John C. Lee

This Rally Is Over, and Here’s Why

I win. Good Game.

An Investor's Guide to Bear Markets

We entered the third primary leg on Monday, FYI.

-JCL

Get Ready For the S&P 500 to Break Below 1200

We may be starting a new leg down, but some of these idiots just love staying bullish. This rally is over: seekingalpha.com/artic...

Bullish Sentiment Drops 30%

Most of the time when sentiment reaches a low period, a rally follows. Is that true?

Expect the Real Rally by Mid-2009

What's the point of trying to predict something a year from now. The market won't rally that quickly. It is not the nature of an asset & credit-inspired inflationary bear market.

The housing market typically lasts between 5-7 years, cycling through 4 market stages. That's the historical average, not a prediction. "I expect these headwinds to recede by the end of 2008"...I don't think so.

You're price target appears to be just a random guess, and I don't know why you put it out there.

This Rally Is Over, and Here’s Why

Yesterday was a bearish gap up.

Junkyarddog - Not wishful thinking. If you think the rally isn't over, go long with everything you have. I'm up 13% for Sept alone being 100% short.

This Rally Is Over, and Here’s Why

The rally today may change a few things.

If it's a bearish gap up with intra-day selling, the trend is broken. However, if buying momentum stays throughout the day as it did in Asia and Europe, then the trend is still intact. Gotta love the Treasury.

This Rally Is Over, and Here’s Why

"...the unemployment rate should be over 6% by the holiday season this year."

I wasn't expecting 6.1% to come today.


BS Detector - absolutely right on 3.5%. It was 2am

Redbaron - The first thing I said was "Don’t even think for a second that the ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Diffusion Index is the “holy grail”. They're slowdowns in growth, but not full recessions. As with any indicator, to answer your question, nothing is perfect, but shows how we're doing vs. historically.

Whidbey - correct. The market moves forward before the economy improves obviously, so if we'll be in a recession for several months, the markets aren't going higher from here.

Crash Opportunities: Part I

I profiled several wholesale food distributors(like SYY) and dining establishments (like BOBE) and they all were unable to hike the price past the ceiling already in place. If they raise prices further to pass on costs, they're going to lose revenue and if they don't raise, then they're going to lose revenue anyway. Catch-22

Hedge Fund Hell

even more broken english lol!

Hedge Fund Hell

that is some seriously broken english

Hedge Fund Hell

R.I.P 9/2/2008 - Ospraie Fund. Sucks to be LEH right now

A Tale of Three Markets

As of 5:30AM this morning, crude is down $8.76 to $106.79, effectively breaking it's uptrend. The USO will gap down a penetrate the 200-day MA and possibly recover to close slightly above the MA.

Start Planning for a Hard Economic Landing

I'd say another 3-5 years of economic mediocrity, including secondary effects. Very good, factual, no-bs article.

An Investor's Guide to Bear Markets

Thanks for the comments. I hope I provided enough material facts for investors to make the right long-term decisions.

User 252509 - FYI...chill out