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  <channel>
    <title>John Mylant's Instablog</title>
    <description>Residing in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

Has been trading and coaching using a self-developed option trading system for 10 years. Philosophically conservative, accurately trades weekly options with a strong risk management approach. 

Well sought after by investors around the world, he teaches a minimum and hand-selected number of students each quarter how to trade his system. 

Besides investing his interests are: Acoustic Guitar, Kayaking, Mountain Biking</description>
    <author>
      <name>John Mylant</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/john-mylant/instablog</link>
    <item>
      <title>ETF SPY: Remains Bullish Without A Good Out Look This Week</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1870821-etf-spy-remains-bullish-without-a-good-out-look-this-week?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1870821</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- for the second straight day, the SPY has been in the over bought region of <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7_bCC0xVqE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">the RSI indicator</a>. In this region, investors usually expect the stock to pull back but that does not mean it will. It is just a sign that the stock could be slowing down that's all. In this strong upward trend I would expect it to do nothing but slowdown.</p><p>MACD- I like to watch <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BcF9pSW7KGk" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">the MACD indicator</a> and the RSI indicator working hand-i<a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/18/435182-13688817635570076-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/18/435182-13688817635570076-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="275" height="222" /></a>n-hand to give me tandem signals. But what I am observing here is that the Mac D still has not peaked yet and for this reason I would expect the stock to continue to move up. Before the stock moves back I like to see in over bought position and a peak in the MA's of the MACD but I have yet the sea the top so that's what I am waiting for.</p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbCECvgEgpY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bollinger Bands</a>- the stock continues to hug the upper Bollinger band signifying a very strong bullish move up. At this point, I would not expect the stock to slow down until I see better signs from both the RSI and MACD.</p><p>Summary- even though the trend is strong, I have also noticed that the present move up as a 45&deg; angle and that is very strong and I do not believe that the stock will be able to continue to move this high much longer without arrest. But make no mistake it is very strong and the bullish move is not given me any signs that it will slow down yet.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>With the broad S&amp;P 500 Index (.SPX) gliding once again into uncharted territory and posting four straight weeks of gains, the talk of Wall Street's rally inevitably hitting a ceiling is starting to get old.</p><p>As the market continues its upward move, some market participants are beginning to believe that the rally is not a bubble but rather the start of a new bull market. Others argue, meanwhile, that the strong momentum is not based on fundamentals like economic data or corporate earnings but is relying heavily on easy monetary policy from global central banks.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX (.VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, is down more than 1 percent for the week.</p><p>Even at these levels, a popular options gauge shows investors are placing optimistic wagers on the stock market, positioning for the current run-up to extend for the next three months.</p><p>Earlier this week, the Credit Suisse Fear Barometer, known as the CSFB Index, fell 11.4 points over the past two weeks - the largest decline on record - and is now at a one-year low of 21.73.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 18 May 2013 09:12:05 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- for the second straight day, the SPY has been in the over bought region of <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7_bCC0xVqE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">the RSI indicator</a>. In this region, investors usually expect the stock to pull back but that does not mean it will. It is just a sign that the stock could be slowing down that's all. In this strong upward trend I would expect it to do nothing but slowdown.</p><p>MACD- I like to watch <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BcF9pSW7KGk" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">the MACD indicator</a> and the RSI indicator working hand-i<a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/18/435182-13688817635570076-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/18/435182-13688817635570076-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="275" height="222" /></a>n-hand to give me tandem signals. But what I am observing here is that the Mac D still has not peaked yet and for this reason I would expect the stock to continue to move up. Before the stock moves back I like to see in over bought position and a peak in the MA's of the MACD but I have yet the sea the top so that's what I am waiting for.</p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbCECvgEgpY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bollinger Bands</a>- the stock continues to hug the upper Bollinger band signifying a very strong bullish move up. At this point, I would not expect the stock to slow down until I see better signs from both the RSI and MACD.</p><p>Summary- even though the trend is strong, I have also noticed that the present move up as a 45&deg; angle and that is very strong and I do not believe that the stock will be able to continue to move this high much longer without arrest. But make no mistake it is very strong and the bullish move is not given me any signs that it will slow down yet.