<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>Joe Rotger - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Joe Rotger' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger</link>
    <item>
      <title>Fed's Latest Rescue Package Throws Lifeline to Home Buyers</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/108084-fed-s-latest-rescue-package-throws-lifeline-to-home-buyers?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">108084</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>According to <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUSTRE4AO4QY20081126?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=businessNews" target="_blank">this</a> Reuters article, the Fed announced a new rescue package of $800 billion USD to lower the cost of home purchases, credit card and student loans.</p>  <blockquote><blockquote class="quote"><p>Under the new mortgage program, the Fed will buy up to $100 billion of debt issued by government-sponsored mortgage enterprises Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks.</p></blockquote></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 04:12:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong><p>According to <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUSTRE4AO4QY20081126?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=businessNews" target="_blank">this</a> Reuters article, the Fed announced a new rescue package of $800 billion USD to lower the cost of home purchases, credit card and student loans.</p>  <blockquote><blockquote class="quote"><p>Under the new mortgage program, the Fed will buy up to $100 billion of debt issued by government-sponsored mortgage enterprises Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks.</p></blockquote></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/108084-fed-s-latest-rescue-package-throws-lifeline-to-home-buyers?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Paulson's Shocking Change of Heart</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/105800-paulson-s-shocking-change-of-heart?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">105800</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I guess everybody is as shocked at Paulson's change of heart...</p><p>Instead of the 3 pager proposal to request $700 billion, 1 page for the title, 1 for the thank you and goodbye, and 1 single page with the gravy of the plan, now, he doles out an &quot;I'm not afraid to make changes if the facts change&quot;.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 06:43:54 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong><p>I guess everybody is as shocked at Paulson's change of heart...</p><p>Instead of the 3 pager proposal to request $700 billion, 1 page for the title, 1 for the thank you and goodbye, and 1 single page with the gravy of the plan, now, he doles out an &quot;I'm not afraid to make changes if the facts change&quot;.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/105800-paulson-s-shocking-change-of-heart?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Extreme Stock Market Volatility Equals Derivative Market Mayhem</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/101698-extreme-stock-market-volatility-equals-derivative-market-mayhem?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">101698</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><i>click to enlarge</i></p><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/24/saupload_table19.png" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/24/saupload_table19_thumb1.png" alt="" /></a></p><p>I'm trying to make sense of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qa0809.pdf#page=108">this</a> BIS September report, so, please bear with me and my ramblings.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 05:05:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong><p><i>click to enlarge</i></p><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/24/saupload_table19.png" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/24/saupload_table19_thumb1.png" alt="" /></a></p><p>I'm trying to make sense of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qa0809.pdf#page=108">this</a> BIS September report, so, please bear with me and my ramblings.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/101698-extreme-stock-market-volatility-equals-derivative-market-mayhem?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ivv">IVV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sds">SDS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sso">SSO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>How Long the Economic Slump?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/100579-how-long-the-economic-slump?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">100579</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Congrats to Paul Krugman on his Nobel prize. Now, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/opinion/17krugman.html?hp" target="_blank">this is his view</a> of what's coming:</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Just this week, we learned that retail sales  have fallen off a cliff, and so has industrial production. Unemployment  claims are at steep-recession levels, and the Philadelphia Fed&rsquo;s  manufacturing index is falling at the fastest pace in almost 20 years.  All signs point to an economic slump that will be nasty, brutish &mdash; and  long.</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Oct 2008 05:51:43 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong><p>Congrats to Paul Krugman on his Nobel prize. Now, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/opinion/17krugman.html?hp" target="_blank">this is his view</a> of what's coming:</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Just this week, we learned that retail sales  have fallen off a cliff, and so has industrial production. Unemployment  claims are at steep-recession levels, and the Philadelphia Fed&rsquo;s  manufacturing index is falling at the fastest pace in almost 20 years.  All signs point to an economic slump that will be nasty, brutish &mdash; and  long.</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/100579-how-long-the-economic-slump?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Flashback to 1929</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/98012-flashback-to-1929?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">98012</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/1/saupload_1929.jpg" target="_blank"><img align="middle" alt="" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/1/saupload_1929_1_thumb1.jpg" /><br /></a></p><p><i>November 1929 headlines</i></p><p>I found an amazing piece,&nbsp; <a href="http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?source=hptextfeature&amp;story_id=12327393" target="_blank">Reactions of the Wall Street Slump,</a> published by The Economist in its November 23, 1929 edition.</p></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 01 Oct 2008 11:45:43 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong><div><p><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/1/saupload_1929.jpg" target="_blank"><img align="middle" alt="" src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2008/10/1/saupload_1929_1_thumb1.jpg" /><br /></a></p><p><i>November 1929 headlines</i></p><p>I found an amazing piece,&nbsp; <a href="http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?source=hptextfeature&amp;story_id=12327393" target="_blank">Reactions of the Wall Street Slump,</a> published by The Economist in its November 23, 1929 edition.</p></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/98012-flashback-to-1929?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Market Pivot Point</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/44912-market-pivot-point?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">44912</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I just finished reading <a href="http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9659733&fsrc=nwl">The game is up</a> from The Economist.<!--more-->

