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    <title>Jason Merriam - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Jason Merriam' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam</link>
    <item>
      <title>Verizon Vs. AT&amp;T: Earnings Quality And Cash-Flow</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/324492-verizon-vs-at-t-earnings-quality-and-cash-flow?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p>There has been much discussion of late comparing differences between telecommunication giants AT&amp;T (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/t' title='AT&T Inc.'>T</a>) and Verizon Communications (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz' title='Verizon Communications'>VZ</a>). The pendulum seems to swing back and forth regarding which is the better growth story, who has the safer dividend, best ROE, etc., etc.</p><p>As we all know, earnings growth is critical to future dividend growth and sustainability. While there are some very compelling macro arguments (backed by sound earnings-yield and discount cash-flow projections) making a case in support of each company, we would like to offer a different perspective to the discussion. That is, who displays the healthier earnings quality and strongest liquidity?</p><p>To determine this, you first have to identify the sources of "cash-flows" used to build the earnings report. The financial statements tell an important story and investors willing to dig a bit deeper will find valuable clues to the potential future price movements of a stock.</p><p>We employ</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 06:45:33 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>There has been much discussion of late comparing differences between telecommunication giants AT&amp;T (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/t' title='AT&T Inc.'>T</a>) and Verizon Communications (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz' title='Verizon Communications'>VZ</a>). The pendulum seems to swing back and forth regarding which is the better growth story, who has the safer dividend, best ROE, etc., etc.</p><p>As we all know, earnings growth is critical to future dividend growth and sustainability. While there are some very compelling macro arguments (backed by sound earnings-yield and discount cash-flow projections) making a case in support of each company, we would like to offer a different perspective to the discussion. That is, who displays the healthier earnings quality and strongest liquidity?</p><p>To determine this, you first have to identify the sources of "cash-flows" used to build the earnings report. The financial statements tell an important story and investors willing to dig a bit deeper will find valuable clues to the potential future price movements of a stock.</p><p>We employ</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/324492-verizon-vs-at-t-earnings-quality-and-cash-flow?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz">VZ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/t">T</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Diamond Foods: Chopped Nuts On The Cheap</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/319824-diamond-foods-chopped-nuts-on-the-cheap?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">319824</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>It was Friday the 13th and another black cat crossed Diamond Foods' (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd' title='Diamond Foods, Inc.'>DMND</a>) path. For a company who sells nuts and popcorn, the combination of an SEC inquiry and a DoJ investigation takes the fun out of owning small-cap food companies. Both agencies are investigating DMND on accounting treatment of payments to walnut growers.</p><p>Last week, KeyBanc threw in the towel and downgraded DMND to hold after beating the table with a "buy" several months ago.</p><p>KeyBanc analyst Akshay Jagdale who issued the downgrade report was also one of several other analysts who had been gung-ho on Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) prior to that stock's implosion following their Q4 earnings.</p> <p>It should be noted that KeyBanc was affiliated with underwriters of GMCR's latest secondary.</p> <p>Ironically, KeyBanc had hired accounting consultant Robert Willens to help them assess the bookkeeping at DMND.  In early December, Willens gave DMND a clean bill of</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 10:33:06 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>It was Friday the 13th and another black cat crossed Diamond Foods' (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd' title='Diamond Foods, Inc.'>DMND</a>) path. For a company who sells nuts and popcorn, the combination of an SEC inquiry and a DoJ investigation takes the fun out of owning small-cap food companies. Both agencies are investigating DMND on accounting treatment of payments to walnut growers.</p><p>Last week, KeyBanc threw in the towel and downgraded DMND to hold after beating the table with a "buy" several months ago.</p><p>KeyBanc analyst Akshay Jagdale who issued the downgrade report was also one of several other analysts who had been gung-ho on Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) prior to that stock's implosion following their Q4 earnings.</p> <p>It should be noted that KeyBanc was affiliated with underwriters of GMCR's latest secondary.</p> <p>Ironically, KeyBanc had hired accounting consultant Robert Willens to help them assess the bookkeeping at DMND.  In early December, Willens gave DMND a clean bill of</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/319824-diamond-foods-chopped-nuts-on-the-cheap?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd">DMND</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>High-Yield Finds From The Junk Bond Bin</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/319511-high-yield-finds-from-the-junk-bond-bin?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">319511</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Investors willing to embrace risk in the pursuit of high yield may want to consider sprinkling some junk bonds into their income portfolios. Although closed-end funds (CEFs) offer the average investor broader diversification to baskets of non-investment-grade corporate debt (often at a discount to NAV), we offer some individual ideas to consider:</p><p><b>Harrahs Operating Co</b>.: These bonds were trading at 76 cents on the dollar last March. They are now 48 cents, with a gushy yield of 27.5%.</p><p>  </p><table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" align="left">
  <tr><td><p><b>HET.GO </b></p></td>             <td><p>413627AX8</p></td>             <td><p><a href="http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/BondCenter/BondDetail.aspx?ID=NDEzNjI3QVg4" rel="nofollow">Harrahs </a></p></td>             <td><p>6.50</p></td>             <td><p>June 1,<br/>2016</p></td>             <td><p>Ca</p></td>             <td><p>CCC</p></td>             <td><p>C</p></td>             <td><p>48.250</p></td>             <td><p>-</p></td>             <td><p>27.576</p></td>         </tr>
</table><p>Casino operators are highly leveraged, and Harrahs (now Caesar’s Entertainment) carries more debt than most, thanks to a poorly timed and expensive LBO in 2008.  Naysayers were convinced the company would be forced to file bankruptcy, but the company’s survival thus far is the result of shrewd financial engineering this past two years. In addition, anecdotal evidence of recent</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Jan 2012 13:05:55 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Investors willing to embrace risk in the pursuit of high yield may want to consider sprinkling some junk bonds into their income portfolios. Although closed-end funds (CEFs) offer the average investor broader diversification to baskets of non-investment-grade corporate debt (often at a discount to NAV), we offer some individual ideas to consider:</p><p><b>Harrahs Operating Co</b>.: These bonds were trading at 76 cents on the dollar last March. They are now 48 cents, with a gushy yield of 27.5%.</p><p>  </p><table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" align="left">
