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    <title>Inventing Money - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Inventing Money' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money</link>
    <item>
      <title>Isilon Systems Sours The Taste</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/48920-isilon-systems-sours-the-taste?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">48920</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>
Isilon Systems (ISLN), like BigBand Networks (BBND), is a recent IPO in the data storage arena. ISLN pre-announced, and it was not pretty. Here is the <a href='http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-03-2007/0004675535&EDATE='>press release</a>: 
</p><!--more-->
<blockquote><p>Isilon® Systems the leader <em>(don't you love that - "leader")</em> in clustered storage, today announced preliminary results for the third quarter of 2007 ended September 30, 2007. Based on preliminary estimates, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $23.2 million to $23.7 million, down approximately 6 percent to 8 percent sequentially... the company stated it expected total revenue in the range of $25 million to $27.5 million for the third quarter.</blockquote>
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 04 Oct 2007 14:06:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>
Isilon Systems (ISLN), like BigBand Networks (BBND), is a recent IPO in the data storage arena. ISLN pre-announced, and it was not pretty. Here is the <a href='http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-03-2007/0004675535&EDATE='>press release</a>: 
</p><!--more-->
<blockquote><p>Isilon® Systems the leader <em>(don't you love that - "leader")</em> in clustered storage, today announced preliminary results for the third quarter of 2007 ended September 30, 2007. Based on preliminary estimates, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $23.2 million to $23.7 million, down approximately 6 percent to 8 percent sequentially... the company stated it expected total revenue in the range of $25 million to $27.5 million for the third quarter.</blockquote>
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/48920-isilon-systems-sours-the-taste?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bbnd">BBND</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cavm">CAVM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/isln">ISLN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/netl">NETL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>BigBand's Mega Shortfall: Lessons to Learn</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/48601-bigband-s-mega-shortfall-lessons-to-learn?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">48601</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>
WOW! Was all I could say once the headlines scrolled across the newswire.<!--more--> This was a monumental miss, or a Big Bang kinda miss by BigBand Networks (BBND). It does not get uglier then this. 
</p>
<p>BBND expects revenues to be in the range of $35-$39m vs. expectations of $56m. The company gave a list of excuses for the miss (obviously you can enjoy reading the list in the release). 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2007 08:15:53 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>
WOW! Was all I could say once the headlines scrolled across the newswire.<!--more--> This was a monumental miss, or a Big Bang kinda miss by BigBand Networks (BBND). It does not get uglier then this. 
</p>
<p>BBND expects revenues to be in the range of $35-$39m vs. expectations of $56m. The company gave a list of excuses for the miss (obviously you can enjoy reading the list in the release). 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/48601-bigband-s-mega-shortfall-lessons-to-learn?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bbnd">BBND</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Services Growth Outpaces Product Growth for Telecom Equipment Providers (CSCO, ERICY, JNPR, LU, NOK)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/10963-services-growth-outpaces-product-growth-for-telecom-equipment-providers-csco-ericy-jnpr-lu-nok?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">10963</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> I had previously <a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com/2005_03_01_inventingmoney_archive.html">written</a> on March 23, 2005 about the "old guard" telecom equipment providers making an increasingly large share of their profits by reorienting themselves into service based companies. The new "box suppliers" would be located in low cost producers like China. <!--more-->
</p>
<p>The chart I have produced below shows the "old guard" companies trending even further in this direction, 15 months after my original post, with service revenue growth significantly outpacing product revenue growth.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 19 May 2006 07:07:49 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> I had previously <a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com/2005_03_01_inventingmoney_archive.html">written</a> on March 23, 2005 about the "old guard" telecom equipment providers making an increasingly large share of their profits by reorienting themselves into service based companies. The new "box suppliers" would be located in low cost producers like China. <!--more-->
</p>
<p>The chart I have produced below shows the "old guard" companies trending even further in this direction, 15 months after my original post, with service revenue growth significantly outpacing product revenue growth.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/10963-services-growth-outpaces-product-growth-for-telecom-equipment-providers-csco-ericy-jnpr-lu-nok?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eric">ERIC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnpr">JNPR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lu">LU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nok">NOK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>NetLogic -- Strong Beyond Its Cisco Business (NETL, CSCO)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/9749-netlogic-strong-beyond-its-cisco-business-netl-csco?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9749</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> NetLogic Microsystems Inc. (NETL) reported revs and EPS ahead of expectations and guidance was better than expected also. What was a big positive for me was the ability of NETL of to deliver a solid 10% revenue growth without any growth driven from its largest customer -- Cisco (CSCO). 