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>With the broad S&amp;P 500 Index (.SPX) gliding once again into uncharted territory and posting four straight weeks of gains, the talk of Wall Street's rally inevitably hitting a ceiling is starting to get old.</p><p>As the market continues its upward move, some market participants are beginning to believe that the rally is not a bubble but rather the start of a new bull market. Others argue, meanwhile, that the strong momentum is not based on fundamentals like economic data or corporate earnings but is relying heavily on easy monetary policy from global central banks.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX (.VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, is down more than 1 percent for the week.</p><p>Even at these levels, a popular options gauge shows investors are placing optimistic wagers on the stock market, positioning for the current run-up to extend for the next three months.</p><p>Earlier this week, the Credit Suisse Fear Barometer, known as the CSFB Index, fell 11.4 points over the past two weeks - the largest decline on record - and is now at a one-year low of 21.73.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>ETF SPY: Bulls Are Still In Charge!</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1847541-etf-spy-bulls-are-still-in-charge?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1847541</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- having touched the upper band doesn't look like it's come to push through the 70 this time even though it is flirting with the upper Bollinger band. For this reason looks like us can state bullish in the following week.</p><p>Bollinger Bands-this is interesting, I did not expect the stock to move to the upper band like it has again. Presently continues to hug the upper band which is the strongest indication of a bullish trend. <em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/11/435182-13682761707890356-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/11/435182-13682761707890356-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="278" height="220" /></a></p><p>MACD-MACD indicator is giving us the strongest indication that the trend and momentum is going to continue into the following week because it doesn't like it has yet reached a top is sitting well in the bullish territory.</p><p>Summary-everything in the SPY chart indicates that the stock continues to be bullish and I would expect this to continue into next week.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>Some analysts say that when the market starts off this strong, it tends to keep the upward momentum going until the end of the year.</p><p>&quot;Instead of 'Sell in May and Go Away,' we may be setting up for a surprise May rally,&quot; said Ryan Detrick, senior technical analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati, Ohio. &quot;What's encouraging is that small-cap stocks have been outperforming the market recently. It's a sign that the market is going for even the riskiest sectors.&quot;</p><p>If 2013 plays out like that - with another 9.7 percent gain in store for the S&amp;P 500 - the broad index would finish the year up a whopping 24.3 percent.</p><p>The American consumer will get Wall Street's attention next week when a raft of economic data and retailers' earnings could shed some light on whether they shopped for more than just the bare necessities.</p><p>Retail sales for April will be released on Monday by the U.S. Commerce Department.</p><p>Other economic data on tap includes April import and export prices on Tuesday, followed on Wednesday by the U.S. Producer Price Index for April, the Empire State Index for May, industrial production and capacity utilization for April, and the National Association of Home Builders Index for May.</p><p>On Thursday, the economic agenda includes the U.S. Consumer Price index for April, housing starts for April, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed's survey for May.</p><p>With 89 percent of the S&amp;P 500 companies having reported earnings so far, 66.7 percent have topped profit expectations, above the average of 63 percent since 1994. However, only 46.4 percent have beaten revenue expectations, well under the average of 62 percent since 2002.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 11 May 2013 08:45:15 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- having touched the upper band doesn't look like it's come to push through the 70 this time even though it is flirting with the upper Bollinger band. For this reason looks like us can state bullish in the following week.</p><p>Bollinger Bands-this is interesting, I did not expect the stock to move to the upper band like it has again. Presently continues to hug the upper band which is the strongest indication of a bullish trend. <em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/11/435182-13682761707890356-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/5/11/435182-13682761707890356-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="278" height="220" /></a></p><p>MACD-MACD indicator is giving us the strongest indication that the trend and momentum is going to continue into the following week because it doesn't like it has yet reached a top is sitting well in the bullish territory.</p><p>Summary-everything in the SPY chart indicates that the stock continues to be bullish and I would expect this to continue into next week.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>Some analysts say that when the market starts off this strong, it tends to keep the upward momentum going until the end of the year.</p><p>&quot;Instead of 'Sell in May and Go Away,' we may be setting up for a surprise May rally,&quot; said Ryan Detrick, senior technical analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati, Ohio. &quot;What's encouraging is that small-cap stocks have been outperforming the market recently. It's a sign that the market is going for even the riskiest sectors.