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  • 5 High Yield Canadian Royalty Trusts [View article]
    The comment by longoil with respect to the CEO of HTE is entirely correct. Because of a combination of inept management actions, the company was valued at about 50% of book value. This indicates either that assets were purchased at too high a price, or are not pulling their weight in the capital structure. If Mr. Zachery had not been so interested in keeping his job, it appears that a dissolution of the company would have provided a better return of capital than the 50% than I got. It also appears that the Koreans are (temporarily) keeping Mr. Zachery on the job, as part of this deal.
    Dec 10 11:55 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Must-Know Criteria for Picking Inflation Proof, High Dividend Stocks [View article]
    I believe we face two very different scenarios with respect to inflation. One scenario, favored by the Gold Bugs, is that the huge number of paper dollars being created by government will inevitable lead to huge inflation numbers. I believe there is a very large probability this will occur.

    The sceond scenario is that one of the major effects of the especially severe recession we are experiencing will change the psychology of consumers. That as a result of the difficulties they have seen, affecting themselves and their parents, they will become more conservative savers. This second scenario is the Japan scenario. Though the Japanese National Debt is much larger as a percentage of GDP than the US, their inflation rate is very low, due to high saving rates. The savings absorb the large amount of Yen debt created b the government.

    Both scenarios are possible, and any strategy you adopt should attempt to include both possible events.

    My preferred strategy is to purchase very low PE securities with high yields, and staying power in their business. It may seem counter intuitive, but these include preferred stocks in REITS (AHT-PD), Low PE Royalty Trusts (PVX), and strong companies with financial operations ( NLY, ACAS, AGNC). I also have some very speculative stocks (ENT, HUN, HTE) which are selling well below book, but are cash-flow positive. I am long on all mentioned stocks.
    May 04 05:38 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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