</p>
<p>There have been plenty of naysayers out there blabbering about how a majority of NETL revenues are dervied from CSCO and how that is a bad thing. I agree there are risks when you have a large portion of revenue from one customer -- think of PortalPlayer (PLAY). What I disagree with is the premise that NETL lives or dies with CSCO. NETL delivered a staggering 50% growth sequentially from customers other than CSCO. The company was also able to deliver strong gross margins even after giving CSCO some price discounts. 
<br />
<!--more-->
<br />
The reason CSCO sticks with NETL is not because there is a inside connection; CSCO is as entrepreneurial as they come and the reason CSCO is sticking with NETL is because NETL has superior products at price points that make them the only choice. Yeah, one day Integrated Device Technology (IDTI) will be able to get few more sockets with its IBM-bought products, but that day NETL will be on the next chapter -- like the partnership with AMD or Broadcom (BRCM). And we know CSCO keeps trying to make these chips in-house, so there is always risk.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 28 Apr 2006 09:10:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> NetLogic Microsystems Inc. (NETL) reported revs and EPS ahead of expectations and guidance was better than expected also. What was a big positive for me was the ability of NETL of to deliver a solid 10% revenue growth without any growth driven from its largest customer -- Cisco (CSCO). 
</p>
<p>There have been plenty of naysayers out there blabbering about how a majority of NETL revenues are dervied from CSCO and how that is a bad thing. I agree there are risks when you have a large portion of revenue from one customer -- think of PortalPlayer (PLAY). What I disagree with is the premise that NETL lives or dies with CSCO. NETL delivered a staggering 50% growth sequentially from customers other than CSCO. The company was also able to deliver strong gross margins even after giving CSCO some price discounts. 
<br />
<!--more-->
<br />
The reason CSCO sticks with NETL is not because there is a inside connection; CSCO is as entrepreneurial as they come and the reason CSCO is sticking with NETL is because NETL has superior products at price points that make them the only choice. Yeah, one day Integrated Device Technology (IDTI) will be able to get few more sockets with its IBM-bought products, but that day NETL will be on the next chapter -- like the partnership with AMD or Broadcom (BRCM). And we know CSCO keeps trying to make these chips in-house, so there is always risk.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/9749-netlogic-strong-beyond-its-cisco-business-netl-csco?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/netl">NETL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nortel Shareholders, Fasten Your Seatbelts (NT)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/8863-nortel-shareholders-fasten-your-seatbelts-nt?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8863</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/mikeznt.jpg" border="1" vspace="6" height="124" hspace="6" align="right" width="100" /> <b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Mike Zafirovski <em>(pictured)</em> had a coming out party at CTIA -- sort of. The CEO of Nortel Networks (NT) made a rare public appreance at the CTIA conference, and made some bold statements. Mike wants NT employees to be "boy scouts" who would do the right thing. I guess the Finance department is going to be outsourced going forward, since they have not been able to do the right thing for awhile now.