&quot;</p><p>If 2013 plays out like that - with another 9.7 percent gain in store for the S&amp;P 500 - the broad index would finish the year up a whopping 24.3 percent.</p><p>The American consumer will get Wall Street's attention next week when a raft of economic data and retailers' earnings could shed some light on whether they shopped for more than just the bare necessities.</p><p>Retail sales for April will be released on Monday by the U.S. Commerce Department.</p><p>Other economic data on tap includes April import and export prices on Tuesday, followed on Wednesday by the U.S. Producer Price Index for April, the Empire State Index for May, industrial production and capacity utilization for April, and the National Association of Home Builders Index for May.</p><p>On Thursday, the economic agenda includes the U.S. Consumer Price index for April, housing starts for April, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed's survey for May.</p><p>With 89 percent of the S&amp;P 500 companies having reported earnings so far, 66.7 percent have topped profit expectations, above the average of 63 percent since 1994. However, only 46.4 percent have beaten revenue expectations, well under the average of 62 percent since 2002.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple's Transition Into A Blue Chip Company</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1805431-apple-s-transition-into-a-blue-chip-company?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1805431</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Apple in Transition</b></p><p>Is there a transition for a stock between what I would call &quot;a growth stock to a blue-chip stock&quot;? For a company like Apple (AAPL) it will be interesting to watch how the company progresses. This year is not supposed to be a favorable year as analysts expect revenue to decline just like it did in 2012.</p><p>I am wondering if we are beginning to see the morph of &quot;Apple&quot; as we knew it into a more stable dependable long-term investment company. Its recent history identified it as a &quot;product cycle driven&quot; company which meant an appealing growth investment that brought &quot;growth&quot; investors to the stock. But the company may morph into a software and service company which would mean steady and dependable earnings as compared to hyper earnings on certain quarters. Therefore in the future the <img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/29/435182-13672456116721625-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="188" height="235" />company may attract income investors instead of growth investors because it appears that sharing dividends will have more of a future appeal than growing the stock so quickly. The days of Apple's skyrocketing in price on a weekly basis are over.</p><p>This is a good thing for Apple, investors, and the market as a whole. Can you imagine the company continuing to grow like it has for the next few years to a price that is so outrageous that when it would collapse like it is now the markets would be greatly affected, and not in a good way? As the transition continues Apple should continue to attract investors and keep its stock relevant with things like capital returns.</p><p>This &quot;corporate maturing process&quot; does not mean that Apple cannot come out with new innovative products that vault the company higher. If you have watched the tech sector and as companies come out with new products, the process moves in cycles. If Apple does come out with a new innovative product that moves the industry it will take some time and this gives time for the company to mature.</p><p><b>The iPad: Example of Apple's Sustainability</b></p><p>Even though the company appears to be in transition, superior products will keep it on top of its industry even as it continues its research for new innovative products. Recently, the iPad was given the number one position by JD Power and Associates as the tablet with the greatest consumer satisfaction for the second year in a row. In its research, JD Power ranked consumer satisfaction in five categories:</p><ul><li>Performance</li><li>Ease of Operation</li><li>Styling &amp; Design</li><li>Features</li><li>Cost</li></ul><p>Tablets were ranked side-by-side on a 1000 point scale of satisfaction. The iPad came in first is 836 points followed by Amazon's (AMZN) Kindle Fire Tablet at 829 points while Samsung came in at a close third with 822 points.</p><p>Even though these scores look close there is one thing that set the iPad a part. The highest overall rating for product is called its &quot;Circle Ratings for Consumers&quot; and Apple is the only one that received a score of &quot;5&quot; which denotes the best product. The next highest score was &quot;3.&quot; This research is important because it gives us an idea of the stability of Apple products and the ability of the company to continue to lead the industry. The study by JD Power and Associates also found that 94% of highly satisfied tablet owners are more likely to purchase other electronic devices from the manufacturer that they are happy with. This example points to Apple's long-term sustainability because of its pursuit of high quality products.</p><p><b>Things Are Going Apple's Way</b></p><p>Back when Google (GOOG) bought Motorola for $5.5 million for its patents in development technology, the reasoning behind it was to help protect android from threats by Microsoft (MSFT), Apple, and anyone else out there who would try to infringe upon the company's technology. The logic was sound at the time, but things have not panned out as Goo<img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/29/435182-13672455271045856-John-Mylant.png" align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="185" height="238" />gle hoped they would and the investment is just not paying off. As one example, recently a federal judge ruled that Microsoft would only have to pay Google pennies in royalties for sale for each Xbox videogame system instead of the billions in Google sought because of patent infringements. This is not the first case that the company has lost. It appears that patents from Motorola may not be as valuable as first thought.