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  <channel>
    <title>Jay Walker - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Jay Walker' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker</link>
    <item>
      <title>On Proposed Securitization Rules</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/145856-on-proposed-securitization-rules?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">145856</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/6/28/saupload_balance_scale_redone.jpg"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/6/28/saupload_balance_scale_redone.jpg" align="right" style="padding: 5px;" /></a>I see that the administration has come to some roughly similar conclusions <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/10/immediate-crisis-is-passing-what-future.html">as me</a>, in regards to reducing incentives to willy-<span>nilly</span> <span>securitize</span> crappy loans. Have they <span>achieved</span> the appropriate balance between efficiency of capital, and systemic risk reduction and system redundancy?</p>  <div>According to <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/badf55c4-59ee-11de-b687-00144feabdc0.html">reports</a>, the administration intends to reduce the vile habit of bankers throwing crappy loans through to unsuspecting investors (imagine, investors EXPECTING banks to have performed some sort of reasonable underwriting in the first place).</div> <div>It appears that the administration intends to force the underwriting firm to hold at least 5% of the <span>securitized</span> loans through to completion, and further disallow firms to immediately book <span>securitization</span> profits. Instead, they would book the profits as the loans matured and would have that <span>securitization</span> income reduced if the loans performed badly due to weak underwriting standards.</div> <div>While this is not quite as good as the 15-25% loan book hold-back I felt would be prudent, this is certainly a large step forward.</div> <div>The 5% hold-back still amounts to 20 to 1 leverage in effect, atop the normal leverage that banks enjoy. Given banks particularly important place in our economy, I am not sure that is prudent enough.</div> <div>While this is not quite as good as the minimum 15-25% hold-back, it is a large step forward from existing standards - yet I am still left wondering whether this is not a half measure.</div> <div>I'm therefore hopeful that <span>FASB</span> rules will further help to dampen the capital leveraging effect through some proposed rules, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/managementIssues/idUSN3026529620090501">yet to be</a> issued.</div> <div>Now, of course, reforming executive pay remains a important topic which needs serious attention in order to also reduce further systemic risk.</div> <div>This is something <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/08/executive-pay-confusing-doing-great.html">I have written about</a> previously, and that my <span>internet</span> &quot;colleague&quot;, Rick Konrad, at <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/">Value Discipline</a>, is writing about in greater detail.</div> <div>I encourage you to visit his blog, and read some of his posts (<a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/06/developing-compensation-philosophy-of.html">1</a>, <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/06/executive-compensation-government-is.html">2</a>, <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/04/report-from-todays-citigroup-meeting-re.html">3</a>) on the matter.</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 28 Jun 2009 12:56:21 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/6/28/saupload_balance_scale_redone.jpg"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2009/6/28/saupload_balance_scale_redone.jpg" align="right" style="padding: 5px;" /></a>I see that the administration has come to some roughly similar conclusions <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/10/immediate-crisis-is-passing-what-future.html">as me</a>, in regards to reducing incentives to willy-<span>nilly</span> <span>securitize</span> crappy loans. Have they <span>achieved</span> the appropriate balance between efficiency of capital, and systemic risk reduction and system redundancy?</p>  <div>According to <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/badf55c4-59ee-11de-b687-00144feabdc0.html">reports</a>, the administration intends to reduce the vile habit of bankers throwing crappy loans through to unsuspecting investors (imagine, investors EXPECTING banks to have performed some sort of reasonable underwriting in the first place).</div> <div>It appears that the administration intends to force the underwriting firm to hold at least 5% of the <span>securitized</span> loans through to completion, and further disallow firms to immediately book <span>securitization</span> profits. Instead, they would book the profits as the loans matured and would have that <span>securitization</span> income reduced if the loans performed badly due to weak underwriting standards.</div> <div>While this is not quite as good as the 15-25% loan book hold-back I felt would be prudent, this is certainly a large step forward.</div> <div>The 5% hold-back still amounts to 20 to 1 leverage in effect, atop the normal leverage that banks enjoy. Given banks particularly important place in our economy, I am not sure that is prudent enough.</div> <div>While this is not quite as good as the minimum 15-25% hold-back, it is a large step forward from existing standards - yet I am still left wondering whether this is not a half measure.</div> <div>I'm therefore hopeful that <span>FASB</span> rules will further help to dampen the capital leveraging effect through some proposed rules, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/managementIssues/idUSN3026529620090501">yet to be</a> issued.</div> <div>Now, of course, reforming executive pay remains a important topic which needs serious attention in order to also reduce further systemic risk.</div> <div>This is something <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/08/executive-pay-confusing-doing-great.html">I have written about</a> previously, and that my <span>internet</span> &quot;colleague&quot;, Rick Konrad, at <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/">Value Discipline</a>, is writing about in greater detail.</div> <div>I encourage you to visit his blog, and read some of his posts (<a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/06/developing-compensation-philosophy-of.html">1</a>, <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/06/executive-compensation-government-is.html">2</a>, <a href="http://valuediscipline.blogspot.com/2009/04/report-from-todays-citigroup-meeting-re.html">3</a>) on the matter.