S. dollar since mid-November. Abe and his supporters, including the influential Chamber of Commerce and Industry, insist that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is doing too little to end Japan's crippling deflation. In the past decade, consumer prices excluding food have fallen on average 0.2 percent monthly. Weak demand from the EU and China has driven exports lower for six consecutive months. His <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324660404578196892204462394.html?mod=ITP_pageone_0" rel="nofollow">solution</a> to reviving Japan's export-driven economy is simple: devalue the yen.</p><p>He warned that unless the BOJ raises its inflation target to 2 percent at its January meeting, the bank's charter would be revised to accommodate the parliament's will. Despite the latest expansion by the BOJ in asset-purchases, Governor Masaaki Shirakawa <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/6395f758-4ce5-11e2-a99b-00144feab49a,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F6395f758-4ce5-11e2-a99b-" rel="nofollow">declined</a> to double the central bank's 1 percent inflation target. Shirakawa</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 25 Dec 2012 08:55:12 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>Incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-21/wishing-upon-abe-120-weak-yen-policy-seen-as-ldp-returns-in-rout.html" rel="nofollow">demands</a> for open-ended central bank easing have seen the yen down over 5 percent against the U.S. dollar since mid-November. Abe and his supporters, including the influential Chamber of Commerce and Industry, insist that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is doing too little to end Japan's crippling deflation. In the past decade, consumer prices excluding food have fallen on average 0.2 percent monthly. Weak demand from the EU and China has driven exports lower for six consecutive months. His <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324660404578196892204462394.html?mod=ITP_pageone_0" rel="nofollow">solution</a> to reviving Japan's export-driven economy is simple: devalue the yen.</p><p>He warned that unless the BOJ raises its inflation target to 2 percent at its January meeting, the bank's charter would be revised to accommodate the parliament's will. Despite the latest expansion by the BOJ in asset-purchases, Governor Masaaki Shirakawa <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/6395f758-4ce5-11e2-a99b-00144feab49a,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F6395f758-4ce5-11e2-a99b-" rel="nofollow">declined</a> to double the central bank's 1 percent inflation target. Shirakawa</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1081431-yen-doesn-t-live-in-a-vacuum-shorts-take-notice?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewj">EWJ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nmr">NMR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Have Brazil And Mantega Gone Too Far?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1080091-have-brazil-and-mantega-gone-too-far?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1080091</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Long the darling of emerging market bulls, Brazil is now struggling to cope with slowing global growth, particularly from the slacking demand of China for its resources. But in the midst of this, the South American nation seems to have overextended itself in terms of credit expansion and public indebtedness. Brazil's lunge forward might have to reconcile with a step or two backwards.</p><p><span>Since 2006, the Brazilian Treasury has </span><a href="http://estadao.br.msn.com/economia/fatia-dos-bancos-p%C3%BAblicos-no-cr%C3%A9dito-foi-de-37percent-para-47percent" rel="nofollow">flooded</a> its government-controlled banks with over $390 billion. This will continue, as finance minister Guido Mantega announced the release of an additional $100 billion in 2013 to BNDES, Brazil's development bank.</p><p>Mantega, former chairman of that bank and long-time Workers' Party functionary, has largely been responsible for these transfers. A <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2011/05/13/names-you-need-to-know-guido-mantega/" rel="nofollow">self-styled</a> "social-developmentalist" and reputed to have coined the phrase "currency wa<span>rs," </span>Mantega holds no punches. Appointed by former-President Lula da Silva, he has been a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wuX_dCEH8iQ" rel="nofollow">vocal</a> critic</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 24 Dec 2012 08:20:29 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>Long the darling of emerging market bulls, Brazil is now struggling to cope with slowing global growth, particularly from the slacking demand of China for its resources. But in the midst of this, the South American nation seems to have overextended itself in terms of credit expansion and public indebtedness. Brazil's lunge forward might have to reconcile with a step or two backwards.</p><p><span>Since 2006, the Brazilian Treasury has </span><a href="http://estadao.br.msn.com/economia/fatia-dos-bancos-p%C3%BAblicos-no-cr%C3%A9dito-foi-de-37percent-para-47percent" rel="nofollow">flooded</a> its government-controlled banks with over $390 billion. This will continue, as finance minister Guido Mantega announced the release of an additional $100 billion in 2013 to BNDES, Brazil's development bank.</p><p>Mantega, former chairman of that bank and long-time Workers' Party functionary, has largely been responsible for these transfers. A <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2011/05/13/names-you-need-to-know-guido-mantega/" rel="nofollow">self-styled</a> "social-developmentalist" and reputed to have coined the phrase "currency wa<span>rs," </span>Mantega holds no punches. Appointed by former-President Lula da Silva, he has been a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wuX_dCEH8iQ" rel="nofollow">vocal</a> critic</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1080091-have-brazil-and-mantega-gone-too-far?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewz">EWZ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>South Africa's Golden Tightrope</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1078571-south-africa-s-golden-tightrope?