Seeking Alpha

Jeff Miller's  Instablog

Jeff Miller
  • on Economy
Send Message
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative... More
My company:
NewArc Investments
My blog:
A Dash of Insight
View Jeff Miller's Instablogs on:
  • Updating 2011 Preview
    In my recent interview with Seeking Alpha I discussed how investors can use a dynamic asset allocation method to develop an ETF portfolio.  When I reposted the interview on my blog, I updated the positions to reflect our current holdings.  (In the interview, I said the positions could change in only two weeks, and that proved to be correct).

    I am not going to promise regular updates of this, but I want to provide the same information to SA readers as I did on the blog.  To summarize, KOL and GDX are out;  IYR and XLY are in.  While the model asks which ETF if best for the next twelve months, it is a question we ask every day.  The makeup of the top five holdings changes fairly often.

    You can see the original article (which also reflects this update) here:  seekingalpha.com/article/245293-jeff-mil...
    Tags: GDX, KOL, IYR, XLY
    Jan 25 11:54 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Extending the Bush Tax Cuts
    There has been a lot of recent discussion about the scheduled expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts.  Some have opined that concern about increases in the various rates is the most important market headwind.

    For several reasons, I think that most of the cuts will be extended.  I also posed the question to colleagues in the Kauffman survey of economic bloggers.  You can see the results and my argument here:

    oldprof.typepad.com/a_dash_of_insight/20...


    Aug 05 3:15 PM | Link | 2 Comments
  • ISM Data and Upcoming Jobs Report
    This ISM Manufacturing Index for August was 52.9.  This continues an eight-month streak of gains.  As a real-time read on the economy, the ISM research says that this pace, if annualized, would indicate GDP growth of 3.7%, near the top of the range of consensus forecasts.

    The ISM numbers are better than other data we watch more closely.  We are not very bullish on Friday's employment report.  We'll do our monthly employment article soon.

    Sep 01 12:11 PM | Link | 1 Comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Most Commented
Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.