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    <title>James Enck - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'James Enck' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
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    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck</link>
    <item>
      <title>Blockbuster's Notes Offering: Supersize My Toast</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/161869-blockbuster-s-notes-offering-supersize-my-toast?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">161869</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I've seen a lot of stuff recently that I don't understand, but if we needed any evidence that this credit market rally may be getting a bit silly, I think I may have found a compelling shred. A couple of days ago, Blockbuster <a href="http://investor.blockbuster.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=99383&amp;p=irol-newsArticle&amp;ID=1331495&amp;highlight=">announced</a> an offering of &quot;up to&quot; $340m in senior secured notes, but <a href="http://twitter.com/LCDNews">LCDNews</a> has just reported that this offering has been up-sized to an unfathomable $675m.</p><p>Most of the deals I've come across recently have been up-sized, but not doubled. The coupon may be huge, I don't know yet, but what else could make this so compelling that demand could lead to a supersizing like this, especially with <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125192241524880801.html">incineration</a> such a strong possibility?</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 15:55:06 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I've seen a lot of stuff recently that I don't understand, but if we needed any evidence that this credit market rally may be getting a bit silly, I think I may have found a compelling shred. A couple of days ago, Blockbuster <a href="http://investor.blockbuster.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=99383&amp;p=irol-newsArticle&amp;ID=1331495&amp;highlight=">announced</a> an offering of &quot;up to&quot; $340m in senior secured notes, but <a href="http://twitter.com/LCDNews">LCDNews</a> has just reported that this offering has been up-sized to an unfathomable $675m.</p><p>Most of the deals I've come across recently have been up-sized, but not doubled. The coupon may be huge, I don't know yet, but what else could make this so compelling that demand could lead to a supersizing like this, especially with <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125192241524880801.html">incineration</a> such a strong possibility?</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/161869-blockbuster-s-notes-offering-supersize-my-toast?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bbi">BBI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Head-Scratching Time in Telecom M&amp;A</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/161600-head-scratching-time-in-telecom-m-a?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">161600</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">Whatever its shortcomings as an industry, one can always count on telecom to deliver unusual and inexplicable M&amp;A activity. Down in Greece, <a href="http://www.ontelecoms.com/on/intro.jsp">ON Telecoms</a> and <a href="http://www.vivodi.gr/site/content.php?sel=1">Vivodi</a>, two companies I studied in great detail once upon a time in a previous incarnation, have decided to get together, in a <a href="http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_economy_0_15/09/2009_110686">somewhat unusual deal</a>. </p><p style="text-align: left;">Having presumably already burned a lot of cash on their own company, I'm puzzled as to why the vendors would pony-up for the entire capital increase required to get the deal done, especially when the Greek regulator seems to be giving incumbent OTE more room for maneuver on marketing of bundles. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 15 Sep 2009 10:02:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">Whatever its shortcomings as an industry, one can always count on telecom to deliver unusual and inexplicable M&amp;A activity. Down in Greece, <a href="http://www.ontelecoms.com/on/intro.jsp">ON Telecoms</a> and <a href="http://www.vivodi.gr/site/content.php?sel=1">Vivodi</a>, two companies I studied in great detail once upon a time in a previous incarnation, have decided to get together, in a <a href="http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_economy_0_15/09/2009_110686">somewhat unusual deal</a>. </p><p style="text-align: left;">Having presumably already burned a lot of cash on their own company, I'm puzzled as to why the vendors would pony-up for the entire capital increase required to get the deal done, especially when the Greek regulator seems to be giving incumbent OTE more room for maneuver on marketing of bundles. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/161600-head-scratching-time-in-telecom-m-a?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sex Sells - But Sometimes It Shouldn't</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/157169-sex-sells-but-sometimes-it-shouldn-t?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">157169</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Yesterday I was emailed out of the blue by someone from an agency working with Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) on its &quot;Powerful Stuff&quot; campaign, and asking for feedback on the commercial embedded below. I personally think that with reviews it always pays to be careful <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ruDdcd8G-g">what you wish for</a>. As a piece of creative it's fine - nicely shot, etc., but it's an elaborately staged yet unimaginative pun (50 Megs, get it? Get it?). Cute, but pointless, and it does nothing to convey the sort of message this company should be telling regarding its competitive strengths.<br> <br> Despite telcos' repeated attempts to make it something other than an enabling utility, ultimately broadband should be as sexy and thrilling as electricity, water or a <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HA_qxAWCwqI">tin of Ronseal</a>. The benchmark of success is that it is available and reliable when people need it, and hopefully reasonably priced yet profitable as a business. You turn it on, and it works. And that's certainly something customers should be thankful for, but not excited about. It's a pretty sad comment on broadband development to date that, much like the British rail transport system, people express excitement on the rare occasion when it actually works as intended.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 23:58:58 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Yesterday I was emailed out of the blue by someone from an agency working with Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) on its &quot;Powerful Stuff&quot; campaign, and asking for feedback on the commercial embedded below. I personally think that with reviews it always pays to be careful <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ruDdcd8G-g">what you wish for</a>. As a piece of creative it's fine - nicely shot, etc., but it's an elaborately staged yet unimaginative pun (50 Megs, get it? Get it?). Cute, but pointless, and it does nothing to convey the sort of message this company should be telling regarding its competitive strengths.<br> <br> Despite telcos' repeated attempts to make it something other than an enabling utility, ultimately broadband should be as sexy and thrilling as electricity, water or a <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HA_qxAWCwqI">tin of Ronseal</a>. The benchmark of success is that it is available and reliable when people need it, and hopefully reasonably priced yet profitable as a business. You turn it on, and it works. And that's certainly something customers should be thankful for, but not excited about. It's a pretty sad comment on broadband development to date that, much like the British rail transport system, people express excitement on the rare occasion when it actually works as intended.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/157169-sex-sells-but-sometimes-it-shouldn-t?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed">VMED</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Virgin Media Benefits from U.K. Broadband Cluelessness</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/151808-virgin-media-benefits-from-u-k-broadband-cluelessness?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">151808</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>It's front page news in the <i>Financial Times </i>today<i>.