</p><p>Even though it appears that the company allegedly has good arguments, there is no good ruling to show. The recent ruling between Google and Microsoft saw the judge strike down Google's estimate of $4 billion on the patents for videogame decoding and claim it's only worth $1.8 million. Since this article is mainly about Apple, it is important to know that Apple also won a case against Google. Trying to limit Apple's ability to ship Chinese made iPhones to the US, Google lost when the US International Trade Commission nixed Motorola's claims on patents on a phone sensor. So things are working out for Apple during its transition as a company</p><p>What appears to us as Apple's fall from grace may not be all that bad. The company still has top-of-the-line products and is respected by the consumer for this. With high quality products and challenges going its way, I believe the transition the company is presently in may be for the better for investors in the future. Apple will always be known for strong R&amp;D and is not a company dedicated to resting on its laurels. I believe this transition period for the company will help it become a long-term stable company that others will be able to depend on for years to come as it starts paying out its profits to its shareholders.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 30 Apr 2013 08:31:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Apple in Transition</b></p><p>Is there a transition for a stock between what I would call &quot;a growth stock to a blue-chip stock&quot;? For a company like Apple (AAPL) it will be interesting to watch how the company progresses. This year is not supposed to be a favorable year as analysts expect revenue to decline just like it did in 2012.</p><p>I am wondering if we are beginning to see the morph of &quot;Apple&quot; as we knew it into a more stable dependable long-term investment company. Its recent history identified it as a &quot;product cycle driven&quot; company which meant an appealing growth investment that brought &quot;growth&quot; investors to the stock. But the company may morph into a software and service company which would mean steady and dependable earnings as compared to hyper earnings on certain quarters. Therefore in the future the <img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/29/435182-13672456116721625-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="188" height="235" />company may attract income investors instead of growth investors because it appears that sharing dividends will have more of a future appeal than growing the stock so quickly. The days of Apple's skyrocketing in price on a weekly basis are over.</p><p>This is a good thing for Apple, investors, and the market as a whole. Can you imagine the company continuing to grow like it has for the next few years to a price that is so outrageous that when it would collapse like it is now the markets would be greatly affected, and not in a good way? As the transition continues Apple should continue to attract investors and keep its stock relevant with things like capital returns.</p><p>This &quot;corporate maturing process&quot; does not mean that Apple cannot come out with new innovative products that vault the company higher. If you have watched the tech sector and as companies come out with new products, the process moves in cycles. If Apple does come out with a new innovative product that moves the industry it will take some time and this gives time for the company to mature.</p><p><b>The iPad: Example of Apple's Sustainability</b></p><p>Even though the company appears to be in transition, superior products will keep it on top of its industry even as it continues its research for new innovative products. Recently, the iPad was given the number one position by JD Power and Associates as the tablet with the greatest consumer satisfaction for the second year in a row. In its research, JD Power ranked consumer satisfaction in five categories:</p><ul><li>Performance</li><li>Ease of Operation</li><li>Styling &amp; Design</li><li>Features</li><li>Cost</li></ul><p>Tablets were ranked side-by-side on a 1000 point scale of satisfaction. The iPad came in first is 836 points followed by Amazon's (AMZN) Kindle Fire Tablet at 829 points while Samsung came in at a close third with 822 points.</p><p>Even though these scores look close there is one thing that set the iPad a part. The highest overall rating for product is called its &quot;Circle Ratings for Consumers&quot; and Apple is the only one that received a score of &quot;5&quot; which denotes the best product. The next highest score was &quot;3.&quot; This research is important because it gives us an idea of the stability of Apple products and the ability of the company to continue to lead the industry. The study by JD Power and Associates also found that 94% of highly satisfied tablet owners are more likely to purchase other electronic devices from the manufacturer that they are happy with. This example points to Apple's long-term sustainability because of its pursuit of high quality products.</p><p><b>Things Are Going Apple's Way</b></p><p>Back when Google (GOOG) bought Motorola for $5.5 million for its patents in development technology, the reasoning behind it was to help protect android from threats by Microsoft (MSFT), Apple, and anyone else out there who would try to infringe upon the company's technology. The logic was sound at the time, but things have not panned out as Goo<img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/29/435182-13672455271045856-John-Mylant.png" align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="185" height="238" />gle hoped they would and the investment is just not paying off. As one example, recently a federal judge ruled that Microsoft would only have to pay Google pennies in royalties for sale for each Xbox videogame system instead of the billions in Google sought because of patent infringements. This is not the first case that the company has lost. It appears that patents from Motorola may not be as valuable as first thought.