Home Remodeling Holds Potential for Investors [View article]
I actually spoke with several contractors who indicated that remodeling was picking up. The are finding work with investors who buy foreclosed homes and then refurbish them. Others have found work from homeowners who have decided to remain in their homes rather than sell. Unfortunately this is not a scientific survey, so it does not provide solid evidence of a trend.
A Perfect Storm: Where the Markets Are Headed and What Actions to Take [View article]
While I do not like how the banks are operating, they are facing legitimate conflicts. On the one hand they are supposed to reduce their leverage and maintain stricter credit ratios. Basically, this forces them to reduce their assets relative to the available capital, including making fewer loans. They are also supposed to follow stricter lending guidelines. On the other hand the banks are supposed to lend more even as the level of bad loans continues to climb. these conflicts make getting a loan more difficult for any company.
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
I prefer operating earnings as they are harder to manipulate as we have seen in the past. I will be more careful in stating that more clearily in the future. I did indicate in the charts that the numbers were reported earnings. Thank you for your comment.
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
I agree the market looks at the wrong numbers. Part of my point was the operating earnings can be missleading and that reported earnings are a better measure of real performance. eventually the misleading view catches up with those that use rose colored glasses. Thanks for the reply
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
Thank you for your comment. Prospects for inflation are there. Holding down andy rise in prices will be the long term jobless "recovery" we are just beginning. Hard to have much inflation when unemployment remains so high.
The point of the article was to make a fundamental case for a bear market rally. Regarding the 27.5 PE ratio, I suggest reading my latest article on the PE ratio for the S&P 500. The trailing PE ratio is 122 and the forward PE is 25.28 with a forecast for the next year's earnings of $41.49. The earnings forecast is from Standard & Poor's. There are several technical indicators that say we are near a high with a pull back likely. Then others tell us the rally will continue. My view from a techncial standpoint is we are still in a nice rally that shows signs of aging but has not turned down. The only problem I see longer term is the fundamentals do not support a strong recovery in the eocnomy, so I do nto expect the market to move up much more. Sideways trading is more likely
Aircraft Suppliers to Benefit from Airline Fuel Woes [View article]
The engine manufacturers will benefit with newer engines. However, the retrofit idea is more difficult for a variety of techncial reasons. The real benefit is making the planes lighter, which then requires less power fly, which lowers fuel consumption.
The U.S. Air Force is funding research into using bio fuels as a way to heop lower the cost of fuel. This is a few years a way at the least.
Home Remodeling Holds Potential for Investors [View article]
A Perfect Storm: Where the Markets Are Headed and What Actions to Take [View article]
Emerging Economies Will Continue to Lead the Way [View article]
Thank you for clarifying.
Hans
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
Thank you for your comment.
Lowering Risk in Your Portfolio [View article]
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
Thanks for the reply
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
S&P 500 PE Ratio Forecast: 2010 - 2011 [View article]
Lowering Risk in Your Portfolio [View article]
Lowering Risk in Your Portfolio [View article]
The Case for a Bear Market Rally [View article]
There are several technical indicators that say we are near a high with a pull back likely. Then others tell us the rally will continue. My view from a techncial standpoint is we are still in a nice rally that shows signs of aging but has not turned down. The only problem I see longer term is the fundamentals do not support a strong recovery in the eocnomy, so I do nto expect the market to move up much more. Sideways trading is more likely
Biotech Dip: Sector Weakness, or Buying Opportunity? [View article]
Thank you for your comment. I agree, I am not interested in a penny stock like MRNA.
Aircraft Suppliers to Benefit from Airline Fuel Woes [View article]
Aircraft Suppliers to Benefit from Airline Fuel Woes [View article]
The U.S. Air Force is funding research into using bio fuels as a way to heop lower the cost of fuel. This is a few years a way at the least.