</i> Ed Richards of OFCOM droned on about it somniferously on Radio Four this morning, while interviewer Sarah Montague sounded very irritated with him. OFCOM's latest <a href="http://www.ofcom.org.uk/research/telecoms/reports/broadband_speeds/broadband_speeds/">update on broadband speeds</a> is going to be picked apart by the media <i>ad nauseum</i>, and I couldn't be happier about it.</p><div>Repetition is a good thing where consumer education is concerned. For years I've been hoping that Clive Sixpack would take a look at the parlous state of UK broadband versus its neighbors and get annoyed, because annoyance is frequently followed in this country by quiet muttering, and in some cases by a demand for action, or even a good punch-up. Hopefully the <i><a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html">Daily Mail</a></i> will take hold of the story and run with it, without attributing the problem to illegal immigrants, as it seems to do with most issues.</div><div> </div><div>I'm joking here, but my point is serious - this is a golden opportunity to make broadband a genuine populist issue to demand change. One of my colleagues came up with the idea for a campaign to encourage subscribers receiving only 40% of their nominal line rate to submit only 40% of their nominal tariff every month, which I quite like.</div><div> </div><div>I don't think there's anything here that people who follow the industry haven't at least suspected, if not known outright, and the spectrum of operator suckiness is almost precisely what I expected when the previous SamKnows report was issued. Still, it's nice to see the worst offenders named and shamed publicly, though I suspect their customers are well aware of their failings already.</div><div> </div><div>The big winner here is Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) - clearly acknowledged as superior. The BBC Radio Four news story intro this morning even highlighted that the study found &quot;broadband by cable is better than by phone line,&quot; which is the sort of PR you can't typically buy, let alone get for free. I suppose <a href="http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Media/Pix/pictures/2009/1/29/1233232203193/Stephen-Carter-001.jpg">Lord Carter</a> must also be feeling pretty good. If the average speed delivered in the UK is 4.1Mbps, then <a href="http://www.culture.gov.uk/what_we_do/broadcasting/5631.aspx">Digital Britain</a>'s &quot;vision&quot; of 2Mbps for all is virtually in the bag, three full years ahead of schedule. Job done, time to move on!</div><div> </div><div>It's a sad irony that, just as we reach a point where the flames of public discontent can be fanned effectively, the government will have the luxury of shrugging and pointing to <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124873192191984913.html?mod=googlenews_wsj">empty coffers</a>, while just up the road, construction continues on <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1557988/London-Olympics-budget-could-pass-10bn.html">an Ozymandian project</a>, the cost of which equates roughly to one-third the <a href="http://www.analysysmason.com/About-Us/News/Press-releases/BSG-publishes-costs-of-deploying-fibre-based-superfast-broadband/">total bill</a> for FTTH to every home in the country. Never mind, we're building a legacy here, <a href="http://www.nysun.com/foreign/ruined-athens-olympic-facilities-a-warning/79016/">just ask the Athenians</a>. And when things go wrong with the subprime self-cert mortgage which is our future, we can pile into the broadband Trabant we've bought and seek opportunity elsewhere, at 4Mbps per second.</div><div> </div><div><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/6695967-83245961816747243?l=eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com" width="1" height="1" /></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2009 09:34:50 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>It's front page news in the <i>Financial Times </i>today<i>.</i> Ed Richards of OFCOM droned on about it somniferously on Radio Four this morning, while interviewer Sarah Montague sounded very irritated with him. OFCOM's latest <a href="http://www.ofcom.org.uk/research/telecoms/reports/broadband_speeds/broadband_speeds/">update on broadband speeds</a> is going to be picked apart by the media <i>ad nauseum</i>, and I couldn't be happier about it.</p><div>Repetition is a good thing where consumer education is concerned. For years I've been hoping that Clive Sixpack would take a look at the parlous state of UK broadband versus its neighbors and get annoyed, because annoyance is frequently followed in this country by quiet muttering, and in some cases by a demand for action, or even a good punch-up. Hopefully the <i><a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html">Daily Mail</a></i> will take hold of the story and run with it, without attributing the problem to illegal immigrants, as it seems to do with most issues.</div><div> </div><div>I'm joking here, but my point is serious - this is a golden opportunity to make broadband a genuine populist issue to demand change. One of my colleagues came up with the idea for a campaign to encourage subscribers receiving only 40% of their nominal line rate to submit only 40% of their nominal tariff every month, which I quite like.</div><div> </div><div>I don't think there's anything here that people who follow the industry haven't at least suspected, if not known outright, and the spectrum of operator suckiness is almost precisely what I expected when the previous SamKnows report was issued. Still, it's nice to see the worst offenders named and shamed publicly, though I suspect their customers are well aware of their failings already.</div><div> </div><div>The big winner here is Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) - clearly acknowledged as superior. The BBC Radio Four news story intro this morning even highlighted that the study found &quot;broadband by cable is better than by phone line,&quot; which is the sort of PR you can't typically buy, let alone get for free. I suppose <a href="http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Media/Pix/pictures/2009/1/29/1233232203193/Stephen-Carter-001.jpg">Lord Carter</a> must also be feeling pretty good. If the average speed delivered in the UK is 4.1Mbps, then <a href="http://www.culture.gov.uk/what_we_do/broadcasting/5631.aspx">Digital Britain</a>'s &quot;vision&quot; of 2Mbps for all is virtually in the bag, three full years ahead of schedule. Job done, time to move on!</div><div> </div><div>It's a sad irony that, just as we reach a point where the flames of public discontent can be fanned effectively, the government will have the luxury of shrugging and pointing to <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124873192191984913.html?mod=googlenews_wsj">empty coffers</a>, while just up the road, construction continues on <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1557988/London-Olympics-budget-could-pass-10bn.html">an Ozymandian project</a>, the cost of which equates roughly to one-third the <a href="http://www.analysysmason.com/About-Us/News/Press-releases/BSG-publishes-costs-of-deploying-fibre-based-superfast-broadband/">total bill</a> for FTTH to every home in the country. Never mind, we're building a legacy here, <a href="http://www.nysun.com/foreign/ruined-athens-olympic-facilities-a-warning/79016/">just ask the Athenians</a>. And when things go wrong with the subprime self-cert mortgage which is our future, we can pile into the broadband Trabant we've bought and seek opportunity elsewhere, at 4Mbps per second.</div><div> </div><div><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/6695967-83245961816747243?l=eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com" width="1" height="1" /></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/151808-virgin-media-benefits-from-u-k-broadband-cluelessness?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed">VMED</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Mobile Segmentation and Marketing: Still Huge Gaps Among the Players</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/144047-mobile-segmentation-and-marketing-still-huge-gaps-among-the-players?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">144047</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Last week I attended <a href="http://www.openmobilesummit.com/lon/agenda.aspx">two</a> <a href="http://www.conferences.db.com/europe/levfinance09/">conferences</a> in two days, and they might as well have been on different planets. Both were well-run and very interesting, but the audiences could not have been more different.<br><br><strong>Open Mobile Summit</strong>: audience - older, very technical; laptops - many; WiFi - yes, free; iPhones - near-ubiquitous.