</div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/145856-on-proposed-securitization-rules?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Merrill Lynch's Investment Clock: Planning Ahead </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/144787-merrill-lynch-s-investment-clock-planning-ahead?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">144787</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The last time I wrote, it seemed like the global economy generally, and the American economy in particular, was in for a serious bout of <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2009/02/officially-we-are-looking-at.html">greacession</a>.</p> <div><p>However, the coordinated global attack on the economic slowdown and banking sector crisis appears to have had some effect with, most importantly of all, confidence being restored.</p></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 05:41:16 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>The last time I wrote, it seemed like the global economy generally, and the American economy in particular, was in for a serious bout of <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2009/02/officially-we-are-looking-at.html">greacession</a>.</p> <div><p>However, the coordinated global attack on the economic slowdown and banking sector crisis appears to have had some effect with, most importantly of all, confidence being restored.</p></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/144787-merrill-lynch-s-investment-clock-planning-ahead?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Buffett's Goldman Move - Just Insurance?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/97282-buffett-s-goldman-move-just-insurance?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">97282</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Much has been said and made about Warren Buffett's (BRK.A) $5 Billion purchase into Goldman Sachs (GS).<br /><br />There's no doubt that Mr. Buffett is a very cagey investor, having waited until Goldman was (effectively) permitted to turn itself into a commercial bank. This lowered the risk of Goldman Sachs measurably, since they can now step up to the Fed and secure further funding, making the risk of failure fade considerably.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Sep 2008 02:39:56 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>Much has been said and made about Warren Buffett's (BRK.A) $5 Billion purchase into Goldman Sachs (GS).<br /><br />There's no doubt that Mr. Buffett is a very cagey investor, having waited until Goldman was (effectively) permitted to turn itself into a commercial bank. This lowered the risk of Goldman Sachs measurably, since they can now step up to the Fed and secure further funding, making the risk of failure fade considerably.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/97282-buffett-s-goldman-move-just-insurance?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.a">BRK.A</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.b">BRK.B</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Pendulum Will Swing Back to Value Stocks</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/90513-the-pendulum-will-swing-back-to-value-stocks?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">90513</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>A recent <a href="http://socialize.morningstar.com/NewSocialize/blogs/M_Jeffrey/archive/2008/08/08/Professor-Siegel-Calls-Market-Bottom.aspx">blog posting</a> over at Morningstar sniped at Professor Jeremy Seigel of Wisdom Tree, indicating that his firm's stock selection methodology and retention of assets depended on his call that a market bottom had been hit.<br /><br />The post compared the performance of several Wisdom Tree ETFs to various total market benchmarks, showing relative YTD performance is lagging for Wisdom Tree dividend selection process. While true, it ignores the beating that all value benchmarks have taken since the credit crisis began in the summer of 2007.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 09:08:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>A recent <a href="http://socialize.morningstar.com/NewSocialize/blogs/M_Jeffrey/archive/2008/08/08/Professor-Siegel-Calls-Market-Bottom.aspx">blog posting</a> over at Morningstar sniped at Professor Jeremy Seigel of Wisdom Tree, indicating that his firm's stock selection methodology and retention of assets depended on his call that a market bottom had been hit.<br /><br />The post compared the performance of several Wisdom Tree ETFs to various total market benchmarks, showing relative YTD performance is lagging for Wisdom Tree dividend selection process. While true, it ignores the beating that all value benchmarks have taken since the credit crisis began in the summer of 2007.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/90513-the-pendulum-will-swing-back-to-value-stocks?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dln">DLN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/doo">DOO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/efg">EFG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/efv">EFV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ivw">IVW</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iwn">IWN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iwo">IWO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Emerging Market ETFs: Is There a 'Best' Choice?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/89090-emerging-market-etfs-is-there-a-best-choice?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">89090</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Recently, some members of the investment business have suggested that emerging markets offer unusually good value. This, of course, offers me another opportunity to explore one of my favorite topics.</p> <p>According to one recent <a href="http://www.moneymarketing.co.uk/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=169942&d=340&h=341&f=342">article</a>, despite the growth of emerging markets, which currently represents 13% of the world stock market capitalization, British investors have only 1.6% of assets in those markets. Presumably, American and Canadian investors are in the same boat. This is even more alarming given that these markets are widely <a href="http://www.thetimes.co.za/Careers/Article.aspx?id=813836">forecast</a> to achieve 50% of the world economy in 20-30 years time. That means that most investors aren't playing the largest visible theme of our times.