</p>
<p>Mike wants Nortel to exit every business where it holds less than 20% market share. In telecom that is a tough task, which most likely will lead to Nortel exiting a bunch of businesses. By some estimates, 65% of Nortel revenues come from businesses where Nortel has less than 20% market share. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 10 Apr 2006 06:57:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/mikeznt.jpg" border="1" vspace="6" height="124" hspace="6" align="right" width="100" /> <b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Mike Zafirovski <em>(pictured)</em> had a coming out party at CTIA -- sort of. The CEO of Nortel Networks (NT) made a rare public appreance at the CTIA conference, and made some bold statements. Mike wants NT employees to be "boy scouts" who would do the right thing. I guess the Finance department is going to be outsourced going forward, since they have not been able to do the right thing for awhile now.
</p>
<p>Mike wants Nortel to exit every business where it holds less than 20% market share. In telecom that is a tough task, which most likely will lead to Nortel exiting a bunch of businesses. By some estimates, 65% of Nortel revenues come from businesses where Nortel has less than 20% market share. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/8863-nortel-shareholders-fasten-your-seatbelts-nt?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nt">NT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Told You So: Extreme Networks Warns, Stock Drops 9.5% After Hours (EXTR, FDRY, PKTR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/8770-told-you-so-extreme-networks-warns-stock-drops-9-5-after-hours-extr-fdry-pktr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8770</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Extreme Networks (EXTR) pre-announced a revenue miss last night after the close. Company blamed weakness in U.S and Japan for the miss. 
</p>
<p>Like <a href="http://networkingstockblog.com/article/8509">I said few days back</a>, I would stay away from EXTR. The company has been in internal ups and downs, and from what I can gather it is not smooth sailing yet. I believe the weakness in U.S. and Japan was due to these internal issues -- not due to any broad market weakness. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 07 Apr 2006 01:37:52 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Extreme Networks (EXTR) pre-announced a revenue miss last night after the close. Company blamed weakness in U.S and Japan for the miss. 
</p>
<p>Like <a href="http://networkingstockblog.com/article/8509">I said few days back</a>, I would stay away from EXTR. The company has been in internal ups and downs, and from what I can gather it is not smooth sailing yet. I believe the weakness in U.S. and Japan was due to these internal issues -- not due to any broad market weakness. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/8770-told-you-so-extreme-networks-warns-stock-drops-9-5-after-hours-extr-fdry-pktr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/extr">EXTR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fdry">FDRY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pktr">PKTR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Analyst Made a (Too?) Perfect Call On Radware's Warning (RDWR, EXTR, PKTR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/8509-analyst-made-a-too-perfect-call-on-radware-s-warning-rdwr-extr-pktr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8509</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Radware (Nasdaq: <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/by/symbol/rdwr/">RDWR</a>) <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/060402/nysu012.html?.v=49">lowered guidance</a> on Sunday (April 2) but the stock was already down almost 13% on Friday (March 31). Call me naive, but <strong>you think maybe someone knew?</strong>
</p>
<p>The money call from one of Wall St. Finest -- Stanley Kovler -- was made on Friday; he published that he expects company to miss due to sales team transition in U.S -- exactly the same reason given by RDWR in its press release. Was Stanley typing the press release for the company? Whatever his source was, he made a slam dunk call and his clients made (or saved) money because of it.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 03 Apr 2006 03:27:28 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">Inventing Money</a> submits: </b> Radware (Nasdaq: <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/by/symbol/rdwr/">RDWR</a>) <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/060402/nysu012.html?.v=49">lowered guidance</a> on Sunday (April 2) but the stock was already down almost 13% on Friday (March 31). Call me naive, but <strong>you think maybe someone knew?</strong>
</p>
<p>The money call from one of Wall St. Finest -- Stanley Kovler -- was made on Friday; he published that he expects company to miss due to sales team transition in U.S -- exactly the same reason given by RDWR in its press release. Was Stanley typing the press release for the company? Whatever his source was, he made a slam dunk call and his clients made (or saved) money because of it.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/8509-analyst-made-a-too-perfect-call-on-radware-s-warning-rdwr-extr-pktr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/extr">EXTR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pktr">PKTR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rdwr">RDWR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Royalty King Qualcomm Winning The CDMA Chipset Market (QCOM, NOK)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6819-royalty-king-qualcomm-winning-the-cdma-chipset-market-qcom-nok?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6819</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Qualcomm (<a href="http://cestockblog.com/by/symbol/qcom/"><strong>QCOM</strong></a>) has most probably just won the CDMA chipset game as Nokia (<a href="http://cestockblog.com/by/symbol/nok/"><strong>NOK</strong></a>) and Sanyo <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/060214/japan_sanyo_nokia.html?.v=15">announced they're merging</a> their respective CDMA handsets businesses into a joint-venture. NOK/Sanyo JV would hold the #2 position in CDMA handsets after LG, putting Samsung in #3 position. 