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 13:27:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Last week I attended <a href="http://www.openmobilesummit.com/lon/agenda.aspx">two</a> <a href="http://www.conferences.db.com/europe/levfinance09/">conferences</a> in two days, and they might as well have been on different planets. Both were well-run and very interesting, but the audiences could not have been more different.<br><br><strong>Open Mobile Summit</strong>: audience - older, very technical; laptops - many; WiFi - yes, free; iPhones - near-ubiquitous.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/144047-mobile-segmentation-and-marketing-still-huge-gaps-among-the-players?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl">AAPL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nok">NOK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rimm">RIMM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tlsnf.pk">TLSNF.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>City Telecom: A Green (Bamboo) Shoot</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/140576-city-telecom-a-green-bamboo-shoot?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">140576</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I spent last week with my children in a tent in Suffolk, pretty much disconnected and oblivious to the news. The only green shoots I saw were dandelions. I kept in touch with the news enough to know that, unsurprisingly to me, most of it was bad. The recent reporting season in Europe has confirmed, at least for me, that the Accident &amp; Emergency wards of European capitalism have taken significant pre-bookings for emergency reconstructive surgery on a number of bloated LBO monsters (I could point fingers to various corners of Europe, but will refrain), which should keep lawyers and advisors busy for months and years to come. Just to clarify, in many of these cases, I think that the assets are good or great, but the capital structures look insane with the benefit of hindsight. So, the hard work begins...<br><br>Yet, it seems that sanity prevails in at least one small pocket of the globe, far from Europe. If you're feeling jaded and need a bit of relief, consider my friends at City Telecom in Hong Kong (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctel' title='More opinion and analysis of CTEL'>CTEL</a>), or <a href="http://www.hkbn.net/index_e.htm">HKBN</a>, as it is commonly known locally. Here is a company which has long pursued a singular vision of superior connectivity, has come from virtually nowhere to be number two in broadband, has grown both ARPU and EBITDA margin in the past six months, generates cash, pays a dividend, has leverage of only 0.3x and, for its small size, has an extraordinary attitude towards fostering the next generation of - wait for it - <a href="http://reg.hkbn.net/ctigroup_admin/files_upload/090302%20PR-MT_E.pdf">people</a> (.pdf). I was privileged to visit the company on a recent trip to Hong Kong, and can testify that the culture is young, disruptive, frugal, and above all, proud of what it has achieved so far and ready for much more.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 03:04:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I spent last week with my children in a tent in Suffolk, pretty much disconnected and oblivious to the news. The only green shoots I saw were dandelions. I kept in touch with the news enough to know that, unsurprisingly to me, most of it was bad. The recent reporting season in Europe has confirmed, at least for me, that the Accident &amp; Emergency wards of European capitalism have taken significant pre-bookings for emergency reconstructive surgery on a number of bloated LBO monsters (I could point fingers to various corners of Europe, but will refrain), which should keep lawyers and advisors busy for months and years to come. Just to clarify, in many of these cases, I think that the assets are good or great, but the capital structures look insane with the benefit of hindsight. So, the hard work begins...<br><br>Yet, it seems that sanity prevails in at least one small pocket of the globe, far from Europe. If you're feeling jaded and need a bit of relief, consider my friends at City Telecom in Hong Kong (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctel' title='More opinion and analysis of CTEL'>CTEL</a>), or <a href="http://www.hkbn.net/index_e.htm">HKBN</a>, as it is commonly known locally. Here is a company which has long pursued a singular vision of superior connectivity, has come from virtually nowhere to be number two in broadband, has grown both ARPU and EBITDA margin in the past six months, generates cash, pays a dividend, has leverage of only 0.3x and, for its small size, has an extraordinary attitude towards fostering the next generation of - wait for it - <a href="http://reg.hkbn.net/ctigroup_admin/files_upload/090302%20PR-MT_E.pdf">people</a> (.pdf). I was privileged to visit the company on a recent trip to Hong Kong, and can testify that the culture is young, disruptive, frugal, and above all, proud of what it has achieved so far and ready for much more.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/140576-city-telecom-a-green-bamboo-shoot?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctel">CTEL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
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    <item>
      <title>How's Pay TV Handling This Downturn?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/138842-how-s-pay-tv-handling-this-downturn?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">138842</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div>It's interesting to listen to the differing takes coming out of companies in Q1 on just how defensive pay TV might be in the economic downturn. It seemed to me that UPC, for example, showed much stronger performance in its pay TV numbers than in broadband, and for my money Virgin Media also performed better than I had expected.</div><div> </div><div>Then again, maybe it's a matter of degrees. What might things look like if the economy got really bad, as is the case in Spain? GDP run-rate decline of nearly 8% (<a href="http://www.ine.es/en/prensa/cntr0109_en.pdf">quarterly decline</a>, annualized), unemployment heading for 20%, that sort of degree of badness.</div><div> </div><div>Well, a picture is emerging from Spain which is not particularly encouraging for pay TV bulls. I concede there are likely to be all sorts of drivers at work here, such as household creation, repossession rates, etc., which could cloud the numbers, and we may see something different in next quarter's results. However, on the basis of the numbers reported by key players in the Spanish market, pay TV no esta caliente.</div><div> </div><div>Telefonica's <a href="http://info.telefonica.es/accionistaseinversores/ing/pdf/rdos09t1-eng.pdf">numbers</a> showed that ULL and wholesale DSL in Spain grew by 119k, which is 5.6% sequential growth. Telefonica's own retail base grew by 46k, and Orange was flat. ONO, which reported <a href="http://www.ono.es/pdfs/pdfsinvestor/2008%20Q4%20Presentation.pdf">today</a>, added 12k broadband customers in the quarter, which is sequential growth of a little under 1%. However, in pay TV, Telefonica's <a href="http://www.telefonica.es/on/pub/servicios/onTOEntrada/0,,entrada%2Brd_imagenio%2Bv_segmento%2BAHOG%2Bv_idioma%2Bes%2Bmenu_izq%2B1%2Bmenu_cab_sup%2Btelevision%2BambitoAcceso%2Bpub,00.html?v_segmento=AHOG&amp;v_idioma=es&amp;v_segest=AHOG&amp;v_pagina=HO&amp;v_hueco=MSP&amp;v_posicion=2&amp;v_procede=home">Imagenio</a> lost 7,700 customers, ONO lost 23k, Orange claims to have grown IPTV subs by 12k (but as it looks like 6Mbps and national calls is <a href="http://internet.orange.es/adsl_y_llamadas/adsl_6_mb_y_llamadas/index.html">priced</a> the <a href="http://internet.orange.es/adsl_y_llamadas_y_tv/index.html">same</a> as the above plus IPTV after the special offer period, does this really count?), and Prisa's Digital + satellite offering <a href="http://www.prisa.com/upload/ficheros/ficheros/200905/results_1q09.pdf">lost 24k</a> and suffered a 30% decline in pay-per-view ARPU.</div><div> </div><div>So in summary, on the basis of these numbers it looks as though broadband overall grew by 177k, and pay TV contracted by over 43k, at least among the companies cited here.</div><div> </div><div>I'm cautious about trying to draw too many conclusions from one quarter, nor am I sure that anyone should really care, except that, in snapshot form, it appears to confirm my own suspicions about consumer behavior when forced by events to confront what they really can and can't live without.