Ivan Kitov
Follow this author
Daily digest on all my authors
Send Message
x
Author Following Options:
See their articles on your Seeking Alpha homepage and in your feed.
Realtime alerts on this author
Get their new articles emailed to you as they are published.
Get all your favorite authorsâ€™ new articles emailed to you in one daily digest.
Ivan Kitov
Stop FollowingIvan Kitov
View as an RSS Feed
View Ivan Kitov's Articles BY TICKER:
AA, ABT, ACE, AFL, AIV, ALL, AMD, AN, AON, APA, AUNZ, AVP, BA, BAC, BEN, BHI, BRK.B, BTU, CMI, COP, CPI, CSC, DBB, DBC, DVN, EIRL, EOG, EWC, EWG, EWI, EWJ, EWL, EWQ, EWU, FDX, GEOI, GPC, GS, HAL, HPQ, HRS, IVZ, JDSU, JPM, KMX, L, LNC, MS, NBL, NFX, NU, PBI, PG, PRU, SPY, SWY, TE, TUR, TXN, TXT, WAL, WMT, XOM

Predicting Stock Prices: JPMorgan Chase Has Growth Potential
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for JPM based on the consumer price index of rent of primary residence and index of food away from home.
 With the current trends in the defining indices the estimated model foresees an extended period of stock price growth.
 The model standard error is $2.38 since July 2003, which corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Stock Prices: ACE Limited May Continue Growth
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for ACE Limited based on consumer price index of medical professional services and index of pets, pet goods and services.
 With the current trends in the defining indices the estimated model foresees an extended period of stock price growth.
 The model standard error is $2.9 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Share Price: Loews Corporation May Grow To $59 In June
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Loews Corporation based on the consumer price index of transportation services and the index of food.
 The model foresees a positive correction to $59 in June 2014.
 The model standard error is $2.60 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Prices: Bank Of America To Hold
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Bank of America based on the consumer price index of food at home and the index of rent of shelter.
 The model does foresee significant price changes in April 2014.
 The model standard error is $2.86 since July 2003, that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Stock Prices: Cummins Inc. May Fall To $130
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Cummins based on the consumer price index of motor fuel and the index household furnishing and operations.
 The model foresees a negative correction to $130 in May 2014.
 The model standard error is $7.70 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Share Prices: Invesco Ltd. May Fall To $35 In May
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Invesco Ltd. based on the consumer price index of appliances and the index of pets, pet products and services.
 The model does not exclude a negative correction to $35 in May 2014.
 The model standard error is $2.05 since July 2003, that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Stock Prices: Textron May Grow To $45 In May
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Textron based on the consumer price index of transportation services and the index of pets, pet products and services.
 The model foresees a positive correction to $45 in May 2014.
 The model standard error is $4.20 since July 2003, that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Share Prices: Texas Instruments To Hold
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Texas Instruments as based on consumer price index of nondurable goods and the index of pets, pet products and services.
 The model does not predict big changes in the next two months.
 The model standard error is $2.38 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Price: A Negative Correction For Lincoln National Corporation Is Not Excluded
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Lincoln National Corporation as based on consumer price indices of food away from home and owner's equivalent rent of residence.
 The model does not exclude a negative correction in 2014.
 The model standard error is $4.12 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Prices: JDS Uniphase To Hold
Summary
 We have developed a share price model for JDS Uniphase as based on consumer price index of postage and delivery services together with index of all items less energy.
 The JDSU price follows the index of postage and delivery services.
 The model standard error is $3.38 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Prices: TECO Energy To Hold
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for TECO Energy as based on consumer price indices of energy and recreation.
 The model shows that TECO Energy price follows the energy price.
 The model standard error is $0.78 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Prices: Morgan Stanley May Continue Growth
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Morgan Stanley as based on consumer price indices of food and rent of residence.
 The model does not exclude further price increase in 2014.
 The model standard error is $3.35 since July 2003 that corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Share Prices: Goldman Sachs Group May Rise To $180$200 Per Share In April
Summary
 We have developed a statistically reliable share price model for Goldman Sachs as based on consumer price indices.
 The model predicts the price increase to $180 to $200 in April 2014.
 The model standard error is $14.25 and corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

The Price Of Steel And Iron Will Likely Fall
Summary
 Price of iron and steel has been decreasing since 2012.
 There is a linear time trend in the difference between producer price index of iron and steel and the headline PPI allowing longterm forecast.
 The fall in iron and steel price will likely extend into 2016/2017 with possible shortterm fluctuations.

Predicting Share Price: Franklin Resources To Grow
Summary
 We have developed a robust share price model for Franklin Resources as based on consumer price indices.
 The model predicts the price increase to $60 in the first half of 2014.
 The model uncertainty corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Modeling Share Prices: Advanced Micro Devices
Summary
 We have developed a robust share price model for Advanced Micro Devices as based on consumer price indices.
 The model predicts no price increase in 2014.
 The model uncertainty corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Predicting Share Prices: Avon Products May Rise By 50%
Summary
 We have developed a robust share price model for Avon Products as based on consumer price indices.
 The model predicts 50% price increase in the first half of 2014.
 The model uncertainty corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

Share Price Modeling: Computer Sciences Corporation
Summary
 We have developed a robust share price model for Computer Sciences Corporation based on consumer price indices.
 The model predicts further increase in CSC price.
 The model uncertainty corresponds to the level of intermonth price fluctuations.

On Further Fall In Copper Price
Summary
 The price of copper will likely keep falling.
 The fall horizon is two years.
 The price level will return to levels seen in 2005.

Sustainable Linear Trends In CPI And Core CPI
Summary
 Consumer prices of energy and food are growing at a lower rate than the headline CPI.
 This trend started in 2011.
 This trend will be observed for another 10 years.

The Headline And The Core Consumer Price Index
Dec. 23, 2012 • 6 Comments
 The Era Of Low Energy Prices

3 Basic Scenarios Of The Food Price Evolution
Dec. 18, 2012 • Comment!
 The Housing CPI Will Likely Continue Falling For The Rest Of The Decade
 As Predicted, The PPI Of Steel And Iron Has Been Declining
 Successfully Sold The S&P 500 Index

The Rate Of Unemployment May Fall Below 6% In A Year
Dec. 9, 2012 • 28 Comments
 S&P 500 In December 2012
 Franklin Resources' Rally Is Approaching Its Peak
 Goldman Sachs May Rise To $133 In January 2013
 TECO Energy: No Big Change Expected
 Prudential Financial May Rise To $64 In January 2013