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John Addison » Comments » NSANY

  • Ford Plans Both Electric Vehicles and Plug-In Hybrids [View article]
    Davewmart, once again you are on the money. To give lithium batteries long-life, the state of charge window will not use the entire battery. After a few years, its ability to fully recharge could deplete 20 percent. It could then be used in stationary applications such as backup power or spinning reserves. Subscription agreements are not a done deal; look at how PPAs accelerated the adoption of solar power. Use of lithium batteries in EVs does not imply that there are not plenty of applications for lead-acid. Mayascribe, we are starting to see hybrid natural gas heavy-duty vehicles from buses to trash trucks. There are different solutions for different needs.
    Aug 27 20:31 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • 2010 Nissan LEAF EV: Coming to a Freeway Near You [View article]
    Thanks for the added info and dialog. A typical engine powered vehicle is 15% efficient; an EV 65% efficient. Even with coal power at the other end you lower GHG on a lifecycle basis. Check out the Greet models at Argonne. Most early EV adopter fleets that I meet are also early adopters of solar and other RE for charging.
    Aug 06 20:59 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • 2010 Nissan LEAF EV: Coming to a Freeway Near You [View article]
    Thanks for the good comments and insights. Jerrydd, your inputs most closely match what I am hearing. It will be good sport to speculate on Nissan sale and/or lease decisions until they finalize their decisions next year. There are hundreds of EV players, so the article did not mention all. The Mitsubishi iMiEV looks beautiful, but last year they were talking around $50K USA. We will see what energy storage looks like in 10 years and if material scarcity is a big issue. John, lithium's success does not diminish lead-acid's success. We are approaching 100 million e-bikes, e-scooters & LEV in Asia. Over 99% are low cost and use lead-acid. I'm having dinner with the GM Volt people next week at the Plug-in Hybrid Conference. Hopefully I'll have some new posts soon.
    Aug 05 11:48 am |Rating: +1 -1 |Link to Comment
  • Meet the Top 10 Low Carbon Footprint Vehicles of 2009 [View article]
    Good comments. Yes, Europe is ahead of the United States. This Top 10 article only deals with vehicles available in the United States with 2009 sales likely to exceed 1,000 cars. The availability in the U.S. of diesels like the Ford Fiesta would change this list. Ford will probably bring the Fiesta to the U.S. as a 1.6L gasoline due to the high cost and low current sales of diesels in the U.S. In 2011, this list will also be different as EVs and plug-in hybrids reach commercial volume.
    As the article states, GHG are based on GREET 1.7 which includes source-wheels-emissions. Adding the emissions from manufacturing typically adds about 10 percent to total lifecycle emissions. See the GREET 2.7 Model for details at www.transportation.anl.../
    Apr 27 11:31 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Electric Vehicles Gain Traction in the Bay Area [View article]
    Thanks for adding to the discussion and insights.

    Globally EVs are much more prevalent than most think. Most in Asia are less expensive than internal combustion engine driven vehicles. Not Jim Cramer - initially the full featured 4-door sedans will be more expensive capex, but cheaper to fuel. With volume manufacturing, costs are likely to fall as they have with solar power. Most states are requiring growth of renewable energy, but even if its 100% coal power at the other end, the 3X efficiency of electric drive results in lower lifecycle emissions. Yes, battery performance can be a function of temperature. Plug-in Prius tests in Winnipeg at -40C showed little fuel efficiency improvement.

    Mad Hedge Fund Trader - point well taken on lithium sources. Mr. Taylor, yes I hope that EESTOR gets commercialized at the right price. I've talked to those who heard the stealth pitch 7 years ago. Stay diversified. Disruptive change is never smooth, but when it succeeds it can make billions for the corporations that can adopt to the change.
    Feb 23 19:40 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Electric Cars for 2010: Shift from Foreign Oil to Riding on Local Renewable Energy [View article]
    Thank you for the comments and debates about the fate of some future technology. The articles’ discussion about the plans of some auto makers is no guaranteeing that all will deliver in 2010. As some of you note, some may never get to market.

    There are currently hundreds of electric vehicles being offered; some are being delivered. The article made no attempt to cover them all. If you want to look at many offerings, follow this link: www.alibaba.com/showro...

    I loved riding in a Tesla and hope that they overcome their problems that have made them 18 months late. Here is my Tesla article. www.cleanfleetreport.c...

    Over the past years, Zap has sent me press releases announcing billions of dollars of deals. I do not appreciate Zap promoters using my articles to promote their stock or their vehicles. Read the following SEC filing carefully. www.sec.gov/Archives/e...

    I am confused about the comment "You ultra-Greens would do well right now to COMPROMISE." Customers will continue to make a wide range of choices from electric vehicles to big SUVs. I have written over 70 articles about a wide range of ways that people and corporations are using less oil. The solutions include electric vehicles, gasoline hybrids, improved diesels, high-speed rail, public transportation, corporate commute and flexwork programs.

    Yes, some have good reason to be skeptical about EEstor. A modest VC investment is no guarantee of success. A123 has attracted over ten times the investment in EEstor. We will see if ZENN delivers a car using EEstor by 2010, or ever.

    Yes, Toyota is likely to be a major force with a plug-in hybrid. Although A123 and others are doing Prius conversions, do not assume that Toyota’s offering will be a Prius plug-in. They may develop a distinct brand that is smaller and lighter for more range.

    Electric vehicles are already successful in many fleet applications and with individuals in places like university towns. In three years, new affordable freeway speed electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids will accelerate the current success. Yes, there will be some companies that succeed and some that fail. We need both incremental improves and cleantech innovation.

    Jun 18 15:18 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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