</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 03:29:35 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<div>It's interesting to listen to the differing takes coming out of companies in Q1 on just how defensive pay TV might be in the economic downturn. It seemed to me that UPC, for example, showed much stronger performance in its pay TV numbers than in broadband, and for my money Virgin Media also performed better than I had expected.</div><div> </div><div>Then again, maybe it's a matter of degrees. What might things look like if the economy got really bad, as is the case in Spain? GDP run-rate decline of nearly 8% (<a href="http://www.ine.es/en/prensa/cntr0109_en.pdf">quarterly decline</a>, annualized), unemployment heading for 20%, that sort of degree of badness.</div><div> </div><div>Well, a picture is emerging from Spain which is not particularly encouraging for pay TV bulls. I concede there are likely to be all sorts of drivers at work here, such as household creation, repossession rates, etc., which could cloud the numbers, and we may see something different in next quarter's results. However, on the basis of the numbers reported by key players in the Spanish market, pay TV no esta caliente.</div><div> </div><div>Telefonica's <a href="http://info.telefonica.es/accionistaseinversores/ing/pdf/rdos09t1-eng.pdf">numbers</a> showed that ULL and wholesale DSL in Spain grew by 119k, which is 5.6% sequential growth. Telefonica's own retail base grew by 46k, and Orange was flat. ONO, which reported <a href="http://www.ono.es/pdfs/pdfsinvestor/2008%20Q4%20Presentation.pdf">today</a>, added 12k broadband customers in the quarter, which is sequential growth of a little under 1%. However, in pay TV, Telefonica's <a href="http://www.telefonica.es/on/pub/servicios/onTOEntrada/0,,entrada%2Brd_imagenio%2Bv_segmento%2BAHOG%2Bv_idioma%2Bes%2Bmenu_izq%2B1%2Bmenu_cab_sup%2Btelevision%2BambitoAcceso%2Bpub,00.html?v_segmento=AHOG&amp;v_idioma=es&amp;v_segest=AHOG&amp;v_pagina=HO&amp;v_hueco=MSP&amp;v_posicion=2&amp;v_procede=home">Imagenio</a> lost 7,700 customers, ONO lost 23k, Orange claims to have grown IPTV subs by 12k (but as it looks like 6Mbps and national calls is <a href="http://internet.orange.es/adsl_y_llamadas/adsl_6_mb_y_llamadas/index.html">priced</a> the <a href="http://internet.orange.es/adsl_y_llamadas_y_tv/index.html">same</a> as the above plus IPTV after the special offer period, does this really count?), and Prisa's Digital + satellite offering <a href="http://www.prisa.com/upload/ficheros/ficheros/200905/results_1q09.pdf">lost 24k</a> and suffered a 30% decline in pay-per-view ARPU.</div><div> </div><div>So in summary, on the basis of these numbers it looks as though broadband overall grew by 177k, and pay TV contracted by over 43k, at least among the companies cited here.</div><div> </div><div>I'm cautious about trying to draw too many conclusions from one quarter, nor am I sure that anyone should really care, except that, in snapshot form, it appears to confirm my own suspicions about consumer behavior when forced by events to confront what they really can and can't live without.</div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/138842-how-s-pay-tv-handling-this-downturn?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lbtya">LBTYA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tem">TEM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed">VMED</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Fixed and Mobile Broadband Performance - A Portugese Study</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/135784-fixed-and-mobile-broadband-performance-a-portugese-study?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">135784</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Looking through the <a href="http://www.zon.pt/microsites/investidores/index.aspx" target="_blank">ZON Multimedia</a> Q1 results, I came across a reference to a study carried out by the Portugese regulator, Anacom, into broadband performance. The Anacom <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/render.jsp?categoryName=CATEGORY_ROOT&amp;languageId=1" target="_blank">website</a> has some awesome material in it, and I have always been perplexed as to why small markets like Portugal and Denmark have regulators devoted to market research, while some notable larger markets produce next to nothing (you know who you are!).</p><div>Anyway, I'm not 100% sure that this is the study they're referring to in the release, but nevertheless I stumbled across this <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/streaming/QOSacesso_internet_marco09.pdf?contentId=916919&amp;field=ATTACHED_FILE" target="_blank">very detailed report</a> from last month, detailing performance of both fixed and mobile broadband. It's in Portugese, but I think most readers will be able to get something out of it, or at least enjoy the nice graphics. For those less adventurous, a summary of the findings is <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/render.jsp?contentId=920605" target="_blank">here</a>. I particularly like the observation:</div><div> </div><blockquote class="quote"><p>With regard to upload speeds it is seen that the speeds of mobile technology are higher than those provided by fixed technology.</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 13:29:18 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Looking through the <a href="http://www.zon.pt/microsites/investidores/index.aspx" target="_blank">ZON Multimedia</a> Q1 results, I came across a reference to a study carried out by the Portugese regulator, Anacom, into broadband performance. The Anacom <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/render.jsp?categoryName=CATEGORY_ROOT&amp;languageId=1" target="_blank">website</a> has some awesome material in it, and I have always been perplexed as to why small markets like Portugal and Denmark have regulators devoted to market research, while some notable larger markets produce next to nothing (you know who you are!).</p><div>Anyway, I'm not 100% sure that this is the study they're referring to in the release, but nevertheless I stumbled across this <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/streaming/QOSacesso_internet_marco09.pdf?contentId=916919&amp;field=ATTACHED_FILE" target="_blank">very detailed report</a> from last month, detailing performance of both fixed and mobile broadband. It's in Portugese, but I think most readers will be able to get something out of it, or at least enjoy the nice graphics. For those less adventurous, a summary of the findings is <a href="http://www.anacom.pt/render.jsp?contentId=920605" target="_blank">here</a>. I particularly like the observation:</div><div> </div><blockquote class="quote"><p>With regard to upload speeds it is seen that the speeds of mobile technology are higher than those provided by fixed technology.</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/135784-fixed-and-mobile-broadband-performance-a-portugese-study?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>No Bandwidth, Please - We're British</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/135372-no-bandwidth-please-we-re-british?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">135372</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>BT's CEO got the virtual equivalent of a mass <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/04/17/digital_britain_bt/comments/" target="_blank">Glasgow kiss</a> (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glasgow_kiss" target="_blank">definition</a>) for his recent <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/04/17/digital_britain_bt/" target="_blank">Ford vs. Ferrari</a> comments. But events have proven he's partially right - <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NDM1MnxDaGlsZElEPS0xfFR5cGU9Mw==&amp;t=1" target="_blank"><i>only</i> 75%</a> of Virgin Media's new customers want 10Mbps or more, suggesting that the other 25% are content with 2Mbps. This segment of bandwidth <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Sex_Please,_We%27re_British" target="_blank">prudes</a> could be an incremental growth target for UK ADSL players, as ADSL has proven it's fully capable of delivering 2Mbps, mostly (<a href="http://www.ofcom.org.uk/research/telecoms/reports/bbspeed_jan09/bbspeed_jan09.pdf" target="_blank">see point 1.8 on page 3</a>). </p><div> </div><div>But they'd better hurry - Virgin no longer even markets its 2Mbps product, and the remaining 2Mbps customers are going to be dragged kicking and screaming onto 10Mbps packages from this month. </div><div> </div><div>Nice to see the cable industry finally doing what I have always believed it could and should do: use its network advantages as a blunt weapon to batter telcos with (<a href="http://hugin.info/136600/R/1309804/302671.pdf" target="_blank">Telenet results</a> also show a similar trend and tone - 78% of subs are &gt;12Mbps). In cases where the incumbent is unwilling or financially challenged to respond (<a href="http://investorrelations.eircom.net/pdf/eircom_Quarterly_and_Half_Year_results_presentation_to_31_December_2008.pdf" target="_blank">4.8x leverage</a> is a steep hill to climb), things are going to get <a href="http://www.siliconrepublic.com/news/article/12855/business/upc-is-building-a-120mbps-next-gen-broadband-network" target="_blank">very, very ugly</a>. </div><div> </div><div>This does nothing to bring closer the demise of the <span><a href="http://eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/pipe-giveth-and-pipe-taketh-away.html" target="_blank">bete noir</a></span> of asymmetry - <a href="http://onewayinternet.