  <tr><td><p><b>HET.GO </b></p></td>             <td><p>413627AX8</p></td>             <td><p><a href="http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/BondCenter/BondDetail.aspx?ID=NDEzNjI3QVg4" rel="nofollow">Harrahs </a></p></td>             <td><p>6.50</p></td>             <td><p>June 1,<br/>2016</p></td>             <td><p>Ca</p></td>             <td><p>CCC</p></td>             <td><p>C</p></td>             <td><p>48.250</p></td>             <td><p>-</p></td>             <td><p>27.576</p></td>         </tr>
</table><p>Casino operators are highly leveraged, and Harrahs (now Caesar’s Entertainment) carries more debt than most, thanks to a poorly timed and expensive LBO in 2008.  Naysayers were convinced the company would be forced to file bankruptcy, but the company’s survival thus far is the result of shrewd financial engineering this past two years. In addition, anecdotal evidence of recent</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/319511-high-yield-finds-from-the-junk-bond-bin?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wen">WEN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msi">MSI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Research In Motion: Broken, Vilified And A Bargain?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/315911-research-in-motion-broken-vilified-and-a-bargain?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">315911</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Shareholders of Research in Motion (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rimm' title='Research In Motion Limited'>RIMM</a>) have seen their stock value minced into chutney this past year. We thought the stock looked undervalued in June, but the following two quarterly earnings reports (Q2 &amp;Q3 2012) went from bad to ugly. </p>  <p>Making matters worse is that management seems to be in denial of the fact that the ship is heading straight for the rocks.  </p>  <p>We wrote in June that “RIMM needs to focus on their core strengths.” Unfortunately, the only bone being thrown investors is the announcement that the co-CEO’s will each receive a salary of $1. Getting paid $1 for having their heads in the sand seems like two bucks too much in our view.    </p>  <p>Now that shares are trading closer to tangible book value, what are the options for this fallen smart-phone maker?  From a financial statement perspective, RIMM also has attributes that may be appealing to a potential</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Dec 2011 07:56:11 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Shareholders of Research in Motion (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rimm' title='Research In Motion Limited'>RIMM</a>) have seen their stock value minced into chutney this past year. We thought the stock looked undervalued in June, but the following two quarterly earnings reports (Q2 &amp;Q3 2012) went from bad to ugly. </p>  <p>Making matters worse is that management seems to be in denial of the fact that the ship is heading straight for the rocks.  </p>  <p>We wrote in June that “RIMM needs to focus on their core strengths.” Unfortunately, the only bone being thrown investors is the announcement that the co-CEO’s will each receive a salary of $1. Getting paid $1 for having their heads in the sand seems like two bucks too much in our view.    </p>  <p>Now that shares are trading closer to tangible book value, what are the options for this fallen smart-phone maker?  From a financial statement perspective, RIMM also has attributes that may be appealing to a potential</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/315911-research-in-motion-broken-vilified-and-a-bargain?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rimm">RIMM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Riverbed Technologies: Ray Of Sunshine In The Clouds</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/314428-riverbed-technologies-ray-of-sunshine-in-the-clouds?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">314428</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The announced acquisition of DemandTec (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dman' title='DemandTec, Inc.'>DMAN</a>) by IBM (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm' title='International Business Machines Corporation'>IBM</a>) on December 8th, underscores the jockeying of positions within the cloud computing space.  Big-fish are buying the small fry such as a recent deal by SAP AG (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sap' title='SAP AG'>SAP</a>) purchasing SuccessFactors (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sfsf' title='SuccessFactors, Inc.'>SFSF</a>).</p> <p>Adding fuel to the fire was the December 9th news that Blue Coat Systems (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcsi' title='Blue Coat Systems Inc'>BCSI</a>) agreed to be bought by an investor group led by PE firm Thoma Bravo LLC and including a unit of the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan.</p> <p>Cisco’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco' title='Cisco Systems, Inc.'>CSCO</a>) recent introduction of <i>CloudVerse </i>is also a new entrant to the cloud scene.   </p> <p>Another name we think highly of in the WAN (wide area network) environment is Riverbed Technology (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rvbd' title='Riverbed Technology, Inc.'>RVBD</a>). They too could make an excellent acquisition target to a larger player wanting to guarantee their footprint in the cloud arena. Yet, the company also has a bright future as a stand-alone business.  What’s to like?</p> <p>Revenue growth</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2011 15:31:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>The announced acquisition of DemandTec (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dman' title='DemandTec, Inc.'>DMAN</a>) by IBM (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm' title='International Business Machines Corporation'>IBM</a>) on December 8th, underscores the jockeying of positions within the cloud computing space.  Big-fish are buying the small fry such as a recent deal by SAP AG (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sap' title='SAP AG'>SAP</a>) purchasing SuccessFactors (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sfsf' title='SuccessFactors, Inc.'>SFSF</a>).</p> <p>Adding fuel to the fire was the December 9th news that Blue Coat Systems (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcsi' title='Blue Coat Systems Inc'>BCSI</a>) agreed to be bought by an investor group led by PE firm Thoma Bravo LLC and including a unit of the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan.</p> <p>Cisco’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco' title='Cisco Systems, Inc.'>CSCO</a>) recent introduction of <i>CloudVerse </i>is also a new entrant to the cloud scene.   </p> <p>Another name we think highly of in the WAN (wide area network) environment is Riverbed Technology (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rvbd' title='Riverbed Technology, Inc.'>RVBD</a>). They too could make an excellent acquisition target to a larger player wanting to guarantee their footprint in the cloud arena. Yet, the company also has a bright future as a stand-alone business.  