</p><p>Even though it appears that the company allegedly has good arguments, there is no good ruling to show. The recent ruling between Google and Microsoft saw the judge strike down Google's estimate of $4 billion on the patents for videogame decoding and claim it's only worth $1.8 million. Since this article is mainly about Apple, it is important to know that Apple also won a case against Google. Trying to limit Apple's ability to ship Chinese made iPhones to the US, Google lost when the US International Trade Commission nixed Motorola's claims on patents on a phone sensor. So things are working out for Apple during its transition as a company</p><p>What appears to us as Apple's fall from grace may not be all that bad. The company still has top-of-the-line products and is respected by the consumer for this. With high quality products and challenges going its way, I believe the transition the company is presently in may be for the better for investors in the future. Apple will always be known for strong R&amp;D and is not a company dedicated to resting on its laurels. I believe this transition period for the company will help it become a long-term stable company that others will be able to depend on for years to come as it starts paying out its profits to its shareholders.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.</p>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn/instablogs">amzn</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog/instablogs">goog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft/instablogs">msft</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl/instablogs">aapl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/long-ideas">long-ideas</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>ETF SPY: Fed Stimulus + Good Earnings Equals Good Bullish Week</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1800611-etf-spy-fed-stimulus-good-earnings-equals-good-bullish-week?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1800611</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- with the latest high this week a bit lower than the last one, the RSI indicator continues to bleed weakness in the present bullish move up. But-at this point my observations strictly point to a weakening in the move but that is all. It would not be uncommon for the stock to rest a little before it continues to move up.<a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/27/435182-13670668541965373-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/27/435182-13670668541965373-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="278" height="225" /></a></p><p>MACD- the MACD indicator come buying the trend and the momentum of the trend together to help us understand how fast the stock is moving. What we can observe presently is that the momentum of the upward trend continues to weaken but it still has a bullish flavor to it so I am hesitant to commit to saying the stock is getting ready to turn around.</p><p>Bollinger Bands- the stock has touched the bottom band the last two dips, but is also using the 50 day moving average as support. The bottom band is just starting to move sideways which strictly means consolidation and I cannot go past that. I would like to see it drop through the bottom band and drop through the 50 day moving average before I give it any more bearish support.</p><p>Summary- the SPY still appears to be in a consolidating phase which could signify a period of rest before goes up or continued weakness and move down in the future. But present observations can't go past strictly sand there is weakness in the present bullish move.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>With signs of a slower economy mounting, the near-term outlook for U.S. stocks isn't rosy, but investors may find comfort next week from the world's major central banks.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the report of weaker-than-expected, first-quarter growth could reinforce expectations the Fed will keep purchasing bonds at a pace of $85 billion a month.</p><p>As long as it looks like central banks are on your side and on investors' side as far as providing more liquidity, that's going to help improve sentiment.</p><p>A strong commitment from the Fed to continue its stimulative policy, coupled with corporate earnings that have mostly exceeded lowered forecasts, could help Wall Street extend a rally despite signs that the U.S. economic recovery is losing momentum.</p><p>A heavy slate of key economic indicators will be released next week, including personal income and spending, the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing and services activity indexes, pending home sales, the Chicago purchasing managers' index and consumer confidence from the Conference Board.</p><p>The market has been rallying on the fact the ECB might actually start to do something; if the U.S. market reacts in the same way, that might get the market rallying.</p><p>Right now, markets are going through an adjustment process, trying to figure out just how robust the economy is here and overseas as well.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2013 09:02:06 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- with the latest high this week a bit lower than the last one, the RSI indicator continues to bleed weakness in the present bullish move up. But-at this point my observations strictly point to a weakening in the move but that is all. It would not be uncommon for the stock to rest a little before it continues to move up.<a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/27/435182-13670668541965373-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/27/435182-13670668541965373-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="278" height="225" /></a></p><p>MACD- the MACD indicator come buying the trend and the momentum of the trend together to help us understand how fast the stock is moving. What we can observe presently is that the momentum of the upward trend continues to weaken but it still has a bullish flavor to it so I am hesitant to commit to saying the stock is getting ready to turn around.