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">this person</a> felt strongly enough about the issue to devote a blog entirely to it, but apparently gave up out of despair. (I recently set up a YouTube channel, and people, let me tell you, the upload times are excruciating.)</div><div> </div><div>Still, it's interesting to ponder that telcos who have enjoyed relatively benign financial climes in days-gone-by avoided making the investment in preference for M&amp;A adventurism, share buybacks and dividends, only to find themselves now under duress to play catch-up in much less forgiving conditions. I've heard this story <a href="http://www.bartleby.com/17/1/36.html" target="_blank">somewhere before</a>. </div><div><img src="http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/6695967-4951511446095591144?l=eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com" width="1" height="1" /></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 11:50:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>BT's CEO got the virtual equivalent of a mass <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/04/17/digital_britain_bt/comments/" target="_blank">Glasgow kiss</a> (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glasgow_kiss" target="_blank">definition</a>) for his recent <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/04/17/digital_britain_bt/" target="_blank">Ford vs. Ferrari</a> comments. But events have proven he's partially right - <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NDM1MnxDaGlsZElEPS0xfFR5cGU9Mw==&amp;t=1" target="_blank"><i>only</i> 75%</a> of Virgin Media's new customers want 10Mbps or more, suggesting that the other 25% are content with 2Mbps. This segment of bandwidth <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Sex_Please,_We%27re_British" target="_blank">prudes</a> could be an incremental growth target for UK ADSL players, as ADSL has proven it's fully capable of delivering 2Mbps, mostly (<a href="http://www.ofcom.org.uk/research/telecoms/reports/bbspeed_jan09/bbspeed_jan09.pdf" target="_blank">see point 1.8 on page 3</a>). </p><div> </div><div>But they'd better hurry - Virgin no longer even markets its 2Mbps product, and the remaining 2Mbps customers are going to be dragged kicking and screaming onto 10Mbps packages from this month. </div><div> </div><div>Nice to see the cable industry finally doing what I have always believed it could and should do: use its network advantages as a blunt weapon to batter telcos with (<a href="http://hugin.info/136600/R/1309804/302671.pdf" target="_blank">Telenet results</a> also show a similar trend and tone - 78% of subs are &gt;12Mbps). In cases where the incumbent is unwilling or financially challenged to respond (<a href="http://investorrelations.eircom.net/pdf/eircom_Quarterly_and_Half_Year_results_presentation_to_31_December_2008.pdf" target="_blank">4.8x leverage</a> is a steep hill to climb), things are going to get <a href="http://www.siliconrepublic.com/news/article/12855/business/upc-is-building-a-120mbps-next-gen-broadband-network" target="_blank">very, very ugly</a>. </div><div> </div><div>This does nothing to bring closer the demise of the <span><a href="http://eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/pipe-giveth-and-pipe-taketh-away.html" target="_blank">bete noir</a></span> of asymmetry - <a href="http://onewayinternet.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">this person</a> felt strongly enough about the issue to devote a blog entirely to it, but apparently gave up out of despair. (I recently set up a YouTube channel, and people, let me tell you, the upload times are excruciating.)</div><div> </div><div>Still, it's interesting to ponder that telcos who have enjoyed relatively benign financial climes in days-gone-by avoided making the investment in preference for M&amp;A adventurism, share buybacks and dividends, only to find themselves now under duress to play catch-up in much less forgiving conditions. I've heard this story <a href="http://www.bartleby.com/17/1/36.html" target="_blank">somewhere before</a>. </div><div><img src="http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/6695967-4951511446095591144?l=eurotelcoblog.blogspot.com" width="1" height="1" /></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/135372-no-bandwidth-please-we-re-british?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bt">BT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Internet Infrastructure Stocks on a Tear</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/134534-internet-infrastructure-stocks-on-a-tear?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">134534</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Internet infrastructure stocks are on a tear. Indeed they are veritable &quot;pitbulls on the pantleg of opportunity&quot; following a set of strong Q1 results and broadly encouraging guidance.</p><p>Bear in mind that if you view these charts after this writing - 30 April, 2009 - they may look very different, but what they show now is <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AKAM&amp;p=D&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p15834662710" target="_blank">Akamai (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/akam' title='More opinion and analysis of AKAM'>AKAM</a>) up 10%</a> Thursday, Savvis (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/svvs' title='More opinion and analysis of SVVS'>SVVS</a>) <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=svvs&amp;p=D&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p15834662710" target="_blank">hanging tough</a> after a 16% rise Wednesday and having more than doubled since its March lows, Switch &amp; Data (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sdxc' title='More opinion and analysis of SDXC'>SDXC</a>) has <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SDXC&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p93262168398" target="_blank">also doubled</a>, Rackspace (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rax' title='More opinion and analysis of RAX'>RAX</a>) <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RAX&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p35044958269" target="_blank">up 74%</a> since early March, and <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EQIX&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p53107957916" target="_blank">Equinix</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eqix' title='More opinion and analysis of EQIX'>EQIX</a>) up 68% since its own March nadir.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 03:30:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Internet infrastructure stocks are on a tear. Indeed they are veritable &quot;pitbulls on the pantleg of opportunity&quot; following a set of strong Q1 results and broadly encouraging guidance.</p><p>Bear in mind that if you view these charts after this writing - 30 April, 2009 - they may look very different, but what they show now is <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AKAM&amp;p=D&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p15834662710" target="_blank">Akamai (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/akam' title='More opinion and analysis of AKAM'>AKAM</a>) up 10%</a> Thursday, Savvis (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/svvs' title='More opinion and analysis of SVVS'>SVVS</a>) <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=svvs&amp;p=D&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p15834662710" target="_blank">hanging tough</a> after a 16% rise Wednesday and having more than doubled since its March lows, Switch &amp; Data (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sdxc' title='More opinion and analysis of SDXC'>SDXC</a>) has <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SDXC&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p93262168398" target="_blank">also doubled</a>, Rackspace (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rax' title='More opinion and analysis of RAX'>RAX</a>) <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RAX&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p35044958269" target="_blank">up 74%</a> since early March, and <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EQIX&amp;p=DAILY&amp;b=5&amp;g=0&amp;id=p53107957916" target="_blank">Equinix</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eqix' title='More opinion and analysis of EQIX'>EQIX</a>) up 68% since its own March nadir.