What’s to like?</p> <p>Revenue growth</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/314428-riverbed-technologies-ray-of-sunshine-in-the-clouds?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dman">DMAN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm">IBM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sap">SAP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcsi">BCSI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco">CSCO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sfsf">SFSF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rvbd">RVBD</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Using Cash Flow To Evaluate Dividend Safety</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/312784-using-cash-flow-to-evaluate-dividend-safety?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">312784</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>We use dual cash flow analysis as a primary screen for vetting investment candidates being considered in our portfolios. Although we have tweaked our model over the years to include more complex accounting analysis of the financial statements, the nuts and bolts of our screen focus on the sources of cash flow and their contributions to earnings.</p><p>Our research has shown that companies and businesses who generate most of their cash flow from “operations” tend to have higher quality-of-earnings than companies who rely on non-cash balance sheet "maneuvers" to support earnings.</p><p>Understanding the components of an earnings report gives us a good picture of a company’s financial health and liquidity. Studying the changes within these relationships over multiple periods (quarterly or annually) allows us to identify potential opportunities and detect possible danger looming ahead. The dual cash flow technique has also shown to be a very effective tool for evaluating</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Dec 2011 17:25:21 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>We use dual cash flow analysis as a primary screen for vetting investment candidates being considered in our portfolios. Although we have tweaked our model over the years to include more complex accounting analysis of the financial statements, the nuts and bolts of our screen focus on the sources of cash flow and their contributions to earnings.</p><p>Our research has shown that companies and businesses who generate most of their cash flow from “operations” tend to have higher quality-of-earnings than companies who rely on non-cash balance sheet "maneuvers" to support earnings.</p><p>Understanding the components of an earnings report gives us a good picture of a company’s financial health and liquidity. Studying the changes within these relationships over multiple periods (quarterly or annually) allows us to identify potential opportunities and detect possible danger looming ahead. The dual cash flow technique has also shown to be a very effective tool for evaluating</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/312784-using-cash-flow-to-evaluate-dividend-safety?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wm">WM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cag">CAG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pfe">PFE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc">INTC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctb">CTB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz">VZ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnj">JNJ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sleep Well With These CEF Income Ideas</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/311741-sleep-well-with-these-cef-income-ideas?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">311741</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Fixed income investors looking to put some cash to work may find interest in several of the closed-end funds we have been nibbling at of late.</p>  <p>Residents of California might consider either Nuveen Municipal Value Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nca' title='Nuveen California Municipal Value Fund'>NCA</a>) or BlackRock Calif. Municipal Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bfz' title='BlackRock California Municipal Income Trust'>BFZ</a>). Both offer current income exempt from regular federal income taxes and California personal income tax.</p>  <p>NCA currently trades at a -4.14% discount to net-asset-value, yields 5.05% with a taxable equivalent yield of 7.78%. BFZ trades at a narrow -0.42% discount to NAV, but current yield is 6.72% w/ 9.73% taxable equivalent. BFZ also has an effective leverage rate of  24.4%.</p>  <p>We have also been adding to Inflation-Linked securities primarily in US TIPS via Western/Claymore Infl-Lnkd Sec. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wia' title='Western Asset / Claymore Inflation-Linked Securities & Income Fund'>WIA</a> and <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wiw' title='Western Asset / Claymore Inflation-Linked Opportunities & Income Fund'>WIW</a>). Distribution rates run about 3% on each, but discount to NAV is an average -10.5%, wider than we have seen since 2009.</p>  <p>All of the funds listed pay</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 04 Dec 2011 15:30:09 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Fixed income investors looking to put some cash to work may find interest in several of the closed-end funds we have been nibbling at of late.</p>  <p>Residents of California might consider either Nuveen Municipal Value Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nca' title='Nuveen California Municipal Value Fund'>NCA</a>) or BlackRock Calif. Municipal Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bfz' title='BlackRock California Municipal Income Trust'>BFZ</a>). Both offer current income exempt from regular federal income taxes and California personal income tax.</p>  <p>NCA currently trades at a -4.14% discount to net-asset-value, yields 5.05% with a taxable equivalent yield of 7.78%. BFZ trades at a narrow -0.42% discount to NAV, but current yield is 6.72% w/ 9.73% taxable equivalent. BFZ also has an effective leverage rate of  24.4%.</p>  <p>We have also been adding to Inflation-Linked securities primarily in US TIPS via Western/Claymore Infl-Lnkd Sec. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wia' title='Western Asset / Claymore Inflation-Linked Securities & Income Fund'>WIA</a> and <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wiw' title='Western Asset / Claymore Inflation-Linked Opportunities & Income Fund'>WIW</a>). Distribution rates run about 3% on each, but discount to NAV is an average -10.5%, wider than we have seen since 2009.</p>  <p>All of the funds listed pay</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/311741-sleep-well-with-these-cef-income-ideas?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nca">NCA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bfz">BFZ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wiw">WIW</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wia">WIA</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Green Mountain Coffee: 10-K Observations</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/311519-green-mountain-coffee-10-k-observations?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">311519</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) filed their annual <a href="http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/909954/000119312511308748/d232301d10k.htm" rel="nofollow">10-K</a> report on Nov. 14th, less than one week after announcing Q4 and full-year 2011 earnings. GMCR shares have rallied a bit since the post-earnings report lows, likely the combination of investor “relief” and a healthy dose of short covering.