</p><p>Bollinger Bands- the stock has touched the bottom band the last two dips, but is also using the 50 day moving average as support. The bottom band is just starting to move sideways which strictly means consolidation and I cannot go past that. I would like to see it drop through the bottom band and drop through the 50 day moving average before I give it any more bearish support.</p><p>Summary- the SPY still appears to be in a consolidating phase which could signify a period of rest before goes up or continued weakness and move down in the future. But present observations can't go past strictly sand there is weakness in the present bullish move.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>With signs of a slower economy mounting, the near-term outlook for U.S. stocks isn't rosy, but investors may find comfort next week from the world's major central banks.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the report of weaker-than-expected, first-quarter growth could reinforce expectations the Fed will keep purchasing bonds at a pace of $85 billion a month.</p><p>As long as it looks like central banks are on your side and on investors' side as far as providing more liquidity, that's going to help improve sentiment.</p><p>A strong commitment from the Fed to continue its stimulative policy, coupled with corporate earnings that have mostly exceeded lowered forecasts, could help Wall Street extend a rally despite signs that the U.S. economic recovery is losing momentum.</p><p>A heavy slate of key economic indicators will be released next week, including personal income and spending, the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing and services activity indexes, pending home sales, the Chicago purchasing managers' index and consumer confidence from the Conference Board.</p><p>The market has been rallying on the fact the ECB might actually start to do something; if the U.S. market reacts in the same way, that might get the market rallying.</p><p>Right now, markets are going through an adjustment process, trying to figure out just how robust the economy is here and overseas as well.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
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      <title>EFT SPY: Watch Apple </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1776501-eft-spy-watch-apple?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7_bCC0xVqE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">RSI indicator</a> has dropped through the &quot;50&quot; line for the first time since the end of February when it had a strong turn down. This would officially marks the end of the third leg of a bullish run and I believe very strongly that it marks the beginning of a reversal or sideways movement.<em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/20/435182-13664611273899705-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/20/435182-13664611273899705-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="277" height="223" /></a></p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dstcOwJGBEs" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">MACD</a>- while it is true that the RSI continues to show weakness, one thing that I see in the MACD indicator is that momentum is still in bullish territory. Until I see the MAs move into bearish territory all I can say is it looks like the stock is slowing down, I cannot say it's going to reverse and turn around because momentum is still in bullish territory.</p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXOBHTuBzhY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bollinger Bands</a>- this is the third time we have seen this pattern as of bottom Bollinger band is now been sideways. The last two times we saw this is when the stock down like this and ended up forming a step as he continued to move up. But this time short term momentum appears to be weaker than it was the other times so I am interested in seeing if the Bollinger bands will turn down instead of sideways and then back up.</p><p>Summary- unless the stock is built the many foundation that I am observing at the top, my experience would tell me that it's continued bullish run is at an end. I make these observations based upon many years of experience looking at different chart patterns. Time will tell.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>Apple may have lost nearly half of its value since its peak in September, but it's still the talk of the town. Only this time, it's all about how low can it go?</p><p>Wall Street would normally be set for a technical rebound after a drop of more than 2 percent, the worst weekly decline so far this year. But that could easily change by the time the iPhone maker reports its earnings, which are due on Tuesday after the closing bell.</p><p>Wall Street has been recently pressured by a slew of disappointing economic data and weaker-than-expected earnings reports from blue-chip companies like IBM. Of the companies that have reported, 67.3 percent have beaten analysts' earnings expectations, while just 43.3 percent have beaten revenue estimates. Revenue growth is seen at just 0.7 percent for the first quarter over the year-ago period.</p><p>Economic indicators in the coming week will cover housing, manufacturing and a first look at first-quarter gross domestic product. In the housing sector, March figures for existing home sales are due on Monday and new home sales on Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters have forecast slight gains in both March existing and new home sales over February figures.</p><p>On Friday, Wall Street will get a snapshot of the broad economy, measured by gross domestic product, or the output of all goods and services inside U.S. borders. First-quarter GDP is forecast to have grown at an annual rate of 3 percent, compared with growth at an annual pace of just 0.4 percent for the fourth quarter.