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/134534-internet-infrastructure-stocks-on-a-tear?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/akam">AKAM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eqix">EQIX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rax">RAX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sdxc">SDXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/svvs">SVVS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Amazon's Cloudfront: Blowing Away the Competition?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/106712-amazon-s-cloudfront-blowing-away-the-competition?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">106712</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I had the pleasure of watching Amazon's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn' title='More opinion and analysis of AMZN'>AMZN</a>) CTO, Werner Vogels, address 250 or so senior strategy people from the telecom world at the <a href="http://telco2.net/" target="_blank">Telco 2.0</a> event in London a couple of weeks ago.</p><p>Sitting at the back of the room, at times I had the sense that the audience's hair was flying back, as if from some powerful blast, or the engines of a UFO landing. In other words, they seemed to be both amazed and shocked by his description of Amazon's approach to building a <a href="http://aws.amazon.com/" target="_blank">platform</a>&nbsp;business, the process by which it decided to do so, and the sheer speed with which it has gained traction.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 02:12:39 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I had the pleasure of watching Amazon's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn' title='More opinion and analysis of AMZN'>AMZN</a>) CTO, Werner Vogels, address 250 or so senior strategy people from the telecom world at the <a href="http://telco2.net/" target="_blank">Telco 2.0</a> event in London a couple of weeks ago.</p><p>Sitting at the back of the room, at times I had the sense that the audience's hair was flying back, as if from some powerful blast, or the engines of a UFO landing. In other words, they seemed to be both amazed and shocked by his description of Amazon's approach to building a <a href="http://aws.amazon.com/" target="_blank">platform</a>&nbsp;business, the process by which it decided to do so, and the sheer speed with which it has gained traction.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/106712-amazon-s-cloudfront-blowing-away-the-competition?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/akam">AKAM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn">AMZN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/llnw">LLNW</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Emerging from the Ashes of Disaster: Challenges &amp; Opportunities Ahead</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/95844-emerging-from-the-ashes-of-disaster-challenges-opportunities-ahead?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">95844</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The U.S. government has clarified its stance on &quot;moral hazard&quot; by allowing a major investment bank to fail. The International Swaps and Derivatives Association is so focused on orchestrating an orderly unwind of Lehman's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/leh' title='More opinion and analysis of LEH'>LEH</a>) positions that it held a special trading session on <a target="_blank" href="http://www.isda.org/press/press091408lehman.html">Sunday</a> and has even <a target="_blank" href="https://www.isdadocs.org/conf/conf_indexes/index_09-16-08.html">canceled</a> its own members conference, which should have taken place today (perhaps they were afraid that the offer of a free lunch might trigger a riot).<br /><br />AIG (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig' title='More opinion and analysis of AIG'>AIG</a>) now appears to be on its <a target="_blank" href="http://flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/2861546589/">knees</a>, and apart from the human consequences for its 100,000 employees and consumers of its more conventional insurance and re-insurance products, its demise would make the credit derivatives market <a target="_blank" href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122151687346838769.html?mod=googlenews_barrons">significantly more complicated</a>. Sparing readers the tedious technical details, this is significant because:</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2008 02:39:00 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The U.S. government has clarified its stance on &quot;moral hazard&quot; by allowing a major investment bank to fail. The International Swaps and Derivatives Association is so focused on orchestrating an orderly unwind of Lehman's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/leh' title='More opinion and analysis of LEH'>LEH</a>) positions that it held a special trading session on <a target="_blank" href="http://www.isda.org/press/press091408lehman.html">Sunday</a> and has even <a target="_blank" href="https://www.isdadocs.org/conf/conf_indexes/index_09-16-08.html">canceled</a> its own members conference, which should have taken place today (perhaps they were afraid that the offer of a free lunch might trigger a riot).<br /><br />AIG (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig' title='More opinion and analysis of AIG'>AIG</a>) now appears to be on its <a target="_blank" href="http://flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/2861546589/">knees</a>, and apart from the human consequences for its 100,000 employees and consumers of its more conventional insurance and re-insurance products, its demise would make the credit derivatives market <a target="_blank" href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122151687346838769.html?mod=googlenews_barrons">significantly more complicated</a>. Sparing readers the tedious technical details, this is significant because:</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/95844-emerging-from-the-ashes-of-disaster-challenges-opportunities-ahead?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Telco: Defensive Sector in a Market Downturn?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/93831-telco-defensive-sector-in-a-market-downturn?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">93831</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I was getting back in the loop of market technicals today, and downloaded this chart of ranked returns in the DJ STOXX 600 industry groups. (See below)</p> <p>Historically, I think many analysts, including yours truly on some occasions in the past, have argued that telco is a defensive sector in a market downturn (as it was at least for three months following 9/11). It's therefore interesting to note that telco, on a year-to-date basis, is 14th out of 18 sectors (down 26%), and the ones below it are non-bank financials (i.e., consumer credit, et al.), construction and construction materials, retail, and banks.<br /> &nbsp;</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 04:00:46 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I was getting back in the loop of market technicals today, and downloaded this chart of ranked returns in the DJ STOXX 600 industry groups. (See below)</p> <p>Historically, I think many analysts, including yours truly on some occasions in the past, have argued that telco is a defensive sector in a market downturn (as it was at least for three months following 9/11). It's therefore interesting to note that telco, on a year-to-date basis, is 14th out of 18 sectors (down 26%), and the ones below it are non-bank financials (i.e., consumer credit, et al.), construction and construction materials, retail, and banks.<br /> &nbsp;</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/93831-telco-defensive-sector-in-a-market-downturn?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>What's in the Alcatel-Lucent Chalice?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/93659-what-s-in-the-alcatel-lucent-chalice?