</p> <p>As for analysts, the usual suspects have been talking up the stock since the Q4 earnings debacle. William Blair analyst Jon Andersen is the latest, upgrading GMCR to “outperform” on Dec. 1. This follows bullish comments from analysts at Janney and Cannacord back in mid November. </p> <p>It should also be noted that each of the firms mentioned above are affiliated with <a href="http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/909954/000119312511130735/d424b7.htm#suptoc180805_11" rel="nofollow">underwriters</a> participating in GMCR’s most recent secondary. </p> <p>Our long-time bearish view of the company is tempered a bit by the fact that management has taken steps to address "material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting," including the hire of Steve Gibbs</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 13:07:55 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) filed their annual <a href="http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/909954/000119312511308748/d232301d10k.htm" rel="nofollow">10-K</a> report on Nov. 14th, less than one week after announcing Q4 and full-year 2011 earnings. GMCR shares have rallied a bit since the post-earnings report lows, likely the combination of investor “relief” and a healthy dose of short covering.</p> <p>As for analysts, the usual suspects have been talking up the stock since the Q4 earnings debacle. William Blair analyst Jon Andersen is the latest, upgrading GMCR to “outperform” on Dec. 1. This follows bullish comments from analysts at Janney and Cannacord back in mid November. </p> <p>It should also be noted that each of the firms mentioned above are affiliated with <a href="http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/909954/000119312511130735/d424b7.htm#suptoc180805_11" rel="nofollow">underwriters</a> participating in GMCR’s most recent secondary. </p> <p>Our long-time bearish view of the company is tempered a bit by the fact that management has taken steps to address "material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting," including the hire of Steve Gibbs</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/311519-green-mountain-coffee-10-k-observations?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr">GMCR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>Diamond Foods: Oversold Value</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/307105-diamond-foods-oversold-value?source=feed</link>
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      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>We believe the recent slide in Diamond Foods (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd' title='Diamond Foods, Inc.'>DMND</a>) shares offer an interesting value proposition for investors seeking exposure to a prodigious cash-flow generator within the snack-food space.</p><p>The fall of DMND shares in recent weeks can be attributed to several events including investigations regarding crop payments and the delay in its pending acquisition of the <i>Pringles </i>brand from Proctor &amp; Gamble (PG).</p><p><strong>Deal Risk:</strong> This obviously weighed heaviest on the stock as the <i>Pringles </i>deal was announced in April and investors fed into the “game changer” prospects of the potential for the <em>Pringles</em> brand to catapult DMND into the turf of salty snack peers such as Pepsi (PEP).</p><p>The irony here is the seller (P&amp;G) was structuring the deal via a complex transaction known as a Reverse Morris Trust. Basically, P&amp;G will be selling unwanted assets (<em>Pringles </em>was a money loser for them) while advantaging from a loophole that</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2011 16:06:35 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>We believe the recent slide in Diamond Foods (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd' title='Diamond Foods, Inc.'>DMND</a>) shares offer an interesting value proposition for investors seeking exposure to a prodigious cash-flow generator within the snack-food space.</p><p>The fall of DMND shares in recent weeks can be attributed to several events including investigations regarding crop payments and the delay in its pending acquisition of the <i>Pringles </i>brand from Proctor &amp; Gamble (PG).</p><p><strong>Deal Risk:</strong> This obviously weighed heaviest on the stock as the <i>Pringles </i>deal was announced in April and investors fed into the “game changer” prospects of the potential for the <em>Pringles</em> brand to catapult DMND into the turf of salty snack peers such as Pepsi (PEP).</p><p>The irony here is the seller (P&amp;G) was structuring the deal via a complex transaction known as a Reverse Morris Trust. Basically, P&amp;G will be selling unwanted assets (<em>Pringles </em>was a money loser for them) while advantaging from a loophole that</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/307105-diamond-foods-oversold-value?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dmnd">DMND</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Green Mountain Coffee Gets Painted RED</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/307072-green-mountain-coffee-gets-painted-red?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p>Green Mountain Coffee’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) Q4 earnings bombshell Thursday should come as no surprise to anybody paying attention to the financial statements. (<span>FQ4 EPS of $0.47 </span>missed by $0.01.<span> Revenue of $711M (+96% Y/Y) </span>missed by $49.5M.</p><p>
  <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/306831-green-mountain-coffee-s-ceo-discusses-f4q-2011-results-earnings-call-transcript">
    <strong>See the Full GMCR Earnings Call Transcript</strong>
  </a>
</p><p>We have on many occasions ( <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/227782-bitter-beans-at-green-mountain-coffee">9-20-10</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/252486-green-mountain-coffee-only-thing-brewing-is-trouble">2-13-11</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/267679-green-mountain-q2-s-dog-and-pony-show-reveals-more-accounting-fluff">5-4-11</a> to name a few) warned investors to a myriad of concerns regarding GMCR’s financial statements and questionable accounting practices.    </p><p>The Merriam Report’s unique dual cash-flow and accrual analysis highlighted these issues long before David Einhorn made his bearish presentation in October and months prior to other analysts.  </p><p>In retrospect, the bear camp was a lonely one. Our favorite observer of all things Green Mountain, Sam Antar of White Collar Fraud, has been warning investors about GMCR’s accounting issues for quite a while. </p><p>CNBC’s Herb Greenberg also raised questions about GMCR’s bookkeeping in the past. </p><p>Being early isn’t always</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2011 15:17:50 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Green Mountain Coffee’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) Q4 earnings bombshell Thursday should come as no surprise to anybody paying attention to the financial statements. (<span>FQ4 EPS of $0.47 </span>missed by $0.01.<span> Revenue of $711M (+96% Y/Y) </span>missed by $49.5M.</p><p>
  <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/306831-green-mountain-coffee-s-ceo-discusses-f4q-2011-results-earnings-call-transcript">
    <strong>See the Full GMCR Earnings Call Transcript</strong>
  </a>
