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Jeremy Frommer, CEO of Hedge Fund LIVE Jeremy Frommer has 20 years of industry experience and is currently responsible for general management and leadership of the General Partner. Previously, Mr. Frommer was a Managing Director and Head of the Global Prime Services Group (“GPS”) at RBC... More
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  • Technical and Astrological Forecast – June 3, 2011

    HedgeFundLIVE-

    Technical Forecast

    With Nonfarm Payrolls out tomorrow there will most likely be volatility in the market and it is important to your levels.  Looking at an hourly chart we want to always be aware of the swing highs and lows, look at 1317.75 as potential resistance and 1304.25 as potential support.  Also be aware of Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands at 1317.07 and 1309.38. 

    Looking at the daily chart 1302.25 is a short term swing low and should be significant support, if we get through 1302.25 it looks like 1290.25 could be our next stop.

    Astrological Forecast

    S&P 500 Emini’s

    • 9:10 – 9:30 – Bullish
    • 10:00 – 10:20 – Bearish
    • 12:10 – 1:00 – Bearish
    • 1:40 – 3:20 – Bullish
    • 3:50 – 4:15 – Bearish

    Euro

    • 8:30 – 9:00 – Bearish
    • 9:20 – 9:30 – Bullish
    • 10:00 – 10:20 – Bearish
    • 10:50 – 11:25 – Bullish
    • 11:50 – 12:20 – Bearish
    • 1:10 – 1:15 – Bullish
    • 1:20 – 2:00 – Bearish
    • 2:15 – 2:20 – Bullish
    • 3:45 – 4:10 – Bearish

    Putting it All Together

    Always remember to couple technicals with the astrological cycles.  Here at HFL we always look for oversold/overbought conditions using Stochastics to enter trades during the bullish/bearish time zones.   Also, look at overlapping time zones in the E-Minin and Euro as they have proven to be the most powerful signal over the last couple of weeks.  For example, the 10:00 – 10:20 time frame is bearish on both the Euro and E-Mini cyclical forecast so given that the technical conditions are overbought and the first few cyclical signals have worked accordingly we will be looking to get into our max position size during that time period. 
    Jun 03 10:10 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Sommer Sensation: Closing Argument on Behalf of Michael Kimelman at Zvi Goffer Trial
     What follows below is Part 1 of Michael Sommer’s closing argument made to the jury yesterday as the trial of Zvi Goffer, his brother Emanuel Goffer and Michael Kimelman winds down.   The closing argument was divided into two parts as the jury needed to be excused at 5:30pm.  Mr. Sommer’s remarks followed those by each of Zvi Goffer’s attorneys, and Michael Ross, the attorney for Emmanuel Goffer. 

    The government began this final phase of the 2 week old trial with its own summation of the evidence, after whiich it was clear that all the defendants had some work to do.  Mr. Sommer’s closing was extremely powerful, and both his legal and oratory skills were on full display as he sought to convince the jury that his client, Mr. Kimelman, was an innocent man. 

    Mr. Sommer’s closing remarks concluded this morning, and were followed by a short rebuttal by the government.  More on that in my next blog. 

           THE COURT:  We will now have the summation on behalf

            6    of Mr. Kimelman by Mr. Sommer.  Sommers.

            7             MR. SOMMER:  Sommer.

            8             THE COURT:  Mr. Sommer.

            9             MR. SOMMER:  Good afternoon.  I want to start my

           10    summation by simply saying thank you to all of you who have put

           11    your lives on hold to be here as jurors in this case.  As you

           12    know, our system of justice cannot work without citizens such

           13    as you giving your time and attention to cases such as this to

           14    make sure that the system works properly and to make sure that

           15    the government is held to its burden of proof.

           16             You know, two weeks ago, I think two weeks ago today,

           17    I stood right here and I told that you Michael Kimelman was not

           18    guilty of engaging in insider trading or conspiracy to engage

           19    in insider trading.  I told you he never had the intent to

           20    commit a crime, he never did commit a crime, and he had acted

           21    at all times in good faith.  I reminded you in my opening

           22    statement that while I had no burden to prove that Mike was

           23    innocent, since the burden of proof rests solely with the

           24    prosecutors, I made a commitment to you that I would play a

           25    more active role in this trial.  And that I would demonstrate

                                SOUTHERN DISTRICT REPORTERS, P.C.

