I'm a value investor with a concentrated portfolio. My focus is on purchasing the greatest risk adjusted return. Ideal companies have strong balance sheets, consistent cash flows, and a history of excellent capital allocation. I spend a lot of time looking at companies in out-of-favor industries and those undergoing some sort of corporate action. I'm always looking to hear what those on the other side of a trade have to say. I write primarily about the companies that I am on-the-fence about purchasing (or current holdings that I am thinking about selling) in the hopes that someone will point out a flaw in my thesis. I am not a financial adviser. Nothing I post is financial advice. I do not recommend stocks and I am not promising anyone results of any kind. All my posts are comprised of general information and my own opinions. Investors should do their own research, verify all facts, consider all possible risks, and consult with their financial adviser before buying or selling any security.
I am projecting that the US govt is near insolvent and that we will be facing a new Bretton Woods currency agreement bringing gold back into the monetary system in combination with a sudden fiat currency devaluation (across the board-most currencies) against gold over a long weekend or an outright sovereign debt panic by 2020-2025. The least expected outcome double digit inflation is very likely sometime in the future. The Fed PRO-POVERTY policies are going to crush the poor, fixed pensioners and lower middle class since disposable income growth is limited. Beware middle class and retirees your purchasing power will drop dramatically when everyday necessities absorb a larger % of your income. To spread the word to the brainwashed American drones that this economy is one big illusion ponzi scheme and you are infact broke. Issuing more debt to solve a debt problem is crazy. I am accepting nominations for those that played a major positive and major negative impact on our economy. Inductees: The Hammer Hall of Fame Bill Black Brooksley Born David Walker Ron Paul Robert Rodriguez Peter Schiff David Stockman Janet Tavakoli John Bogle Elizabeth Warren Steve Wynn ============================== The Hammer Hall of Shame Ben MadMan Bernanke Lloyd Blankfein Bush II Jamie Diamond Shaun Donovan Barney Fwank Dick Fuld Alan "The Maestro" Greenspan Tim Geithner Paul king Krugman David Lereah Angelo Mozillo Obama The NAHB The NAR Henry Paulsen Nancy Pelosi Charles Prince Franklin Raines Robert Rubin David Stephens Larry Summers Bob Toll Maxine Waters Lawrence Yun
"An investment operation is one which, upon thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and a satisfactory return." -Benjamin Graham
"Lethargy bordering on sloth remains the cornerstone of our investment style." -Warren Buffett
I use value investing methods of analysis to search out undervalued companies using a combination of financial analysis and a qualitative assessment of management, industry & company fundamentals and circumstances to evaluate the odds of a successful investment. Emphasis is currently on consumer non-durables with strong brands and market shares, but there is no limit to such investments only. Past investments have included oil companies, consumer retail and consumer durables.
----->Top Idea #1: Zooplus, publ. Oct. 24th 2014, return since: +116.3%
----->Top Idea #2: Coca-Cola Bottling Co., publ. May 20th 2015, return: +72%
(calculated as of Sept 30th 2015)
I try to generate a couple of high probability ideas (2-3) every year and take very concentrated positions based on those ideas. Over the past 8 years this strategy has generated a 22,87% compounded average return net of all costs and taxes on my investment portfolio, with the strongest returns mostly during the past five years.
Current sectors under coverage by me at Seeking Alpha:
-personal & household goods
Disclaimer: all investment analyses and information written and published by me, as well as all comments, should not be considered as investment advice or used as such. All readers are strongly urged to perform their own research and due diligence on the equity shares and other investment products I have written about. I have no business or any other forms of relationship with the companies featured in my analyses, unless explicitly stated so in the article disclaimer.
I run a small, private long/short portfolio. I focus on long term value, with a full expectation of showing paper losses in the short-term. Agnostic on the topic of catalysts. Wary of false precision. Usually ignorant of quarterly results and analyst forecasts. Seeking durable insights on business models and industry trends, and general wisdom.
Age 67, high school and self educated. Retired after 38 years with one of the largest financial services companies in the world. Handle my own portfolio on-line since 2002 before retirement in 2008. I am a momentum investor 100% equities, stocks only, now only mid to high dividend payers with 10% mad money which is in cash. When first took over portfolio lucked into precious metals and energy for major gains for years until I learned serious lessons in 2008-9. As a Canadian have been big in REITS, metals and minerals and energy. Often played Canadian Banks as short or day trades with great success. Blackberry was my first substantial tech investment so as "Sgt. Shultz" used to say "I know nothing" about it (technical aspects). I would consider my expertise if one would call it that, having a knowledge of the momentum of a stock based on every word (and the numbers although not a strength of mine) written about it, including the company itself. Also, always understand completely what the company does and what it needs to do to increase in value. I track almost daily over 200 companies entering their movement and any forecasts and opinions of recognized rating entities and any individuals who make sense.
Registered Investment Advisor. See web page for details. Peter also has a Certified Financial Planner designation and offers Comprehensive Wealth Management. Reasonable annual fees based on services performed. www.eaglehilladvisor.com .