John Rolfe is the co-founder of Argand Capital Advisors LLC, an investment advisor, and the portfolio manager of Candela Capital LP, a private investment fund focused on quality-driven event-based value investing. He has over twenty years of investing and transaction structuring experience in both public and private markets. John has an M.B.A. from The Wharton School, an M.A. from the University of Florida, and a B.S. from Virginia Tech.
I am a Hanna-Barbera cartoon character created in 1959, a pink anthropomorphic mountain lion sporting an upturned collar, shirt cuffs and a string tie. I was voiced by Daws Butler, and am best known for my famous catchphrase, "Heavens to Murgatroyd!"
Former buyside analyst now running my own fund for accredited investors. Things to know:
1) I research a lot of companies, but invest in very few. My goal on SA is to provide analysis, particularly of small and underfollowed companies, that readers can use as a starting point for their own research. When you read my articles, please understand that I try to present a high-level look. It's up to the reader to determine if it's the sort of situation that is worth monitoring. Note that I usually try to err on the side of conservatism, so just because I'm not enthused by a particular investment candidate doesn't mean you shouldn't be.
2) I appreciate comments whether you agree with me or not - especially in cases where I might be wrong, I'd like to know why! If you happen to be a particular expert on a topic and are interested in discussing it further, please shoot me a direct message. I would love to chat. Or if, you know, you're just a lonely value investor who wants a friend. Jokes aside, I've made lots of great friends through SA and am always open to talking.
3) If you enjoy reading my work, in no particular order, you might also enjoy reading fellow SA authors Vince Martin, Stephen Simpson, Brendan Rose, Brian Grosso, Bumbershoot Holdings, Adib Motiwala, Jeremy Raper, Investing 501, and Ted Barac. Most of them have professional investment expertise and the ones who don't are equally insightful. Like Amazon recommendations, not all of these will be perfect, but if you're new to SA, it's as good a place as any to start!
All the usual disclaimers apply... articles are provided for entertainment purposes only, interpret everything as opinion rather than fact, do your own due diligence, this is not an offer to sell securities, forward looking statements are not made using a crystal ball, etc. Most importantly, I will reiterate that everything I write is an opinion; analyzing stocks is inherently subjective and two reasonable people can come to different conclusions.
I run a small, private long/short portfolio. I focus on long term value, with a full expectation of showing paper losses in the short-term. Agnostic on the topic of catalysts. Wary of false precision. Usually ignorant of quarterly results and analyst forecasts. Seeking durable insights on business models and industry trends, and general wisdom.
I was a fund manager of European Equities for 10 years at Newton Investment Management in London. I recently founded StockViews.com, a social network that connects investors with analysts and encourages debate around individual stocks. I still keep my hand in the market and contribute both to StockViews and to Seeking Alpha. I also dedicate a large amount of my time to educating investors through StockViews Campus and via a mentorship program for university students. In the fall I will be touring a number of US universities to deliver a series of seminars on investing. You can find out more about me via my blog: http://blog.stockviews.com
I am Wei. I began studying and investing stocks since 2007. I am a value-oriented investor. My portfolio is concentrated and usually has less than six holdings. I hold large percentage of cash since 2013. Currently, I focused more on some semiconductor stocks, oil-related stocks, and auto stocks.
I am the President and Portfolio Manager at Motiwala Capital LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor in the state of Texas. I employ a value oriented investment philosophy. I look for quality companies that have strong balance sheets, produce stable free cashflow and generate above average returns on capital. We purchase at attractive discounts to their intrinsic value.
I started managing separate accounts in 2011. Currently managed $5.4million in assets. Please find presentations, interviews and client letters at www.motiwalacapital.com
Investing has been my passion for decades. This resulted in my leaving a top-flight position in the field of hospitality. I began investing my personal funds full-time in 2006. Using a primary research-driven approach I generated an annualized gross return of 15.7% (cumulative 328.8%) during the last ten years.
By comparison, during that same period of time (December 31, 2005 to December 31, 2015) the market experienced an annualized return of only 4.9% (cumulative 61.1%) as measured by the S&P 500 price return.
In 2008, I seeded and opened a hedge fund with a personal investment of seven figures and the acceptance of clients. I also earned the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation in 2011.