</p><p>We have on many occasions ( <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/227782-bitter-beans-at-green-mountain-coffee">9-20-10</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/252486-green-mountain-coffee-only-thing-brewing-is-trouble">2-13-11</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/267679-green-mountain-q2-s-dog-and-pony-show-reveals-more-accounting-fluff">5-4-11</a> to name a few) warned investors to a myriad of concerns regarding GMCR’s financial statements and questionable accounting practices.    </p><p>The Merriam Report’s unique dual cash-flow and accrual analysis highlighted these issues long before David Einhorn made his bearish presentation in October and months prior to other analysts.  </p><p>In retrospect, the bear camp was a lonely one. Our favorite observer of all things Green Mountain, Sam Antar of White Collar Fraud, has been warning investors about GMCR’s accounting issues for quite a while. </p><p>CNBC’s Herb Greenberg also raised questions about GMCR’s bookkeeping in the past. </p><p>Being early isn’t always</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/307072-green-mountain-coffee-gets-painted-red?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr">GMCR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>Economic Landscape: Expectations For Slow (Jobs) Growth</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/304246-economic-landscape-expectations-for-slow-jobs-growth?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">304246</guid>
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        <![CDATA[<p>With the Federal Reserve meeting this week on monetary policy, all attention will be focused on Wednesday's FOMC's statement and Chairman Bernanke's press conference. </p> <p>Will the Fed announce an official "QE 3" or possibly surprise the markets with some good news for a change i.e. credit expansion?    </p> <p>In the first half of 2011, equities benefited from Quantitative Easing #1 and #2.  The theory being, anytime you print lots of money and flood liquidity into the system, asset prices appear less expensive than they might have been before an injection of "stimulus."   </p> <p>More recently, the Fed and Treasury concocted “Operation Twist” which in our view essentially is “QE3” dressed in drag.  “Twist” is a cutesy way of saying the economy is still lousy.  Here, the Fed is buying up to $300 billion worth of longer duration Treasury Notes and parking them on their already bloated balance sheet. Its objective is to</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 01 Nov 2011 21:04:37 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>With the Federal Reserve meeting this week on monetary policy, all attention will be focused on Wednesday's FOMC's statement and Chairman Bernanke's press conference. </p> <p>Will the Fed announce an official "QE 3" or possibly surprise the markets with some good news for a change i.e. credit expansion?    </p> <p>In the first half of 2011, equities benefited from Quantitative Easing #1 and #2.  The theory being, anytime you print lots of money and flood liquidity into the system, asset prices appear less expensive than they might have been before an injection of "stimulus."   </p> <p>More recently, the Fed and Treasury concocted “Operation Twist” which in our view essentially is “QE3” dressed in drag.  “Twist” is a cutesy way of saying the economy is still lousy.  Here, the Fed is buying up to $300 billion worth of longer duration Treasury Notes and parking them on their already bloated balance sheet. Its objective is to</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/304246-economic-landscape-expectations-for-slow-jobs-growth?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Eyeing Financial Report Clues From Netflix And Green Mountain Coffee</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/301996-eyeing-financial-report-clues-from-netflix-and-green-mountain-coffee?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p>In our almost two decades as financial statement “sleuths,” one thing is certain. Ignoring the changes between relationships in the reported numbers can be dangerous and costly.</p>  <p>Clients and investors who follow our work know we have been bearish on Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) and Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) for quite a while.</p>  <p>NFLX reported yesterday (10-24-11) and GMCR has not yet announced a date for earnings. Both companies in our view articulate why it is important to pay attention to the clues provided in a company’s financial statements.</p> <p><b>Netflix</b>: Beleaguered DVD and streaming video provider NFLX reported a $0.21 earnings beat in Q3, but (not surprisingly) warned that Q4 earnings and margins would be lower than consensus estimates.</p>   <p>NFLX shares were down -27% in after hours trading on top of the almost 60% decline prior to the Q3 report.</p>  <p>Although the company has been signing a flurry of new content deals</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 25 Oct 2011 15:13:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>In our almost two decades as financial statement “sleuths,” one thing is certain. Ignoring the changes between relationships in the reported numbers can be dangerous and costly.</p>  <p>Clients and investors who follow our work know we have been bearish on Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) and Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) for quite a while.</p>  <p>NFLX reported yesterday (10-24-11) and GMCR has not yet announced a date for earnings. Both companies in our view articulate why it is important to pay attention to the clues provided in a company’s financial statements.</p> <p><b>Netflix</b>: Beleaguered DVD and streaming video provider NFLX reported a $0.21 earnings beat in Q3, but (not surprisingly) warned that Q4 earnings and margins would be lower than consensus estimates.</p>   <p>NFLX shares were down -27% in after hours trading on top of the almost 60% decline prior to the Q3 report.</p>  <p>Although the company has been signing a flurry of new content deals</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/301996-eyeing-financial-report-clues-from-netflix-and-green-mountain-coffee?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx">NFLX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr">GMCR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>Green Mountain Coffee's Bear Attack Was Overdue</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/301299-green-mountain-coffee-s-bear-attack-was-overdue?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">301299</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The bearish argument against (former) momentum darling Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) finally caught the attention of investors this past week, thanks to Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn in his robust 110-slide presentation before the Value Investing Congress in New York. Shares of GMCR are off some 30% since his comments. </p><p>Up until mid-September, GMCR stock had been the bane of long-established and significant positions held short. Ironically, Einhorn’s bearish thesis reiterated many concerns previously discussed in the financial media.</p><p>The Merriam Report too has highlighted its concerns of questionable accounting practices at GMCR on numerous occasions (<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/268725-green-mountain-coffee-more-shares-and-more-questions">May 9</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/268725-green-mountain-coffee-more-shares-and-more-questions">May 4</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/266589-green-mountain-coffee-is-flurry-of-deals-hinting-at-desperation">April 29</a> and <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/252486-green-mountain-coffee-only-thing-brewing-is-trouble">Feb. 13</a> of this year). We also note some very in-depth investigative research by Sam E. Antar, chief cook and bottle-washer over at White Collar Fraud.