</p>
<p>This could be the last nail in coffin for the non-QCOM CDMA chipset consortium. NOK will most probably end up utilizing QCOM parts, as is the case with Sanyo currently. What it means that the Royalty King -- aka QCOM -- will continue its reign over CDMA profilieration, making nice healthy margins on <strong>every CDMA handset sold in the world.</strong>
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2006 03:30:45 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Qualcomm (<a href="http://cestockblog.com/by/symbol/qcom/"><strong>QCOM</strong></a>) has most probably just won the CDMA chipset game as Nokia (<a href="http://cestockblog.com/by/symbol/nok/"><strong>NOK</strong></a>) and Sanyo <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/060214/japan_sanyo_nokia.html?.v=15">announced they're merging</a> their respective CDMA handsets businesses into a joint-venture. NOK/Sanyo JV would hold the #2 position in CDMA handsets after LG, putting Samsung in #3 position. 
</p>
<p>This could be the last nail in coffin for the non-QCOM CDMA chipset consortium. NOK will most probably end up utilizing QCOM parts, as is the case with Sanyo currently. What it means that the Royalty King -- aka QCOM -- will continue its reign over CDMA profilieration, making nice healthy margins on <strong>every CDMA handset sold in the world.</strong>
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6819-royalty-king-qualcomm-winning-the-cdma-chipset-market-qcom-nok?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nok">NOK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom">QCOM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Extreme Networks Execs Looking Out For Themselves -- At Shareholders' Expense? (EXTR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6785-extreme-networks-execs-looking-out-for-themselves-at-shareholders-expense-extr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6785</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> On February 8th the Board of Directors of Extreme Networks (<a href="http://networkingstockblog.com/by/symbol/extr/"><strong>EXTR</strong></a>) approved an Executive Change in Control Severance Plan. The filing with the SEC was made yesterday right after the close of market. What this severance plan entails is a nice pay out for the executives and certain VPs upon change in control of EXTR. 
</p>
<p>The board does not plan to do anything specific for the ordinary shareholders except for "maximizing shareholder value" by attaining the highest possible value in a change of control. Which for a lot of shareholders will mean a fraction of what they paid to become proud owners of the company.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2006 03:03:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> On February 8th the Board of Directors of Extreme Networks (<a href="http://networkingstockblog.com/by/symbol/extr/"><strong>EXTR</strong></a>) approved an Executive Change in Control Severance Plan. The filing with the SEC was made yesterday right after the close of market. What this severance plan entails is a nice pay out for the executives and certain VPs upon change in control of EXTR. 
</p>
<p>The board does not plan to do anything specific for the ordinary shareholders except for "maximizing shareholder value" by attaining the highest possible value in a change of control. Which for a lot of shareholders will mean a fraction of what they paid to become proud owners of the company.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6785-extreme-networks-execs-looking-out-for-themselves-at-shareholders-expense-extr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/extr">EXTR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Highly Leveraged Networker Blue Coat Systems Falls Hard On Pre-Announcement (BCSI)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6558-highly-leveraged-networker-blue-coat-systems-falls-hard-on-pre-announcement-bcsi?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6558</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Networker Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) pre-announced negatively Monday morning, and the market cap took a 39% haircut -- not surprising, given that BCSI is one of the high-flying high expectations/high multiple stock. The company provided absolutely no details regarding the miss (that never helps in negative pre-announcements).