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">93659</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Apart from Alcatel-Lucent's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/alu' title='More opinion and analysis of ALU'>ALU</a>) Franco-American culture clash poison with which <a href="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/0c2nfWw0lMdZB/610x.jpg" target="_blank">Pat and Serge</a> consummated their suicide pact, I'm not really sure. I have an awful lot of respect for <a href="http://www.alcatel-lucent.com/wps/portal/%21ut/p/kcxml/04_Sj9SPykssy0xPLMnMz0vM0Y_QjzKLd4x3tXDUL8h2VAQAURh_Yw%21%21?LMSG_CABINET=Docs_and_Resource_Ctr&amp;LMSG_CONTENT_FILE=News_Releases_2008/News_Article_001199.xml" target="_blank">Ben Verwaayen</a> and the turnaround he achieved at BT (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bt' title='More opinion and analysis of BT'>BT</a>), but that was a very different kettle of fish and chips.</p><p>Yes, it was an overstretched, over-leveraged empire which had engaged in a lot of strange M&amp;A and joint ventures with very strange put/call terms with <a href="http://www.telenor.com/" target="_blank">partners</a>. An aggressive 3G license acquisition strategy certainly didn't help the balance sheet, in fact, BT's decline from net cash position to rescue rights issue and de-merger of O2 was nothing short of stunning, if only for the sheer velocity with which it occurred.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Sep 2008 04:55:18 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Apart from Alcatel-Lucent's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/alu' title='More opinion and analysis of ALU'>ALU</a>) Franco-American culture clash poison with which <a href="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/0c2nfWw0lMdZB/610x.jpg" target="_blank">Pat and Serge</a> consummated their suicide pact, I'm not really sure. I have an awful lot of respect for <a href="http://www.alcatel-lucent.com/wps/portal/%21ut/p/kcxml/04_Sj9SPykssy0xPLMnMz0vM0Y_QjzKLd4x3tXDUL8h2VAQAURh_Yw%21%21?LMSG_CABINET=Docs_and_Resource_Ctr&amp;LMSG_CONTENT_FILE=News_Releases_2008/News_Article_001199.xml" target="_blank">Ben Verwaayen</a> and the turnaround he achieved at BT (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bt' title='More opinion and analysis of BT'>BT</a>), but that was a very different kettle of fish and chips.</p><p>Yes, it was an overstretched, over-leveraged empire which had engaged in a lot of strange M&amp;A and joint ventures with very strange put/call terms with <a href="http://www.telenor.com/" target="_blank">partners</a>. An aggressive 3G license acquisition strategy certainly didn't help the balance sheet, in fact, BT's decline from net cash position to rescue rights issue and de-merger of O2 was nothing short of stunning, if only for the sheer velocity with which it occurred.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/93659-what-s-in-the-alcatel-lucent-chalice?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/alu">ALU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bt">BT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Virgin Media vs. Sky: National Ad Campaign Underway</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/29151-virgin-media-vs-sky-national-ad-campaign-underway?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">29151</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[On the bus to a meeting today I passed a lot of very prominent Sky advertising like this, which highlights that Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) customers in the UK are to lose content like "Lost" and "24" due to the public bust-up between Virgin and Sky. 

<p>See <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/415002952/">Sky ad 03 07 here</a>, originally uploaded by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/people/jimiinc/">jimiinc</a>.
</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/415002952"><img title="Sky Ad" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/Lost.jpg" border="1" height="180" alt="Sky Ad" width="240" /></a>
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 09 Mar 2007 06:51:20 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[On the bus to a meeting today I passed a lot of very prominent Sky advertising like this, which highlights that Virgin Media (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed' title='More opinion and analysis of VMED'>VMED</a>) customers in the UK are to lose content like "Lost" and "24" due to the public bust-up between Virgin and Sky. 

<p>See <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/415002952/">Sky ad 03 07 here</a>, originally uploaded by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/people/jimiinc/">jimiinc</a>.
</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimiinc/415002952"><img title="Sky Ad" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/Lost.jpg" border="1" height="180" alt="Sky Ad" width="240" /></a>
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/29151-virgin-media-vs-sky-national-ad-campaign-underway?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmed">VMED</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Telenor's Arbitration: How Serious is the Damage?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/27283-telenor-s-arbitration-how-serious-is-the-damage?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">27283</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I am inspired by Telenor ASA's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/teln' title='More opinion and analysis of TELN'>TELN</a>) <a href="http://telenor.com/ir/quarterly_reports/4q06/pdf_xls/4q06_v1.pdf">results yesterday</a> to break my recent silence. How extraordinary it is that the best-performing company in the European sector over the past two years finds itself in the position of having to publish estimates of the results of its own largest <a href="http://www.kyivstar.net/en/">source of EBITDA</a>, due to a court injunction over releasing financial information resulting from legal action by a partner (Storm LLC, which holds 43.5% of Kyivstar and is controlled by Altimo). 

<p>Up to now the <a href="http://www.telenor.com/russia/news/20061212/Factsheet_ENG.pdf">ongoing disagreements</a> have been an area of concern, but without any visible impact on the share price. Altimo seems to have demonstrated powerfully today that throwing stumbling blocks in Telenor's way to cause uncertainty and a lack of visibility is enough to do serious damage after all - in this case a 9% decline in market cap.
</p>
<p><strong>TELN 1-yr chart</strong>
<br />
<img title="TELN" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/TELN.gif" border="0" height="335" alt="TELN" width="579" />
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Feb 2007 05:05:02 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I am inspired by Telenor ASA's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/teln' title='More opinion and analysis of TELN'>TELN</a>) <a href="http://telenor.com/ir/quarterly_reports/4q06/pdf_xls/4q06_v1.pdf">results yesterday</a> to break my recent silence. How extraordinary it is that the best-performing company in the European sector over the past two years finds itself in the position of having to publish estimates of the results of its own largest <a href="http://www.kyivstar.net/en/">source of EBITDA</a>, due to a court injunction over releasing financial information resulting from legal action by a partner (Storm LLC, which holds 43.5% of Kyivstar and is controlled by Altimo). 

<p>Up to now the <a href="http://www.telenor.com/russia/news/20061212/Factsheet_ENG.pdf">ongoing disagreements</a> have been an area of concern, but without any visible impact on the share price. Altimo seems to have demonstrated powerfully today that throwing stumbling blocks in Telenor's way to cause uncertainty and a lack of visibility is enough to do serious damage after all - in this case a 9% decline in market cap.
</p>
<p><strong>TELN 1-yr chart</strong>
<br />
<img title="TELN" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/TELN.gif" border="0" height="335" alt="TELN" width="579" />
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/27283-telenor-s-arbitration-how-serious-is-the-damage?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/teln">TELN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Google's New Dutch Datacenter: How Many Zeros Are In a Googlewatt? </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/26392-google-s-new-dutch-datacenter-how-many-zeros-are-in-a-googlewatt?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">26392</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[How fitting is it that here at the FTTH Council Europe event in Barcelona, where all 1,200 delegates are debating how much bandwidth is enough and how fast, they are simultaneously jockeying for positions near scarce power sockets for a quick recharge of depleted laptops.