</p><p>It comes as absolutely no surprise to see investors flee this stock in the wake of Einhorn’s negative outlook for GMCR. We</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 17:46:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>The bearish argument against (former) momentum darling Green Mountain Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr' title='Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.'>GMCR</a>) finally caught the attention of investors this past week, thanks to Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn in his robust 110-slide presentation before the Value Investing Congress in New York. Shares of GMCR are off some 30% since his comments. </p><p>Up until mid-September, GMCR stock had been the bane of long-established and significant positions held short. Ironically, Einhorn’s bearish thesis reiterated many concerns previously discussed in the financial media.</p><p>The Merriam Report too has highlighted its concerns of questionable accounting practices at GMCR on numerous occasions (<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/268725-green-mountain-coffee-more-shares-and-more-questions">May 9</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/268725-green-mountain-coffee-more-shares-and-more-questions">May 4</a>, <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/266589-green-mountain-coffee-is-flurry-of-deals-hinting-at-desperation">April 29</a> and <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/252486-green-mountain-coffee-only-thing-brewing-is-trouble">Feb. 13</a> of this year). We also note some very in-depth investigative research by Sam E. Antar, chief cook and bottle-washer over at White Collar Fraud.</p><p>It comes as absolutely no surprise to see investors flee this stock in the wake of Einhorn’s negative outlook for GMCR. We</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/301299-green-mountain-coffee-s-bear-attack-was-overdue?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr">GMCR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>Netflix Bears Reach Nirvana</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/294087-netflix-bears-reach-nirvana?source=feed</link>
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      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div>Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) bears were vindicated in good fashion on Thursday following lowered estimates on third quarter US subscriber numbers. Despite this disturbing news, the Los Gatos, Calif., provider of streaming and DVD video services defended its  decision to split the online and mail subscription rates.   <div>More importantly, NFLX <b>did not</b> change its financial or international subscriber estimates. <br/><div>We last wrote about NFLX on <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/273178-netflix-fundamentals-and-valuation-discombobulated"><font>June 3</font></a> and suggested a fair value for NFLX shares at $188.94. The stock was changing hands at $273. In the time since publication, the stock is down more than 36%. Our prior analysis on NFLX was published on <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/253988-questioning-netflix-s-numbers-best-to-stay-away-from-this-stock"><font>Feb. 21</font></a> .  <div>Judging by the comments we received, the contrast in opinion was quite obvious.  One NFLX bull replied:   <blockquote><p> </p><blockquote class="quote"><p><i>You guys never seem to get this stock right. Haters. You told me this was a $106 stock before earnings and it jumped $22 to $210. Then you</i></p></blockquote></blockquote></div></div></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Sep 2011 09:37:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><div>Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) bears were vindicated in good fashion on Thursday following lowered estimates on third quarter US subscriber numbers. Despite this disturbing news, the Los Gatos, Calif., provider of streaming and DVD video services defended its  decision to split the online and mail subscription rates.   <div>More importantly, NFLX <b>did not</b> change its financial or international subscriber estimates. <br/><div>We last wrote about NFLX on <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/273178-netflix-fundamentals-and-valuation-discombobulated"><font>June 3</font></a> and suggested a fair value for NFLX shares at $188.94. The stock was changing hands at $273. In the time since publication, the stock is down more than 36%. Our prior analysis on NFLX was published on <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/253988-questioning-netflix-s-numbers-best-to-stay-away-from-this-stock"><font>Feb. 21</font></a> .  <div>Judging by the comments we received, the contrast in opinion was quite obvious.  One NFLX bull replied:   <blockquote><p> </p><blockquote class="quote"><p><i>You guys never seem to get this stock right. Haters. You told me this was a $106 stock before earnings and it jumped $22 to $210. Then you</i></p></blockquote></blockquote></div></div></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/294087-netflix-bears-reach-nirvana?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx">NFLX</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>Balchem Corp.: Key To Environmentally Friendly Fracking</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/289751-balchem-corp-key-to-environmentally-friendly-fracking?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">289751</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Seeking Alpha contributor Alan Brochstein recently put out a very interesting <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/289464-bullish-shale-development-energy-executive-fracks-himself">piece </a>on Halliburton's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hal' title='Halliburton Company'>HAL</a>) new "fracking" fluid called <em>CleanStim.</em>  The fluid is reportedly made with ingredients used to process food and nutritional products.</p> <p>If this is the case, then as Mr. Brochstein points out, environmental concerns over safety to water supplies might potentially be mitigated significantly ... not to mention reducing costs of extraction.</p> <p>The rationale here is simple.  If Balchem (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcpc' title='Balchem Corporation'>BCPC</a>) or any other company is providing choline as an input variable, then margins on BCPC and/or its peers stand to benefit greatly should oil and gas shale development either embrace this voluntarily or via mandate.</p> <p>In this discussion we will focus on the financial statements of specialty chemical maker Balchem, whom Mr. Brochstein also believes may be a supplier of choline used in HAL's fracturing fluid formulation.  Our BCPC analysis will examine the seven quarters through June</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Aug 2011 08:01:45 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Seeking Alpha contributor Alan Brochstein recently put out a very interesting <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/289464-bullish-shale-development-energy-executive-fracks-himself">piece </a>on Halliburton's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hal' title='Halliburton Company'>HAL</a>) new "fracking" fluid called <em>CleanStim.</em>  The fluid is reportedly made with ingredients used to process food and nutritional products.</p> <p>If this is the case, then as Mr. Brochstein points out, environmental concerns over safety to water supplies might potentially be mitigated significantly ... not to mention reducing costs of extraction.