                                          (212) 805-0300

                                                                               1861

                 1613GOF9                 Summation – Mr. Sommer

            1    to you that the prosecution’s accusations were just plain wrong

            2    when it came to Mike, unsupported by evidence, and that the

            3    prosecution’s case against Michael Kimelman simply made no

            4    sense.

            5             I stand before you today two weeks after I made that

            6    commitment, to explain that just what I said would happen is

            7    what has come to pass in this courtroom.  I stand here to tell

            8    you that the prosecution’s case against Michael Kimelman is

            9    flawed to its core.  It is bogus.  It is unjust.  What went on

           10    in this courtroom over the last two weeks with respect to Mike

           11    was wrong.  The prosecution charged a man with crimes when he

           12    committed no crimes.  And they stubbornly pursued their case

           13    even though they knew, as you now know, that their charges and

           14    theories were unfounded.

           15             You know, the prosecutors told you in their opening

           16    statement that they would prove that Mike was a member of a

           17    conspiracy, whose illegal goal was to engage in insider trading

           18    and that he engaged in insider trading in connection with his

           19    trades of 3Com stock.  That’s what they told you they would

           20    prove at this trial.

           21             And we come now, two weeks down the road, and what

           22    have you learned?  You’ve learned that the prosecution’s theory

           23    is completely false when it comes to Mike.  Mike Kimelman was

           24    never a member of any conspiracy, he was never told about any

           25    insider source, he was never told about any lawyers at Ropes &

                                SOUTHERN DISTRICT REPORTERS, P.C.

                                          (212) 805-0300

                                                                               1862

                 1613GOF9                 Summation – Mr. Sommer

            1    Gray, he never had a prepaid phone, he never paid a penny for

            2    information.  No lies, no exaggerations when it comes to Mike.

            3             Ladies and gentlemen, you want a line in the sand?

            4    I’ll give you one.  A line in the sand when it comes to Michael

            5    Kimelman.  On March 25, 2008, when Brien Santarlas had seen

            6    that conference room at Ropes & Gray set up for what he thought

            7    was a closing for Clear Channel, CCU, he passed that

            8    information on to Jason Goldfarb, who the prosecution says then

            9    passed it on to Zvi Goffer, and then the flurry of phone calls

           10    started.  You can see it in this chart.  Zvi to Craig Drimal,

           11    Craig Drimal to Zvi, Jason Goldfarb, Zvi to Raj Rajaratnam.

           12    And you heard those tapes.  I played them for you.  Every one

           13    of these call was about two guys at the firm, Santarlas and

           14    Cutillo.  And that the lawyers at Ropes & Gray were working

           15    that night to get the closing done, to revise documents, no one

           16    was going home.  It was in the highest hands at the firm.  Do

           17    you remember all that?

           18             And then Zvi Goffer called Mike Kimelman.  Now, as

           19    that tape was cued up to be played, you must have all assumed

           20    that you would hear more of the same.  That you would hear Zvi

           21    tell Mike just what everyone else was being told.  Lawyers

           22    working late.  Documents being revised.  Two guys giving us the

           23    scoop.  After all, as the prosecutors over here like to say,

           24    Mike was in the inner circle.  Right?  I mean, that must mean

           25    he would be the next guy to get the information.  Look, the

                                SOUTHERN DISTRICT REPORTERS, P.C.

                                          (212) 805-0300

                                                                               1863


     

    Jun 03 10:08 AM | Link | 1 Comment
  • Trader Tip of the Day: Control your F*@king Emotions!
     Successful trading is boring trading.  The most consistently profitable individuals are those who can sit in front of their screens and robotically execute trades according to the rules in their plan.  Traders who trade off of emotion or gut instinct often find themselves unable to manage a trade once their thesis has failed to play out.  Once this occurs, they begin to become emotional which often leads to outsized risk and outsized losses.  When a trader pounds on the trading desk in frustration it is a clear indicator that he or she is not emotionally prepared to trade.  While it may seem exciting to place large bets hoping for that one big move, this is an indication of emotional trading and the thin line between investing and gambling has been crossed.  Finally, remember that extreme elation can be equally as detrimental to one’s trading as outsized frustration.  Remember that the best traders are calm, cool, and focused on utilizing their proven techniques to make money.
    Jun 03 9:58 AM | Link | Comment!
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