</p>
<p>The really interesting educational lesson coming out of this pre-announcement was the importance of leverage. BCSI had originally guided to $38.2 million to $39.3 million in revenues and EPS between $0.32 and $0.36. Company now expects revenues in the range of $34.5 million to $35.1 million and EPS between $0.15 and $0.19. With a mere $4 million miss on the top line the company expects EPS to be cut in HALF!
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2006 06:14:52 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Networker Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) pre-announced negatively Monday morning, and the market cap took a 39% haircut -- not surprising, given that BCSI is one of the high-flying high expectations/high multiple stock. The company provided absolutely no details regarding the miss (that never helps in negative pre-announcements).
</p>
<p>The really interesting educational lesson coming out of this pre-announcement was the importance of leverage. BCSI had originally guided to $38.2 million to $39.3 million in revenues and EPS between $0.32 and $0.36. Company now expects revenues in the range of $34.5 million to $35.1 million and EPS between $0.15 and $0.19. With a mere $4 million miss on the top line the company expects EPS to be cut in HALF!
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6558-highly-leveraged-networker-blue-coat-systems-falls-hard-on-pre-announcement-bcsi?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcsi">BCSI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monitoring Cisco Into Earnings (CSCO)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6496-monitoring-cisco-into-earnings-csco?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6496</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">'Slash'</a> submits: </b> Cisco (CSCO) is expected to report today, Tuesday (Feb. 7th), after the market close. Recent chatter has been that month-of-January bookings had slowed down -- driving the stock down from recent high of $19.43 to $17.95 (closing at $18.15). 
</p>
<p>From what I can gather it seems as though the quarter did have a decent close, as decent as you can get in January given that most customers are not running to order a bunch of stuff early in the year. I do not think the quarter was off the charts for all product groups, but selective groups did have a good showing. The area to focus on remains the advanced technologies group, as this is where growth should come from longer-term. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2006 04:20:20 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">'Slash'</a> submits: </b> Cisco (CSCO) is expected to report today, Tuesday (Feb. 7th), after the market close. Recent chatter has been that month-of-January bookings had slowed down -- driving the stock down from recent high of $19.43 to $17.95 (closing at $18.15). 
</p>
<p>From what I can gather it seems as though the quarter did have a decent close, as decent as you can get in January given that most customers are not running to order a bunch of stuff early in the year. I do not think the quarter was off the charts for all product groups, but selective groups did have a good showing. The area to focus on remains the advanced technologies group, as this is where growth should come from longer-term. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6496-monitoring-cisco-into-earnings-csco?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is Juniper Networks A Buy After Its Big Fall? (JNPR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6205-is-juniper-networks-a-buy-after-its-big-fall-jnpr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6205</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/juniper.logo.gif" vspace="6" border="1" hspace="6" align="left" /><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Juniper Networks (JNPR), as we all know by now, missed consensus estimates for the first time in the last two years, resulting in a 21% hair-cut to the company's market cap. JNPR has been plagued by acquisitionmania, acquiring five companies in the last two years starting with NetScreen and ending most recently with Funk Software. Recent acquisitions of Redline, Kagoor and Peribit contribued no growth during the quarter. Think about that: <strong>Juniper paid over $450 million for no growth</strong>. Talk about dilution! 
