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Mebane - 2008 was a great year for most timing models. The real test of a timing model is how it perfroms over a full business cycle. I agree with Augustus. You should keep on running hypotheticals against your models and keep looking for advantageous refinements. But I expect you already know this.
Jan 07 13:10 pm
|Rating:
+2
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All Comments by John Lounsbury »Timing Model Returns for 2008 [View article]
Thanks for publishing your work. My comment to Ben is that I have always gotten more (from readers) out of publishing my ideas than I have given away. Even the act of formally writing down a description sharpens the details in my own mind.