Seeking Alpha

J Mintzmyer's  Instablog

J Mintzmyer
Send Message
J Mintzmyer is the founder of Value Investor's Edge, a top-ranked research service on Seeking Alpha with primary focus on global shipping and trade. Value Investor's Edge subscribers leverage in-depth analytical experience in the shipping sector. Over the past 4 years, J has conducted interviews... More
My company:
Mintzmyer Investments LLC
My blog:
Twitter Live Trades
View J Mintzmyer's Instablogs on:
  • Value Investor's Edge Sails On

    In less than two months, Value Investor's Edge subscribers have received over 20 research reports-23 total posted by this Friday. The majority of these reports are in-depth (7-15 pages) and are exclusive to the subscribers on our forum. With only 1 month remaining to sign up for Value Investor's Edge at the current price of $249/yr (increasing to $600/yr on August 5th), I wanted to provide a rehash of the current offering to potential subscribers. Feel free to comment below with any further questions or send me a private message.

    Honest/Transparent Research from a Fellow Investor

    Shipping is a very dangerous, yet also surprisingly rewarding niche sector to invest in. I have been following and investing in this sector since 2010, and have earned (and lost) significant amounts. I understand the fundamentals of the industry and have access to strong brokerage data that fuels my decision-making process.

    Despite my strong background in the area, I only allocate roughly 10% of my portfolio here (one-third to one-half of my total speculative assets) because as mentioned this is a niche and risky sector. In my highest conviction picks, I have considerable "skin in the game." Despite my success at offering the research service (currently ranked #6 of 47 offerings), in three months of trading and investing in my own recommendations I have made over 2x the profit than I will if 100% of my current subscribers stay for an entire year. I post all of my buys and sells on StockTalks and via my Twitter account. Subscribers will always receive a minimum of 24-hour advance on all of my trades- sometimes even longer in order to ensure reduced market distribution.

    30 Day "No Risk" Guarantee

    Seeking Alpha and I are offering a generous "no risk" guarantee. Sign-up today and you will receive access to 100% of my back catalog of research (23 reports) plus another 20+ articles in the "PRO" archive, dating back several years. You can review all of my work, and if you cancel within 30 days (takes only a few seconds), you will receive a 100% refund. If you sign up for an annual subscription, you can always cancel and receive a full refund for unused months. Despite this extremely generous guarantee, over 95% of my subscribers have stayed on past the 30-day mark. Several have told me they've made enough profits (or avoided huge losses) to pay for several years of this service (in just 7 weeks!).

    "Lifetime Pricing" Guarantee

    I initiated the service on May 5, 2015 with a 3 month guarantee of lifetime pricing at $249/yr. On August 5th, the price will increase to $75/m or $600/yr. Anyone who signs up for an annual plan by August 4th will continue to pay $249/yr for as long as the service is offered.

    I am not abandoning this guarantee. Anyone who signs up on August 5th will be guaranteed the $600/yr for as long as they stay on board and the research service is offered.

    Any Further Questions/Info?

    I have recently participated in an extensive interview series with fellow contributor, Richard Berger. (Note: Richard also offers a strong covered-call service for income-seeking investors) Prospective subscribers can learn more about my background and research style from that interview.

    Any further questions, please feel free to post below or send me a person message. I reply to everyone, typically within a few hours.

    Jul 01 5:44 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Coming Soon: Price Increase For Value Investor's Edge

    A deeper discussion on Value Investor's Edge performance and benefits was posted yesterday.

    For those who missed the announcement, I have decided to raise my subscription price to $600 per year, or $75 per month (yearly is cheaper and qualifies for lifetime rate guarantee), effective August 5th, 2015.

    Those who sign on for a yearly subscription package by August 4, 2015 will receive a lifetime guarantee at $249/yr. Those who sign up on August 5 or later will still receive this guarantee, but it will be at $600/yr.

    I look forward to answering any and all questions/comments/concerns either below or via a private message.

    Value Investor's Edge is now ranked #6 of 46 premium research services offered on Seeking Alpha.

    Jun 18 8:43 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Exploiting Market Disconnects In The Shipping Sector

    I have enjoyed the first full month of coverage through my premium subscription service, Value Investor's Edge. I wanted to take this time to reflect on the past month- and offer a glimpse of future coverage endeavors.


    I am one of forty-five pioneering contributors who are building up a library of premium research content; my primary research focus is on the shipping sector. I believe this service offers potential subscribers a strong value, and I am proud to endorse Seeking Alpha's risk-free guarantee. Any investor who cancels within 30 days will receive a 100% refund. Any investor who signs up for 1-year and then cancels later due to a lack of continuing value or interest will receive a 100% refund for unused months of coverage.

    This research service is offered for $249 per year, or $31/month. I originally offered this low price because I wanted the service to be accessible to all of my followers, many of whom have interacted and share ideas with me for over 2-3 years. I also offered initial subscribers (who sign up in the first 3 months from launch) a lifetime guarantee of their $249 annual rate for this service as long as they remained subscribers.

    Exclusive Reports

    My reports in the shipping sector and related areas are high-quality research. Similar reports by private firms are typically sold for over $1000 per copy, whereas my subscribers typically receive 2-3 per week, at a net cost to subscribers of less than $3 per report. These reports are not always explicitly bullish or bearish. Some companies I cover in detail are uncertain investments and the best course of action is to avoid and observe, not every report is "actionable." I don't cherry-pick my research reports. Sometimes the best investment decision is to "wait and see." If one of my reports can help a subscriber eliminate an investment that poised unnecessary portfolio risk, just that one report could easily pay for the entire year's subscription. In addition, I have responded directly to subscriber's requests for specific company research (within reason). I also respond to all of my subscriber's personal messages of inquiry- sometimes dozens in a day or two.