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 20 Apr 2013 08:49:01 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI- the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7_bCC0xVqE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">RSI indicator</a> has dropped through the &quot;50&quot; line for the first time since the end of February when it had a strong turn down. This would officially marks the end of the third leg of a bullish run and I believe very strongly that it marks the beginning of a reversal or sideways movement.<em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/20/435182-13664611273899705-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/20/435182-13664611273899705-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="277" height="223" /></a></p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dstcOwJGBEs" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">MACD</a>- while it is true that the RSI continues to show weakness, one thing that I see in the MACD indicator is that momentum is still in bullish territory. Until I see the MAs move into bearish territory all I can say is it looks like the stock is slowing down, I cannot say it's going to reverse and turn around because momentum is still in bullish territory.</p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXOBHTuBzhY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bollinger Bands</a>- this is the third time we have seen this pattern as of bottom Bollinger band is now been sideways. The last two times we saw this is when the stock down like this and ended up forming a step as he continued to move up. But this time short term momentum appears to be weaker than it was the other times so I am interested in seeing if the Bollinger bands will turn down instead of sideways and then back up.</p><p>Summary- unless the stock is built the many foundation that I am observing at the top, my experience would tell me that it's continued bullish run is at an end. I make these observations based upon many years of experience looking at different chart patterns. Time will tell.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>Apple may have lost nearly half of its value since its peak in September, but it's still the talk of the town. Only this time, it's all about how low can it go?</p><p>Wall Street would normally be set for a technical rebound after a drop of more than 2 percent, the worst weekly decline so far this year. But that could easily change by the time the iPhone maker reports its earnings, which are due on Tuesday after the closing bell.</p><p>Wall Street has been recently pressured by a slew of disappointing economic data and weaker-than-expected earnings reports from blue-chip companies like IBM. Of the companies that have reported, 67.3 percent have beaten analysts' earnings expectations, while just 43.3 percent have beaten revenue estimates. Revenue growth is seen at just 0.7 percent for the first quarter over the year-ago period.</p><p>Economic indicators in the coming week will cover housing, manufacturing and a first look at first-quarter gross domestic product. In the housing sector, March figures for existing home sales are due on Monday and new home sales on Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters have forecast slight gains in both March existing and new home sales over February figures.</p><p>On Friday, Wall Street will get a snapshot of the broad economy, measured by gross domestic product, or the output of all goods and services inside U.S. borders. First-quarter GDP is forecast to have grown at an annual rate of 3 percent, compared with growth at an annual pace of just 0.4 percent for the fourth quarter.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
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      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
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      <title>ETF SPY: A Lot Of Earnings This Week Will Dictate Direction</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/435182-john-mylant/1752141-etf-spy-a-lot-of-earnings-this-week-will-dictate-direction?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1752141</guid>
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        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI-I have written about my observations of negative divergence taking place with the RSI indicator and the MACD indicator for the last three weeks, but now I am noticing consolidation as we have higher lows and lower highs and the stock continues to move up. This is a new <em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/13/435182-13658596367428427-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/13/435182-13658596367428427-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="280" height="222" /></a>observation to me so I'm not quite sure how it's going to play out so I intend to watch it. If the stock continues to move up I can understand why because this last move before it had a little backup didn't even hit above the oversold position so it's still has strength.</p><p>MACD-The MACD indicator almost looks like it is in a bullish consolidation pattern as it continues have higher lows and lower highs. This is an interesting observation since the RSI indicator is doing the same thing but the stock continues to move up it will be interesting to watch this pattern and see how it plays out.</p><p>Bollinger Bands-It appears that the aggressive bullish move this week has the stock pushing through the upper band and on Friday it finally pulled back a little bit. Being at the top of the band, I wouldn't be surprised if the stock pulled back now but I believe the earnings reports this week may dictate whether the stock continues to move up along the upper band or bounces back to either the middle or lower band.</p><p>In Summary-Even though I have written about continued weakness in the move of the S&amp;P 500, I still see strength in this move and I am interested to see how it plays out because the formation and watching is new to me. It looks like the indicators are consolidating with a strong bullish emphasis while stock continues to move up. I'm not sure if this means the stock is going to move sideways for a little bit and then continue up or if it's just going to move sideways and then go down. I will be interested in seeing how this plays out.