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John Lounsbury
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John Lounsbury, Managing Editor and Co-founder of Global Economic Intersection, provides comprehensive financial planning and investment advisory services to a small number of families on a fee only basis. He has a background which includes 34 years with a major international corporation, 25... More
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John B Lounsbury CFP
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Global Economic Intersection
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  • UK Now Has 125% Mortgages

     Daniel Thomas, writing in The Financial Times, reports on the latest in negative equity financing  here.  There are conditions, described in the quotes from the article below.  Also, the mortgagee must put up at least 5% of the purchase price.  This means that a buyer can pay 130% or more above current market under this scheme.

    "Nationwide (http://www.nationwide.co.uk/default.htm) has begun offering its customers suffering from negative equity a mortgage that provides up to 125 per cent of a property’s value, should they want to move."

    "The deal is designed to help people who need to move house but who would otherwise be stuck by the potential loss on their property. It is thought that there are other lenders looking at similar launches."

    "The mortgage is available only to borrowers who can prove they can afford the payments, but will nonetheless be a surprise – given the more cautious approach to lending by many banks and building societies, as well as government intentions to ensure greater prudence across the financial sector."

    My question is:  What does this accomplish?  Three possibilities come to mind in addition to the transfer of an underwater condition from one house to another (given in the article):

    1.  Economic stimulus, allowing someone to move and take equity out of a new house above the actual purchase price and market value.  This assumes the house was sold at market value.

    2.  Enabling houses to be sold above current market value to artificially elevate house prices.

    3.  There is a dislocation in distribution of employment opportunities and this is a way of getting people to move to where they are needed.

    I can not see merit in any of these objectives, and I simply do not believe the third situation is likely to exist.  Do any readers have better insight than I do?

     

    Jul 09 2:22 AM | Link | 4 Comments
  • Oil Drops Further

    It may be a holiday in the U.S., but the rest of the world is at work.  Oil is down about 1% in London, as shown in the following Chart from The Financial Times.  Note, London time is shown.

    Energy prices
    CommoditiesLast priceToday's
    change
    Year
    change
    NYMEX Crude Oil Front Month: NYMAs of Jul 03 2009 17:04 66.09
    Aug 09
    -0.64-1.0%-54.2%
    ICE Brent Crude Oil Front Month: IEUAs of Jul 03 2009 17:24 65.92
    Aug 09
    -0.73-1.1%-54.5%
    RBOB New York Harbor Gasoline NYMEX : NYMAs of Jul 03 2009 17:01 1.77
    Aug 09
    -0.02-1.2%-50.3%
    NYMEX Natural Gas Front Month: NYMAs of Jul 03 2009 17:03 3.63
    Aug 09
    +0.01+0.3%-73.2%
    NYMEX Heating Oil Front Month: NYMAs of Jul 03 2009 17:04 1.68
    Aug 09
    -0.02-1.2%-58.8%
    Jul 03 1:05 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Oil Rogue

    Javier Blas and Izabella Kaminska, writing for The Financial Times, describe how a rogue broker caused the oil price spike on Tuesday, June 30.  His firm, PVM Oil Associates, the world’s largest over-the-counter oil brokerage, lost approximately $10 million in closing the roguish deals in futures contracts.  The $10m loss is a heavy blow for PVM, which reported profits of just $5.6m in the year to July 2008, according to its accounts.  Read the whole story here.

    Jul 03 12:58 AM | Link | Comment!
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    Apr 20, 2011
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