    Based on the clear value-add, I have decided to raise my subscription price to $600 per year, or $75 per month (yearly is cheaper and qualifies for rate guarantee), effective August 5th, 2015. Although I am effectively raising the price today, I (perhaps foolishly) initially offered a 3 month guarantee on pricing in my first pitch. I stand by my integrity on this offer.

    The Benefits

    Subscriber's to Value Investor's Edge are offered substantial exclusive research in the shipping sector, weekly value picks and discussion, and trade ideas with a minimum 24-hour advantage prior to general dissemination. This 24-hour window is extremely crucial for thinly traded options plays. The shipping sector reports are of substantial value especially with equities that have strong disconnects to the current market realities.

    Finding and Exploiting Market Disconnects

    An example of a publicly-proven disconnect was my March 2015 article on Nordic American Tankers (NYSE:NAT). NAT closed at $10.12 prior to the first publication of my research on March 11. An example of the type of trades I aim to bring my subscribers was the included suggestion for July $11 calls, which were trading at 40-45c. Within just 1 week of publication, catalysts began to unfold as predicted, including a substantial dividend raise. Within just 1 month, the stock gained 25% (over $12.50) and the recommended options were up 4x (300% return).

    NAT continued to trade upwards as predicted (article suggested a $15-$20 range by summer), and the cumulative return (including a 38c dividend), has been well over 40% in approximately 3 months. The options are now up over 6x (500%+ return).

    This is one example of a market disconnect that I was able to exploit due to my extensive research and involvement in the shipping sector. I have followed many of these companies for over five years, through a variety of market cycles, and have earned and lost considerable amounts (in terms of my net assets) in this sector. I have learned just as much from every loss as I have from every gain. Unlike many other contributors in this sector, I am well aware of the many risks these companies offer to investors.

    I am also well aware of investment return potentials. It's impossible to perfectly time these cyclical markets, but with the right data investors can make informed decisions and only act when the risk/reward is clearly in their favor. I invest alongside my recommendations in nearly every case, and I win or lose alongside my subscribers. My future gains and my public credibility depend entirely upon my performance. How many "professional" analysts can say this?

    Trade Gaps

    A recent example of the type of trades I strive to bring subscribers is the recent trade on Ship Finance (NYSE:SFL), initiated the morning of May 29. I discussed purchase July 2015 $17.50 calls, which traded for 9-10c. One of my followers was able to pick up contracts for 6c. As SFL rallied due to huge new information hitting the marketplace, these contracts reached a price of 40c within days. I suggested selling prior to ex-dividend, as the stock trajectory slowed, and the options flattened out at a price of 30c. Every subscriber who followed on this trade alone easily paid for their entire annual subscription.

    Research Library

    In addition to the current content, subscribers to my service are offered full access to my back-library of "Pro" content, with substantial exclusive coverage dating back to 2012. Content exclusive to Value Investor's Edge has also accrued at a rapid rate. In the past month, I have produced 15 exclusive reports, some of which has been published to the Seeking Alpha public site-

    Recent examples include:

    Euronav (EURN): Made 'public' on June 2, 2015- investors have gained 7% in 2 weeks since my private buy recommendation the morning of May 29, 2015.

    Diana Shipping (DSX): Made 'public' on June 14, 2015- investors have gained nearly 14% in 2 weeks since my private buy recommendation the night of June 1, 2015.

    To be fair some of my 'public' examples have done less well- my lesser performers to-date:

    Navios Midstream Partners L.P. (NAP): Made 'public' on June 2, 2015- investors have lost 2% since my buy recommendation the afternoon of June 1, 2015.

    Frontline (FRO) has also been a poor performer relative to expectations. I stand to lose a hefty chunk on my June $3 calls. I initiated coverage of FRO at $2.31 on April 10 and recommended the August $3 calls trading for around 30c. Stock is now $2.66 and those calls are 23c approx. 2 months later.

    Additional Services for Subscribers

    Beyond my shipping coverage and trade ideas, I also write a weekly value selection (I keep 70-80% of my assets in index funds and blue chips), I cover all shipping preferred stocks, and I keep tabs on repurchase levels, dividend sustainability, and relative valuations of a wide selection of blue chips. I also answer all direct inquiries and have helped a few subscribers discover additional candidates to further diversify their blue chip selections.


    Any further questions? Just leave a comment or send me a message via Seeking Alpha. I also welcome feedback or general commentary. I continually work to improve the structuring of Value Investor's Edge for the betterment of all subscribers.


    Please note that I do NOT provide investment advice. My sole business function is to provide my research and to share my personal opinion of the general markets and their investments. Subscribers to "Value Investor's Edge" are paying only for exclusive access to premium research. There are no implicit or explicit guarantees of performance, returns, or personalized advice. Although I answer personalized inquiries, these are not to be construed as investment advice, but are simply deliverable responses to personalized research requests. All research is written by J Mintzmyer and provided through Mintzmyer Investments LLC. Mintzmyer Investments LLC is not a registered advisory firm.

    Jun 18 12:04 AM | Link | 2 Comments
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


  • Doubled my position in $ACI 2021 Senior Notes at $0.50 ($100 par). Actual outlay closer to 4c due to amortized interest.
    6 days ago
  • Delay trade: 2x boost to $NNA stake at $3.25. Average, ex-div basis is now at $3.33. Report coming soon.
    6 days ago
  • Delay trades: rolled $NAT proceeds into $TNK at $6.80. Crazy undervalued relative to their earnings and to peers. Should be $10+ minimum.
    6 days ago
More »

Latest Comments

Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.