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 05:23:37 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>Recently, some members of the investment business have suggested that emerging markets offer unusually good value. This, of course, offers me another opportunity to explore one of my favorite topics.</p> <p>According to one recent <a href="http://www.moneymarketing.co.uk/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=169942&d=340&h=341&f=342">article</a>, despite the growth of emerging markets, which currently represents 13% of the world stock market capitalization, British investors have only 1.6% of assets in those markets. Presumably, American and Canadian investors are in the same boat. This is even more alarming given that these markets are widely <a href="http://www.thetimes.co.za/Careers/Article.aspx?id=813836">forecast</a> to achieve 50% of the world economy in 20-30 years time. That means that most investors aren't playing the largest visible theme of our times.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/89090-emerging-market-etfs-is-there-a-best-choice?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eem">EEM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vwo">VWO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Dogs of the Dow (Not Quite)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/87662-dogs-of-the-dow-not-quite?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">87662</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/07/not-quite-dogs-of-dow.html">recently profiled</a> an eight stock basket chosen from the 30 stock Dow Jones Industrial Average [DJIA] that I felt would, over the next 2-3 years, outperform the DJIA.</p> <p>It was essentially chosen using a Dogs of Dow strategy, wherein I used the dividend yield to provide clues to potential mispricings. With one exception (Procter &amp; Gamble (PG)), all had yields in the top half of the DJIA.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 10:37:53 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>I <a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/2008/07/not-quite-dogs-of-dow.html">recently profiled</a> an eight stock basket chosen from the 30 stock Dow Jones Industrial Average [DJIA] that I felt would, over the next 2-3 years, outperform the DJIA.</p> <p>It was essentially chosen using a Dogs of Dow strategy, wherein I used the dividend yield to provide clues to potential mispricings. With one exception (Procter &amp; Gamble (PG)), all had yields in the top half of the DJIA.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/87662-dogs-of-the-dow-not-quite?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mrk">MRK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pfe">PFE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg">PG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/t">T</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz">VZ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>8 Dow Stocks Likely To Outperform</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/87282-8-dow-stocks-likely-to-outperform?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">87282</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Many academic studies have shown that dividend-paying stocks outperform their non-paying brethren by leaps and bounds over time.<br /><br />Further to that, I took a look at the current constituents of the Dow Jones Industrials Index, and the current yields available there, with the idea that, based on today's share prices, some of the companies are better situated to outperform the index over the next while. Here are the recent stock prices and the most recent dividends payable for each company (sorted by dividend yield):</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 27 Jul 2008 14:11:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p>Many academic studies have shown that dividend-paying stocks outperform their non-paying brethren by leaps and bounds over time.<br /><br />Further to that, I took a look at the current constituents of the Dow Jones Industrials Index, and the current yields available there, with the idea that, based on today's share prices, some of the companies are better situated to outperform the index over the next while. Here are the recent stock prices and the most recent dividends payable for each company (sorted by dividend yield):</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/87282-8-dow-stocks-likely-to-outperform?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ge">GE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnj">JNJ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko">KO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mrk">MRK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pfe">PFE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg">PG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/t">T</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vz">VZ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Agricultural Commodities: Playing an Acknowledged Theme</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/74383-agricultural-commodities-playing-an-acknowledged-theme?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">74383</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><em>"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." - Yogi Berra</em></p>
<p>Just
like a trying to see a lighthouse on a foggy day, trying to clearly
envision the future can be tough. However, making out the likely shape
and dimensions of those things you are trying to avoid, or aim towards,
will likely speed you safely on your journey.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2008 08:07:19 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Jay Walker</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.com/">Jay Walker</a> submits: </strong><p><em>"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." - Yogi Berra</em></p>
<p>Just
like a trying to see a lighthouse on a foggy day, trying to clearly
envision the future can be tough. However, making out the likely shape
and dimensions of those things you are trying to avoid, or aim towards,
will likely speed you safely on your journey.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/74383-agricultural-commodities-playing-an-acknowledged-theme?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jjg">JJG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/moo">MOO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/jay-walker">Jay Walker</category>
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