</p>
<p>F5 Networks (FFIV), a competitor of Redline, saw its traffic management business grow 13% in the December quarter. The security business had the most dismal quarter since acquisition in what was the strongest quarter historically for NSCN. Clearly, there is a serious flaw in Juniper's strategy when it comes to playing in the enterprise market. These acquisitions have resulted in a bloated operating structure on top of the additional heads hired for the "J-Series" platform. With all the additional operating expenses and missing revenue contribution, the operating leverage has disappeared. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2006 03:14:59 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/juniper.logo.gif" vspace="6" border="1" hspace="6" align="left" /><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Juniper Networks (JNPR), as we all know by now, missed consensus estimates for the first time in the last two years, resulting in a 21% hair-cut to the company's market cap. JNPR has been plagued by acquisitionmania, acquiring five companies in the last two years starting with NetScreen and ending most recently with Funk Software. Recent acquisitions of Redline, Kagoor and Peribit contribued no growth during the quarter. Think about that: <strong>Juniper paid over $450 million for no growth</strong>. Talk about dilution! 
</p>
<p>F5 Networks (FFIV), a competitor of Redline, saw its traffic management business grow 13% in the December quarter. The security business had the most dismal quarter since acquisition in what was the strongest quarter historically for NSCN. Clearly, there is a serious flaw in Juniper's strategy when it comes to playing in the enterprise market. These acquisitions have resulted in a bloated operating structure on top of the additional heads hired for the "J-Series" platform. With all the additional operating expenses and missing revenue contribution, the operating leverage has disappeared. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6205-is-juniper-networks-a-buy-after-its-big-fall-jnpr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ffiv">FFIV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnpr">JNPR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rbak">RBAK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tlab">TLAB</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Extreme Networks: 'Cheap' For Good Reasons (EXTR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/6106-extreme-networks-cheap-for-good-reasons-extr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6106</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/extreme.logo.jpg" hspace="6" align="left" /> <b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Extreme Networks (EXTR) has been one of the cheapest networking stocks for a while, trading below 1x EV/Sales for some time. Trading in a range between $4 and $5ish for almost a year. EXTR has seen nice improvements in revenues for last few quarters, improving gross margins, better operating margin and even some buy-backs, but the stock gets little respect. 
</p>
<p>Yesterday EXTR reported revenues that missed its own guidance. EXTR has been struggling to attain revenues above the $100M/qtr mark- same issue that bogged its competitor FDRY for sometime.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2006 05:18:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/extreme.logo.jpg" hspace="6" align="left" /> <b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Extreme Networks (EXTR) has been one of the cheapest networking stocks for a while, trading below 1x EV/Sales for some time. Trading in a range between $4 and $5ish for almost a year. EXTR has seen nice improvements in revenues for last few quarters, improving gross margins, better operating margin and even some buy-backs, but the stock gets little respect. 
</p>
<p>Yesterday EXTR reported revenues that missed its own guidance. EXTR has been struggling to attain revenues above the $100M/qtr mark- same issue that bogged its competitor FDRY for sometime.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/6106-extreme-networks-cheap-for-good-reasons-extr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/extr">EXTR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Big Tech Grows Up: Intel and Cisco Are No Longer Growth Stories (INTC, CSCO)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/5001-big-tech-grows-up-intel-and-cisco-are-no-longer-growth-stories-intc-csco?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">5001</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Intel (ticker: INTC) announced that it plans to issue $1.4b in Junior Convertible debentures. INTC currently has very little debt on its books. Its long-term debt is close to $400m -- a paltry amount when you look at the accounts payable balance of over $2b. The $1.4b is also a paltry amount for a company with market cap of $160b. So why issue debt when a company like INTC generates wads of cash every quarter? 
<br />
<!--more-->
<br />
For one thing, the company clearly believes that the cost of this debt will be below (well below) the cost of equity right now. Intel suggested that it could use that $1.4b to buy back shares. INTC stock trades at equity yield of 5.5%, and the company can most probably issue debt below that, especially given that it’s a convert. Given that this debt will be cheaper than the implied equity yield on the stock, the company can buy back shares and make it accretive for shareholders. Also, tech companies are clearly concerned about the dilution from option expensing and they are using this cheaper capital (debt) to offset some of the dilution.
