Is it a Bull or Bear Market – Case for a Bear Market Rally [View instapost]
The point of the article was to make a fundamental case for a bear market rally. Regarding the 27.5 PE ratio, I suggest reading my latest article on the PE ratio for the S&P 500. The trailing PE ratio is 122 and the forward PE is 25.28 with a forecast for the next year's earnings of $41.49. The earnings forecast is from Standard & Poor's. There are several technical indicators that say we are near a high with a pull back likely. Then others tell us the rally will continue. My view from a techncial standpoint is we are still in a nice rally that shows signs of aging but has not turned down. The only problem I see longer term is the fundamentals do not support a strong recovery in the eocnomy, so I do nto expect the market to move up much more. Sideways trading is more likely
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The point of the article was to make a fundamental case for a bear market rally. Regarding the 27.5 PE ratio, I suggest reading my latest article on the PE ratio for the S&P 500. The trailing PE ratio is 122 and the forward PE is 25.28 with a forecast for the next year's earnings of $41.49. The earnings forecast is from Standard & Poor's.
Sep 14 18:34 pm
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All Comments by Hans Wagner »Is it a Bull or Bear Market – Case for a Bear Market Rally [View instapost]
There are several technical indicators that say we are near a high with a pull back likely. Then others tell us the rally will continue. My view from a techncial standpoint is we are still in a nice rally that shows signs of aging but has not turned down. The only problem I see longer term is the fundamentals do not support a strong recovery in the eocnomy, so I do nto expect the market to move up much more. Sideways trading is more likely