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>It has taken less than four months for the S&amp;P to surpass year-end 2013 targets of about two-thirds of the strategists polled by Thomson Reuters in December. Of 47 analysts surveyed, 30 of them expected to see this year end at a level already exceeded by the index.</p><p>&quot;The only thing that happens now is do we start to see something in the company earnings reports - these are really important because that is where the rubber meets the road,&quot; said Gordon Charlop, managing director at Rosenblatt Securities in New York.</p><p>Next week 74 S&amp;P companies are expected to report results, across a wide swath of sectors. Financials dominate the week, including reports from American Express Co (AXP.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), Bank of America (BAC.N) and Citigroup Inc (C.N).</p><p><em>Cyprus</em></p><p>In approving a 10 billion euro package, Europeans called on Cyprus to find an additional 6 billion euros to cover what is now a larger funding hole. In other words, it now needs to generate a total of 13 billion euros. This is a huge amount for a country the size of Cyprus, even after it goes after uninsured deposits in local bank accounts.</p><p>All this confirms what I argued a week ago - namely, that &quot;anyone even remotely familiar with the details of the Cypriot program realizes that the country is a long way away from what [a Troika official claimed to be] &quot;a durable and fully financed solution,&quot; let alone a sustainable path towards recovery.&quot;</p><p>Despite losing control of both growth and funding dimensions, European officials are yet to find the courage to recognize publicly what must be crystal clear to them in private (and was evident to others a week ago): &quot;Key assumptions of the program are outdated if not totally obsolete.&quot;</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 13 Apr 2013 09:28:20 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Technically Speaking</strong></p><p>RSI-I have written about my observations of negative divergence taking place with the RSI indicator and the MACD indicator for the last three weeks, but now I am noticing consolidation as we have higher lows and lower highs and the stock continues to move up. This is a new <em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/13/435182-13658596367428427-John-Mylant_origin.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/4/13/435182-13658596367428427-John-Mylant.png" align="right" hspace="6" vspace="6" width="280" height="222" /></a>observation to me so I'm not quite sure how it's going to play out so I intend to watch it. If the stock continues to move up I can understand why because this last move before it had a little backup didn't even hit above the oversold position so it's still has strength.</p><p>MACD-The MACD indicator almost looks like it is in a bullish consolidation pattern as it continues have higher lows and lower highs. This is an interesting observation since the RSI indicator is doing the same thing but the stock continues to move up it will be interesting to watch this pattern and see how it plays out.</p><p>Bollinger Bands-It appears that the aggressive bullish move this week has the stock pushing through the upper band and on Friday it finally pulled back a little bit. Being at the top of the band, I wouldn't be surprised if the stock pulled back now but I believe the earnings reports this week may dictate whether the stock continues to move up along the upper band or bounces back to either the middle or lower band.</p><p>In Summary-Even though I have written about continued weakness in the move of the S&amp;P 500, I still see strength in this move and I am interested to see how it plays out because the formation and watching is new to me. It looks like the indicators are consolidating with a strong bullish emphasis while stock continues to move up. I'm not sure if this means the stock is going to move sideways for a little bit and then continue up or if it's just going to move sideways and then go down. I will be interested in seeing how this plays out.</p><p><strong>Current Events</strong></p><p>It has taken less than four months for the S&amp;P to surpass year-end 2013 targets of about two-thirds of the strategists polled by Thomson Reuters in December. Of 47 analysts surveyed, 30 of them expected to see this year end at a level already exceeded by the index.</p><p>&quot;The only thing that happens now is do we start to see something in the company earnings reports - these are really important because that is where the rubber meets the road,&quot; said Gordon Charlop, managing director at Rosenblatt Securities in New York.</p><p>Next week 74 S&amp;P companies are expected to report results, across a wide swath of sectors. Financials dominate the week, including reports from American Express Co (AXP.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), Bank of America (BAC.N) and Citigroup Inc (C.N).</p><p><em>Cyprus</em></p><p>In approving a 10 billion euro package, Europeans called on Cyprus to find an additional 6 billion euros to cover what is now a larger funding hole. In other words, it now needs to generate a total of 13 billion euros. This is a huge amount for a country the size of Cyprus, even after it goes after uninsured deposits in local bank accounts.</p><p>All this confirms what I argued a week ago - namely, that &quot;anyone even remotely familiar with the details of the Cypriot program realizes that the country is a long way away from what [a Troika official claimed to be] &quot;a durable and fully financed solution,&quot; let alone a sustainable path towards recovery.&quot;</p><p>Despite losing control of both growth and funding dimensions, European officials are yet to find the courage to recognize publicly what must be crystal clear to them in private (and was evident to others a week ago): &quot;Key assumptions of the program are outdated if not totally obsolete.&quot;</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
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