</p> <p>The rationale here is simple.  If Balchem (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcpc' title='Balchem Corporation'>BCPC</a>) or any other company is providing choline as an input variable, then margins on BCPC and/or its peers stand to benefit greatly should oil and gas shale development either embrace this voluntarily or via mandate.</p> <p>In this discussion we will focus on the financial statements of specialty chemical maker Balchem, whom Mr. Brochstein also believes may be a supplier of choline used in HAL's fracturing fluid formulation.  Our BCPC analysis will examine the seven quarters through June</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/289751-balchem-corp-key-to-environmentally-friendly-fracking?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hal">HAL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bcpc">BCPC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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      <title>When Fear Becomes Opportunity: Equity And Yield Ideas To Buy Now</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/289081-when-fear-becomes-opportunity-equity-and-yield-ideas-to-buy-now?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<div>This past six weeks have been tough for any investor to stomach. Even grizzled and venerable traders who have been around the block a few times (we included) won’t feel much joy when they open their August broker statements.</div> <div>Investor psychology also took a pummeling as we came to realize that “quantitative easing” didn’t manifest into the level of economic recovery to support the multiples being assigned diverse asset classes.  </div> <div>Printing money might be popular these days, but flooding liquidity into a system does not always produce the desired effect. The key beneficiaries to QE1 and 2 have been corporate balance sheets. </div> <div>Indeed, “stimulus” programs made asset classes such as equities and some commodities appear inexpensive, but it did nothing to stem foreclosure rates or create jobs. Dollar-engineering didn’t improve our exports much either. Sprinkle in surging U.S. budget and global sovereign debt woes and the picture becomes all the</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2011 17:25:14 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><div>This past six weeks have been tough for any investor to stomach. Even grizzled and venerable traders who have been around the block a few times (we included) won’t feel much joy when they open their August broker statements.</div> <div>Investor psychology also took a pummeling as we came to realize that “quantitative easing” didn’t manifest into the level of economic recovery to support the multiples being assigned diverse asset classes.  </div> <div>Printing money might be popular these days, but flooding liquidity into a system does not always produce the desired effect. The key beneficiaries to QE1 and 2 have been corporate balance sheets. </div> <div>Indeed, “stimulus” programs made asset classes such as equities and some commodities appear inexpensive, but it did nothing to stem foreclosure rates or create jobs. Dollar-engineering didn’t improve our exports much either. Sprinkle in surging U.S. budget and global sovereign debt woes and the picture becomes all the</div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/289081-when-fear-becomes-opportunity-equity-and-yield-ideas-to-buy-now?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc">INTC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tup">TUP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ctb">CTB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dps">DPS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mjn">MJN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/puk">PUK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fct">FCT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>IMAX: Where's the Love?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/284291-imax-where-s-the-love?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">284291</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div>Shares of entertainment technology firm IMAX (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/imax' title='Imax Corporation'>IMAX</a>) are trading for half what they were changing hands for three months ago. Although Q2 2011 results were well-below Street and consensus estimates, the Merriam Report dual cash-flow and accrual model indicates IMAX shares may be significantly oversold at current levels.</div><div> </div><div>IMAX operates in a niche entertainment market providing large format film presentations and motion picture technologies. </div><div> </div><div>There is a certain irony when the stock price of DVD and streaming content provider Netflix (NFLX) blasts to the moon while a nuts and bolts entertainment platform provider such as IMAX gets sent to the woodshed. </div><div> </div><div>IMAX and NFLX have very different business models and comparing their respective financial statements would be apples-to-oranges. But, with NFLX selling at 41 times book, 200 times cash-flow and 65 times earnings, investors might want to consider the virtues of hammered-down IMAX shares.</div><div> </div><div><b>What analysts are missing:</b> Much of</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Aug 2011 15:21:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><div>Shares of entertainment technology firm IMAX (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/imax' title='Imax Corporation'>IMAX</a>) are trading for half what they were changing hands for three months ago. Although Q2 2011 results were well-below Street and consensus estimates, the Merriam Report dual cash-flow and accrual model indicates IMAX shares may be significantly oversold at current levels.</div><div> </div><div>IMAX operates in a niche entertainment market providing large format film presentations and motion picture technologies. </div><div> </div><div>There is a certain irony when the stock price of DVD and streaming content provider Netflix (NFLX) blasts to the moon while a nuts and bolts entertainment platform provider such as IMAX gets sent to the woodshed. </div><div> </div><div>IMAX and NFLX have very different business models and comparing their respective financial statements would be apples-to-oranges. But, with NFLX selling at 41 times book, 200 times cash-flow and 65 times earnings, investors might want to consider the virtues of hammered-down IMAX shares.</div><div> </div><div><b>What analysts are missing:</b> Much of</div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/284291-imax-where-s-the-love?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/imax">IMAX</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Intel's Margin Pressures May Be Temporary: Buy on Dips</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/283412-intel-s-margin-pressures-may-be-temporary-buy-on-dips?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">283412</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Despite strong second quarter 2011 revenues of $13.1 billion, Intel (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc' title='Intel Corporation'>INTC</a>) reported gross margins of 61.9%, a decline of 5.5 points from the 67.4% realized in last year’s Q2.</p><p>We should note that sales were up a smart 22% from last year’s levels, due in large part to demand for Sandy Bridge products. Although the acquisitions of McAfee and the Infineon wireless division are still being digested, we have a very high opinion of Intel and its management team.</p><p>That said, we believe there were ample clues in the company’s financial statements which might have provided investors sufficient information to take profits prior to the share price decline leading into Q2 2011 earnings.</p><p>