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1078571</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>At the African National Congress (ANC) national conference in Bloemfontein this week, policy makers <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-business/african-and-mideast-business/south-africas-anc-vetoes-plan-to-nationalize-mining/article6611394/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">decided</a> to exclude provisions for nationalizing mines from party documents. Instead, the world's fifth-largest gold producer compromised with more radical party elements and agreed to impose greater taxes on mining companies. The ANC previously hasn't had an official position on nationalizing mines, but supporters have remained active since the end of Apartheid.</p><p>With a backdrop of deadly labor disputes, state involvement in the mining sector, and relentless calls for nationalization among some factions, many foreign miners have elected to dig elsewhere. Canadian gold miners, for example, have found better opportunities in places like Burkina Faso, Niger and Senegal. A threat of new taxes could hinder investment by foreign companies in South Africa, which already has lost ground to the likes of Nigeria and Angola. To make matters worse, Moody's and S&amp;P have <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-05/south-africa-s-anc-may-ignore-moody-s-by-increasing-mining-taxes.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">downgraded</a> South</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 22 Dec 2012 03:58:20 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>At the African National Congress (ANC) national conference in Bloemfontein this week, policy makers <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-business/african-and-mideast-business/south-africas-anc-vetoes-plan-to-nationalize-mining/article6611394/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">decided</a> to exclude provisions for nationalizing mines from party documents. Instead, the world's fifth-largest gold producer compromised with more radical party elements and agreed to impose greater taxes on mining companies. The ANC previously hasn't had an official position on nationalizing mines, but supporters have remained active since the end of Apartheid.</p><p>With a backdrop of deadly labor disputes, state involvement in the mining sector, and relentless calls for nationalization among some factions, many foreign miners have elected to dig elsewhere. Canadian gold miners, for example, have found better opportunities in places like Burkina Faso, Niger and Senegal. A threat of new taxes could hinder investment by foreign companies in South Africa, which already has lost ground to the likes of Nigeria and Angola. To make matters worse, Moody's and S&amp;P have <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-05/south-africa-s-anc-may-ignore-moody-s-by-increasing-mining-taxes.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">downgraded</a> South</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1078571-south-africa-s-golden-tightrope?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/au">AU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gfi">GFI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmy">HMY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Bond Bears Should Wait</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1077831-why-bond-bears-should-wait?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1077831</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>December has been a good month for being short U.S. Treasuries. True to form, whenever bonds take extended losses, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveschaefer/2012/12/13/ray-dalio-thinks-the-bond-bull-market-could-finally-turn-in-2013/" rel="nofollow">talk</a> of the end of the bond bull invariably emerges. But the buyer of last resort might say otherwise.</p><p>Guardians of the bond bull, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), decided earlier in December to add $45 billion in monthly unsterilized Treasury purchases to the $40 billion program to buy mortgage-backed securities. Chairman Ben Bernanke revealed that the Fed will continue the purchases until unemployment falls to 6.5%, which the Fed estimates will be in 30 months.</p><p>The composition of the U.S. legislative bodies lends favor to continued easing. It is politically expedient to be seen as "doing something" about the economy, namely to urge the central banks to increase their balance sheets. When Senator Chuck Schumer <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/schumer-tells-bernanke-get-to-work-2012-7?pundits_only=0&amp;get_all_comments=1#comment-500585d6ecad048b1b000006" rel="nofollow">implored</a> Bernanke, &amp;quot;Get to work, Mr. Chairman,&amp;quot; it was a clear signal</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 21 Dec 2012 14:13:50 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>December has been a good month for being short U.S. Treasuries. True to form, whenever bonds take extended losses, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveschaefer/2012/12/13/ray-dalio-thinks-the-bond-bull-market-could-finally-turn-in-2013/" rel="nofollow">talk</a> of the end of the bond bull invariably emerges. But the buyer of last resort might say otherwise.</p><p>Guardians of the bond bull, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), decided earlier in December to add $45 billion in monthly unsterilized Treasury purchases to the $40 billion program to buy mortgage-backed securities. Chairman Ben Bernanke revealed that the Fed will continue the purchases until unemployment falls to 6.5%, which the Fed estimates will be in 30 months.</p><p>The composition of the U.S. legislative bodies lends favor to continued easing. It is politically expedient to be seen as "doing something" about the economy, namely to urge the central banks to increase their balance sheets. When Senator Chuck Schumer <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/schumer-tells-bernanke-get-to-work-2012-7?pundits_only=0&amp;get_all_comments=1#comment-500585d6ecad048b1b000006" rel="nofollow">implored</a> Bernanke, &amp;quot;Get to work, Mr. Chairman,&amp;quot; it was a clear signal</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1077831-why-bond-bears-should-wait?