<blockquote class="quote"><p>If these securities are now downgraded, banks could be forced to offload lots of illiquid instruments into a falling market—one of the fastest ways to lose money yet devised. But if there are no buyers, banks may have to sell something else to shore up their balance sheets.<br />
</p></blockquote><p>Undoubtedly, it's a hell of a good description of the markets' situation, it tells us what's happened in the recent couple of weeks. In short, there are no buyers for some highly leveraged and sophisticated credit instruments: CDOs, credit swaps, and the like.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 20 Aug 2007 08:55:37 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong>I just finished reading <a href="http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9659733&fsrc=nwl">The game is up</a> from The Economist.<!--more-->

<blockquote class="quote"><p>If these securities are now downgraded, banks could be forced to offload lots of illiquid instruments into a falling market—one of the fastest ways to lose money yet devised. But if there are no buyers, banks may have to sell something else to shore up their balance sheets.<br />
</p></blockquote><p>Undoubtedly, it's a hell of a good description of the markets' situation, it tells us what's happened in the recent couple of weeks. In short, there are no buyers for some highly leveraged and sophisticated credit instruments: CDOs, credit swaps, and the like.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/44912-market-pivot-point?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>China Remains A Runaway Train</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/34440-china-remains-a-runaway-train?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">34440</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Two reports from Bloomberg on China caught my eye this weekend:<!--more-->
</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&#38;sid=aEL0brUsXw80&#38;refer=news"><span class="news_story_title">China Raises Bank Reserve Ratio for 6th Time in Year</span></a> 
</li><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&#38;sid=at3K5JQ50aOY&#38;refer=china">China's Trade Surplus Probably Doubled in March to $20 Billion</a>
</li>
</ul>
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 03 May 2007 11:03:12 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong>Two reports from Bloomberg on China caught my eye this weekend:<!--more-->
</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&#38;sid=aEL0brUsXw80&#38;refer=news"><span class="news_story_title">China Raises Bank Reserve Ratio for 6th Time in Year</span></a> 
</li><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&#38;sid=at3K5JQ50aOY&#38;refer=china">China's Trade Surplus Probably Doubled in March to $20 Billion</a>
</li>
</ul>
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/34440-china-remains-a-runaway-train?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/caf">CAF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxi">FXI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pgj">PGJ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>China: Catch a Ride on this Runaway Train </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/33452-china-catch-a-ride-on-this-runaway-train?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">33452</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Two reports from <em>Bloomberg</em> on China caught my eye this weekend:<!--more-->

<blockquote><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=aEL0brUsXw80&refer=news">China Raises Bank Reserve Ratio for 6th Time in Year</a>
</li><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=at3K5JQ50aOY&refer=china">China's Trade Surplus Probably Doubled in March to $20 Billion</a>
</li></blockquote>
<p>Which after reading a few lines,
</p>
<blockquote>
<li>China's economy may grow as much as 11 percent in the first quarter
</li><li>M2, China's broadest measure of money supply, grew 17.8 percent in February, the fastest pace in six months,
</li><li>while outstanding loans climbed 17.2 percent.
</li><li>New lending was 981 billion yuan for the first two months combined, almost a third of the total for all of 2006.
</li><li>The trade surplus surged ninefold in February from a year earlier to $23.8 billion, the second-highest on record.         
</li><li>"If the yuan appreciation doesn't get faster, China's trade surplus will likely widen to $30 billion monthly in the second half of this year from an average of $20 billion currently,'' said Shen Minggao, an economist with Citigroup Inc. in Shanghai.
</li></blockquote>
<p>While China tries to meekly put the brakes on its economy, raising its reserves one more time:
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 07:56:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong>Two reports from <em>Bloomberg</em> on China caught my eye this weekend:<!--more-->