  <em>click to enlarge images</em>
</p><p>
  <b>Earnings Quality</b>
</p><p>The first noticeable change in INTC’s earnings quality can be seen in the precipitous decline in the dual cash-flow ratio as displayed in the Merriam Report model.  Notice that after peaking</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 31 Jul 2011 07:54:23 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><p>Despite strong second quarter 2011 revenues of $13.1 billion, Intel (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc' title='Intel Corporation'>INTC</a>) reported gross margins of 61.9%, a decline of 5.5 points from the 67.4% realized in last year’s Q2.</p><p>We should note that sales were up a smart 22% from last year’s levels, due in large part to demand for Sandy Bridge products. Although the acquisitions of McAfee and the Infineon wireless division are still being digested, we have a very high opinion of Intel and its management team.</p><p>That said, we believe there were ample clues in the company’s financial statements which might have provided investors sufficient information to take profits prior to the share price decline leading into Q2 2011 earnings.</p><p>
  <em>click to enlarge images</em>
</p><p>
  <b>Earnings Quality</b>
</p><p>The first noticeable change in INTC’s earnings quality can be seen in the precipitous decline in the dual cash-flow ratio as displayed in the Merriam Report model.  Notice that after peaking</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/283412-intel-s-margin-pressures-may-be-temporary-buy-on-dips?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc">INTC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>2 Stocks Pushing the Envelope</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/280216-2-stocks-pushing-the-envelope?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">280216</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div>There are two companies standing out in recent days whose management teams have undertaken major shifts in their operational strategies.  Both stocks, we believe, face liquidity issues near-term and are  initiating radical directional changes to improve cash-flows and prop up their stock prices.</div><div><b>Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>)</b>: Management of the online DVD and streaming movie subscription services shocked customers and investors last week when it announced a hefty 60% price increase in monthly fees. This follows news that the company will be entering multiple Latin American markets. Some analysts applaud both events, as JP Morgan initiated the stock with an “outperform” and a $340 price target.  Barclays and Goldman Sachs each reiterated their positive outlooks too.</div><blockquote class="quote">
  <p>As for Goldman, longtime NFLX observer and SA contributor Andrew Shapiro offered this comment:</p>
  <p>GS is excited about one thing - the prospect of leading the inevitable secondary stock offering to raise the necessary $ to</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 19 Jul 2011 13:29:16 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><div>There are two companies standing out in recent days whose management teams have undertaken major shifts in their operational strategies.  Both stocks, we believe, face liquidity issues near-term and are  initiating radical directional changes to improve cash-flows and prop up their stock prices.</div><div><b>Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>)</b>: Management of the online DVD and streaming movie subscription services shocked customers and investors last week when it announced a hefty 60% price increase in monthly fees. This follows news that the company will be entering multiple Latin American markets. Some analysts applaud both events, as JP Morgan initiated the stock with an “outperform” and a $340 price target.  Barclays and Goldman Sachs each reiterated their positive outlooks too.</div><blockquote class="quote">
  <p>As for Goldman, longtime NFLX observer and SA contributor Andrew Shapiro offered this comment:</p>
  <p>GS is excited about one thing - the prospect of leading the inevitable secondary stock offering to raise the necessary $ to</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/280216-2-stocks-pushing-the-envelope?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx">NFLX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chk">CHK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Tactical Observations for the Second Half of the Year</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/278730-tactical-observations-for-the-second-half-of-the-year?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">278730</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div>Stocks hit the ground running the past trading week, which was shortened by the holiday. Technology shares were in the bright spot in the last days, with Apple (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='Apple Inc.'>AAPL</a>) and high beta flier Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) leading the charge.</div><div> </div><div>Last Thursday’s action was spurred by an encouraging job report from ADP and strong June same-store sales in the retail sector.  Retail stocks surged Thursday on the news, but it is notable that June comps benefitted from heavy promotions. Also significant, is the lack of guidance by retailers regarding Q2 earnings, as very few raised their forecasts.</div><div>As for the jobs report, the ADP report is anecdotal, and Friday’s shockingly dismal payroll numbers underscore how muddled the labor picture is. In fact, the June unemployment rate <b>rose to 9.1% from 9% in May. </b>This pushed the Dow lower by 140 points on Friday, but it regained some footing to close the session</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 10 Jul 2011 07:41:04 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jason Merriam</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>By <a href='http://www.merriamreport.blogspot.com/'>Jason Merriam</a>:</strong><div>Stocks hit the ground running the past trading week, which was shortened by the holiday. Technology shares were in the bright spot in the last days, with Apple (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='Apple Inc.'>AAPL</a>) and high beta flier Netflix (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx' title='Netflix, Inc.'>NFLX</a>) leading the charge.</div><div> </div><div>Last Thursday’s action was spurred by an encouraging job report from ADP and strong June same-store sales in the retail sector.  Retail stocks surged Thursday on the news, but it is notable that June comps benefitted from heavy promotions. Also significant, is the lack of guidance by retailers regarding Q2 earnings, as very few raised their forecasts.</div><div>As for the jobs report, the ADP report is anecdotal, and Friday’s shockingly dismal payroll numbers underscore how muddled the labor picture is. In fact, the June unemployment rate <b>rose to 9.1% from 9% in May. </b>This pushed the Dow lower by 140 points on Friday, but it regained some footing to close the session</div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/278730-tactical-observations-for-the-second-half-of-the-year?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl">AAPL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx">NFLX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmcr">GMCR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jason-merriam">Jason Merriam</category>
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