<p>Today my friend and Palladium Club mega-uber value reader Vincent Dekker of Trouw in the Netherlands breaks the story of a <a href="http://www.trouw.nl/hetnieuws/economie/article622243.ece/Google_wil_energie_Eemshaven_heeft_het">massive new data center</a> being built in the northern Dutch backwater of Eemshaven. Though no official confirmation is forthcoming, the word is that this new data center's primary tenant will be Google (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog' title='More opinion and analysis of GOOG'>GOOG</a>), with space for 100k servers and conveniently located near a 2.4Gigawatt power plant, a windfarm, a "green" power cable making landfall from Norway and a harbor that will in the future house an LNG terminal. Do we see a pattern here? 
</p>
<p>What's also interesting is that Google is reportedly the largest occupant of the current largest server farm in the Netherlands, <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/erwinboogert/sets/29760/">Zernike</a>, just up the road in Groningen. Looks like when planning for its future bandwidth and power demands, Google is a believer in the immortal words of Jerry Lee Lewis: "Enough is good, more is better, and too much is just about right." 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Feb 2007 03:54:17 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[How fitting is it that here at the FTTH Council Europe event in Barcelona, where all 1,200 delegates are debating how much bandwidth is enough and how fast, they are simultaneously jockeying for positions near scarce power sockets for a quick recharge of depleted laptops.

<p>Today my friend and Palladium Club mega-uber value reader Vincent Dekker of Trouw in the Netherlands breaks the story of a <a href="http://www.trouw.nl/hetnieuws/economie/article622243.ece/Google_wil_energie_Eemshaven_heeft_het">massive new data center</a> being built in the northern Dutch backwater of Eemshaven. Though no official confirmation is forthcoming, the word is that this new data center's primary tenant will be Google (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog' title='More opinion and analysis of GOOG'>GOOG</a>), with space for 100k servers and conveniently located near a 2.4Gigawatt power plant, a windfarm, a "green" power cable making landfall from Norway and a harbor that will in the future house an LNG terminal. Do we see a pattern here? 
</p>
<p>What's also interesting is that Google is reportedly the largest occupant of the current largest server farm in the Netherlands, <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/erwinboogert/sets/29760/">Zernike</a>, just up the road in Groningen. Looks like when planning for its future bandwidth and power demands, Google is a believer in the immortal words of Jerry Lee Lewis: "Enough is good, more is better, and too much is just about right." 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/26392-google-s-new-dutch-datacenter-how-many-zeros-are-in-a-googlewatt?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog">GOOG</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Quick Look at Vodafone and France Telecom Results</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/26043-quick-look-at-vodafone-and-france-telecom-results?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">26043</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Last week seems to have gone in a flash, what with the Vodafone (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vod' title='More opinion and analysis of VOD'>VOD</a>)  /BSkyB double-header on Wednesday and France Telecom (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fte' title='More opinion and analysis of FTE'>FTE</a>) on Thursday. Still playing catch-up on Friday, but here are a few things that caught my eye.
</p>
<p>Keith has a <a href="http://telecom.seekingalpha.com/article/25774">nice write-up</a> of the Vodafone results, which he refers to accurately as the quarterly game. I can't think of many other companies where the management consistently start the presentation by repeating that they think the KPIs they are about to report are of diminishing relevance in gaging performance. In that case, why not report quarterly results with a full set of financial statements? Surely that's preferable to the current system.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Feb 2007 07:58:21 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Last week seems to have gone in a flash, what with the Vodafone (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vod' title='More opinion and analysis of VOD'>VOD</a>)  /BSkyB double-header on Wednesday and France Telecom (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fte' title='More opinion and analysis of FTE'>FTE</a>) on Thursday. Still playing catch-up on Friday, but here are a few things that caught my eye.
</p>
<p>Keith has a <a href="http://telecom.seekingalpha.com/article/25774">nice write-up</a> of the Vodafone results, which he refers to accurately as the quarterly game. I can't think of many other companies where the management consistently start the presentation by repeating that they think the KPIs they are about to report are of diminishing relevance in gaging performance. In that case, why not report quarterly results with a full set of financial statements? Surely that's preferable to the current system.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/26043-quick-look-at-vodafone-and-france-telecom-results?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fte">FTE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vod">VOD</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>British Sky/Google Alliance: Yes, Murdoch Gets The Internet</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/21915-british-sky-google-alliance-yes-murdoch-gets-the-internet?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">21915</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well, there probably aren't many people out there who have any lingering doubts about the Murdoch brigade's grasp of "this internet thing," but if so, here's the <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=104016&#38;p=irol-newsArticle_Print&#38;ID=939641&#38;highlight=">final nail in the coffin</a> - Sky and Google in a wide-ranging alliance covering advertising revenue share, a Sky-branded version of Gmail, UGC video, and an intention to</p>
<p><em>"explore opportunities to provide further services such as Google's VoIP (voice over internet protocol) telephony services, enhanced storage and future product developments,"</em></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 07 Dec 2006 03:58:06 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well, there probably aren't many people out there who have any lingering doubts about the Murdoch brigade's grasp of "this internet thing," but if so, here's the <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=104016&#38;p=irol-newsArticle_Print&#38;ID=939641&#38;highlight=">final nail in the coffin</a> - Sky and Google in a wide-ranging alliance covering advertising revenue share, a Sky-branded version of Gmail, UGC video, and an intention to</p>
<p><em>"explore opportunities to provide further services such as Google's VoIP (voice over internet protocol) telephony services, enhanced storage and future product developments,"</em></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/21915-british-sky-google-alliance-yes-murdoch-gets-the-internet?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bsy">BSY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog">GOOG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nws">NWS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>New Latvian Telcom Blog</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/19652-new-latvian-telcom-blog?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19652</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[One of the many things I love about this whole decentralized media meltdown phenomenon is that it doesn't matter how specialized your focus, you can have a voice and find the audience relevant to you. The latest example is <a href="http://www.latviantelecoms.blogspot.com/">this excellent blog</a> devoted to Latvian telecom. If you're into it, then here is the definitive site for you. 
</p>
<p>Well done, Juris!</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 04:06:05 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>James Enck</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[One of the many things I love about this whole decentralized media meltdown phenomenon is that it doesn't matter how specialized your focus, you can have a voice and find the audience relevant to you. The latest example is <a href="http://www.latviantelecoms.blogspot.com/">this excellent blog</a> devoted to Latvian telecom. If you're into it, then here is the definitive site for you. 
</p>
<p>Well done, Juris!</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/19652-new-latvian-telcom-blog?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/james-enck">James Enck</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