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tlt">TLT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tbt">TBT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Spain's Pain Not Reflected In Markets</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1076081-spain-s-pain-not-reflected-in-markets?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1076081</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>As with the bourses of other eurozone members, the Spanish markets continue their exuberance. The Ibex 35 is at levels not seen since March, up over 38 percent since its July lows. Government bond yields have continued to fall since July and are approaching their lows of the year. This is despite the facts that its financial system is insolvent, its housing market is in shambles and social upheaval is the new normal. Trash collection is sporadic in some regions, government salaries to workers like bus drivers and health-care attendants are not always paid, and, with youth unemployment over 50 percent, riots might become a permanent urban fixture. The comedy that is Spain might be funny if it wasn't all too real.</p><p>Recent data suggest that fallout from the housing bubble is still accumulating. The Spanish National Statistics Institute &#40;INE&#41; <a href="http://www.ine.es/en/daco/daco42/ipv/ipv0312_en.pdf" rel="nofollow">reported</a> that house prices fell by an average of</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 20 Dec 2012 16:01:19 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>As with the bourses of other eurozone members, the Spanish markets continue their exuberance. The Ibex 35 is at levels not seen since March, up over 38 percent since its July lows. Government bond yields have continued to fall since July and are approaching their lows of the year. This is despite the facts that its financial system is insolvent, its housing market is in shambles and social upheaval is the new normal. Trash collection is sporadic in some regions, government salaries to workers like bus drivers and health-care attendants are not always paid, and, with youth unemployment over 50 percent, riots might become a permanent urban fixture. The comedy that is Spain might be funny if it wasn't all too real.</p><p>Recent data suggest that fallout from the housing bubble is still accumulating. The Spanish National Statistics Institute &#40;INE&#41; <a href="http://www.ine.es/en/daco/daco42/ipv/ipv0312_en.pdf" rel="nofollow">reported</a> that house prices fell by an average of</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1076081-spain-s-pain-not-reflected-in-markets?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewp">EWP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Commodity Hedge? Not So Fast</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1073721-the-commodity-hedge-not-so-fast?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1073721</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The tepid response of commodities following the latest FOMC release can be viewed as bearish for the general complex. Federal Reserve easing has usually precipitated greater positive action in the commodities complex. This time, it might be different. Commodities have dropped below their post-August FOMC highs, and without macro data to suggest that global demand will accelerate in the coming months, it appears unlikely that positive momentum will be generated going into the new year. </p><p>The conventional wisdom of opening positions in commodities as a hedge against the U.S. Dollar &#40;USD&#41; has recently been ineffective to a large degree. The decline in the Japanese Yen &#40;JPY&#41; and the ongoing Euro Zone crisis have buffered the Dollar against further decline. General entry into long commodity positions, with certain exceptions, might be premature at this time.</p><p>
  <strong>Broad Commodities Basket - DBC<br/></strong>
</p><p>Examining the more liquid commodity ETFs, there is little to suggest</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Dec 2012 15:25:40 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Hamlet Capital</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By<ahref='http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital/'>Hamlet Capital</a>:</strong><p>The tepid response of commodities following the latest FOMC release can be viewed as bearish for the general complex. Federal Reserve easing has usually precipitated greater positive action in the commodities complex. This time, it might be different. Commodities have dropped below their post-August FOMC highs, and without macro data to suggest that global demand will accelerate in the coming months, it appears unlikely that positive momentum will be generated going into the new year. </p><p>The conventional wisdom of opening positions in commodities as a hedge against the U.S. Dollar &#40;USD&#41; has recently been ineffective to a large degree. The decline in the Japanese Yen &#40;JPY&#41; and the ongoing Euro Zone crisis have buffered the Dollar against further decline. General entry into long commodity positions, with certain exceptions, might be premature at this time.</p><p>
  <strong>Broad Commodities Basket - DBC<br/></strong>
</p><p>Examining the more liquid commodity ETFs, there is little to suggest</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/1073721-the-commodity-hedge-not-so-fast?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dba">DBA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld">GLD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iau">IAU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slv">SLV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ung">UNG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/usd">USD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uso">USO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dbc">DBC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/hamlet-capital">Hamlet Capital</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