</p>
<p>But does this signal that tech (or INTC) is not a growth story any more? Most probably. Cisco (ticker: CSCO) also recently announced that its SFA acquisition will be partly paid for by debt. Seems like large tech bellwethers are becoming more involved in debt- clearly a sign of changing times. All this debt issuing does signal that the notion of no debt, no dividends, no cyclicality for tech is now old. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 05:03:23 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b> Intel (ticker: INTC) announced that it plans to issue $1.4b in Junior Convertible debentures. INTC currently has very little debt on its books. Its long-term debt is close to $400m -- a paltry amount when you look at the accounts payable balance of over $2b. The $1.4b is also a paltry amount for a company with market cap of $160b. So why issue debt when a company like INTC generates wads of cash every quarter? 
<br />
<!--more-->
<br />
For one thing, the company clearly believes that the cost of this debt will be below (well below) the cost of equity right now. Intel suggested that it could use that $1.4b to buy back shares. INTC stock trades at equity yield of 5.5%, and the company can most probably issue debt below that, especially given that it’s a convert. Given that this debt will be cheaper than the implied equity yield on the stock, the company can buy back shares and make it accretive for shareholders. Also, tech companies are clearly concerned about the dilution from option expensing and they are using this cheaper capital (debt) to offset some of the dilution.
</p>
<p>But does this signal that tech (or INTC) is not a growth story any more? Most probably. Cisco (ticker: CSCO) also recently announced that its SFA acquisition will be partly paid for by debt. Seems like large tech bellwethers are becoming more involved in debt- clearly a sign of changing times. All this debt issuing does signal that the notion of no debt, no dividends, no cyclicality for tech is now old. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/5001-big-tech-grows-up-intel-and-cisco-are-no-longer-growth-stories-intc-csco?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc">INTC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tech Data Suggests Tech Is Well But Dollar Strength Hurts (CSCO, TECD)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4722-tech-data-suggests-tech-is-well-but-dollar-strength-hurts-csco-tecd?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4722</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Tech Data (ticker: TECD) reported this morning with results ahead of expectations and above the high-end of management guidance. Both Americas and EMEA were strong sequentially. Gross margin was little weaker due to product mix, where product was sold and internal issues. Guidance for the January quarter is for growth of 4-7% sequentially and 5%-8% Y/Y, which is on top of the US Dollar appreciating about 10% from last year. This could help us understand little bit why CSCO was cautious on EMEA in January guidance. <!--more-->
</p>
<p>If EMEA is better than expected given the rise in USD then its all upside for tech. Overall, TECD makes me comfortable that most of tech out there is doing well and end market demand is steady -- at least from corporations and small businesses. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 22 Nov 2005 17:10:48 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Tech Data (ticker: TECD) reported this morning with results ahead of expectations and above the high-end of management guidance. Both Americas and EMEA were strong sequentially. Gross margin was little weaker due to product mix, where product was sold and internal issues. Guidance for the January quarter is for growth of 4-7% sequentially and 5%-8% Y/Y, which is on top of the US Dollar appreciating about 10% from last year. This could help us understand little bit why CSCO was cautious on EMEA in January guidance. <!--more-->
</p>
<p>If EMEA is better than expected given the rise in USD then its all upside for tech. Overall, TECD makes me comfortable that most of tech out there is doing well and end market demand is steady -- at least from corporations and small businesses. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4722-tech-data-suggests-tech-is-well-but-dollar-strength-hurts-csco-tecd?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tecd">TECD</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>IBM Spreads its Wings in India (IBM)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4268-ibm-spreads-its-wings-in-india-ibm?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4268</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>As I had speculated last week about IBM starting to do more acquisitions in India, IBM bought a small outfit in India fews days back.  
</p> <!--more-->
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 15 Nov 2005 08:47:58 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>As I had speculated last week about IBM starting to do more acquisitions in India, IBM bought a small outfit in India fews days back.  