Finished CFA level 1 & CAIA level 1 in a breeze. Looking forward to CAIA level 2 and CFA level 2. Made top 1% on the Bloomberg BAT, but was a black sheep at my mediocre college, and I was foolish to let it affect me. (non-traditional student)
Hope to write some quality articles in the coming year.
I was playing with fire my first year in the market, using a lot of call options. It was easy to make 50+% gain in 1st yr, summer '13 to summer '14 (thank you bull mkt). This past half year has been a little rough; I wish I had acted more decisively on material information about the energy market and the movement of the Ruble ($YNDX is a favorite).
I remember announcing the probably course of events to family the morning after OPEC's Thanksgiving's Day announcements, and I regrettably decided to wait it through b/c our professors chided us to take a buy and hold approach, and b/c I had bought some quality energy names at very fair prices in October. In retrospect, I realize the importance of optionality or in a sense, degrees of freedom.
In this case, I realize I am too committed to a base scenario (energy stocks recovering in the next year) that has too much opportunity cost. If the price adjustment cycle lasts longer than the expected scenario, then I will be unhappy with the opportunities lost. An equal weight short position would have been an ideal temporary maneuver, expressing my short-term thesis, while not causing commitment angst in the present, hoping for the long-term adjustment to blow over.
I was entrusted with a fresh 100K family capital this past summer, and I plan to be more prudent and thorough (obviously with minimal leverage or derivatives). This market is a little dangerous with high debt loads in China, somewhat high valuation levels (horrible Schiller CAPE ratio, but not sure if that matters as much), and jitters over rate hike, Ukraine, terrorism, epidemics, difficulty of private sector adjusting to Obamacare, and possible fiscal & monetary stimulus tapering.
I think low energy prices is a great stimulus, but the possibilities of a perfect storm with semi-hard landing in China or Europe, a serious violent flare-up with Russia or the Terror War, and disease outbreak could somehow happen at just the wrong time (perhaps, right after a rate hike).
I've read a fair amount of Buffett. But I love the tech industry mostly. To humor Buffett (a tech dinosaur), I bought a tiny bit of IBM. It has been working hard to transform its whole business, and actually has some top-notch talent and product portfolios with a fairly conservative valuation. The market is probably right that is a long-shot that IBM will grow significantly again, despite its immense technology assets and partnerships. Recent comment: feel lucky to have exited IBM at a small gain; mulling a re-entry and annoyed that I missed the recent Google explosion. Google is solidifying its reach and ecosystem, but at steep multiples.
I've been away from investing for much of the past half year (now dec'15), partly because I was getting cyberattacks on my twitter account, my computer, and broker connection was being intercepted, which made me very uncomfortable. My car also very suddenly needed an engine replacement that same week, despite a thorough check-up a month prior. I'm having a hard time moving forward, after severe blacklisting after-effects, (too long & weird to discuss).
CAIA & CFA level 1s were super-easy even though I was underprepared. I look forward to embracing the challenge. I will end up working in Europe or abroad, if I have to. Lucky to get tons of invites from Bloomberg recruitment due to top notch scores, but haven't really applied b/c of crummy school issues. Plan to work on Wall Street Prep & hopefully some SA articles.
Dreamjob: working for a hedge fund focussing in equities, preferably with a multicultural bunch (I'm half european / half asian american)
Long-term dream job: top-notch hedge fund manager
My favorite time horizon: 3mo to 18mo, b/c best chance of having a direct connect with news & analysis. market moves too fast to be primarily buy & hold, albeit such a mid-term outlook forfeits the benefit of effective interest-free loan in the the form of deferred taxes (as Buffett makes use of) as well as benefit of a capital gains rate, but on the other hand, a mid-term outlook maximizes flexibility. I'm trying to stay more grounded in fundamentals, flesh out the invest case for a quite a handful of stocks, and balancing risks in wide portfolio. Plan to explore ETF's more.
Currently a Commercial Real Estate broker in the Washington DC Metro area. Recently retired from Corporate America after numerous years in senior real estate management and development positions and previously served in the US Army after graduation from West Point. Hold a MBA from Fuqua School of Business at Duke University.