<blockquote><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=aEL0brUsXw80&refer=news">China Raises Bank Reserve Ratio for 6th Time in Year</a>
</li><li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=at3K5JQ50aOY&refer=china">China's Trade Surplus Probably Doubled in March to $20 Billion</a>
</li></blockquote>
<p>Which after reading a few lines,
</p>
<blockquote>
<li>China's economy may grow as much as 11 percent in the first quarter
</li><li>M2, China's broadest measure of money supply, grew 17.8 percent in February, the fastest pace in six months,
</li><li>while outstanding loans climbed 17.2 percent.
</li><li>New lending was 981 billion yuan for the first two months combined, almost a third of the total for all of 2006.
</li><li>The trade surplus surged ninefold in February from a year earlier to $23.8 billion, the second-highest on record.         
</li><li>"If the yuan appreciation doesn't get faster, China's trade surplus will likely widen to $30 billion monthly in the second half of this year from an average of $20 billion currently,'' said Shen Minggao, an economist with Citigroup Inc. in Shanghai.
</li></blockquote>
<p>While China tries to meekly put the brakes on its economy, raising its reserves one more time:
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/33452-china-catch-a-ride-on-this-runaway-train?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/caf">CAF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxi">FXI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pgj">PGJ</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Oil Contango: Roll Yield Rewards </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/27030-oil-contango-roll-yield-rewards?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">27030</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Hilary Till mentions the <em>roll yield</em> embedded in the term structure of futures contracts. In her own words:

<blockquote class="quote"><p>In the past, even if spot commodity prices declined, there was an additional way that a commodity investor could have a positive statistical expectation of profit, and that was through the “roll yield” embedded in certain commodity futures contracts.<!--more-->
</p>
<p>    [...]
</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 14 Feb 2007 07:55:32 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong>Hilary Till mentions the <em>roll yield</em> embedded in the term structure of futures contracts. In her own words:

<blockquote class="quote"><p>In the past, even if spot commodity prices declined, there was an additional way that a commodity investor could have a positive statistical expectation of profit, and that was through the “roll yield” embedded in certain commodity futures contracts.<!--more-->
</p>
<p>    [...]
</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/27030-oil-contango-roll-yield-rewards?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uso">USO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Global Market Liquidity: Lessons Learned From The Yellow Submarine</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/26609-global-market-liquidity-lessons-learned-from-the-yellow-submarine?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">26609</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[You get one little piece from here, then, another from there... and then you realize that the puzzle is beginning to add up to something. So appropriate for the subject at hand, the case of global market liquidity. <!--more--> 

<p><strong>The labor arbitrage</strong>
</p>
<p>I think that we can trace the root of the currents that move the world economy to the ongoing extreme labor arbitrage. Globalization has allowed millions of low wage workers to incorporate themselves to the world's labor pool, mainly from China and India. CBs in the US, EC and Japan have countered this effect by injecting liquidity to their economies to stimulate the perceived local lack of growth.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 11 Feb 2007 03:44:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Joe Rotger</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong><a href="http://thefountainhead.typepad.com/">Joe Rotger</a> submits: </strong>You get one little piece from here, then, another from there... and then you realize that the puzzle is beginning to add up to something. So appropriate for the subject at hand, the case of global market liquidity. <!--more--> 

<p><strong>The labor arbitrage</strong>
</p>
<p>I think that we can trace the root of the currents that move the world economy to the ongoing extreme labor arbitrage. Globalization has allowed millions of low wage workers to incorporate themselves to the world's labor pool, mainly from China and India. CBs in the US, EC and Japan have countered this effect by injecting liquidity to their economies to stimulate the perceived local lack of growth.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/26609-global-market-liquidity-lessons-learned-from-the-yellow-submarine?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/joe-rotger">Joe Rotger</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