</p> <!--more-->
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4268-ibm-spreads-its-wings-in-india-ibm?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm">IBM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nortel's Low-Quality Revenue from the Indian Wireless Market (NT, ALA, ERICY, NOK)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4142-nortel-s-low-quality-revenue-from-the-indian-wireless-market-nt-ala-ericy-nok?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4142</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Nortel (ticker: NT) in its 10Q (filed 11/3/05) has revealed that its business from no. 1 Indian telco BSNL might not be as big as it has once anticipated. NT has raked up losses of approximately $263 million on recognized revenues of $288 million. Not really a profitable endeavor in my opinion.  
</p> <!--more-->
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2005 03:25:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Nortel (ticker: NT) in its 10Q (filed 11/3/05) has revealed that its business from no. 1 Indian telco BSNL might not be as big as it has once anticipated. NT has raked up losses of approximately $263 million on recognized revenues of $288 million. Not really a profitable endeavor in my opinion.  
</p> <!--more-->
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4142-nortel-s-low-quality-revenue-from-the-indian-wireless-market-nt-ala-ericy-nok?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ala">ALA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eric">ERIC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nok">NOK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nt">NT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>IBM to Expand in India; Will it Buy an Indian Outsourcer? (IBM, CSCO)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4138-ibm-to-expand-in-india-will-it-buy-an-indian-outsourcer-ibm-csco?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4138</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Indian newspapers are reporting that IBM has purchased land in Bangalore. IBM CEO Sam Palmisano was recently in India on a not-so-well-publicised visit. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2005 03:25:32 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Indian newspapers are reporting that IBM has purchased land in Bangalore. IBM CEO Sam Palmisano was recently in India on a not-so-well-publicised visit. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4138-ibm-to-expand-in-india-will-it-buy-an-indian-outsourcer-ibm-csco?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm">IBM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Brightpoint Results Positive for the Handset Food Chain (CELL, RFMD, SWKS, MOT, NOK, QCOM, TQNT, TXN, BRCM, LG, ERICY)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4146-brightpoint-results-positive-for-the-handset-food-chain-cell-rfmd-swks-mot-nok-qcom-tqnt-txn-brcm-lg-ericy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4146</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Brightpoint (ticker: CELL) reported results ahead of expectations on both revenues and EPS. For those of you who do not know what CELL does, a quick introduction is in order: CELL is a distributor of handsets for various carriers throughout the world. CELL also distributes accessories for handhelds. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2005 04:16:41 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>Brightpoint (ticker: CELL) reported results ahead of expectations on both revenues and EPS. For those of you who do not know what CELL does, a quick introduction is in order: CELL is a distributor of handsets for various carriers throughout the world. CELL also distributes accessories for handhelds. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4146-brightpoint-results-positive-for-the-handset-food-chain-cell-rfmd-swks-mot-nok-qcom-tqnt-txn-brcm-lg-ericy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cell">CELL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eric">ERIC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mot">MOT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nok">NOK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>MasTec Provides Details About Telco Business (MTZ, ADCT, TLAB, VZ, BLS, CMSA, DTV)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/4144-mastec-provides-details-about-telco-business-mtz-adct-tlab-vz-bls-cmsa-dtv?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">4144</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>MasTec (ticker: MTZ) provided more details on the results for the quarter. The top line was slightly weaker than guidance due to the natural disasters during the quarter. Top line guidance for Q4 is little weaker also but EPS is higher due to continued margin expansion. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2005 04:13:16 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Inventing Money</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b><a href="http://inventingmoney.blogspot.com" target="blank">"Slash"</a> submits: </b>MasTec (ticker: MTZ) provided more details on the results for the quarter. The top line was slightly weaker than guidance due to the natural disasters during the quarter. Top line guidance for Q4 is little weaker also but EPS is higher due to continued margin expansion. 
</p> <!--more-->
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/4144-mastec-provides-details-about-telco-business-mtz-adct-tlab-vz-bls-cmsa-dtv?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/adct">ADCT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bls">BLS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cmcsa">CMCSA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv">DTV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mtz">MTZ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/inventing-money">Inventing Money</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
