I am generally a long term investor looking for macrotrends which I believe may play out over the course of several years. While I look at a lot of varying criteria in researching potential investments, I'm more aligned with the analytics involved with investing. Although it's not always a sureguard in shorter time frames, I believe over the longer course of time, valuations and earnings power always determine the path stocks trade. As such, I am value driven and look more at companies trading at discounts to growth rate and earnings power, especially if it's currently being discounted by the market. While I track many different industries, I'm currently have a China centric focus believing the long term macro trend of its population entering the middle class is in its early cycle. As China's gdp per capita increases, discretionary buying power among its middle class should increase at a higher exponential rate. As a result, larger well known companies are poised to profit from this cycle. In addition, I may focus much of my writing on the solar sector for a few key reasons. First the solar sector is widely misunderstood. Second, many companies which operate within the sector are extremely transparent in operating structure. Lastly and more importantly I believe in the longer term prospects for the industry because the economics can be justified when looking at longer trend patterns.
Mid Market M&A consultant specializing in technology and energy industries. Individual Investor for over 25 years. Growth oriented investments primarily in market leaders and technology leaders. Investment philosophy is long term buy and hold with average holding time of several years.
I have a keen sense of cutting through management and Investment banker commentary and seeing true value of companies. A lot of my views tend to be controversial for that reason but at the same time remarkably accurate.
To get a feel for my writing, readers can puruse a few of my recent against the grain calls:- with extremely high success rates.
Tales From The Future (tftf). I picked my nickname because many advisors and investors claim they can predict the future of the (stock) markets and somehow pick the winners. I don't. I usually do not engage in short-term trading and myopic analysis (quarter by quarter, without looking at the big picture). I like to work with long-term scenarios with a focus on possible disruptions in the technology and energy sectors. I look into value and contrarian ideas as well as emerging technologies and growth stocks worldwide, both on the long and short side. I also like to discuss the influence of monetary policy on global stock markets. I am fiercely independent in my investment research and therefore use the image of a lone Ninja. This influenced my investment principles for the past 20+ years: Pick your targets with patience. Do your OWN diligence. Never follow the herd blindly: 'Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.' General Sector Focus: Technology/Internet, Value, Disruptors, Energy/Alt Energy, Entertainment Stocks and Monetary Policy/Geopolitics. Geographical Focus: USA, Western Europe, Japan. Sector 'Halo' Focus Stocks: AAPL, TSLA... PS: Not a native English speaker. I apologize in advance for any typos and grammatical errors.
Options Arbitraging is my backbone, my method is way more complicated than what the Internet has to offer so don't look it up.
I arbitrage and diversify between Stocks, Bonds, Futures and Forex.
English is not my language.
I enjoy writing about the tech sector, using my knowledge of and passion for technology and computer science to supplement my background in finance. I often look for contrarian investments or companies that have fallen out of favor with the markets, especially now that overall market valuations are somewhat high, in order to limit my downside risk.